Severe Thunderstorm Warning 513, NWS Blacksburg, VA

530 
WWUS51 KRNK 251943
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
343 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

VAC023-251952-
/O.CAN.KRNK.SV.W.0513.000000T0000Z-110825T2015Z/
BOTETOURT VA-
343 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BOTETOURT COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3748 7936 3727 7935 3735 7980 3737 7978
      3747 7966 3747 7964 3745 7963 3746 7961
      3745 7959 3748 7958
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 277DEG 22KT 3740 7966

$$

VAC019-515-252015-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0513.000000T0000Z-110825T2015Z/
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-BEDFORD VA-
343 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR THE CITY OF BEDFORD... NORTHERN BEDFORD COUNTY...

AT 339 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER.  THIS STORM WAS 
LOCATED NEAR MONTVALE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MONTVALE...
  THAXTON...
  PEAKS OF OTTER RECREATION AREA...
  BEDFORD CITY...
  GOODE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

HAIL UP TO ONE INCH INCHES IN DIAMETER HAS BEEN REPORTED IN 
TROUTVILLE AROUND 315 PM WITH THIS STORM. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF 
THE STORM...TAKE IMMEDIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3748 7936 3727 7935 3735 7980 3737 7978
      3747 7966 3747 7964 3745 7963 3746 7961
      3745 7959 3748 7958
TIME...MOT...LOC 1942Z 277DEG 22KT 3740 7966

$$

SK

789 
WWUS51 KRNK 252003
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
403 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

VAC019-515-252015-
/O.CON.KRNK.SV.W.0513.000000T0000Z-110825T2015Z/
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-BEDFORD VA-
403 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM EDT
FOR THE CITY OF BEDFORD... NORTHERN BEDFORD COUNTY...

AT 402 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR THAXTON...OR NEAR
BEDFORD CITY...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  THAXTON...
  BEDFORD CITY...
  GOODE...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER.
REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY
HEAVY RAIN.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.

&&

LAT...LON 3748 7936 3727 7935 3733 7968 3745 7964
      3746 7961 3745 7959 3748 7958
TIME...MOT...LOC 2003Z 277DEG 22KT 3739 7957

$$

SK

433 
WWUS51 KRNK 252014
SVSRNK

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
414 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

VAC019-515-252024-
/O.EXP.KRNK.SV.W.0513.000000T0000Z-110825T2015Z/
CITY OF BEDFORD VA-BEDFORD VA-
414 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE CITY OF BEDFORD...
NORTHERN BEDFORD COUNTY EXPIRES AT 415 PM EDT...

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. THUS THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG AT...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. ONCE AGAIN
THAT NUMBER IS 1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
THURSDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHWESTERN VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3748 7936 3727 7935 3733 7968 3745 7964
      3746 7961 3745 7959 3748 7958
TIME...MOT...LOC 2014Z 277DEG 22KT 3738 7949

$$

SK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
211 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY AND
PASS ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY. THIS
WILL RESULT IN BETTER CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TODAY
THROUGH THIS EVENING. HURRICANE IRENE IS THEN EXPECTED TO MOVE
ALONG THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY BRINGING BREEZY CONDITIONS
ALONG WITH A FEW ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 130 PM...CONVECTION HAS BEEN SLOW TO DEVELOP OUT AHEAD OF
THE LINE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS DUE TO A WEAK CAP. STILL THINK THIS CAP
WILL BREAK AS COOLER MID LEVEL TEMPS MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA
WITHE THE UPPER TROUGH. HOWEVER...THE BULK OF THE SHOWERS/TSTMS
REST OF THIS AFTERNOON MAY BE ASSOCIATED WITH THE LINE THAT IS
JUST NOW MOVG INTO SE WV AND THE ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS OF VA. THIS
LINE WILL CONTINUE MOVG SLOWLY SEWD REST OF THIS AFT INTO THIS
EVENING.

