Alert archive / South Dakota / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 705

May 9, 20115 counties in Nebraska; 6 counties in South Dakota; 6 counties in Wyoming

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 9, 2011, 4:57 PM MDT for 5 counties in Nebraska; 6 counties in South Dakota; 6 counties in Wyoming. It was in force for 93 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 9, 2011, 4:57 PM MDT (22:57 UTC)
Expired
May 9, 2011, 6:30 PM MDT
In force
93 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Box Butte County, NE, Dawes County, NE, Morrill County, NE, Scotts Bluff County, NE, Sioux County, NE, Custer County, SD, Fall River County, SD, Lawrence County, SD, Meade County, SD, Oglala Lakota County, SD, Pennington County, SD, Albany County, WY, Crook County, WY, Goshen County, WY, Niobrara County, WY, Platte County, WY, Weston County, WY

The radar

The Rapid City radar (KUDX), 180 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:58 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Rapid City, SD (KUNR), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 173 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2011-05-09Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 90 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Rapid City, SD at 12:00Z on 2011-05-09The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
90 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-588 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
782 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
108 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

192 
ACUS11 KWNS 092257
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092257 
SDZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-100030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0705
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0557 PM CDT MON MAY 09 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN WY...NWRN NEB...SWRN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266...

VALID 092257Z - 100030Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 266
CONTINUES.

LEADING EDGE OF STRONGER FORCING APPEARS TO BE SPREADING ACROSS THE
CNTRL ROCKIES INTO THE NRN/CNTRL HIGH PLAINS REGION.  THIS
CORRESPONDS WELL WITH ONGOING BAND OF CONVECTION THAT HAS TRAVERSED
THE LARAMIE RANGE OF WY.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD GRADUALLY INCREASE IN
AREAL COVERAGE/INTENSITY AS IT ENCOUNTERS FAVORABLE INFLOW WITHIN
UPSLOPE FLOW REGIME INVOF THE BLACK HILLS.  LARGE HAIL IS THE
PRIMARY SEVERE CONCERN WITH THIS EVOLVING LINE OF TSTMS...WHILE NEW
DEVELOPMENT MAY ALSO OCCUR WITHIN WARM ADVECTION AHEAD OF THESE
STORMS.

..DARROW.. 05/09/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...UNR...CYS...

LAT...LON   41650582 44830505 44830199 41640292 41650582

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 8, 7:47 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boone, Boyd, Brown, Garfield, Holt and 4 more58 min
May 9, 2:26 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBox Butte, Dawes, Scotts Bluff, Sheridan, Sioux7 hr
May 9, 1:17 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCampbell, Converse, Crook, Fremont, Hot Springs, Johnson and 4 more58 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in South Dakota, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Wyoming, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.