Alert archive / Maine / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 22

January 12, 20114 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 12, 2011, 6:27 AM EST for 4 states. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 12, 2011, 6:27 AM EST (11:27 UTC)
Expired
Jan 12, 2011, 12:30 PM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 27 counties

Berkshire County, MA, Essex County, MA, Franklin County, MA, Hampden County, MA, Hampshire County, MA, Middlesex County, MA, Norfolk County, MA, Suffolk County, MA, Worcester County, MA, Androscoggin County, ME, Cumberland County, ME, Hancock County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Knox County, ME, Lincoln County, ME, Sagadahoc County, ME, Waldo County, ME, York County, ME, Belknap County, NH, Carroll County, NH, Cheshire County, NH, Hillsborough County, NH, Merrimack County, NH, Rockingham County, NH, Strafford County, NH, Sullivan County, NH, Windham County, VT

The radar

The Boston radar (KBOX), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 11:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 00:00Z, 11.5 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 00:00Z on 2011-01-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 00:00Z on 2011-01-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -11 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1437 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

545 
ACUS11 KWNS 121128
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 121127
MEZ000-MAZ000-NHZ000-RIZ000-CTZ000-NYZ000-VTZ000-121730-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0022
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0527 AM CST WED JAN 12 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN NEW ENGLAND INTO SRN ME

CONCERNING...HEAVY SNOW

VALID 121127Z - 121730Z

WIDESPREAD HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST ACROSS SRN NEW ENGLAND AND
SPREADING NEWD INTO SRN ME THIS MORNING. SNOWFALL RATES OF 1-2"/HR
ARE LIKELY WITH LOCALLY 3"/HR.

SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS RAPIDLY DEEPENING SURFACE CYCLONE JUST OFF
THE NEW ENGLAND COAST WITH 2 HOUR PRESSURE FALLS OF 8-10 MB OBSERVED
AT 10Z. INTENSE WARM ADVECTION PERSISTS TO THE N AND THEN WRAPPING
NWWD AROUND THE LOW WITH A STRONG N-S SNOW BAND FROM SRN VT/NH INTO
WRN MA/CT. THIS BAND WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS AND WILL PIVOT AS THE LOW CONTINUES NEWD. OBSERVED
HOURLY QPF SUGGESTS 1-2 IN/HR SNOWFALL RATES ARE LIKELY.

HEAVY SNOW WILL SPREAD INTO SRN ME OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS WITH
INCREASING FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING WITH THE WARM ADVECTION
PROFILES...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN INTENSIFYING E-W ORIENTED SNOW
BANDS.

..JEWELL.. 01/12/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...BOX...BTV...OKX...ALY...

LAT...LON   43646985 43477019 43037052 42607052 42287072 41967151
            41597204 40957269 40897325 41157344 41547344 42217335
            43107289 44187145 44796965 44726819 44176810 43646985

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 11, 8:00 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC5 hr
Jan 12, 12:45 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPC4 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Maine, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Massachusetts, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in New Hampshire, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.