Alert archive / Texas / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 403

April 10, 201127 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Apr 10, 2011, 9:09 PM CDT for 27 counties in Texas. It was in force for 66 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 10, 2011, 9:09 PM CDT (02:09 UTC)
Expired
Apr 10, 2011, 10:15 PM CDT
In force
66 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 27 counties

Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Erath County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hood County, TX, Jack County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Wise County, TX

The radar

The Dyess AFB radar (KDYX), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 2.2 hours before the alert went out and 235 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2011-04-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 637 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2011-04-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 150 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
637 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-268 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1994 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
150 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
140 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

572 
ACUS11 KWNS 110210
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110209
TXZ000-110315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0403
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0909 PM CDT SUN APR 10 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 123...

VALID 110209Z - 110315Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 123
CONTINUES.

A BROKEN LINE OF CONVECTION HAS RAPIDLY DEVELOPED OVER CNTRL
TX...AND WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DMGG WINDS...AND
PERHAPS AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

00Z FWD SOUNDING REFLECTED LITTLE CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
REMAINING...AS EVIDENCED BY A RAPIDLY DEVELOPING BROKEN LINE OF
CONVECTION THAT HAS INITIATED ALONG THE DRYLINE. ADDITIONAL
INITIATION HAS OCCURRED ALONG A COLD FRONT THAT WILL QUICKLY
OVERTAKE THE DRYLINE. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 8 C/KM AND
STRONG CLOUD BEARING SHEAR SHOULD SUPPORT OCCASIONAL ROTATION AND
LARGE HAIL DEVELOPMENT...WITH DMGG WINDS POSSIBLE IN ANY
NEAR-SURFACE BASED STORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP. DRY AIR IN LOW LEVELS
WILL LIKELY AID DMGG WIND POTENTIAL BUT HINDER A MORE WIDESPREAD
TORNADO THREAT...BUT GIVEN CLOCKWISE TURNING HODOGRAPHS...AN ISOLD
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT.

REFER TO MD 0401 FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

..HURLBUT.. 04/11/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON   30800154 33689772 33599643 31179838 30170079 30800154

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 10, 7:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBosque, Brown, Callahan, Coleman, Collin, Comanche and 41 more8 hr
Apr 10, 11:39 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnderson, Bandera, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Burnet and 28 more7 hr
Apr 11, 1:27 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Bell, Blanco, Bosque, Brown, Burnet and 36 more93 min
Apr 11, 1:49 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Delta, Franklin, Gregg and 14 more4 hr
Apr 11, 4:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBowie, Camp, Cass, Gregg, Harrison, Marion and 7 more56 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Texas, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.