Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 693

May 3, 201151 counties in Georgia; 9 counties in North Carolina; 13 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at May 3, 2011, 4:57 PM EDT for 51 counties in Georgia; 9 counties in North Carolina; 13 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 93 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 3, 2011, 4:57 PM EDT (20:57 UTC)
Expired
May 3, 2011, 6:30 PM EDT
In force
93 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 73 counties

Baldwin County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Burke County, GA, Butts County, GA, Clarke County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Elbert County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Franklin County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Greene County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Hart County, GA, Houston County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Lincoln County, GA, Macon County, GA, Madison County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Newton County, GA, Oconee County, GA, Oglethorpe County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Schley County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Upson County, GA, Walton County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilkes County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Burke County, NC, Catawba County, NC, Cleveland County, NC, Gaston County, NC, Henderson County, NC, Lincoln County, NC, McDowell County, NC, Polk County, NC, Rutherford County, NC, Abbeville County, SC, Anderson County, SC, Cherokee County, SC, Edgefield County, SC, Greenville County, SC, Greenwood County, SC, Laurens County, SC, McCormick County, SC, Newberry County, SC, Pickens County, SC, Saluda County, SC, Spartanburg County, SC, Union County, SC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 97 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 9.0 hours before the alert went out and 185 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2011-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 12:00Z on 2011-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 161 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-259 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
931 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
28 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
161 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
205 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

933 
ACUS11 KWNS 032057
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032057 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-032230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0693
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0357 PM CDT TUE MAY 03 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...GA AND THE WESTERN/UPSTATE CAROLINAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY 

VALID 032057Z - 032230Z

STORMS MAY POSE AN ISOLATED SEVERE THREAT LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING...WITH SOME RISK FOR DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL. WITH EXPECTATIONS
FOR ANY SEVERE THREAT TO REMAIN MARGINAL/ISOLATED...A WATCH IS NOT
CURRENTLY ANTICIPATED.

SCATTERED TSTMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP/STEADILY ADVANCE NORTHEASTWARD
ALONG A COLD FRONT FROM NEAR THE SPINE OF THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO WEST-CENTRAL GA. THIS AIRMASS AHEAD OF THE FRONT
HAS STRONGLY HEATED /80S F/ THIS AFTERNOON AMID SCATTERED CLOUD
COVER...WITH SBCAPES ESTIMATED TO BE AS HIGH AS 1000-1500 J/KG JUST
AHEAD OF THE FRONT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME OF THE STRONGER
MULTICELLULAR STORMS MAY POSE AN ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND AND/OR HAIL
THREAT AMIDST NEARLY UNIDIRECTIONAL SOUTHWESTERLY LOW/MID
TROPOSPHERIC WINDS. HOWEVER...WITH THE STRONGEST VERTICAL SHEAR
LAGGING /WESTWARD/ THE FRONT...AND GIVEN MODEST NEAR-FRONTAL
CONVERGENCE/WEAK LAPSE RATES ALOFT...ONLY A MARGINAL/ISOLATED-TYPE
SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED.

..GUYER.. 05/03/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...CAE...GSP...FFC...

LAT...LON   35918209 35888087 32068236 32068424 32828460 35918209

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 3, 7:22 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCElbert, Lincoln, Wilkes83 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.