Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2011

Flash Flood Warning 88, NWS Blacksburg, VA

November 28, 20114 counties in Virginia; 5 counties in North Carolina

NWS Blacksburg, VA issued this flash flood warning at Nov 28, 2011, 5:27 PM EST for 4 counties in Virginia; 5 counties in North Carolina. It was in force for 12 hr. 7 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Nov 28, 2011, 5:27 PM EST (22:27 UTC)
Expired
Nov 29, 2011, 5:30 AM EST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Blacksburg, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties Alleghany County, NC, Ashe County, NC, Surry County, NC, Watauga County, NC, Wilkes County, NC, Carroll County, VA, City of Galax, VA, Grayson County, VA, Patrick County, VA

The radar

The Roanoke radar (KFCX), 106 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Nov 28, 6:37 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD1 Wnw Boone, NCCREEK FLOODED THE RALEY PARKING LOT AT APPALACHIAN STATE UNIVERSITY.
Nov 28, 7:05 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD4 Ene Beech Mountain, NCWATAUGA RIVER OUT OF ITS BANKS NEAR SUGAR GROVE. FLOOD STAGE OF 6.0 FEET REACHED AT 705PM. OBSERVED READING AT 0730 PM WAS 7.24 FEET AND RISING.
Nov 28, 7:23 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD5 W Boone, NCDEWITT BARNETT BRIDGE IN VALLEY CRUCIS ALONG THE WATAUGA RIVER IS UNDER WATER.
Nov 28, 7:30 PM ESTFLOOD5 Ne Jefferson, NC2 TO 3 INCHES OF WATER FLOWING OVER ROAD
Nov 28, 7:59 PM ESTFLOOD1 Wsw Jefferson, NC2 TO 3 INCHES OF RUNNING WATER OVER ROAD
Nov 28, 8:14 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD5 Nne Blowing Rock, NCDEERFIELD CREEK CAME OUT OF BANKS AND FLOODED DEERFIELD ROAD.
Nov 28, 10:15 PM ESTFLASH FLOOD3 Ne Galax, VATHE CARROLL COUNTY SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTED FLOODING ON GLENDALE ROAD JUST EAST OF BEE LINE ROAD.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this flash flood warning; the first came 70 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-11-28Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 64 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2011-11-28The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 178 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
64 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-42 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
700 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
201 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

995 
WGUS51 KRNK 282227
FFWRNK
NCC005-009-171-189-193-VAC035-077-141-640-290430-
/O.NEW.KRNK.FF.W.0088.111128T2227Z-111129T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
527 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
  ASHE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
  SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
  WATAUGA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
  WILKES COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
  WESTERN PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
  CITY OF GALAX IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
  GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
  CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA

* UNTIL 1130 PM EST.

* AT 521 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
  VERY HEAVY RAIN FROM SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE 
  WARNED AREA.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO 
  BOONE NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO GALAX VIRGINIA...INCLUDING
  MANY COMMUNITIES ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING INCLUDING MUDSLIDES...OR ROAD
CLOSURES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. DELAYED REPORTS ARE WELCOME.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 8189 3636 8181 3635 8173 3654 8171
      3666 8154 3671 8153 3681 8054 3672 8047
      3675 8039 3683 8034 3685 8012 3627 8070
      3628 8077 3623 8088 3608 8088 3605 8091
      3600 8132 3611 8155 3611 8181 3621 8191

$$

KK
8 follow-up statements
911 
WGUS71 KRNK 282313
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
613 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

NCC005-009-171-189-193-VAC035-077-141-640-290430-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111129T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-SURRY NC-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-PATRICK VA-
CITY OF GALAX VA-GRAYSON VA-CARROLL VA-
613 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EST FOR THE
CITY OF GALAX... ALLEGHANY...ASHE...SURRY...WATAUGA...WILKES...
WESTERN PATRICK...GRAYSON AND CARROLL COUNTIES...

AT 600 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY 
RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BOONE NORTH 
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO GALAX VIRGINIA...INCLUDING MANY COMMUNITIES 
ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS.

ANOTHER ROUND OF VERY RAIN WILL ARRIVE BETWEEN 8 PM AND 10 PM
IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SPREAD NORTH INTO SOUTHERN 
VIRGINIA. 

WATCH FOR FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG KRAUT CREEK AND WINKLER CREEK IN 
BOONE...FLOODING ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY ESPECIALLY NEAR 
BLOWING ROCK...AND ALONG DARNELL CREEK AND REDDIES RIVER NEAR 
VANNOY.  


