Alert archive / Maine / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 201

March 7, 20114 counties in Maine; Carroll County, New Hampshire

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Mar 7, 2011, 7:24 AM EST for 4 counties in Maine; Carroll County, New Hampshire. It was in force for 4 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 7, 2011, 7:24 AM EST (12:24 UTC)
Expired
Mar 7, 2011, 11:30 AM EST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Androscoggin County, ME, Kennebec County, ME, Oxford County, ME, Penobscot County, ME, Carroll County, NH

The radar

The Portland,ME radar (KGYX), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 12:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Gray, ME (KGYX), launched 12:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 123 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2011-03-07Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Gray, ME at 12:00Z on 2011-03-07The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 611 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
408 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
68 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
611 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
654 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

491 
ACUS11 KWNS 071224
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071224 
MEZ000-NHZ000-071630-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0201
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0624 AM CST MON MAR 07 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...E-CNTRL NH...PORTIONS OF CNTRL ME

CONCERNING...FREEZING RAIN 

VALID 071224Z - 071630Z

FREEZING RAIN WITH RATES OF 0.05 TO 0.10 IN/HR IS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE MOVING NEWD THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON WITHIN A
NARROW CORRIDOR ACROSS PORTIONS OF ACROSS E-CNTRL NH AND CNTRL ME.

STRONG DEEP-LAYER ASCENT IN ASSOCIATION WITH SFC LOW PRESSURE MOVING
NEWD NEAR THE NEW ENGLAND COASTLINE WILL ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO
CONTINUE MOVING NEWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND THIS MORNING. SFC
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING OVER A LARGE PART
OF ME AND NH AWAY FROM THE COAST...WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING INTERIOR
SECTIONS OF SERN ME. THIS WILL ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO FALL AS
FREEZING RAIN WITHIN 25 MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES
WEST OF LCI TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF HUL. IN THIS REGION...RUC/NAM
FORECAST SOUNDINGS DEPICT AN ELEVATED WARM NOSE AROUND 850 MB WHERE
TEMPERATURES EXCEED 3C. THIS WILL ALLOW PRECIPITATION TO MELT AS IT
FALLS THROUGH THE COLUMN BEFORE REFREEZING AT THE SURFACE. STRONG
LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS WILL SUPPORT FREEZING RAIN RATES OF 0.05 TO
0.10 IN/HR. THE 09Z RUN OF THE EXPERIMENTAL HRRR INDICATES THAT MOST
OF THE FREEZING RAIN WILL HAVE MOVED OUT OF NH BY 17Z...AND OUT OF
ME BY 21Z.

..COHEN.. 03/07/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CAR...GYX...

LAT...LON   43857185 45137001 46086838 46066771 45726766 45556798
            45136862 43987031 43507152 43857185

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 6, 7:32 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Oxford4 hr
Mar 7, 3:10 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAroostook, Franklin, Piscataquis, Somerset6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Maine, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in New Hampshire, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.