Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 706

May 9, 20115 counties in Nebraska; 6 counties in South Dakota; 6 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 9, 2011, 8:16 PM MDT for 5 counties in Nebraska; 6 counties in South Dakota; 6 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 29 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2011, 8:16 PM MDT (02:16 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2011, 8:45 PM MDT
In force
29 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Box Butte County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Albany County, WY, Crook County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 180 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 00:00Z on 2011-05-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 231 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 00:00Z on 2011-05-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 114 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
231 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-129 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
581 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
247 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
-0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

767 
ACUS11 KWNS 100216
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100216 
SDZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-100245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0706
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0916 PM CDT MON MAY 09 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WY...NWRN NEB...SWRN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266...

VALID 100216Z - 100245Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266
CONTINUES.

...NEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED BY 03Z...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE GRADUALLY INCREASED IN AREAL COVERAGE ACROSS WRN
SD INTO THE NRN NEB PANHANDLE.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD LINGER WELL
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS WARM ADVECTION REMAINS FOCUSED BENEATH A
LLJ BRANCH TO THE NORTH OF EJECTING SFC LOW.  DEEP LAYER VERTICAL
SHEAR REMAINS SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS AND CURRENT THINKING IS THE
SEVERE THREAT...ESPECIALLY HAIL...WILL CONTINUE PAST WATCH
EXPIRATION.  A NEW WW IS WARRANTED TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS ONGOING
ACTIVITY.

..DARROW.. 05/10/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS...

LAT...LON   41640582 44830504 44830199 41650291 41640582

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 9, 8:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCSheridan5 hr
May 9, 10:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCherry58 min
May 10, 12:56 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCButte, Corson, Dewey, Meade, Perkins, Stanley and 1 more94 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Wyoming, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.