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 8189 3636 8181 3635 8173 3654 8171
      3666 8154 3671 8153 3681 8054 3672 8047
      3675 8039 3683 8034 3685 8012 3627 8070
      3628 8077 3623 8088 3608 8088 3605 8091
      3600 8132 3611 8155 3611 8181 3621 8191

$$

KK
063 
WGUS71 KRNK 282316 CCA
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
613 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

NCC005-009-171-189-193-VAC035-077-141-640-290430-
/O.COR.KRNK.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111129T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-SURRY NC-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-PATRICK VA-
CITY OF GALAX VA-GRAYSON VA-CARROLL VA-
613 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EST FOR THE
CITY OF GALAX... ALLEGHANY...ASHE...SURRY...WATAUGA...WILKES...
WESTERN PATRICK...GRAYSON AND CARROLL COUNTIES...

AT 600 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM PRODUCING VERY HEAVY 
RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BOONE NORTH 
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO GALAX VIRGINIA...INCLUDING MANY COMMUNITIES 
ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS.

ANOTHER ROUND OF VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ARRIVE BETWEEN 8 PM AND 10 PM 
IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SPREAD NORTH INTO SOUTHERN VIRGINIA. 

WATCH FOR FLOODING PROBLEMS ALONG KRAUT CREEK AND WINKLER CREEK IN 
BOONE...FLOODING ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY ESPECIALLY NEAR 
BLOWING ROCK...AND ALONG DARNELL CREEK AND REDDIES RIVER NEAR 
VANNOY.  


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 8189 3636 8181 3635 8173 3654 8171
      3666 8154 3671 8153 3681 8054 3672 8047
      3675 8039 3683 8034 3685 8012 3627 8070
      3628 8077 3623 8088 3608 8088 3605 8091
      3600 8132 3611 8155 3611 8181 3621 8191

$$

KK
372 
WGUS71 KRNK 290015
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
715 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

NCC005-009-171-189-193-VAC035-077-141-640-290430-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111129T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-SURRY NC-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-PATRICK VA-
CITY OF GALAX VA-GRAYSON VA-CARROLL VA-
715 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EST FOR THE
CITY OF GALAX... ALLEGHANY...ASHE...SURRY...WATAUGA...WILKES...
WESTERN PATRICK...GRAYSON AND CARROLL COUNTIES...

AT 709 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY 
RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BOONE NORTH 
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO GALAX VIRGINIA...INCLUDING MANY COMMUNITIES 
ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS THE 
REGION. ANOTHER ROUND OF VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL ARRIVE BETWEEN 8 PM 
AND 10 PM IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SPREAD NORTH INTO SOUTHERN 
VIRGINIA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE 
POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED AREA. 

THE WATAUGA RIVER NEAR SUGAR GROVE AND VALLE CRUCIS WAS AT BANKFULL 
AND RISING. FLOODING PROBLEMS WERE ALSO REPORTED IN THE BOONE AREA.

WATCH FOR FLOODING ALONG KRAUT CREEK AND WINKLER CREEK IN 
BOONE...FLOODING ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY ESPECIALLY NEAR 
BLOWING ROCK...AND ALONG DARNELL CREEK AND REDDIES RIVER NEAR 
VANNOY.  



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 8189 3636 8181 3635 8173 3654 8171
      3666 8154 3671 8153 3681 8054 3672 8047
      3675 8039 3683 8034 3685 8012 3627 8070
      3628 8077 3623 8088 3608 8088 3605 8091
      3600 8132 3611 8155 3611 8181 3621 8191

$$

KK
240 
WGUS71 KRNK 290128
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
828 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

NCC005-009-171-189-193-VAC035-077-141-640-290430-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111129T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-SURRY NC-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-PATRICK VA-
CITY OF GALAX VA-GRAYSON VA-CARROLL VA-
828 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EST FOR THE
CITY OF GALAX... ALLEGHANY...ASHE...SURRY...WATAUGA...WILKES...
WESTERN PATRICK...GRAYSON AND CARROLL COUNTIES...

AT 818 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY 
RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BOONE NORTH 
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO GALAX VIRGINIA...INCLUDING MANY COMMUNITIES 
ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS THE 
REGION. ANOTHER ROUND OF VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 10 PM 
IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND SPREAD NORTH INTO SOUTHERN VIRGINIA. 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF 
THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS. 

