Alert archive / Alabama / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 283

March 26, 201111 counties in Alabama

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 26, 2011, 6:03 PM CDT for 11 counties in Alabama. It was in force for 27 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 26, 2011, 6:03 PM CDT (23:03 UTC)
Expired
Mar 26, 2011, 6:30 PM CDT
In force
27 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Blount County, AL, Cherokee County, AL, Cullman County, AL, DeKalb County, AL, Etowah County, AL, Franklin County, AL, Lawrence County, AL, Marion County, AL, Marshall County, AL, Morgan County, AL, Winston County, AL

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The watches that followed

Watches SPC issued over any of the same counties within four hours of this discussion.

The nearest sounding before it

Birmingham, AL (KBMX), launched 12:00Z, 11.1 hours before the alert went out and 119 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2011-03-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 54 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Birmingham, AL at 12:00Z on 2011-03-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 147 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
54 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-256 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
809 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
147 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
185 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

641 
ACUS11 KWNS 262304
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 262303
ALZ000-MSZ000-262330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0283
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0603 PM CDT SAT MAR 26 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN MS AND NRN AL

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

VALID 262303Z - 262330Z

A NEW WW MAY BE NEEDED DURING THE EARLY EVENING ACROSS MAINLY NRN
AL.

LATE AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSES SHOWED AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE HAD
FORMED AND WAS TRACKING EWD INTO EXTREME NWRN AL ALONG A SURFACE
BOUNDARY WHICH EXTENDED E THEN SE AS A WARM FRONT INTO NRN TO ERN
AL.  MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT TRAILING SWWD FROM THE AL LOW WAS
MOVING SLOWLY SWD THROUGH NERN-WEST CENTRAL MS.  OF PARTICULAR
CONCERN FOR NEW TSTM DEVELOPMENT IS THE RECENT DESTABILIZATION OF
THE AIR MASS ACROSS NRN AL WHERE LATE DAY SURFACE HEATING/LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE ADVECTION HAS OCCURRED AS SURFACE WINDS HAVE BECOME SSWLY
WITH THE NWD MOVEMENT OF THE WARM FRONT.  OBJECTIVE ANALYSES
INDICATED THE WARM SECTOR IS MODERATELY UNSTABLE WITH MLCAPE
1000-2000 J/KG.

THE COVERAGE/INTENSITY...PER REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY...OF ELEVATED
TSTMS ONGOING FROM SRN MIDDLE TN TO FAR NRN MS SUGGESTS THE FORCING
FOR ASCENT ATTENDANT TO A SHORTWAVE TROUGH TRACKING INTO THE OH
VALLEY/ENTRANCE REGION OF 70 KT WLY MIDLEVEL JET IS SUFFICIENTLY
STRONG.  THUS...AS THIS FORCING PROGRESSES EWD ACROSS THE NRN EXTENT
OF THE WARM SECTOR...CELLS ALREADY DEVELOPING ALONG THE COLD FRONT
IN NERN MS AND THE WARM FRONT OVER NORTH CENTRAL AL SHOULD BECOME
MORE ROBUST.  EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AROUND 50 KT AND ENHANCED LOW
LEVEL SHEAR /EFFECTIVE SRH 200-300 M2 PER S2/ WILL SUPPORT
SUPERCELLS WITH AN ATTENDANT TORNADO AND LARGE HAIL POTENTIAL.

..PETERS.. 03/26/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...

LAT...LON   33968561 33818652 33958808 34148829 34648804 34748724
            34648626 34578557 34048546 33968561

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 26, 10:21 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Chambers, Chilton, Clay, Coosa and 17 more54 min
Mar 26, 11:25 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Chilton and 24 more95 min
Mar 26, 12:15 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler and 42 more8 hr
Mar 26, 2:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Barbour, Bibb, Blount, Bullock, Butler and 47 more97 min
Mar 26, 6:59 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBarbour, Bullock, Calhoun, Chambers, Clay, Cleburne and 18 more91 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.