Alert archive / California / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 19, NWS San Diego, CA
NWS San Diego, CA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 13, 2011, 6:59 AM PDT for San Bernardino County, California. It was in force for 46 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 13, 2011, 6:59 AM PDT (13:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 13, 2011, 7:45 AM PDT
- In force
- 46 min
- Issued by
- NWS San Diego, CA
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
County San Bernardino County, CA
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Edwards AFB, CA (KEDW), launched 12:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 60 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2491 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 16 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 123 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
717 WUUS56 KSGX 131359 SVRSGX CAC071-131445- /O.NEW.KSGX.SV.W.0019.110913T1359Z-110913T1445Z/ BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 659 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SAN DIEGO HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... WEST CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA... THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...VICTORVILLE...HESPERIA... * UNTIL 745 AM PDT * AT 654 AM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR CRESTLINE...OR 9 MILES NORTH OF SAN BERNARDINO...AND MOVING NORTH TO NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... HESPERIA BY 715 AM PDT... VICTORVILLE BY 725 AM PDT... GEORGE AFB AND ADELANTO BY 735 AM PDT... && LAT...LON 3456 11766 3473 11728 3427 11714 3418 11733 TIME...MOT...LOC 1359Z 161DEG 29KT 3430 11728 $$ TARDY
2 follow-up statements
536 WWUS56 KSGX 131430 SVSSGX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 730 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011 CAC071-131445- /O.CON.KSGX.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110913T1445Z/ SAN BERNARDINO CA- 730 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011 ...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM PDT FOR WEST CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY... AT 728 AM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR HESPERIA...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED BUT MAY INTENSIVE DURING THE NEXT 20 MINUTES...THEREFORE THE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... MOUNTAIN VIEW ACRES BY 735 AM PDT... 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VICTORVILLE BY 740 AM PDT... ADELANTO...7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF GEORGE AFB AND 9 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ORO GRANDE BY 745 AM PDT... LAT...LON 3456 11766 3473 11728 3427 11714 3418 11733 TIME...MOT...LOC 1430Z 146DEG 18KT 3443 11739 $$ TARDY
573 WWUS56 KSGX 131442 SVSSGX SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 742 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011 CAC071-131452- /O.EXP.KSGX.SV.W.0019.000000T0000Z-110913T1445Z/ SAN BERNARDINO CA- 742 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011 ...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT 745 AM PDT... LAT...LON 3456 11766 3473 11728 3427 11714 3418 11733 TIME...MOT...LOC 1442Z 146DEG 18KT 3448 11743 THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM HAS WEAKENED SOUTHWEST OF HESPERIA. $$ TARDY
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS San Diego, CA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 13, 3:00 AM PDT, 3 hours 59 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 13, 3:00 AM PDT, 3 hours 59 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 300 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011 .SYNOPSIS... UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE OVER CALIFORNIA WILL DRAW SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH INTO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA TODAY. THIS WILL PRODUCE SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER INLAND AREAS TODAY...WITH SMALLER CHANCES FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. NIGHT AND MORNING COASTAL CLOUDS WILL BE PATCHY...BUT INCREASE IN COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. && .DISCUSSION...FOR EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA INCLUDING ORANGE... SAN DIEGO...WESTERN RIVERSIDE AND SOUTHWESTERN SAN BERNARDINO COUNTIES... CLOUDS ARE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTHEAST AND A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS ARE TOUCHING THE SOUTHEAST CORNER OF OUR REGION. PATCHES OF LOW CLOUDS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE COAST TOO. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PUSH A SHORTWAVE OF ENERGY THROUGH OUR REGION TODAY. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH THE INCREASING MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTH AND ENHANCE OUR CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER INLAND AREAS ALL DAY TODAY. CONVECTION WILL DECREASE AS THE SUN GOES DOWN...BUT THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT DESERTS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLOWLY MOVES EAST THURSDAY AND WE SLOWLY DRY OUT A LITTLE. THE MARINE LAYER WILL GET MORE ORGANIZED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY FOR MORE UNIFORM COASTAL CLOUD COVERAGE EACH NIGHT AND MORNING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPS WILL BE SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS WELL. MODELS SHOW A RATHER STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE DEVELOPING ALONG THE WEST COAST NEXT WEEK FOR A WARMING TREND. && .AVIATION...UPDATED 130914Z...THROUGH 1800 UTC SCT-BKN STRATUS OVER WATER/INLAND 5SM WITH BASES FL08-010 TOPS FL015 AND SCT-BKN MERGG LYRS BETWEEN FL100-FL300 WITH ISOLD EMBEDDED SHRA/TSTMS MOVG N ACROSS SOUTHERN APPROACH ROUTES. FROM 1800-14/0400 UTC SCT-BKN TSTMS OVER MOST AREAS EXCEPT IMMEDIATE COAST...AND BLOCKING MOST SOUTHERN APPROACH ROUTES...WITH BASES FL075-FL100 AND TOPS FL350-400...ACCOMPANIED WITH SMALL HAIL/DOWNDRAFT GUSTS 40KT...MOVG NW-N. AFTER 14/0400 UTC TSTM DISSIPATING/MOVG E AND N OF AREA...BKN-SCT CLDS AOA FL120 OVER LAND AND SCT-BKN STRATUS FORMING OVER WATER/IMMEDIATE COAST WITH BASES FL015 TOPS FL020. && .SGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && PUBLIC...MM AVIATION...BALFOUR
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 13, 2:05 AM PDT, 4 hours 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 205 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011 CAZ042-043-048-050-055>058-060>062-140030- ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS- SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS- COACHELLA VALLEY-SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS- 205 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY OVER INLAND AREAS...MOUNTAINS...AND DESERTS. THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IS MODERATE...THE RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING IS MODERATE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT DESERTS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL IS LOW...THE RISK OF FLASH FLOODING IS MINIMAL. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN WEATHER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED...HOWEVER WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS. MM
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Sep 13, 1:35 AM PDT, 5 hours 24 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA 135 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011 CAZ042-043-048-050-055>058-060>062-130900- ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS- SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS- COACHELLA VALLEY-SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS- 135 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011 ...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS ALL AREAS ON TUESDAY... AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE LOCATED OFF THE SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA COAST WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION BEGINNING TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN ALL OF SAN DIEGO COUNTY DURING THE MORNING AND INTO THE MID AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS DURING THE MORNING AND INTO THE EVENING. HIGHEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. COASTAL ORANGE COUNTY HAS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY MORNING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS. WHEN YOU HEAR THUNDER...MOVE INSIDE IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING CAN BE DEADLY. THUNDERSTORM CAN ALSO PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING MAINLY IN STEEP TERRAIN...CANYONS...AND BURN SCARS. MOKER/TARDY
Special weather statement, Sep 13, 3:46 AM PDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
