Alert archive / Florida / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 2339

November 17, 20117 counties in Florida; 7 counties in Georgia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Nov 17, 2011, 12:47 AM EST for 7 counties in Florida; 7 counties in Georgia. It was in force for 58 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 17, 2011, 12:47 AM EST (05:47 UTC)
Expired
Nov 17, 2011, 1:45 AM EST
In force
58 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Alachua County, FL, Baker County, FL, Bradford County, FL, Columbia County, FL, Duval County, FL, Nassau County, FL, Union County, FL, Brantley County, GA, Camden County, GA, Charlton County, GA, Clinch County, GA, Echols County, GA, Glynn County, GA, Ware County, GA

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 54 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 00:00Z, 5.8 hours before the alert went out and 53 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2011-11-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 769 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 00:00Z on 2011-11-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 123 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
769 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
991 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
123 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
139 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.6
Supercell composite
2.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

821 
ACUS11 KWNS 170547
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 170547 
GAZ000-FLZ000-170645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2339
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1147 PM CST WED NOV 16 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SOUTHEAST GA/NORTH FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 892...

VALID 170547Z - 170645Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR TORNADO WATCH 892 CONTINUES.

TORNADO WATCH 892 CONTINUES UNTIL 07Z...ALTHOUGH THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WITHIN WW 892 IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO STEADILY WANE/SHIFT
OFFSHORE. ISOLATED SEVERE WIND/PERHAPS TORNADO THREAT OTHERWISE
PERSISTS ACROSS EXTREME/COASTAL SOUTHEAST GA IN THE SHORT TERM AS
WELL AS FAR NORTH FL.

A NORTHEAST-SOUTHWEST ORIENTED BAND OF CONVECTION CONTINUES TO SHIFT
EAST-NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE OVERNIGHT ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST GA AND
THE NORTHERN FL PENINSULA. MUCH OF THE CONVECTION ACROSS SOUTHEAST
GA CONTINUES TO BE UNDERCUT BY COMPOSITE OUTFLOW...SUCH THAT THE
SEVERE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO WANE IN SPITE OF A VERY STRONG DEEP
LAYER FLOW FIELD. A SEVERE THREAT WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN ACROSS FAR
NORTH FL AT LEAST ON AN ISOLATED/MARGINAL BASIS...NAMELY IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ANY PERSIST QLCS STRUCTURES/SMALL BOWING
SEGMENTS...PERHAPS ESPECIALLY AS THIS CONVECTION INTERCEPTS THE
AFOREMENTIONED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY.

..GUYER.. 11/17/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CHS...JAX...

LAT...LON   30728302 31408196 31478144 30748115 29608234 30728302

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 16, 8:14 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCAppling, Atkinson, Bacon, Brantley, Camden, Charlton and 8 more4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Florida, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.