AS OF 1015 AM EDT THURSDAY...
CURRENT RADAR...SATELLITE AND SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS A SOLID LINE OF
SHOWERS AND TSTMS CONTINUES AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WHICH IS SLOWLY
PUSHING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD THE REGION AHEAD OF A STRONG SHORT
WAVE TROUGH. MEANWHILE...ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA...MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES WILL BRING STRONG HEATING. THE MODIFIED 12Z RNK SOUNDING
INDICATES HIGHS AROUND 90 TODAY WITH FULL SUN. I HAVE RAISED MAX
TEMPS TO BE CLOSER TO 90 FOR ALL BUT THE HIGH ELEVATIONS AND SE
WV...SINCE I EXPECT NEARLY FULL SUN. MEANWHILE...STRONG MOISTURE
ADVECTION CONTINUES INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE SFC FRONT...WITH
PWATS PROGGED TO INCREASE TO BETWEEN 1.5 AND 2.0 INCHES BY
EVENING. SHOULD HAVE MODERATE TO STRONG INSTABILITY BY LATE
AFTERNOON...WITH SB CAPES OF AROUND 3000 J/KG POSSIBLE. SHOULD BE
ENOUGH SHEAR TO PRODUCE MULTICELL LINE SEGMENTS WITH EMBEDDED
STRONG STORMS. MAIN THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS...BUT WITH
COOLING TEMPS ALOFT...LARGE HAIL IS ALSO POSSIBLE. INA
ADDITION...WITH PWATS SO HIGH...THE STRONGER STORMS WILL HAVE VERY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND THE MEAN FLOW IS NEARLY PARALLEL TO THE SFC
BOUNDARY...SO THERE MAY BE TRAINING TSTMS. FOR NOW...I HAVE
AMENDED THE WX GRIDS TO HAVE SCT TSTMS WITH GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY
RAIN. WE ALREADY MENTION SCT STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS IN THE HWO. I
CONSIDERED A FLASH FLOOD WATCH ACROSS NRN SECTIONS OF THE
CWA...BUT AM NOT CONFIDENT ON ANY AREAS OF TRAINING AND FFG IS
FAIRLY HIGH WITH DRY ANTECEDENT CONDITIONS. I SLOWED DOWN THE
HIGHER POPS...BUT DID NOT TIME THEM COMPLETELY TO THE SFC FNT
SINCE I EXPECT SCT STORMS TO DEVELOP IN THE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE
BLUE RIDGE WELL AHEAD OF THE FRONT BY MID AFTERNOON.

AS OF 240 AM EDT THURSDAY...
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT SE OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS REACHING THE WESTERN SLOPES LATE TODAY BEFORE
CROSSING THE BLUE RIDGE OVERNIGHT. DEGREE OF CONVECTIVE COVERAGE
THE MAIN QUESTION TODAY GIVEN SUCH A STRONG 5H TROF FOR LATE
AUGUST ALTHOUGH BEST UPPER SUPPORT WILL PASS JUST NORTH WHERE
BETTER WIND FIELDS/UPPER DIFFLUENCE WILL EXIST. ALSO IFFY AS TO
HOW MUCH CLDNS AND/OR SHOWERS WILL AFFECT THINGS OVER THE WEST
THIS MORNING BEFORE THE CURRENT AXIS OF TSRA LIKELY FADES WITH
MIXING BY MIDDAY. LATEST MODELS HAVE THE BEST THETA-E RIDGING AND
LIFT ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THRU THIS AFTERNOON WITH LOW LEVEL
BACKING UNDERNEATH A DECENT 30 KT MID LEVEL WESTERLY JET. THIS
COMBO WITH AT LEAST SOME HEATING SHOULD ALLOW DECENT COVERAGE TO
TAKE SHAPE NW EARLY ON AND THEN OUT TO ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE THIS
AFTERNOON AS THE VORT TAIL SLIDES BY TO THE NORTH. ALTHOUGH LAPSES
ARE RATHER WEAK AND CAPE IN QUESTION...ENOUGH UPPER SUPPORT TO
POSSIBLY PRODUCE AT LEAST ISOLATED SEVERE ESPCLY WHERE MORE
HEATING TAKES SHAPE ACROSS THE NORTH. THEREFORE WILL CONTINUE
LIKELY POPS FOR THE MOST PART NORTHERN THIRD AND DECENT CHANCES
ELSW EXCEPT ONLY SLIGHT POPS SE WHERE WILL TAKE UNTIL LATE FOR THE
PRE-FRONTAL RH TO REACH. GIVEN THE CLOSE PROXIMITY OF THE SLIGHT
RISK AREA TO THE NE PER SWODY1...WILL INCLUDE MORE OF A MENTION IN
THE HWO IN SPOTS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. MOS TEMPS LOOK GOOD OUT EAST
WHERE MORE INSOLATION LIKELY WHILE STAYING ON THE COOL SIDE THE
FARTHER WEST YOU GO PER EARLIER ARRIVAL OF CLOUDS AND POSSIBLE
SHRA.

