Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Watches in 2011
Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Springfield, MO
NWS Springfield, MO issued this flash flood watch at Apr 30, 2011, 3:53 AM CDT for 8 counties in Missouri. It took effect at May 1, 2011, 7:00 AM CDT. It was in force for 40 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Apr 30, 2011, 3:53 AM CDT (08:53 UTC)
- In effect from
- May 1, 2011, 7:00 AM CDT
- Expired
- May 2, 2011, 11:29 PM CDT
- In force
- 40 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Springfield, MO
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Dent County, MO, Douglas County, MO, Howell County, MO, Oregon County, MO, Ozark County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Taney County, MO, Texas County, MO
The radar
The Springfield radar (KSGF), 126 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 159 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2599 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 54 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 118 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 518 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
594 WGUS63 KSGF 300853 FFASGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 353 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI SUNDAY AND MONDAY... .A FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT THEN WILL STALL ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS SUNDAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS STALLED FRONT SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH THE FRONT. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS WILL LIKELY BE JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA ACROSS WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...EXTENDING TO THE NORTHEAST INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI DURING THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THE NORTHERN EDGE OF THIS HEAVIER RAIN AXIS WILL LIKELY NUDGE INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. AS A RESULT WIDESPREAD ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL FROM IS EXPECTED SOUTHEAST OF A AVA TO HOUSTON MISSOURI LINE WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ON TOP OF VERY MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL LAST WEEK...MAY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING ACROSS THESE AREAS. MOZ082-096>098-105-106-010000- /O.NEW.KSGF.FF.A.0002.110501T1200Z-110503T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TEXAS-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...AVA...WEST PLAINS... WINONA...EMINENCE...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 353 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...HOWELL...OREGON...SHANNON AND TEXAS. IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...DOUGLAS AND OZARK. * FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF GREATER THAN THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON SOUTHEAST OF AN AVA TO HOUSTON MISSOURI LINE. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION ON AN INTERMITTENT BASIS DURING THIS TIME WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE OZARK SCENIC RIVERWAYS FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ WISE
9 follow-up statements
865 WGUS63 KSGF 301919 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 219 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI SUNDAY AND MONDAY... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS STALLED FRONT SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH THE FRONT. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS WILL LIKELY CLIP THE EASTERN OZARKS...WITH A WIDESPREAD ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL SOUTHEAST OF AN AVA TO HOUSTON MISSOURI LINE. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MOZ082-096>098-105-106-010330- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.110501T1200Z-110503T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TEXAS-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...AVA...WEST PLAINS... WINONA...EMINENCE...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 219 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR... * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... HOWELL...OREGON...SHANNON AND TEXAS COUNTIES. IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...DOUGLAS AND OZARK COUNTIES. * FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF GREATER THAN THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON SOUTHEAST OF AN AVA TO HOUSTON MISSOURI LINE. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION ON AN INTERMITTENT BASIS DURING THIS TIME WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE OZARK SCENIC RIVERWAYS FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ BOXELL
337 WGUS63 KSGF 010307 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1007 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI SUNDAY AND MONDAY... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS STALLED FRONT SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH THE FRONT. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS WILL LIKELY CLIP THE EASTERN OZARKS...WITH A WIDESPREAD ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL SOUTHEAST OF AN AVA TO HOUSTON MISSOURI LINE. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING ON SUNDAY AND MONDAY. MOZ082-096>098-105-106-011115- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.110501T1200Z-110503T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TEXAS-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...AVA...WEST PLAINS... WINONA...EMINENCE...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 1007 PM CDT SAT APR 30 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... HOWELL...OREGON...SHANNON AND TEXAS. IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI... DOUGLAS AND OZARK. * FROM 7 AM CDT SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS OF GREATER THAN THREE INCHES ARE EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON SOUTHEAST OF AN AVA TO HOUSTON MISSOURI LINE. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION ON AN INTERMITTENT BASIS DURING THIS TIME WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE OZARK SCENIC RIVERWAYS FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ DSA
