Alert archive / Georgia / Mesoscale Discussions in 2011

Mesoscale Discussion 17

January 10, 20118 counties in Alabama; 71 counties in Georgia; 12 counties in South Carolina

The Storm Prediction Center issued this mesoscale discussion at Jan 10, 2011, 2:06 AM CST for 8 counties in Alabama; 71 counties in Georgia; 12 counties in South Carolina. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 10, 2011, 2:06 AM CST (08:06 UTC)
Expired
Jan 10, 2011, 8:00 AM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 91 counties

Barbour County, AL, Bullock County, AL, Chambers County, AL, Lee County, AL, Macon County, AL, Pike County, AL, Russell County, AL, Tallapoosa County, AL, Baldwin County, GA, Bibb County, GA, Bleckley County, GA, Bulloch County, GA, Burke County, GA, Butts County, GA, Candler County, GA, Chattahoochee County, GA, Clay County, GA, Clayton County, GA, Columbia County, GA, Coweta County, GA, Crawford County, GA, Crisp County, GA, Dodge County, GA, Dooly County, GA, Emanuel County, GA, Fayette County, GA, Glascock County, GA, Greene County, GA, Hancock County, GA, Harris County, GA, Heard County, GA, Henry County, GA, Houston County, GA, Jasper County, GA, Jefferson County, GA, Jenkins County, GA, Johnson County, GA, Jones County, GA, Lamar County, GA, Laurens County, GA, Lee County, GA, Macon County, GA, Marion County, GA, McDuffie County, GA, Meriwether County, GA, Monroe County, GA, Montgomery County, GA, Morgan County, GA, Muscogee County, GA, Newton County, GA, Peach County, GA, Pike County, GA, Pulaski County, GA, Putnam County, GA, Quitman County, GA, Randolph County, GA, Richmond County, GA, Rockdale County, GA, Schley County, GA, Screven County, GA, Spalding County, GA, Stewart County, GA, Sumter County, GA, Talbot County, GA, Taliaferro County, GA, Taylor County, GA, Telfair County, GA, Terrell County, GA, Treutlen County, GA, Troup County, GA, Turner County, GA, Twiggs County, GA, Upson County, GA, Warren County, GA, Washington County, GA, Webster County, GA, Wheeler County, GA, Wilcox County, GA, Wilkinson County, GA, Aiken County, SC, Allendale County, SC, Bamberg County, SC, Barnwell County, SC, Berkeley County, SC, Calhoun County, SC, Clarendon County, SC, Colleton County, SC, Dorchester County, SC, Hampton County, SC, Orangeburg County, SC, Williamsburg County, SC

The radar

The Robins AFB radar (KJGX), 18 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 00:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2011-01-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA at 00:00Z on 2011-01-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 122 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2113 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
74 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
122 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
239 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

583 
ACUS11 KWNS 100807
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 100806
SCZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-101400-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0017
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0206 AM CST MON JAN 10 2011

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN AL...CNTRL GA...CNTRL SC

CONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION

VALID 100806Z - 101400Z

SIGNIFICANT WINTER PRECIPITATION WILL CHANGE PHASE OVER MUCH OF THE
AREA THROUGH MORNING WITH SIGNIFICANT ICING AND SLEET LIKELY.
FREEZING RAIN RATES SHOULD AVERAGE 0.05 TO 0.10 IN/HR.

A SURFACE LOW WILL CONTINUE EWD ACROSS THE NERN GULF OF MEXICO WITH
INTENSE LOW LEVEL WARM ADVECTION PROFILES DEVELOPING INLAND ATOP A
COLD AIR MASS. AT 07Z...THE SURFACE FREEZING LINE EXTENDED FROM MGM
TO JUST N OF MCN AND INTO CNTRL SC. HOWEVER...THE SURFACE WET BULB
ZERO LINE WAS MUCH FARTHER S SUGGESTING BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING WILL
TAKE PLACE ONCE PRECIPITATION BEGINS. THEREFORE...AREAS CURRENTLY
JUST S OF THE FREEZING LINE WILL LIKELY CHANGE OVER TO FREEZING
RAIN...WITH AREAS ALONG AND JUST N OF THE CURRENT FREEZING LINE
EXPERIENCING THE LONGEST DURATION.

TO THE N...SNOW ACROSS NRN GA AND INTO CNTRL SC MAY EVENTUALLY
SWITCH OVER TO SLEET AS A WARM NOSE FORMS ALOFT...WITH ACCUMULATING
SLEET POSSIBLE.

..JEWELL.. 01/10/2011

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...FFC...TAE...BMX...

LAT...LON   31568504 31658564 31858606 32228608 32988577 33488524
            33778459 33608358 33648171 33818033 33877919 33697907
            33417937 32518125 32088245 31878293 31658370 31568504

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 9, 8:07 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColbert, DeKalb, Franklin, Jackson, Lauderdale, Lawrence and 4 more5 hr
Jan 9, 8:27 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAutauga, Bibb, Blount, Calhoun, Chambers, Cherokee and 23 more5 hr
Jan 9, 10:56 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCDeKalb, Jackson5 hr
Jan 10, 10:27 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAiken, Allendale, Bamberg, Barnwell, Berkeley, Calhoun and 24 more6 hr

Nearby

Mesoscale Discussions in Georgia, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in South Carolina, 2011Mesoscale Discussions in Alabama, 2011Every mesoscale discussion in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.