UPPER S/W EXITS THIS EVENING LEAVING ONLY THE BOUNDARY AROUND FOR
LOW LEVEL FOCUS INTO THE OVERNIGHT. THINK BEST COVERAGE WILL BE
ALONG THE EXITING VORT TAIL OVER THE NE MAINLY DURING THE EVENING
BEFORE LOSS OF HEATING CAUSES TSRA TO FADE INTO AREAS OF FOG ALONG
WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHRA ALONG THE FRONT LATE. OTRW BECOMING PC
OVERNIGHT WITH HIGH CHANCE POPS DWINDLING TO MAINLY SLIGHT CHANCES
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LACK OF MUCH DRYING WITH THE FRONT WILL LEAD TO A
WARM AND SOUPY OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S
AND PERHAPS STAYING ABOVE 70 IN SPOTS THAT GO WITHOUT SEEING
EARLIER SHOWERS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 250 AM EDT THURSDAY...
IRENE WILL TRACK OFF THE SOUTHEAST COAST ON FRIDAY...THEN NEAR
THE SC/NC COAST FRIDAY NIGHT. TROPICAL FLOW INTO THE AREA WILL BE
EAST ON FRIDAY AND NORTHEAST FRIDAY NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE
HIGHEST ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE BLUE RIDGE. THERE IS ALSO
A LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AS FIRST OUTER
BANDS OF IRENE TRACK INLAND.

IRENE WILL TRACK NEAR THE OUTER BANKS OF NORTH CAROLINA
SATURDAY...THEN UP THE VIRGINIA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY BE FROM THE NORTH SATURDAY THEN NORTHWEST SATURDAY
NIGHT. UPSLOPE RAIN ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE STILL POSSIBLE WHILE
SUBSIDENCE LIMITS RAINFALL AMOUNTS. TROPICAL RAIN BANDS MORE
LIKELY SATURDAY BUT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL REMAIN EAST
OF THE AREA. EVEN IF IRENE WOULD WOBBLE TO THE WEST AND TRACK
SLIGHTLY INLAND...THE BULK OF THE HEAVY RAIN WILL BE CONFIDED TO
THE COAST LINE.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FRIDAY. EXPECTED
COOLER BUT MUGGY CONDITIONS ON SATURDAY AS RAIN CHANCES INCREASE AS
IRENE TRACKS ALONG THE VA/NC COAST. BREEZY CONDITIONS ALSO LIKELY
SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 240 AM EDT THURSDAY...
ON SUNDAY...WITH IRENE MOVG NORTHEASTWARD ALONG THE COAST AND
PULLING AWAY FROM THE AREA...A NORTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING COOLER AIR
INTO THE FORECAST AREA. OTHER THAN SOME UPSLOPE CLOUDS IN SE WV AND
THE VA HIGHLANDS...LOOKS LIKE A MOSTLY SUNNY DAY WITH TEMPERATURES
NEAR NORMAL- AROUND 80 WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE AND MID 80S FOOTHILLS
AND PIEDMONT. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN QUICKLY SUNDAY NIGHT. AT THIS
POINT...LOOKS LIKE AT LEAST THE MTNS WOULD DECOUPLE...WITH CLEAR
SKIES AND DRY AIR IN PLACE...SETTING US UP FOR QUITE COOL OVERNIGHT
LOWS. HAVE STAYED CLOSE TO HPC GUIDANCE...WHICH HAS SOME LOW IN THE
UPPER 40S IN MTN VALLEYS.