346 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011
CAZ050-058-062-131130-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-
346 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY UNTIL
430 AM PDT...
AT 339 AM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES EAST OF TECATE...MOVING NORTH AT 10 MPH.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...PINE VALLEY...MOUNT LAGUNA...
LIVE OAK SPRINGS...MORENA VILLAGE AND DESCANSO.
LAT...LON 3286 11665 3289 11633 3260 11633 3259 11634
3259 11639 3259 11648 3258 11652 3258 11655
TIME...MOT...LOC 1046Z 173DEG 7KT 3263 11645
BALFOURSpecial weather statement, Sep 13, 3:56 AM PDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
356 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011
CAZ058-131130-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
356 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY UNTIL
430 AM PDT...
AT 348 AM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF TECATE...MOVING NORTHWEST
AT 10 MPH.
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.
AREAS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...MORENA VILLAGE.
LAT...LON 3281 11660 3285 11643 3261 11637 3258 11646
3259 11648
TIME...MOT...LOC 1055Z 155DEG 7KT 3269 11647
BALFOURSpecial weather statement, Sep 13, 4:57 AM PDT, 2 hours 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
457 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011
CAZ061-131300-
COACHELLA VALLEY-
457 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL RIVERSIDE COUNTY UNTIL
600 AM PDT...
AT 448 AM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF DESERT SHORES...OR 14 MILES
SOUTH OF INDIO...MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.
WHILE HAIL IS PROJECTED TO BE LESS THAN THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN
DIAMETER...SUBSTANTIAL ACCUMULATION OF HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM...ALONG WITH FREQUENT DANGEROUS
LIGHTNING.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
MECCA AROUND 505 AM PDT.
COACHELLA AROUND 535 AM PDT.
INDIO AROUND 545 AM PDT.
LAT...LON 3348 11628 3390 11623 3389 11615 3385 11612
3383 11612 3374 11600 3374 11595 3352 11604
3350 11606 3348 11605 3345 11607
TIME...MOT...LOC 1157Z 192DEG 12KT 3356 11615
BALFOURSpecial weather statement, Sep 13, 5:03 AM PDT, 1 hour 56 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
503 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011
CAZ058-062-131245-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS-
SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
503 AM PDT TUE SEP 13 2011
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN SAN DIEGO COUNTY UNTIL
545 AM PDT...
AT 457 AM PDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES WEST OF OCOTILLO...MOVING NORTH AT 25
MPH.
WHILE HAIL IS PROJECTED TO BE LESS THAN THREE-QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN
DIAMETER...SUBSTANTIAL ACCUMULATION OF HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
CANEBRAKE AROUND 515 AM PDT.
LAT...LON 3313 11633 3314 11607 3308 11607 3307 11609
3295 11609 3277 11612 3277 11625
TIME...MOT...LOC 1203Z 177DEG 23KT 3283 11618
BALFOURThe office that day
Everything else NWS San Diego, CA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 3:46 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | SGX | San Diego | 44 min |
| Sep 13, 3:56 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | SGX | San Diego | 34 min |
| Sep 13, 3:59 AM PDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGX | San Diego | 29 min |
| Sep 13, 4:57 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | SGX | Riverside | 63 min |
| Sep 13, 5:03 AM PDT | Special Weather Statement | SGX | San Diego | 42 min |
| Sep 13, 5:42 AM PDT | Flash Flood Watch | SGX | Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego | 15 hr |
| Sep 13, 6:22 AM PDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGX | San Bernardino | 38 min |
| Sep 13, 6:47 AM PDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGX | San Bernardino | 28 min |
| Sep 13, 8:21 AM PDT | Areal Flood Advisory | SGX | Riverside, San Diego | 3 hr |
| Sep 13, 11:17 AM PDT | Areal Flood Advisory | SGX | Riverside, San Diego | 3 hr |
| Sep 13, 1:08 PM PDT | Flash Flood Warning | SGX | San Bernardino | 112 min |
| Sep 13, 1:20 PM PDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGX | San Bernardino | 40 min |
| Sep 13, 2:20 PM PDT | Areal Flood Advisory | SGX | Riverside, San Bernardino | 115 min |
| Sep 13, 2:30 PM PDT | Special Weather Statement | SGX | 60 min | |
| Sep 13, 2:52 PM PDT | Special Weather Statement | SGX | 53 min | |
| Sep 13, 2:55 PM PDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGX | Riverside, San Bernardino | 29 min |
| Sep 13, 3:34 PM PDT | Areal Flood Advisory | SGX | Riverside, San Bernardino | 3 hr |
| Sep 13, 3:51 PM PDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGX | Riverside | 24 min |
| Sep 13, 4:14 PM PDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SGX | Riverside | 16 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in California, 2011Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.