Severe Thunderstorm Warning 436, NWS Springfield, MO

920 
WWUS53 KSGF 070926
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
426 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

MOC131-071000-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0436.000000T0000Z-110807T1000Z/
MILLER MO-
426 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
FOR NORTHERN MILLER COUNTY...

AT 421 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM NEAR MARYS HOME...OR 13 MILES EAST OF 
ELDON...MOVING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF 
PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OVER RURAL AREAS OF
NORTHERN MILLER COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...THIS STORM IS
PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3842 9240 3834 9240 3834 9228 3833 9223
      3834 9220 3833 9218 3820 9220 3830 9260
      3831 9260 3842 9251 3843 9241
TIME...MOT...LOC 0926Z 286DEG 27KT 3833 9229
WIND...HAIL 60MPH <.50IN

$$

FOSTER

096 
WWUS53 KSGF 070941
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
441 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

MOC131-071000-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0436.000000T0000Z-110807T1000Z/
MILLER MO-
441 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM CDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL MILLER COUNTY...

AT 435 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF SAINT 
ELIZABETH...OR 20 MILES SOUTH OF JEFFERSON CITY...MOVING EAST 
SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS STORM IS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE 
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL GENERALLY REMAIN OVER RURAL AREAS OF
EAST CENTRAL MILLER COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...THIS STORM IS
PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. SEEK SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

LAT...LON 3834 9220 3832 9218 3820 9220 3827 9247
      3833 9244 3834 9240 3834 9228 3833 9222
TIME...MOT...LOC 0941Z 294DEG 28KT 3827 9217
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 0.75IN

$$

FOSTER

587 
WWUS53 KSGF 070951
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
451 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

MOC131-071002-
/O.CAN.KSGF.SV.W.0436.000000T0000Z-110807T1000Z/
MILLER MO-
451 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL MILLER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING IS EXITING THE WARNED AREA...
THUS THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

LAT...LON 3834 9220 3832 9218 3820 9220 3827 9247
      3833 9244 3834 9240 3834 9228 3833 9222
TIME...MOT...LOC 0952Z 294DEG 28KT 3823 9207

$$

FOSTER

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
313 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL OCCURRING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE OZARKS THIS MORNING WITH ONE BAND OF CONVECTION
OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN MISSOURI NEAR THE ARKANSAS BORDER AND
ANOTHER BAND RECENTLY DEVELOPING OVER CENTRAL MISSOURI. AN OLD
WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS STILL CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS THE CENTRAL
OZARKS AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE RIDING OVER THE RIDGE ACROSS
THE AREA IS HELPING WITH THIS ACTIVITY. WE SHOULD SEE MOST OF THIS
CONVECTION MOVE OUT BY MID MORNING WITH CLEARING SKIES FROM WEST
TO EAST TODAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ANOTHER VERY HOT AND HUMID DAY
FOR THE OZARKS BEFORE SOME NICE CHANGES IN THE WEATHER PATTERN
HEAD OUR WAY FOR THE NEW WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE HOTTEST OVER
SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI WITH HIGHS APPROACHING
THE LOW 100S TO NEAR 100 FOR SPRINGFIELD WITH THE COOLEST READINGS
IN THE MID 90S FOR THE ROLLA AND WEST PLAINS AREA. WILL NOT RULE
OUT A FEW MORE ISOLATED STORMS THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH LEFT
OVER BOUNDARIES AND DAY TIME HEATING BUT THEY WILL BE SCATTERED
AND ISOLATED IN NATURE.

TONIGHT COULD BE INTERESTING LATE AROUND MIDNIGHT AND PREDAWN
HOURS MONDAY. A SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER WYOMING THIS MORNING WILL
DIVE DOWN ON THE BEGINNING OF A NORTHWEST FLOW SETTING UP ACROSS
THE MIDWEST AND THE OZARKS REGION. THIS FEATURE WILL BE CROSSING
KANSAS THIS EVENING WHERE A POTENTIAL MCS MAY DEVELOP AND CONTINUE
EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD INTO THE OZARKS SOMETIME AFTER MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT. THE SHORT RANGE MODELS HAVE BEEN HINTING AT THIS FEATURE
AND WILL NEED TO BE WATCHED FOR POSSIBLE SEVERE WEATHER OVERNIGHT
AND VERY EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE STRONG
DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. WITH THIS FEATURE IN THE AREA
MONDAY AND CLOUDS AND APPRECIABLE RAINFALL EXPECTED...HAVE DECIDED
TO NOT CHANGE OR EXTEND ANY HEAT HEADLINES INTO MONDAY AT THIS
TIME AS IT WILL BE PROBLEMATIC WITH THE TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE STILL RATHER WARM OVER THE WESTERN AREAS WITH
POSSIBLY MUCH COOLER READINGS OVER THE EASTERN OZARKS. HAVE
DECIDED TO LET THE DAY SHIFT TAKE A LOOK AT THIS AGAIN TODAY WITH
THE 12Z MODEL DATA THIS MORNING.

