Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2011

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 67, NWS Springfield, MO

April 19, 2011Howell County, Oregon County, Shannon County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Apr 19, 2011, 8:02 PM CDT for Howell County, Oregon County, Shannon County, Missouri. It was in force for 43 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Apr 19, 2011, 8:02 PM CDT (01:02 UTC)
Expired: Apr 19, 2011, 8:45 PM CDT
In force: 43 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.0 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Shannon County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 183 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Apr 19, 8:15 PM CDT	HAIL 1	2 S Winona, MO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 13 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Apr 19, 1:00 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	10 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 1.0 hours before the alert went out and 213 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 803 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 149 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 250 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 8.9

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

707 
WUUS53 KSGF 200102
SVRSGF
MOC091-149-203-200145-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0067.110420T0102Z-110420T0145Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
802 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  EAST CENTRAL HOWELL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  NORTHERN OREGON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  SOUTHERN SHANNON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 845 PM CDT.

* AT 758 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF THOMASVILLE...OR 12 MILES
  SOUTH OF MOUNTAIN VIEW...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH. THIS STORM IS
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN
  EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BIRCH TREE...GREER...MONTIER...ROVER...
  THOMASVILLE AND WINONA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY
AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT TUESDAY EVENING
FOR SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

&&

LAT...LON 3666 9175 3697 9167 3708 9122 3684 9122
      3683 9113 3676 9111
TIME...MOT...LOC 0102Z 265DEG 42KT 3684 9157
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.00IN

$$

HATCH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Apr 19, 6:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 19, 6:51 PM CDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
651 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...

A CLUSTER OF DEEP CONVECTION HAS EVOLVED ALONG A SERIES OF
CONVECTIVE ROLLS OVER DOUGLAS AND OZARK COUNTIES.  THESE STORMS HAVE
BECOME IMPRESSIVE ON RADAR...LIKELY PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
BASEBALLS WITHIN THE STRONGEST UPDRAFTS.

THE ENVIRONMENT OVER SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...NEAR WEST
PLAINS...ALTON...AND EMINENCE HAS BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE TO THE
DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES.  RUC ANALYSIS SUGGEST THAT LOW LEVEL CAPE
VALUES CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN THIS AREA...WHILE SURFACE WINDS ARE
NOT QUITE AS VEERED AS AREAS OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI.

ANY UPDRAFTS THAT CAN REMAIN FULLY WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR AND AWAY
FROM THE FRONT WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR THE DEVELOPMENT
OF TORNADOES.

CRAMER

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT CONTINUED TO SURGE ACROSS SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL
MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON.  THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO TRIGGER AN
EPISODE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 65.

THE 18Z SPECIAL RAOB FROM SPRINGFIELD SUGGESTED THAT A STOUT CAP
REMAINED IN PLACE ACROSS THE WARM SECTOR.  AS A MATTER OF
FACT...MIXED LAYER INHIBITION WAS MEASURED AT 152 J/KG.  THIS IS WHY
UPDRAFTS ALONG THE FRONT SAMPLED BY RADAR CONTINUED TO STRUGGLE
THROUGH 230 PM.

EVENTUALLY DEEP CONVECTION WILL DEVELOP...AND IMPACT AREAS EAST OF
HIGHWAY 65.  LARGE CAPE WITHIN THE HAIL GROWTH ZONE SHOWS A RISK FOR
LARGE HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS.  MEANWHILE...A THETA E
DIFFERENTIAL OF AROUND 30 DEGREES...IN CONJUNCTION WITH AN INVERTED
V STRUCTURE FROM THE SURFACE TO 800 MB...WOULD YIELD A RISK FOR
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE TORNADO RISK APPEARS TO BE QUITE LIMITED...AS SURFACE WINDS HAVE
ALREADY VEERED TO THE SOUTHWEST.  ALSO...ZERO CAPE BELOW 3 KM WAS
MEASURED FROM THE 18Z RAOB...WHICH WOULD ALSO HAVE A MITIGATION
EFFECT ON STORMS PRODUCING TORNADOES.  GIVEN THE OVERALL STRONG
SHEAR/CAPE COMBINATION WITHIN THE OZARKS AIRMASS...THE TORNADO RISK
IS NOT ZERO...AS A COUPLE OF SPIN UPS WOULD BE MORE LIKELY IN AREAS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI LATER THIS EVENING.