851 WGUS63 KSGF 010845 FFASGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 345 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI TODAY THROUGH MONDAY... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS TODAY INTO MONDAY. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS STALLED FRONT LATE THIS MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH THE FRONT. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS WILL LIKELY CLIP THE EASTERN OZARKS...WITH A WIDESPREAD ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO AVA TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MOZ083-104-011645- /O.EXA.KSGF.FF.A.0002.110501T1200Z-110503T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DENT-TANEY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SALEM...BRANSON...FORSYTH 345 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...DENT. IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...TANEY. * FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO AVA TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION ON AN INTERMITTENT BASIS DURING THIS TIME WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE OZARK SCENIC RIVERWAYS FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ MOZ082-096>098-105-106-011645- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.110501T1200Z-110503T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TEXAS-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...AVA...WEST PLAINS... WINONA...EMINENCE...GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 345 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... HOWELL...OREGON...SHANNON AND TEXAS. IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI... DOUGLAS AND OZARK. * FROM 7 AM CDT THIS MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO AVA TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION ON AN INTERMITTENT BASIS DURING THIS TIME WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE OZARK SCENIC RIVERWAYS FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ WISE
141 WGUS63 KSGF 010910 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 410 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI TODAY THROUGH MONDAY... .A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS TODAY INTO MONDAY. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS STALLED FRONT LATE THIS MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING AS SEVERAL UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH THE FRONT. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS WILL LIKELY CLIP THE EASTERN OZARKS...WITH A WIDESPREAD ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO AVA TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MOZ082-083-096>098-104>106-020000- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.110501T1200Z-110503T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TEXAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...AVA... WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...BRANSON...FORSYTH... GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 410 AM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... DENT...HOWELL...OREGON...SHANNON AND TEXAS. IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...DOUGLAS...OZARK AND TANEY. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED FROM LATE THIS MORNING INTO MONDAY EVENING SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO AVA TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION ON AN INTERMITTENT BASIS DURING THIS TIME WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE OZARK SCENIC RIVERWAYS FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ WISE
966 WGUS63 KSGF 011952 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 252 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH MONDAY... .MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NORTH OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER NORTHERN ARKANSAS THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS WILL LIKELY CLIP THE EASTERN OZARKS...WITH A WIDESPREAD ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO AVA TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MOZ082-083-096>098-104>106-020400- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110503T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TEXAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...AVA... WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...BRANSON...FORSYTH... GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 252 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR... * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... DENT...HOWELL...OREGON...SHANNON AND TEXAS COUNTIES. IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...DOUGLAS...OZARK AND TANEY COUNTIES. * THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. * STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MONDAY EVENING SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO AVA TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE REGION ON AN INTERMITTENT BASIS DURING THIS TIME WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN EXPECTED FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE OZARK SCENIC RIVERWAYS FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ BOXELL
831 WGUS63 KSGF 020858 FFASGF URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 358 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 ...HEAVY RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THIS EVENING... .ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD NORTH INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI LATE THIS MORNING INTO TONIGHT. THIS RAINFALL WILL OCCUR NORTH OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS LOCATED ACROSS NORTHERN ARKANSAS. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS IS EXPECTED TO CLIP THE EASTERN OZARKS...WITH ADDITIONAL WIDESPREAD ONE HALF TO ONE AND HALF INCHES OF RAINFALL WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS EXPECTED ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO AVA TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. THE HEAVIEST PERIOD OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING WITH LIGHT SHOWERS EXPECTED LINGER INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING. MOZ082-083-096>098-104>106-030000- /O.EXT.KSGF.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110503T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TEXAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...AVA... WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...BRANSON...FORSYTH... GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 358 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... DENT...HOWELL...OREGON...SHANNON AND TEXAS. IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...DOUGLAS...OZARK AND TANEY. * TIMING...LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT. * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO AVA TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ON TOP OF THE TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED ON SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO DANGEROUS FLASH FLOODING. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ACROSS THE BIG PINEY RIVER ACROSS THE OZARK SCENIC RIVERWAYS FROM THIS HEAVY RAINFALL. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ WISE
