Alert archive / Ohio / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 74

February 1, 201148 counties in Indiana; 55 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Feb 1, 2011, 4:54 PM EST for 48 counties in Indiana; 55 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 1, 2011, 4:54 PM EST (21:54 UTC)
Expired
Feb 1, 2011, 10:00 PM EST
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 103 counties

Adams County, IN, Allen County, IN, Bartholomew County, IN, Blackford County, IN, Boone County, IN, Brown County, IN, Carroll County, IN, Cass County, IN, Clay County, IN, Clinton County, IN, Decatur County, IN, DeKalb County, IN, Delaware County, IN, Fayette County, IN, Fountain County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Fulton County, IN, Grant County, IN, Hamilton County, IN, Hancock County, IN, Hendricks County, IN, Henry County, IN, Howard County, IN, Huntington County, IN, Jay County, IN, Johnson County, IN, Kosciusko County, IN, Madison County, IN, Marion County, IN, Miami County, IN, Montgomery County, IN, Morgan County, IN, Noble County, IN, Owen County, IN, Parke County, IN, Putnam County, IN, Randolph County, IN, Rush County, IN, Shelby County, IN, Tippecanoe County, IN, Tipton County, IN, Union County, IN, Wabash County, IN, Warren County, IN, Wayne County, IN, Wells County, IN, White County, IN, Whitley County, IN, Allen County, OH, Ashland County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Carroll County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Coshocton County, OH, Crawford County, OH, Cuyahoga County, OH, Darke County, OH, Defiance County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Erie County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Fulton County, OH, Geauga County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hancock County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Henry County, OH, Holmes County, OH, Huron County, OH, Knox County, OH, Lake County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Lorain County, OH, Lucas County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mahoning County, OH, Marion County, OH, Medina County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Morrow County, OH, Ottawa County, OH, Paulding County, OH, Portage County, OH, Preble County, OH, Putnam County, OH, Richland County, OH, Sandusky County, OH, Seneca County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Stark County, OH, Summit County, OH, Trumbull County, OH, Tuscarawas County, OH, Union County, OH, Van Wert County, OH, Wayne County, OH, Williams County, OH, Wood County, OH, Wyandot County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2011-02-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2011-02-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 50 square meters per square second.1939587897117136Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
447 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
62 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
50 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

091 
ACUS11 KWNS 012154
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 012154 
OHZ000-INZ000-020300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0074
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0354 PM CST TUE FEB 01 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CNTRL IND...NRN/CNTRL OH

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION 

VALID 012154Z - 020300Z

MDT TO HVY MIXED PRECIPITATION TYPES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

DEEP/MOIST ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH THE WARM CONVEYOR BELT OF THE
INTENSE EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS WILL SUPPORT
THE EWD SHIFT OF MODERATE TO HEAVY MIXED PRECIPITATION ACROSS CNTRL
IND THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON...AND EVENTUALLY CROSSING INTO OH BY 00Z.
WITH SUB-FREEZING SFC TEMPERATURES IN PLACE...MIXED PRECIPITATION
TYPES WILL OCCUR.

THE PREDOMINANT PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL BE FREEZING RAIN ALONG AND
SOUTH OF A LINE FROM KYNG TO KHUF...WHERE RATES AOA 0.2 INCHES PER
HOUR WILL OCCUR PER 19Z HRRR RUN. FARTHER NORTH...RUC FORECAST
SOUNDINGS INDICATE RELATIVELY COOLER TEMPERATURES IN THE WARM LAYER
/AOB 3C/ SUPPORTIVE OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SLEET...WITH SNOW ACROSS
FAR NW OH AND NE IND. AS LOW-LEVEL WAA CONTINUES...THE FREEZING RAIN
AREA WILL SHIFT NWD THIS EVENING.

..COHEN/ROGERS.. 02/01/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PBZ...CLE...ILN...IWX...IND...LOT...

LAT...LON   39358721 40328750 41248626 41698431 41738221 41808080
            41248055 40578097 40048214 39708353 39388505 39078617
            39358721

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 31, 7:56 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdams, Allen, Bartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown and 32 more5 hr
Feb 1, 12:42 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Blackford, Boone, Brown, Clay, Clinton and 37 more5 hr
Feb 1, 4:36 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCJasper, Lake, LaPorte, Newton, Porter, Saint Joseph and 1 more6 hr
Feb 1, 12:12 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshtabula, Carroll, Columbiana, Cuyahoga, Geauga, Harrison and 8 more5 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Ohio, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Indiana, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.