Alert archive / West Virginia / Winter Storm Watches in 2011
Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS Charleston, WV
NWS Charleston, WV issued this winter storm watch at Jan 18, 2011, 2:30 PM EST for 7 counties in Ohio; 14 counties in West Virginia. It took effect at Jan 20, 2011, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 18, 2011, 2:30 PM EST (19:30 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 20, 2011, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Jan 19, 2011, 3:46 PM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Charleston, WV
All 21 counties
Athens County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Perry County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Barbour County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV
The radar
The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 108 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:32 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Pittsburgh, PA (KPIT), launched 12:00Z, 7.5 hours before the alert went out and 165 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 783 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 37 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 178 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 174 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
155 WWUS41 KRLX 181930 WSWRLX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 230 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... WVZ038-046-047-190330- /O.NEW.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110120T2100Z-110122T0600Z/ WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COWEN...MARLINTON...ELKINS 230 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW SHOWERS * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 6 TO 8 INCHES IN 24 HOURS. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
4 follow-up statements
244 WWUS41 KRLX 190305 WSWRLX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 1005 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT... WVZ038-046-047-191115- /O.CON.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110120T2100Z-110122T0600Z/ WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COWEN...MARLINTON...ELKINS 1005 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 6 TO 8 INCHES IN 24 HOURS. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
308 WWUS41 KRLX 191016 WSWRLX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 516 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... KYZ101>103-OHZ086-087-WVZ007-191830- /O.NEW.KRLX.WW.Y.0005.110120T1800Z-110121T1200Z/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-GALLIA-LAWRENCE-MASON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...RUSSELL...RACELAND... GRAYSON...OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON... SOUTH POINT...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN 516 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 4 INCHES. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ KYZ105-WVZ005-006-008-013>016-024>027-191830- /O.NEW.KRLX.WW.Y.0005.110120T2100Z-110121T1500Z/ LAWRENCE-WAYNE-CABELL-JACKSON-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-MINGO- LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE... HUNTINGTON...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN... WEST HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON... SOUTH CHARLESTON...SPENCER...WILLIAMSON...GILBERT CREEK... CHATTAROY...AMHERSTDALE-ROBINETTE...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE... MALLORY...SWITZER...HOLDEN...MAN...MADISON...CLAY 516 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: PREDOMINANTLY SNOW. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW AT THE ONSET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COAL FIELDS. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 3 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS TO 4 INCHES. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ OHZ066-067-075-076-083>085-WVZ009>011-191830- /O.EXB.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110120T1800Z-110121T1200Z/ PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-VINTON-MEIGS-WOOD- PLEASANTS-TYLER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...MALTA...STOCKPORT...ATHENS... MARIETTA...BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR... HAMDEN...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE 516 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 4 INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER TEENS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ WVZ017>020-028>032-039-040-191830- /O.EXB.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110120T2100Z-110121T1500Z/ WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON- TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE... PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE... FLATWOODS...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT... GRAFTON...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON 516 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 4 TO 6 INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN MID TO UPPER TEENS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$ WVZ038-046-047-191830- /O.EXT.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110121T0000Z-110122T0600Z/ WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COWEN...MARLINTON...ELKINS 516 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 6 TO 8 INCHES IN 24 HOURS. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR THURSDAY NIGHT...LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS OVERNIGHT. * WINDS: WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND BECOME GUSTY INTO FRIDAY. WIND GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...WITH HIGHER GUSTS ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS. * WIND CHILLS: WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY...PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