311 WGUS63 KSGF 021828 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 128 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 ...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THIS EVENING... .INTERMITTENT RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI INTO THIS EVENING. THIS RAINFALL WILL OCCUR NORTH OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS LOCATED ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS IS EXPECTED TO CLIP THE EASTERN OZARKS...WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE HALF INCH TO LOCALLY ONE INCH POSSIBLE. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. MOZ082-083-096>098-104>106-030600- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110503T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TEXAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...AVA... WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...BRANSON...FORSYTH... GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 128 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... DENT...HOWELL...OREGON...SHANNON AND TEXAS. IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...DOUGLAS...OZARK AND TANEY. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT. * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE HALF TO LOCALLY ONE INCH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ON TOP OF THE TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED SINCE SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING...OR AGGRAVATE EXISTING FLOODING. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING WILL IMPACT THE BIG PINEY...AND JACKS FORK RIVERS. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ FOSTER
972 WGUS63 KSGF 030232 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 932 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 ...ADDITIONAL RAINFALL EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI THROUGH THIS EVENING... .INTERMITTENT RAIN WILL CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI INTO THIS EVENING. THIS RAINFALL WILL OCCUR NORTH OF A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT IS LOCATED ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AXIS IS EXPECTED TO CLIP THE EASTERN OZARKS...WITH ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS AROUND ONE QUARTER INCH TO LOCALLY HALF AN INCH POSSIBLE. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL COMBINE WITH ALREADY SATURATED SOILS TO CREATE THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL FLOODING. MOZ082-083-096>098-104>106-030600- /O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110503T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TEXAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...AVA... WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...BRANSON...FORSYTH... GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 932 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI... DENT...HOWELL...OREGON...SHANNON AND TEXAS. IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...DOUGLAS...OZARK AND TANEY. * UNTIL 1 AM CDT TUESDAY * ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE QUARTER INCH TO LOCALLY HALF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS EVENING SOUTHEAST OF A BRANSON TO SALEM MISSOURI LINE. THIS ADDITIONAL RAINFALL WILL OCCUR ON TOP OF THE TWO TO THREE INCHES OF RAINFALL THAT HAS OCCURRED SINCE SUNDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. * THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL OVER THE OZARK TERRAIN WILL POTENTIALLY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING...OR AGGRAVATE EXISTING FLOODING. POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...SMALL STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE PARTICULARLY SUSCEPTIBLE TO FLASH FLOODING. IN ADDITION...RIVER FLOODING WILL IMPACT THE BIG PINEY...AND JACKS FORK RIVERS. THOSE WITH RECREATIONAL PLANS NEAR AREA RIVERS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR RIVER LEVELS AND BE PREPARED TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ GRIFFIN
544 WGUS63 KSGF 030429 FFASGF FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1129 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 MOZ082-083-096>098-104>106-030530- /O.CAN.KSGF.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110503T0600Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ TEXAS-DENT-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HOUSTON...CABOOL...SALEM...AVA... WEST PLAINS...WINONA...EMINENCE...BRANSON...FORSYTH... GAINESVILLE...THEODOSIA...THAYER...ALTON 1129 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI HAS BEEN CANCELLED. HEAVIER RAIN HAVE SHIFTED WELL SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA. SOME RESIDUAL FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS IS EXPECTED OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI INTO MONDAY. $$ DSA
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Apr 30, 3:40 AM CDT, 13 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 30, 3:40 AM CDT, 13 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 340 AM CDT SAT APR 30 2011 .DISCUSSION... MAIN FOCUS IN THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WITH DEAL WITH THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING...THEN ATTENTION TURNS TO MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAIN AND A RISK FOR FLOODING FROM SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. CURRENTLY...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS PUSHING OFF TO THE EAST ACROSS AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM SURFACE LOW PRESSURE IS PUSHING ACROSS SOUTHERN KANSAS AND NORTHERN OKLAHOMA. AS THE RESULT A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT HAS SETUP ACROSS THE AREA...WITH BREEZY AND GUSTY WINDS OCCURRING THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. AS THE SURFACE LOW CONTINUES TO TRACK EAST THIS MORNING...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL RELAX AND SO TOO WILL THE WINDS THROUGH OUT THE DAY. ANOTHER WARM DAY IS ON TAP TODAY...BUT WILL LIKELY BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN THOSE OBSERVED ON FRIDAY AS HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 70S THIS AFTERNOON. AN ELEVATED MIXED LAYER IS ALSO SPREADING NORTHEAST INTO THE AREA AND WILL CREATE A STRONG CAP ACROSS THE AREA. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EAST AND ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STRONG CAP ACROSS THAT WILL BE IN PLACE SHOULD SUPPRESS CONVECTION THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY THIS EVENING THE CAP SHOULD BEING TO WEAKEN WITH THE HEATING OF THE DAY AND AS A POSITIVELY TILTED TROUGH BEGINS TO PUSH INTO THE REGION. THIS WILL LIKELY OCCUR FROM NORTHEAST TEXAS TO THE NORTHEAST INTO SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI. THE BETTER INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...SO ITS POSSIBLE THAT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT OCCURS JUST TO THE SOUTH/EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA...BUT THIS IS MORE OF A MESOSCALE ISSUE. WITH THE BETTER INSTABILITY TO THE SOUTH THIS TOO WILL BE WHERE THE BETTER SEVERE POTENTIAL EXISTS. HOWEVER ENOUGH INSTABILITY MAY NOSE INTO THE AREA FOR A FEW STRONG TO POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS. STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL BE IN PLACE SO THE PRIMARY RISK WILL BE LARGE HAIL. IF THE STORMS LINE OUT BEFORE THE EXIT THE AREA...THERE WILL BE A WIND RISK...HOWEVER THIS POTENTIAL LOOKS TO BE BETTER TO THE SOUTH. THE TORNADO RISK LOOKS LOW AS SURFACE WINDS WILL BE VEERED AND INSTABILITY LOOKS TO BE LIMITED. FEEL THE CONVECTION WILL BE FAIRLY PROGRESSIVE PUSHING EAST ACROSS THE AREA WITH MOST ACTIVITY PUSHING OUT OF THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS THE FRONT PUSHES SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA. THE FRONT WILL THEN STALL ACROSS CENTRAL/NORTH ARKANSAS TONIGHT AND MAY SHIFT BACK TO THE NORTH SLIGHTLY SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE SOUTHWEST US AND ENERGY FROM THIS TROUGH WILL INTERACT WITH THE FRONT TO CREATE THE POSSIBILITY FOR SEVERAL ROUNDS OF CONVECTION FROM SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. THE HEAVIEST RAIN AXIS AT THIS TIME APPEARS TO BE JUST SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA FROM CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI. HOWEVER...FAR SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI WILL LIKELY BE ON THE NORTHERN GRADIENT OF THIS HEAVIER RAINFALL AXIS. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED SOUTHEAST OF AN AVA TO HOUSTON MISSOURI LINE WITH MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION EXPECTED SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON. WITH THE RECENT HEAVY RAIN SOIL MOISTURE WILL REMAIN HIGH DURING THIS TIME...SO WILL ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR FAR SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH THIS PACKAGE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD REALLY TAPER OFF TO THE NORTH AND WEST WITH GENERALLY LESS THAN A HALF OF AN INCH EXPECTED NORTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. SOME LIGHT RAIN MAY LINGER INTO TUESDAY BEFORE ALL THE PRECIPITATION EXITS TO THE EAST. COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA EARLY NEXT WEEK BEHIND THE FRONT. DEPENDING ON CLOUD COVER...LOWS MAY DROP INTO THE 30S SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL THEN TRACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL US TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK AND MAY BRING ADDITIONAL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION. WISE && .AVIATION... /ISSUED 1125 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2011/ FOR THE 30/0600Z KSGF/KJLN/KBBG TAFS...A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION TONIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY...MOVING THROUGH THE TAF SITES LATE IN THE TAF PERIOD. CAPPING WILL LIKELY LIMIT THE CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE STREAMING NORTHWARD INTO THE REGION AFTER 12Z WILL PRODUCE LOW END VFR OR MVFR CEILINGS. STRONG LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE MENTION OF LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT ALL TAFS SITES TONIGHT. DSA && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. &&
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 29, 12:51 PM CDT, 15 hours 2 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1251 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2011 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-301800- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 1251 PM CDT FRI APR 29 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...LIMITED. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED... LIMITED HIGH WIND RISK. LIMITED FLOODING RISK. DISCUSSION... GUSTY SOUTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. THE STRONGEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI WHERE GUSTS OVER 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES. FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON SOME AREA STREAMS...RIVERS...AND FLOOD PRONE AREAS IN RESPONSE TO RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL. LOCATIONS ALONG THE WHITE RIVER AND LAKE TANEYCOMO WILL CONTINUE TO SEE HIGH WATER LEVELS AS DAM RELEASES CONTINUE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. WIND GUSTS OVER 30 MPH WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY. MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS WEEKEND...AND POTENTIALLY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS MAY LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING ACROSS THE AREA. AT THIS TIME...IT APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST THREAT FOR ANY ADDITIONAL FLOODING WILL BE SOUTH OF A CASSVILLE TO SALEM LINE. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP FROM LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY EVENING ALONG AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE EASTERN MISSOURI OZARKS. THE COVERAGE OF THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS UNCLEAR AT THIS TIME AS A LAYER OF WARM AIR ALOFT WILL TEND TO SUPPRESS THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP ALONG OR IMMEDIATELY AHEAD OF THE FRONT WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR PRODUCING HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH. THERE IS THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TOWARDS THE END OF NEXT WEEK. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) SCHAUMANN
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in Missouri, 2011Every flash flood watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.