ON MONDAY...A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN...WITH STRONG SHORT WAVE ENERGY
MOVG THRU THE GREAT LAKES/OHIO VALLEY REGION SHOULD HAVE THE SFC
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPLNS AND DOWN THE EAST
COAST. AT THIS POINT IT LOOKS LIKE LOW LEVEL WINDS INTO THE AREA
WILL BE MORE NORTHEAST TO EAST THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...AND MOISTURE
RETURN WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL AT LEAST TUESDAY. MONDAY SHOULD CONTINUE
TO BE MOSTLY SUNNY...WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL FOR THE END OF
AUGUST.

MODEL DIFFERENCES COME INTO PLAY BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...WITH THE
00Z ECMWF A WET OUTLIER FOR THE FORECAST AREA...SHOWING A STRONG
SHORT WAVE DIGGING INTO THE TN VALLEY AND LIFTING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
INTO THE FORECAST AREA. HOWEVER...EVEN THE LATEST GFS IS SHOWING
BETTER MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THE REGION ON SERLY FLOW THAN IT/S
EARLIER RUNS...SO I HAVE INCREASED POPS BOTH TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
TO HAVE AT LEAST A SLIGHT CHC ALL AREAS...AND HAVE CHC POPS ALONG
THE BLUE RIDGE IN NW NC AND FAR SW VA. WITH THE PERSISTENT EAST TO
SOUTHEAST FLOW INTO THE AREA TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...THERE IS
A POTENTIAL FOR MORE CLOUD COVER AND COOLER DAYTIME HIGH TEMPS
DESPITE RISING HEIGHTS...SO I HAVE KEPT HIGH TEMPS BOTH DAYS BELOW
GUIDANCE AND CLOSE TO NORMAL. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BECOME MILDER
EACH NIGHT FROM MONDAY NIGHT THRU WEDNESDAY NIGHT- LIKELY WELL UP
INTO THE 60S BY WED NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM EDT THURSDAY...

A SOLID LINE OF SHOWERS/TSTMS AHEAD OF A SFC COLD FRONT IS MOVG
INTO SE WV AND SW VA AT THIS TIME. SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE ALSO
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THIS LINE SOON. END RESULT IS THAT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NUMEROUS ACROSS THE AREA...AND I
HAVE INCLUDED TEMPO GROUPS IN ALL OF THE BLACKSBURG FORECAST AREA
AIRPORTS EXCEPT FOR DANVILLE. STORMS REST OF THIS AFTERNOON INTO
EARLY EVENING WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG/POSSIBLY DAMAGING
WINDS...VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS...AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF LARGE HAIL.
HAVE INCLUDED WIND GUSTS TO 30 KNOTS IN THE TEMPO GROUPS.
CONVECTION SHOULD TAPER OFF AFTER 00Z/800 PM IN THE MTNS...AND
THEN BY 03Z/1100 PM IN THE PIEDMONT AS THE UPPER TROUGH PASSES
EAST OF THE AREA...AND WITH LOSS OF HEATING. OVERNIGHT...EXPECT
MVFR FOG TO DEVELOP ALL SITES WITH LIGHT WINDS AND CLEARING SKIES.
BRIEF PERIOD OF IFR IS LIKELY AT SOME SITES TOWARD DAYBREAK. FOG
IS EXPECTED TO LIFT BY 14Z/1000 AM FRIDAY MORNING ALL SITES.

THE FRONT WEAKENS AND STALLS ACROSS THE REGION ON FRIDAY AND WITH
FAIRLY DEEP EAST WINDS...THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS ESPCLY ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE FRIDAY...WITH MVFR TO IFR
CEILINGS DEVELOPING ALONG AND EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS.