THE WATAUGA RIVER NEAR SUGAR GROVE AND VALLE CRUCIS WAS OUT OF ITS 
BANKS. FLOODING PROBLEMS WERE ALSO REPORTED IN THE BOONE AREA.

WATCH FOR FLOODING ALONG KRAUT CREEK AND WINKLER CREEK IN 
BOONE...FLOODING ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY ESPECIALLY NEAR 
BLOWING ROCK...AND ALONG DARNELL CREEK AND REDDIES RIVER NEAR 
VANNOY.  


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...COUNTRY ROADS...AS WELL AS FARMLAND ALONG THE
BANKS OF CREEKS AND STREAMS.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 8189 3636 8181 3635 8173 3654 8171
      3666 8154 3671 8153 3681 8054 3672 8047
      3675 8039 3683 8034 3685 8012 3627 8070
      3628 8077 3623 8088 3608 8088 3605 8091
      3600 8132 3611 8155 3611 8181 3621 8191

$$

KK
058 
WGUS71 KRNK 290249
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
949 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

NCC005-009-171-189-193-VAC035-077-141-640-290430-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111129T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-SURRY NC-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-PATRICK VA-
CITY OF GALAX VA-GRAYSON VA-CARROLL VA-
949 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EST FOR THE
CITY OF GALAX... ALLEGHANY...ASHE...SURRY...WATAUGA...WILKES...
WESTERN PATRICK...GRAYSON AND CARROLL COUNTIES...

AT 939 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY HEAVY 
RAIN OVER THE WARNED AREA. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BOONE NORTH 
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO GALAX VIRGINIA...INCLUDING MANY COMMUNITIES 
ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF TWO TO FOUR INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS MUCH OF 
THE REGION. ANOTHER ROUND OF VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 
11 PM IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA INTO SOUTHERN VIRGINIA. ADDITIONAL 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WARNED 
AREA. THE HEAVIEST RAIN WILL FALL ALONG THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE 
BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS. 

THE WATAUGA RIVER NEAR SUGAR GROVE AND VALLE CRUCIS REMAINS OUT OF 
ITS BANKS. FLOODING PROBLEMS CONTINUE IN THE BOONE AREA WITH SEVERAL 
ROAD CLOSURES.

WATCH FOR FLOODING ALONG KRAUT CREEK AND WINKLER CREEK IN 
BOONE...FLOODING ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE PARKWAY ESPECIALLY NEAR 
BLOWING ROCK...BIG WILSON CREEK...LITTLE BUFFALO CREEK AND ALONG 
DARNELL CREEK AND REDDIES RIVER ESPECIALLY NEAR VANNOY.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...


EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 8189 3636 8181 3635 8173 3654 8171
      3666 8154 3671 8153 3681 8054 3672 8047
      3675 8039 3683 8034 3685 8012 3627 8070
      3628 8077 3623 8088 3608 8088 3605 8091
      3600 8132 3611 8155 3611 8181 3621 8191

$$

KK
208 
WGUS51 KRNK 290413
FFWRNK
NCC005-009-171-189-193-VAC035-077-141-640-291030-
/O.EXT.KRNK.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111129T1030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1113 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  ALLEGHANY COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
  ASHE COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
  SURRY COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
  WATAUGA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
  WILKES COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
  WESTERN PATRICK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
  CITY OF GALAX IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
  GRAYSON COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA
  CARROLL COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA

* UNTIL 530 AM EST TUESDAY.

* AT 1107 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR            
  INDICATED BANDS OF HEAVIER SHOWERS OVER THE WARNED AREA. ROUNDS OF 
  HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST 2 AM CAUSING       
  ADDITIONAL FLOODING PROBLEMS.

* LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BOONE      
  NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO GALAX VIRGINIA...INCLUDING MANY        
  COMMUNITIES ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF AROUND 1 INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA.

