Alert archive / Oklahoma / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 430

April 14, 201124 counties in Oklahoma; Lamar County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 14, 2011, 8:36 PM CDT for 24 counties in Oklahoma; Lamar County, Texas. It was in force for 84 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 14, 2011, 8:36 PM CDT (01:36 UTC)
Expired
Apr 14, 2011, 10:00 PM CDT
In force
84 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 25 counties

Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Cherokee County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Delaware County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Mayes County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Rogers County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Tulsa County, OK, Wagoner County, OK, Lamar County, TX

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 139 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Norman, OK (KOUN), launched 00:00Z, 1.6 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2011-04-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2011-04-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 20 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
4948 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
20 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
146 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

521 
ACUS11 KWNS 150137
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150136
OKZ000-TXZ000-150300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0430
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0836 PM CDT THU APR 14 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN OK/FAR NERN TX

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 135...

VALID 150136Z - 150300Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 135 CONTINUES.

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES WILL LIKELY
PERSIST BEYOND THE EXPIRATION TIME OF 03Z ACROSS SERN AND E-CNTRL OK
AND FAR NERN TX. IN THESE AREAS...A NEW TORNADO WATCH WILL BE
NEEDED.

EARLY EVENING SFC ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE COLD FRONT HAD
OVERTAKEN THE DRYLINE ACROSS NRN OK...AND EXTENDED FROM NRN OSAGE
COUNTY TO THE INTERSECTION OF THE DRYLINE JUST SE OF THE OKC METRO
AREA. THE DRYLINE EXTENDED FARTHER S-SW FROM THIS JUNCTURE TO THE
RED RIVER NEAR INTERSTATE 35 AND INTO N-CNTRL TX. AS THE COLD FRONT
CONTINUES TO ACCELERATE EWD ACROSS NERN OK...THE SEVERE THREAT WILL
LIKELY HAVE SHIFTED INTO NWRN AR BY 03Z. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE NE-SW
ORIENTATION OF THE OVERTAKING COLD FRONT...THE WARM/UNSTABLE SECTOR
FEATURING MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2500 J/KG WILL PERSIST ACROSS
SERN/E-CNTRL OK PAST 03Z. THIS AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY...JUXTAPOSED
WITH EFFECTIVE STORM-RELATIVE HELICITY VALUES OF 200-400 M2/S2
/NOTABLY INCREASING/...WILL SUPPORT PERSISTENCE OF THE DISCRETE AND
SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELL MODE WITH AN ATTENDANT THREAT FOR
TORNADOES...DAMAGING WINDS...AND LARGE HAIL. THE THREAT FOR STRONG
TORNADOES WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH THE MOST
DISCRETE CONVECTION AND UNDISTURBED INFLOW -- I.E. ACROSS THE SRN
TWO TIERS OF COUNTIES OF SERN OK AND ADJACENT COUNTIES OF FAR NERN
TX.

..COHEN.. 04/15/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

LAT...LON   33869728 33619513 34559449 36459472 36669580 33869728

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 14, 9:06 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAdair, Atoka, Bryan, Cherokee, Choctaw, Coal and 18 more6 hr
Apr 14, 11:11 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Cherokee, Choctaw, Delaware, Haskell, Latimer and 4 more94 min
Apr 14, 9:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCollin, Dallas, Denton, Hopkins, Hunt, Rockwall31 min
Apr 14, 10:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Bell, Collin, Coryell, Dallas, Denton and 19 more4 hr
Apr 14, 11:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCamp, Cass, Cherokee, Gregg, Harrison, Marion and 7 more3 hr
Apr 14, 11:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Camp, Cass, Cherokee, Ellis, Freestone and 16 more94 min
Apr 15, 2:19 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCCherokee, Harrison, Nacogdoches, Panola, Rusk, Shelby8 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Oklahoma, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.