Alert archive / Nebraska / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 1939

August 10, 2011Phillips County, Sedgwick County, Colorado; 7 counties in Kansas; 13 counties in Nebraska

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Aug 10, 2011, 9:10 PM MDT for Phillips County, Sedgwick County, Colorado; 7 counties in Kansas; 13 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 95 min.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 10, 2011, 9:10 PM MDT (03:10 UTC)
Expired
Aug 10, 2011, 10:45 PM MDT
In force
95 min
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 22 counties

Phillips County, CO, Sedgwick County, CO, Cheyenne County, KS, Decatur County, KS, Logan County, KS, Rawlins County, KS, Sheridan County, KS, Sherman County, KS, Thomas County, KS, Arthur County, NE, Chase County, NE, Deuel County, NE, Dundy County, NE, Frontier County, NE, Hayes County, NE, Hitchcock County, NE, Keith County, NE, Lincoln County, NE, Logan County, NE, McPherson County, NE, Perkins County, NE, Red Willow County, NE

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:10 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 3.2 hours before the alert went out and 103 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2011-08-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 765 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 00:00Z on 2011-08-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 95 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
765 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1073 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
95 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
271 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.0
Supercell composite
11.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

172 
ACUS11 KWNS 110310
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110310 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-110445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1939
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1010 PM CDT WED AUG 10 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...CO...NE...KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 764...765...

VALID 110310Z - 110445Z

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH
764...765...CONTINUES.

TWO STORMS PERSIST WITHIN WATCHES 764 AND 765 THIS EVENING. STORM
NUMBER ONE...IN WATCH 764...WAS MOVING SSE AROUND 18KT FROM HOOKER
COUNTY INTO MCPHERSON COUNTY IN CNTRL NEB. THIS LONG-LIVED CELL MAY
BE ACCOMPANIED BY HIGH WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REAR-FLANK
DOWNDRAFT...AS WELL AS LARGE HAIL. THIS SUPERCELL WILL CONTINUE TO
BE CONTAINED WELL WITHIN WATCH 764 OVER THE NEXT HOUR. IF THIS STORM
MAINTAINS ITS CURRENT STRUCTURE AND INTENSITY OVER THE NEXT HOUR...A
LOCAL EXTENSION IN TIME TO WATCH 764 MAY BE NEEDED SINCE THE STORM
COULD MOVE INTO THE NORTH PLATTE AREA SOMETIME AFTER 05 UTC/MIDNIGHT
CDT.

STORM NUMBER TWO IS A PERSISTENT SUPERCELL THAT IS NOW MOVING INTO
WATCH 765 IN NORTHWEST YUMA COUNTY COLORADO. THIS CELL IS TRACKING
SEWD AROUND 25KT AND MAY MAKE IT INTO EXTREME NWRN KS IN ABOUT AN
HOUR.

..CARBIN.. 08/11/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...BOU...

LAT...LON   39030023 38720120 40240257 41700221 41750076 41480029
            39030023

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 10, 6:50 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCCheyenne, Kit Carson, Yuma3 hr
Aug 11, 2:15 AM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHarper90 min
Aug 11, 3:15 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArthur, Cherry, Garden, Grant, Hooker, Logan and 3 more60 min
Aug 11, 3:38 PM MDTTornado WatchSPCBlaine, Boyd, Brown, Cherry, Custer, Garfield and 9 more9 hr
Aug 11, 5:38 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAntelope, Boone, Burt, Cedar, Colfax, Cuming and 13 more97 min

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Nebraska, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Kansas, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Colorado, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.