EXCESSIVE RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLOODING OF SMALL
CREEKS AND STREAMS...HIGHWAYS AND UNDERPASSES. ADDITIONALLY...COUNTRY
ROADS AND FARMLANDS ALONG THE BANKS OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND OTHER LOW
LYING AREAS ARE SUBJECT TO FLOODING.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING INCLUDING MUDSLIDES...OR ROAD
CLOSURES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. DELAYED REPORTS ARE WELCOME.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 8189 3636 8181 3635 8173 3654 8171
      3666 8154 3671 8153 3681 8054 3672 8047
      3675 8039 3683 8034 3685 8012 3627 8070
      3628 8077 3623 8088 3608 8088 3605 8091
      3600 8132 3611 8155 3611 8181 3621 8191

$$

JH
389 
WGUS71 KRNK 290518
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
1218 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

NCC005-009-171-189-193-VAC035-077-141-640-291030-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111129T1030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-SURRY NC-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-PATRICK VA-
CITY OF GALAX VA-GRAYSON VA-CARROLL VA-
1218 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM EST FOR THE 
CITY OF 
GALAX...ALLEGHANY...ASHE...SURRY...WATAUGA...WILKES...WESTERN 
PATRICK...GRAYSON AND CARROLL COUNTIES...

AT 1208 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE AN AREA OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN MOVING NORTH OVER THE 
WARNED AREA. 

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO BOONE NORTH 
CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO GALAX VIRGINIA...INCLUDING MANY COMMUNITIES 
ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE 
WARNED AREA. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO CAUSE SMALL STREAM FLOODING 
ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION. THE WATAUGA RIVER AT SUGAR GROVE REMAINS 
WELL ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND WILL LIKELY REMAIN FLOODED THROUGH 
MORNING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING INCLUDING MUDSLIDES...OR ROAD
CLOSURES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. DELAYED REPORTS ARE WELCOME.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 8189 3636 8181 3635 8173 3654 8171
      3666 8154 3671 8153 3681 8054 3672 8047
      3675 8039 3683 8034 3685 8012 3627 8070
      3628 8077 3623 8088 3608 8088 3605 8091
      3600 8132 3611 8155 3611 8181 3621 8191

$$

JH
333 
WGUS71 KRNK 290715
FFSRNK

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
215 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

NCC005-009-171-189-193-VAC035-077-141-640-291030-
/O.CON.KRNK.FF.W.0088.000000T0000Z-111129T1030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-SURRY NC-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-PATRICK VA-
CITY OF GALAX VA-GRAYSON VA-CARROLL VA-
215 AM EST TUE NOV 29 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 530 AM 
EST FOR THE CITY OF GALAX...ALLEGHANY...ASHE...SURRY...
WATAUGA...WILKES...WESTERN PATRICK...GRAYSON AND CARROLL COUNTIES...

AT 204 AM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SHOWED THAT 
THE BACK EDGE OF THE HEAVIER RAIN WAS SHIFTING NORTH OUT OF PORTIONS 
OF THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS. THE RAIN SHIELD SHOULD CONTINUE TO 
PUSH NORTH AND GRADUALLY EXIT MOST OF THE WARNED AREA BY 5 AM. THIS 
SHOULD START TO ALLEVIATE ONGOING FLOODING ACROSS WATAUGA AND ASHE 
COUNTIES. 

AT 145 AM...DEERFIELD ROAD REMAINED FLOODED NEAR BLOWING ROCK WITH 
MANY LOW WATER BRIDGES REPORTED FLOODED ALONG THE NEW RIVER. THE 
WATAUGA RIVER HAD CRESTED NEAR SUGAR GROVE BUT WILL CONTINUE TO 
CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS INTO EARLY THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE
UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS
SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. NEVER DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO
AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. FLOOD WATERS ARE USUALLY
DEEPER THAN THEY APPEAR. JUST ONE FOOT OF FLOWING WATER IS POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO SWEEP VEHICLES OFF THE ROAD. WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED
ROADS MAKE THE SMART CHOICE...TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

PLEASE RELAY ANY REPORTS OF FLOODING INCLUDING MUDSLIDES...OR ROAD
CLOSURES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BLACKSBURG BY CALLING
TOLL FREE...1...8 6 6...2 1 5...4 3 2 4. DELAYED REPORTS ARE WELCOME.

&&

LAT...LON 3632 8189 3636 8181 3635 8173 3654 8171
      3666 8154 3671 8153 3681 8054 3672 8047
      3675 8039 3683 8034 3685 8012 3627 8070
      3628 8077 3623 8088 3608 8088 3605 8091
      3600 8132 3611 8155 3611 8181 3621 8191