RAIN CHANCES APPEAR LOWER FOR SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT
DEPEND UPON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF TROPICAL CYCLONE IRENE. EXPECT A
RETURN TO VFR IN THE WAKE OF IRENE LATER SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH
NEAR TERM...JH/JJ
SHORT TERM...RCS
LONG TERM...JJ/RCS
AVIATION...JH/JJ

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
738 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

NCZ001>006-018>020-VAZ007-009>020-022>024-032>035-043>047-058-059-
WVZ042>045-261145-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-SURRY-STOKES-ROCKINGHAM-CASWELL-WATAUGA-WILKES-
YADKIN-TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-GILES-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-
CARROLL-FLOYD-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-
PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-AMHERST-HENRY-PITTSYLVANIA-CAMPBELL-
APPOMATTOX-BUCKINGHAM-HALIFAX-CHARLOTTE-MERCER-SUMMERS-MONROE-
GREENBRIER-
738 AM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE INTO THIS EVENING. LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ALSO
OCCUR.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
154 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

VAZ019-020-024-WVZ045-251845-
ALLEGHANY VA-BATH VA-GREENBRIER WV-ROCKBRIDGE VA-
154 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT ALLEGHANY...BATH...GREENBRIER
AND ROCKBRIDGE COUNTIES...

AT 154 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF RENICK...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. VERY HEAVY RAIN
WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND
QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR ALVON AROUND 200 PM...NEOLA AROUND 205 PM...
NATURAL WELL AROUND 220 PM...CALLISON...CARLOOVER...BACOVA
JUNCTION...AND LAKE MOOMAW AROUND 225 PM...INGALLS FIELD...HOT
SPRINGS AND AND BACOVA JUNCTION AROUND 230 PM.

LAT...LON 3812 7958 3788 7953 3781 8038 3799 8041

JJ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
245 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

VAZ014-022-251915-
MONTGOMERY VA-ROANOKE VA-
245 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MONTGOMERY AND ROANOKE
COUNTIES...

AT 244 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER BLACKSBURG...
MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR MC DONALDS MILL AROUND 255 PM...BRADSHAW
AROUND 300 PM...ELLISTON-LAFAYETTE AROUND 305 PM AND GLENVAR AROUND
315 PM.

LAT...LON 3739 8011 3716 8013 3719 8043 3730 8046
      3733 8041 3735 8029 3734 8026 3737 8021

SK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
246 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

VAZ023-034-251915-
BEDFORD VA-BOTETOURT VA-
246 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BEDFORD AND BOTETOURT
COUNTIES...

AT 244 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES WEST OF
TROUTVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR TROUTVILLE AROUND 255 PM...NACE AROUND 300
PM...BLUE RIDGE AROUND 305 PM...LITHIA AROUND 310 PM AND BUCHANAN
AROUND 315 PM.

LAT...LON 3755 7967 3734 7967 3740 8003 3752 8000
      3753 7999

SK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
300 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

VAZ023-024-034-035-045-251945-
AMHERST VA-BEDFORD VA-BOTETOURT VA-CAMPBELL VA-ROCKBRIDGE VA-
300 PM EDT THU AUG 25 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AMHERST...BEDFORD...BOTETOURT...
CAMPBELL AND ROCKBRIDGE COUNTIES...

AT 257 PM EDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE ALONG A LINE FROM 13 MILES
EAST OF ROCKBRIDGE BATHS TO 6 MILES EAST OF BUCHANAN...MOVING EAST AT
30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.
EXPECT FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS. DO NOT
STAY IN THE OPEN OR SEEK SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING
THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR SNOWDEN...ORONOCO...AND ALTO AROUND 305
PM...SEDALIA AROUND 310 PM...BIG ISLAND AROUND 315 PM...COLEMAN
FALLS...PLEASANT VIEW...AND FORKS OF BUFFALO AROUND 320 PM...NAOLA
AROUND 325 PM AND LOWESVILLE AROUND 330 PM.

THE PUBLIC IS ENCOURAGED TO RELAY REPORTS OF STRONG WINDS...HAIL OR
FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING
1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3784 7914 3782 7916 3779 7909 3777 7906
      3772 7906 3770 7899 3768 7896 3757 7891
      3755 7889 3733 7914 3749 7968 3798 7930

SK