Alert archive / Virginia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 668

April 28, 20114 counties in Maryland; 9 counties in North Carolina; 21 counties in Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 28, 2011, 8:27 PM EDT for 4 counties in Maryland; 9 counties in North Carolina; 21 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 33 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 28, 2011, 8:27 PM EDT (00:27 UTC)
Expired
Apr 28, 2011, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
33 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 34 counties

Saint Mary's County, MD, Somerset County, MD, Wicomico County, MD, Worcester County, MD, Camden County, NC, Carteret County, NC, Currituck County, NC, Dare County, NC, Hyde County, NC, Pamlico County, NC, Pasquotank County, NC, Perquimans County, NC, Tyrrell County, NC, Accomack County, VA, Charles City County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Norfolk, VA, City of Poquoson, VA, City of Portsmouth, VA, City of Suffolk, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, City of Williamsburg, VA, Gloucester County, VA, Isle of Wight County, VA, James City County, VA, Lancaster County, VA, Mathews County, VA, Middlesex County, VA, Northampton County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Surry County, VA, York County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:27 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Newport, NC (KMHX), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 167 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2011-04-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2654 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Newport, NC at 00:00Z on 2011-04-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 449 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2654 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
459 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
49 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
449 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
435 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
5.6
Supercell composite
32.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

774 
ACUS11 KWNS 290027
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290027 
MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-290100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0668
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0727 PM CDT THU APR 28 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN VA...SRN DELMARVA PENINSULA...AND ERN NC

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 255...

VALID 290027Z - 290100Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 255 CONTINUES.

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE ERN PARTS OF WW
255 BEYOND THE EXPIRATION TIME OF 01Z.  LIMITED SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL
THREAT SHOULD PRECLUDE THE NEED FOR A NEW WATCH.  HOWEVER...LOCAL
WFO EXTENSION OF THIS WATCH IS POSSIBLE DUE TO A CONTINUED SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT THROUGH 02-03Z.

THE AIR MASS ACROSS WW 255 REMAINS SUPPORTIVE FOR SEVERE STORMS
/MODERATE INSTABILITY AND EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 45-60 KT/...
INCLUDING A TORNADO THREAT PER EFFECTIVE SRH OF 200-300 M2/S2. 
EARLY EVENING RADAR TRENDS SUGGEST STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT
FAR ERN NC INCLUDING THE OUTER BANKS THROUGH 02Z.  FARTHER
N...WEAKER LOW LEVEL SHEAR SUGGESTS A GREATER THREAT FOR ISOLATED
DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WITH STORMS TRACKING NEWD FROM SERN VA
TOWARD THE SRN CHESAPEAKE BAY TO SRN DELMARVA THROUGH 02-03Z.

..PETERS.. 04/29/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...

LAT...LON   34387624 34607714 35417660 36267653 36657684 37047729
            37787678 38427648 38387468 36827558 35377508 34907531
            34387624

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Virginia, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in North Carolina, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Maryland, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.