$$

JH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Blacksburg, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Nov 28, 4:02 PM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 28, 4:02 PM EST, 1 hour 25 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
402 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL LIFT NORTHEAST ALONG THE APPALACHIANS
OVERNIGHT. THIS WILL BRING A SWATH OF HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE
AREA...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE...AND ALSO STRONG
SOUTHEAST WINDS. AS COLDER AIR ARRIVES BEHIND THIS SYSTEM...SNOW
SHOWERS WILL OCCUR IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS FROM TUESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN LATER
WEDNESDAY AND PREVAIL THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
WATER VAPOR SHOWS THE UPPER LOW OVER MISSISSIPPI LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND MODELS INDICATE THE LOW IS STILL DEEPENING. JET
ENERGY APPEARS TO BE ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE UPPER LOW AND IS
LIFTING TO THE NORTH INTO THE SRN APPLNS. AS THIS UPPER LOW LIFTS
NEWD OVERNIGHT...THE SWATCH OF SHOWERS ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
SYSTEM WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD. THESE HEAVY SHOWERS ARE
ALREADY AS FAR EAST AS WATAUGA AND ASHE COUNTIES IN NC. WITH A
STRONG DEEP SOUTHEAST FLOW...I SEE NO REASON WHY THERE WON/T BE
HEAVY RAIN THAT MOVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA- ESPECIALLY ALONG
THE BLUE RIDGE WHERE UPSLOPE ENHANCEMENT MAY BRING A GOOD 3 TO 4
INCHES. I HAVE EXTENDED THE FLOOD WATCH FURTHER NE TO INCLUDE THE
REST OF THE CWA ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE NE OF ROANOKE. SEE HYDRO
SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS. THE BROAD SWATH OF RAIN WILL BE EXITING
THE AREA TOWARD DAYBREAK- POSSIBLY LINGERING INTO THE MORNING IN
THE FAR NE...BUT THE MODELS DO INDICATE A DRY SLOT ACCELERATING
OVERNIGHT. AS THE COLD POOL MOVES ACROSS THE MTN SECTION OF THE
CWA TUESDAY AFTERNOON...MORE SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP. I HAVE LIKELY
POPS IN THE FAR WEST...DECREASING TO LOWER CHCS AS YOU HEAD
FURTHER EAST. TEMPS WILL BE COOLING FROM ALOFT...SO I EXPECT THE
RAIN TO CHANGE TO SNOW IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS OF THE NC MTNS IN
THE AFTERNOON..BUT WITH LITTLE ACCUMULATION AS THE GROUND SHOULD
BE WARM. STAYED CLOSE TO GUIDANCE FOR LOWS OVERNIGHT...WHICH WILL
BE MILD EXCEPT FOR FAR SW WHERE THERE WILL BE SOME COLD ADVECTION
TOWARD MORNING. HIGH TUESDAY WILL BE COOL WITH CONSIDERABLE CLOUD
COVER...AFTERNOON SHOWERS...AND COLD ADVECTION- ESPECIALLY IN THE
MTNS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
...AS OF 330 PM EST MONDAY...

BY TUESDAY EVENING...THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS MAKING RAPID
PROGRESS AWAY FROM OUR AREA...PUSHING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES INTO
SOUTHERN CANADA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL BECOME
INCREASINGLY WESTERLY BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY AS MUCH COOLER AIR BEGINS
TO FILTER INTO OUR AREA. WITH PLENTY OF RESIDUAL MOISTURE WRAPPING
AROUND THE DEPARTING SYSTEM GETTING FORCED OVER OUR WESTERN
RIDGE LINES...WILL BE LOOKING AT SNOW SHOWERS DEVELOPING FROM THE
ALLEGHANY HIGHLANDS THROUGH THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS OF NORTH
CAROLINA. THIS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE GRADUALLY SCOURS OUT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO
TAPER OFF AND FOR CLOUDS TO BREAK UP FROM EAST TO WEST. EXPECT BY
EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL END ACROSS
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA. HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD INTO OUR
REGION ON THURSDAY... RESULTING IN SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHERLY
WINDS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 230 PM EST MONDAY...