STORMS WILL COMPLETELY EXIT THE OZARKS REGION BY MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A COOLER AND DRIER AIRMASS.  TEMPERATURES WILL
RESPOND BY FALLING INTO THE 30S AND 40S WEDNESDAY MORNING.
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY WARM INTO THE 50S AND
LOWER 60S.  WEDNESDAY IS ALSO A DAY THAT WE CAN PINPOINT A
COMPLETELY DRY FORECAST.  OTHERWISE A STORMY CONDITIONS ARE ON TAP
FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

A FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MEANDER BACK AND FORTH THROUGH SOUTHERN
MISSOURI FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  THIS FEATURE
WILL BECOME A FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THE NEAR STORM
ENVIRONMENT WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED THROUGH THESE PERIODS AS THE
AREA REMAINS UNDERNEATH THE PRIMARY BELT OF WESTERLIES...HELPING TO
ORGANIZE ANY DEEP CONVECTION THAT EVOLVES.

ULTIMATELY...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AGREE THAT DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE ENTIRE 7 DAY FORECAST.  THIS WILL PROVIDE ON AND
OFF CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  EVENTUALLY SOIL
CONDITIONS WILL BECOME EITHER SATURATED OR NEARLY
SATURATED...CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FLOODING.

CRAMER

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 638 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011/

A COLD FRONT HAD MOVED EAST OF THE AREA TERMINALS AT LATE AFTERNOON.
CEILINGS WILL GRADUALLY LOWER WITH MVFR CEILINGS BECOMING PREVALENT
TONIGHT. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY IMPACT THE BRANSON
AND SPRINGFIELD TERMINALS THROUGH 03Z. OTHERWISE SURFACE WINDS
WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY TONIGHT THEN VEER TO THE NORTHEAST ON
WEDNESDAY. THE SKY WILL CLEAR BY MIDDAY WEDNESDAY.

FOSTER

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 19, 7:04 PM CDT, 58 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
704 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-210015-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
704 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

 THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...SIGNIFICANT.

 WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

 HAIL AND THUNDERSTORM WIND GUST RISK IS ELEVATED TO SIGNIFICANT.
 TORNADO RISK IS LIMITED TO ELEVATED.
 LIGHTNING RISK IS SIGNIFICANT.
 NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK IS LIMITED.

  DISCUSSION...

 SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT FAR SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS
 EVENING SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM GAINESVILLE TO SALEM. LARGE
 HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS
 WITH THESE STORMS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.
 THESE STORMS WILL EXIT THE REGION BY MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

 AN UNSETTLED AND ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED FROM
 THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. MULTIPLE ROUNDS
 OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THERE IS A RISK OF A FEW
 STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. IN
 ADDITION...INCREASINGLY SATURATED SOILS WILL RESULT IN AN
 INCREASED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING AND SIGNIFICANT RISES ON AREA
 RIVERS FROM FRIDAY INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE NEEDED EAST OF A LINE FROM WARSAW
 TO NEOSHO MISSOURI THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Apr 19, 6:37 PM CDT, 1 hour 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
637 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0605 PM     HAIL             WILLOW SPRINGS          36.99N 91.97W
04/19/2011  E2.75 INCH       HOWELL             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

RUNNELS

Local storm report, Apr 19, 6:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
645 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0640 PM     HAIL             8 W MOUNTAIN VIEW       37.00N 91.85W
04/19/2011  E1.75 INCH       HOWELL             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

JCOLUCCI

Local storm report, Apr 19, 6:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
654 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0649 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EMINENCE                37.15N 91.36W
04/19/2011                   SHANNON            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            POWER OUT IN AND AROUND EMINENCE.

&&

RUNNELS

Local storm report, Apr 19, 6:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 7 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
655 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0655 PM     HAIL             4 SE EMINENCE           37.11N 91.31W
04/19/2011  E1.00 INCH       SHANNON            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

&&

RUNNELS

Local storm report, Apr 19, 7:11 PM CDT, 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
711 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     HAIL             WAYNESVILLE             37.83N 92.20W
04/19/2011  E0.88 INCH       PULASKI            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DIME AND NICKEL SIZED HAIL LASTED TWO MINUTES.

&&

JCOLUCCI

Local storm report, Apr 19, 7:32 PM CDT, 30 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
732 PM CDT TUE APR 19 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0649 PM     TSTM WND DMG     EMINENCE                37.15N 91.36W
04/19/2011                   SHANNON            MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            BETWEEN 649 PM AND 7 PM...TREES DOWN BLOCKING HIGHWAY 19
            BETWEEN EMINENCE AND WINONA. TREES ALSO DOWN AT HIGHWAY
            F...AND TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN ON HIGHWAY E BETWEEN
            60 AND 106.

&&

RUNNELS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Apr 19, 7:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell, Oregon, Ozark, Shannon	62 min
Apr 19, 7:37 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Howell, Ozark	23 min
Apr 19, 8:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Ozark	31 min
Apr 19, 8:38 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Howell, Oregon, Shannon	37 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2011 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.