Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 522

April 22, 201123 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 22, 2011, 5:43 PM CDT for 23 counties in Texas. It was in force for 92 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 22, 2011, 5:43 PM CDT (22:43 UTC)
Expired
Apr 22, 2011, 7:15 PM CDT
In force
92 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 23 counties

Archer County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Clay County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Erath County, TX, Hood County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Montague County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 70 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:45 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-04-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1318 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2011-04-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 297 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1318 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-465 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1244 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
297 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
510 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

317 
ACUS11 KWNS 222243
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222243 
TXZ000-OKZ000-230015-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0522
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0543 PM CDT FRI APR 22 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN N TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY 

VALID 222243Z - 230015Z

A WATCH IS LIKELY TO BE NEEDED OVER WRN N TX WHERE STORM INITIATION
IS LIKELY SOON.  VERY LARGE HAIL...ALONG WITH STRONG OUTFLOW ARE
LIKELY.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH EXTENDING SWWD AHEAD OF
A STALLING COLD FRONT FROM CNTRL OK INTO NWRN TX. LOW TO MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES HAVE BECOME VERY STEEP AS A RESULT OF HEATING AND LITTLE
IF ANY CONVECTIVE INHIBITION EXISTS. 

DUE TO STRONG VERTICAL MIXING...DEWPOINTS HAVE DROPPED INTO THE
UPPER 50S NEAR THE DRYLINE. HOWEVER...PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE
NEAR 1.50 INCHES NEAR DENTON...WHERE LOW CLOUDS HAMPERED MIXING
TODAY. 

AS STORMS FORM NEAR THE HEAT...THEY WILL LIKELY TRAVEL ESEWD INTO A
VERY UNSTABLE AIR MASS. WHILE LOW LEVEL T/TD SPREADS WILL FAVOR
OUTFLOW PRODUCTION AND GUSTY WINDS AND MAY HAMPER TORNADO
POTENTIAL...FAVORABLE WLY FLOW ALOFT...COMBINED WITH AN INCREASING
LOW LEVEL JET THIS EVENING SHOULD BE MORE THAN SUFFICIENT TO SUSTAIN
SUPERCELLS WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING EXTREMELY LARGE HAIL.

..JEWELL.. 04/22/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON   32190039 33249946 33749898 34019834 33839722 33519674
            32939701 32149755 32019815 31889884 31919979 32190039

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 21, 9:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho and 26 more60 min
Apr 22, 1:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Clay, Collin, Cooke, Delta, Denton and 18 more97 min
Apr 22, 6:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCArcher, Brown, Callahan, Clay, Coke, Coleman and 21 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.