NORTHERN STREAM FLOW REMAIN ACTIVE FRIDAY SWINGING A COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE REGION. DECIDED TO ELIMINATE THE SLIGHT CHANCE IN THE
MOUNTAINS BECAUSE THE FRONT HAS LITTLE MOISTURE TO WORK WITH. THE
GFS AND ECMWF KEEP THE QPF TO OUR NORTH. EXPECT A QUICK SHOT OF COLD
ADVECTION FRIDAY NIGHT...HOWEVER THE MOISTURE APPEARS LIMITED AS IT
DOES NOT HAVE A TRAJECTORY OFF THE GREAT LAKES FOR VERY LONG. IF NEED
CAN ADD SOME UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS LATER. WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES
AROUND MINUS 6...KEPT COOLER FRIDAY NIGHT LOWS IN THE 20S IN THE
MOUNTAINS. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA SATURDAY...AND MOVES
TO THE COAST SUNDAY. SATURDAY WILL BE SEASONALLY COOL...AND THEN
THERE WILL BE A WARM-UP SUNDAY AS SOUTHWEST FLOW DEVELOPS. COLD
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST SUNDAY NIGHT AND MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION MONDAY. LEANED TOWARDS THE SLOWER ECMWF OVER THE QUICKER GFS
SOLUTION.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 1230 PM EST MONDAY...

DEEPENING SFC LOW OVER SE TN WILL LIFT SLOWLY NORTHWARD INTO THE
OHIO VALLEY BY TUE MORNING. THIS WILL KEEP A STRONG SE LOW LEVEL
JET INTO THE FORECAST AREA THROUGH TONIGHT...WHICH WILL CONTINUE
TO BRING ABUNDANT MOISTURE INTO THE FORECAST AREA. CEILINGS STILL
EXPECTED TO LOWER TO MVFR THEN DOWN TO IFR...BY 22Z/500 PM IN
THE MTNS...AND 00Z/700 PM IN THE PIEDMONT. LOWEST CIGS/VSBYS WILL
BE ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE...WHERE AREAS OF DRIZZLE AND FOG AND
MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. STILL HAVE
HIGH CONFIDENCE THAT DAN/ROA/LYH AND BCB WILL ALL BE IFR TONIGHT.
A BAND OF HEAVY SHOWERS WILL MOVE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE AREA AFFECTING ALL TAF SITES. BEHIND THIS LINE...CIGS
AND VSBY WILL LIFT QUICKLY AS WINDS SHIFT FROM THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST...TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST. THE STRONG LLJ WILL CREATE
LLWS AT ALL TAF SITES OVERNIGHT. THE LLWS WILL END WITH THE WIND
SHIFT BEHIND THE LINE OF HEAVY SHOWERS.

AS THE UPPER SYSTEM CROSSES THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY AND COLDER
AIR ARRIVES...ANY REMAINING PRECIPITATION IN THE MOUNTAINS WILL
CHANGE OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS BY TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. MVFR CEILINGS WILL MOVE BACK INTO AND PERSIST AT BLF
AND LWB THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

WIDESPREAD VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO RETURN FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
BANDS OF HEAVIER RAIN SHOWERS HAVE MADE IT AS FAR EAST AS THE NRN
NC MTNS. THESE BANDS WILL CONTINUE TO SHIFT SLOWLY EASTWARD INTO
TONIGHT. 4 KM NAM MODEL SHOWED UPSLOPE AMOUNTS ALONG THE BLUE
RIDGE OF .30 TO .50 AN HOUR FOR A GOOD 8 HOURS IN SPOTS. WOULD NOT
BE SURPRISED TO SEE 4+ INCHES STORM TOTAL IN THE FAVORED SE
UPSLOPE AREAS ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE. WE ALSO EXPECT A STRONG RAIN
SHADOW WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE...SO THAT RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE SW
MTNS AND SE WV MAY BE LESS THAN AN INCH. EXPECT THE OVERALL STORM
TOTAL TO CAUSE CREEKS AND STREAMS TO COME OUT OF THEIR
BANKS...ESPECIALLY NW NC MTNS/FOOTHILLS AND FAR SW VA BELOW
ROANOKE. MAIN CONCERN ON TOP OF THAT WILL BE WHEN THE FINAL
CONVECTIVE BAND MOVES THRU FROM SW TO NE...AND RAINFALL RATES MAY
BE 1 TO 2 INCHES AND HOUR...ON TOP THE HEAVY RAIN EARLIER. THIS
WOULD CAUSE RAPID RISES ON CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND WOULD NEED TO
BE HANDLED WITH FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS.

&&

.RNK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY FOR VAZ011-013-014-
     017>020.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY FOR VAZ007-009-010.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR VAZ012>017-022>024-
     032>035.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY FOR VAZ012-015-016.
NC...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NCZ002-003-019.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY FOR NCZ001-002-018.
     FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NCZ001-018.
WV...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY FOR WVZ044.
     HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY FOR WVZ042.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JH/JJ
NEAR TERM...JJ
SHORT TERM...NF
LONG TERM...KK
AVIATION...AMS/JJ
HYDROLOGY...
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 28, 4:10 PM EST, 1 hour 17 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
410 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

VAZ007-009-010-WVZ042-292115-
TAZEWELL-SMYTH-BLAND-MERCER-
410 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   HIGH WIND WARNING.