ANOTHER FEATURE MAY SWING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT TO BRING ANOTHER
ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SEVERE
WEATHER. AGAIN SPC HAS HIGHLIGHTED THE OZARKS FOR A SLIGHT RISK
FOR DAY 2 AND DAY 3 OUTLOOKS. DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE
MAIN THREAT. A COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHED ACROSS THE AREA EARLY ON
TUESDAY WITH THIS SECOND SHORTWAVE PASSING BY AND THE NORTHWEST
FLOW GETTING WELL ESTABLISHED ACROSS THE OZARKS. THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK LOOKS MUCH COOLER BEHIND THE FRONT WITH HIGHS POSSIBLY IN THE
LOWER TO MIDDLE 80S AND OVERNIGHT LOWS DOWN IN THE 60S. COMING OFF
RECORD HIGHS IN THE LOW 100S...THIS IS GOING TO FEEL ALMOST
FALLISH. IT WILL BE ABOUT A 20 TO 25 DEGREES COOLER THAN WHAT WE
WERE SEEING LAST WEEK AND THIS WEEKEND.

THE NORTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN ACTIVE THROUGH THE WEEK WITH
SEVERAL MORE OPPORTUNITIES FOR STORMS OR POSSIBLE MCS...ONE
POSSIBLY WED NIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING AND ANOTHER ONE THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THE BOTTOM LINE WILL BE AN ACTIVE AND
POSSIBLY STORMY WEEK AHEAD WITH NEAR NORMAL OR SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FOR THE OZARKS. ONE NOTE TO ADD...WE COULD SEE
SOME DECENT RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS WITH THE HPC 5 DAY
OUTLOOK SHOWING NEARLY 1 TO UP TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE FOR THE AREA
OVER THE NEXT 5 DAYS.

GRIFFIN

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 06Z TAFS...MAINLY VFR IS EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW
EVENING. SCATTERED CONVECTION THIS EVENING SHOULD MAINLY AFFECT
BRANSON AIRPORT FOR THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS WITH LOWER VISIBILITIES
UNDER THE HEAVIER DOWNPOURS. INCLUDED VCTS FOR JLN AND SGF BUT
MOST ACTIVITY SHOULD BE NEAR THE MISSOURI AND ARKANSAS BORDER.
MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TOMORROW WITH POSSIBLE VCTS
LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD. LIGHT SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS
EXPECTED.

GRIFFIN

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MOZ056>058-069>071-
     082-083-096>098-105-106.

     EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MOZ055-
     066>068-077>081-088>095-101>104.

KS...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR KSZ073-
     097-101.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1256 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-080600-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1256 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ACROSS
SOUTHERN MISSOURI...MAINLY SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 60. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAINFALL...AND A FEW WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH WILL
BE THE PRIMARY HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

A HOT AND HUMID AIR MASS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF THE
AREA ON SUNDAY. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL RANGE FROM 100 TO 110
DEGREES ON SUNDAY WITH THE HOTTEST WEATHER EXPECTED OVER SOUTHEAST
KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY
THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THERE IS A RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS THE PRIMARY
RISK. ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE IN
THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
401 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

MOZ058-071-071000-
MARIES MO-PHELPS MO-
401 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN MARIES AND NORTHEASTERN
PHELPS COUNTIES UNTIL 500 AM CDT...

AT 357 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR VIENNA...OR 20 MILES SOUTH OF LINN...MOVING
EAST AT 20 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BELLE AND VIENNA.

INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 192 AND 199 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED
BY THIS STORM.

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3810 9204 3829 9204 3830 9164 3829 9163
      3816 9164 3816 9153 3815 9151 3799 9152
TIME...MOT...LOC 0902Z 281DEG 19KT 3820 9194

FOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
404 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

MOZ057-071000-
MILLER MO-
404 AM CDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHERN MILLER COUNTY UNTIL 500
AM CDT...

AT 401 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ETTERVILLE...OR 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF
ELDON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50
MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ELDON.

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING NEARLY CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS IMMEDIATELY AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3843 9241 3842 9240 3834 9240 3833 9223
      3834 9220 3833 9219 3816 9220 3813 9218
      3832 9269 3835 9268 3835 9264 3843 9263
TIME...MOT...LOC 0904Z 281DEG 19KT 3838 9246

FOSTER