PERIODS OF STRONG WINDS...WITH GUSTS AS HIGH AS 60 MPH ALONG THE
HIGHER RIDGELINES...WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.
THESE STRONG WIND GUSTS...WHEN COMBINED WITH WET SOILS FROM
EXPECTED HEAVY RAINFALL...WILL BE CAPABLE OF DOWNING TREES AND
POWER LINES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ001-002-018-VAZ012>017-292115-
ASHE-ALLEGHANY NC-WATAUGA-WYTHE-PULASKI-MONTGOMERY-GRAYSON-CARROLL-
FLOYD-
410 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...
...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS...OCCASIONALLY AS HIGH AS 50 MPH ALONG THE
HIGHER RIDGELINES...WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

VAZ011-018>020-WVZ044-292115-
GILES-CRAIG-ALLEGHANY VA-BATH-MONROE-
410 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST TUESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WEST
CENTRAL VIRGINIA AND SOUTHEAST WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

PERIODS OF GUSTY WINDS...OCCASIONALLY AS HIGH AS 50 MPH ALONG THE
HIGHER RIDGELINES...WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NCZ003-019-VAZ022>024-032>035-292115-
SURRY-WILKES-ROANOKE-BOTETOURT-ROCKBRIDGE-PATRICK-FRANKLIN-BEDFORD-
AMHERST-
410 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA...NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA...CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTH
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST CENTRAL VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

PERIODS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT. MINOR FLOODING IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ALONG THE BLUE
RIDGE AND IN THE EASTERN FOOTHILLS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 28, 5:06 PM EST, 21 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
506 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

NCZ001>003-018>020-VAZ009-012-015>017-032-282330-
ALLEGHANY NC-ASHE NC-CARROLL VA-FLOYD VA-GRAYSON VA-PATRICK VA-
SMYTH VA-SURRY NC-WATAUGA NC-WILKES NC-WYTHE VA-YADKIN NC-
506 PM EST MON NOV 28 2011

...SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL AFFECT THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES:ALLEGHANY...ASHE...CARROLL...FLOYD...GRAYSON...PATRICK
...SMYTH...SURRY...WATAUGA...WILKES...WYTHE AND YADKIN COUNTIES...

AT 500 PM EST...SCATTERED SHOWERS WITH HEAVY RAIN WERE LOCATED OVER
WATAUGA...ASHE AND WILKES COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
ESPECIALLY ALONG THE BLUE RIDGE MOUNTAINS...MOVING NORTH AT 35 MPH.
THESE STORMS WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ACROSS THE REGION THIS EVENING.
RAINFALL RATES OF TWO TENTHS TO A HALF INCH PER HOUR ARE EXPECTED.
ANY THUNDERSTORM COULD PRODUCE A QUICK INCH OF RAIN. VISIBILITY
COULD DROP BELOW TWO MILES WITH HEAVIER BANDS OF RAIN.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. VERY HEAVY RAIN
WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS
AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

STORMS WILL BE NEAR BOONE...RUTHERWOOD...SANDS...DEEP GAP...AND
SILVERSTONE AROUND 510 PM...TODD...MEAT CAMP...CASCADE FALLS...AND
SUMMIT AROUND 515 PM...FLEETWOOD AND AND FAIRPLAINS AROUND 530 PM.

LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE MEDIA OUTLET FOR LATER
UPDATES OR POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

LAT...LON 3628 8191 3634 8185 3636 8181 3635 8173
      3641 8175 3647 8170 3654 8171 3658 8169
      3663 8161 3674 8168 3696 8158 3677 8020
      3605 8095 3601 8134 3607 8142 3611 8155
      3611 8181 3619 8185 3621 8191

KK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Blacksburg, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 28, 11:42 AM ESTFlood WatchRNKAmherst, Bedford, Botetourt, Carroll, Floyd, Franklin and 13 more18 hr
Nov 28, 11:52 AM ESTHigh Wind WarningRNKBland, Smyth, Tazewell16 hr
Nov 28, 5:06 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementRNKCarroll, Grayson, Smyth, City of Galax84 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2011Flash Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2011Every flash flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.