447 WWUS41 KRLX 191442 WSWRLX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 942 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... KYZ101>103-OHZ086-087-WVZ007-192245- /O.CON.KRLX.WW.Y.0005.110120T1800Z-110121T1200Z/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-MASON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT... POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN 942 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. ALLOW EXTRA TRAVEL TIME...SO YOU CAN DRIVE SLOWER AND SAFER ON THE UNTREATED ROADS. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ KYZ105-WVZ005-006-008-013>016-024>027-192245- /O.CON.KRLX.WW.Y.0005.110120T2100Z-110121T1500Z/ LAWRENCE KY-WAYNE-CABELL-JACKSON WV-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE- MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE... HUNTINGTON...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN... TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON... SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER...WILLIAMSON...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE... MAN...MADISON...CLAY 942 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: PREDOMINANTLY SNOW. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW AT THE ONSET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COAL FIELD COUNTIES. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 4 INCHES. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. ALLOW EXTRA TRAVEL TIME...SO YOU CAN DRIVE SLOWER AND SAFER. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ OHZ066-067-075-076-083>085-WVZ009>011-192245- /O.CON.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110120T1800Z-110121T1200Z/ PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-WOOD- PLEASANTS-TYLER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA... BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN... POMEROY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE 942 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 4 INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER TEENS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT WOULD IMPACT TRAVEL. CONSIDER CHANGING TRAVEL PLANS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS. && $$ WVZ017>020-028>032-039-040-192245- /O.CON.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110120T2100Z-110121T1500Z/ WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON- TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE... PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE... GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON... BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON 942 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 4 TO 6 INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN MID TO UPPER TEENS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONSIDER ADJUSTING TRAVEL PLANS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS. && $$ WVZ038-046-047-192245- /O.CON.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110121T0000Z-110122T0600Z/ WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEBSTER SPRINGS...MARLINTON...ELKINS 942 AM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 6 TO 8 INCHES IN 24 HOURS. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT...LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS OVERNIGHT. * WINDS: WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND BECOME GUSTY INTO FRIDAY. WIND GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...WITH HIGHER GUSTS ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS...CAUSING SOME BLOWING SNOW ON FRIDAY. * WIND CHILLS: WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY... PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. CONSIDER ADJUSTING TRAVEL PLANS DURING THIS TIME FRAME. CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS. && $$
741 WWUS41 KRLX 192046 WSWRLX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 346 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM TO AFFECT THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... KYZ101-OHZ086-087-200500- /O.UPG.KRLX.WW.Y.0005.110120T1800Z-110121T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KRLX.WS.W.0002.110120T1600Z-110121T1200Z/ GREENUP-GALLIA-LAWRENCE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...RUSSELL...RACELAND... GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT 346 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL THURSDAY EVENING AND THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S AFTER THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ OHZ066-067-075-076-083>085-WVZ009>011-200500- /O.UPG.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110120T1800Z-110121T1200Z/ /O.NEW.KRLX.WS.W.0002.110120T1600Z-110121T1200Z/ PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-VINTON-MEIGS-WOOD- PLEASANTS-TYLER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...MALTA...STOCKPORT...ATHENS... MARIETTA...BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR... HAMDEN...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE 346 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 4 TO 6 INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE UPPER TEENS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ WVZ017-019-020-031-032-200500- /O.UPG.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110120T2100Z-110121T1500Z/ /O.NEW.KRLX.WS.W.0002.110120T1600Z-110121T1200Z/ WIRT-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-HARRISON-TAYLOR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ELIZABETH...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO... WEST UNION...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON 346 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THURSDAY TO 7 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 4 TO 6 INCHES IN A 12 HOUR PERIOD...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN MID TO UPPER TEENS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ WVZ038-046-047-200500- /O.UPG.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110121T0000Z-110122T0600Z/ /O.EXB.KRLX.WW.Y.0005.110121T0000Z-110122T0600Z/ WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...COWEN...MARLINTON...ELKINS 346 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 6 TO 8 INCHES IN 24 HOURS. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT THURSDAY NIGHT...LASTING THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL THROUGH THE 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOW TO MID TEENS OVERNIGHT. * WINDS: WINDS WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND BECOME GUSTY INTO FRIDAY. WIND GUSTS 20 TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE...WITH HIGHER GUSTS ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS...CAUSING BLOWING SNOW ON FRIDAY. * WIND CHILLS: WIND CHILLS BELOW ZERO ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY... PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE RIDGE TOPS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ WVZ033>037-200500- /O.EXB.KRLX.WW.Y.0005.110121T0000Z-110122T0600Z/ MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WELCH...GARY...WAR...MULLENS...OCEANA... PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...MONTGOMERY... SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE 346 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THURSDAY TO 1 AM EST SATURDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. ALLOW EXTRA TRAVEL TIME...SO YOU CAN DRIVE SLOWER AND SAFER ON THE UNTREATED ROADS. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ WVZ018-028>030-039-040-200500- /O.UPG.KRLX.WS.A.0002.110120T2100Z-110121T1500Z/ /O.EXA.KRLX.WW.Y.0005.110120T2100Z-110121T1500Z/ CALHOUN-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-UPSHUR-BARBOUR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRANTSVILLE...SUTTON...GASSAWAY... BURNSVILLE...FLATWOODS...GLENVILLE...WESTON...BUCKHANNON... PHILIPPI...BELINGTON 346 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * ACCUMULATIONS: POTENTIAL FOR 4 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS LIKELY TO OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND INTO FRIDAY MORNING. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN MID TO UPPER TEENS OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ KYZ102-103-WVZ007-200500- /O.EXT.KRLX.WW.Y.0005.110120T2100Z-110121T1500Z/ CARTER-BOYD-MASON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAYSON...OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND... POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN 346 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND THURSDAY EVENING. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. ALLOW EXTRA TRAVEL TIME...SO YOU CAN DRIVE SLOWER AND SAFER ON THE UNTREATED ROADS. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$ KYZ105-WVZ005-006-008-013>016-024>027-200500- /O.CON.KRLX.WW.Y.0005.110120T2100Z-110121T1500Z/ LAWRENCE-WAYNE-CABELL-JACKSON-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-MINGO- LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LOUISA...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE... HUNTINGTON...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN... WEST HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON... SOUTH CHARLESTON...SPENCER...WILLIAMSON...GILBERT CREEK... CHATTAROY...AMHERSTDALE-ROBINETTE...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE... MALLORY...SWITZER...HOLDEN...MAN...MADISON...CLAY 346 PM EST WED JAN 19 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THURSDAY TO 10 AM EST FRIDAY. * PRECIPITATION TYPE: PREDOMINANTLY SNOW. THERE COULD BE A BRIEF MIXTURE OF RAIN AND SNOW AT THE ONSET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COAL FIELD COUNTIES. * ACCUMULATIONS: 2 TO 4 INCHES. * TIMING: THE HEAVIEST SNOW WILL FALL LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS: UNTREATED ROADS WILL LIKELY BECOME SNOW AND ICE COVERED. * TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S ONCE THE SNOW STARTS...WITH TEMPERATURES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE LOWER 20S OVERNIGHT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. ALLOW EXTRA TRAVEL TIME...SO YOU CAN DRIVE SLOWER AND SAFER. PLEASE REPORT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Jan 18, 12:53 PM EST, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 18, 12:53 PM EST, 1 hour 37 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 1253 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS... SHOWERS TODAY OR TONIGHT WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH TONIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WITH MORE WINTRY WEATHER. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST UPSLOPE REGION THIS MORNING. WITH MODELS SHOWING SOUTHEAST FLOW BREAKING DOWN IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...AND IT IS CURRENTLY NOT PRODUCING ANY PRECIPITATION...WILL KILL THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. MODELS SHOW A BAND OF PRECIPITATION INTRUDING INTO EASTERN KY AND EASTERN OH THIS MORNING. WILL RAMP UP POPS THERE WHILE LOWERING POPS IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA. COLD FRONT THEN PUSHES A BAND OF PRECIPITATION INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. CURRENT POPS WITH FRONT FAIRLY DECENT...SO WILL JUST MAKE SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS. APPEARS THAT THERE WILL BE A GOOD BREAK BETWEEN THE FRONTAL PRECIPITATION AND ANY NORTHWEST FLOW UPSLOPE...AS 850 MB TEMPERATURES ARE NOT COLD ENOUGH. THEREFORE WILL REDUCE POPS LATE TONIGHT. && .SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... CONFIDENCE INCREASING FOR A QUICK HITTING WINTER STORM FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT.... BRIEF UPSLOPE COMPONENT IN FLOW EARLY WEDNESDAY SHOULD TRIGGER SOME MTN SHSN BEFORE COLUMN DRIES OUT IN THE AFTN. ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO AMPLIFYING UPR TROF DIGGING SOUTH OUT OF CANADA. COLD FRONT WILL DROP THRU OH VALLEY LATE THURSDAY WITH A SFC WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG FRONT. NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM SOLUTIONS 24 HRS AGO EXCEPT TO NOTE THAT 00Z RUN OF GEM IS A LITTLE WEAKER FROM THE PAST FEW RUNS WHICH SHOWED A STRENGTHENING LOW ACROSS THE PIEDMONT. 00Z RUN OF THE NAM WAS THROWN OUT WITH ITS DEEPENING LOW TRACKING OVERHEAD WITH ALMOST FULLY PHASING SOLUTION...AMID A SHARPER AND SLOWER PROGRESSION OF UPR TROF. JUST CHECKED 06Z NAM AND IT HAS SINCE BACKED OFF SOME. AS ALWAYS TIMING IS EVERYTHING WITH REGARDS TO ANY AMNT OF PHASING OR LACK THEREOF. FOR THIS PACKAGE...MAINTAINED CONTINUITY FROM PREVIOUS FCST REGARDING TIMING AND ORIENTATION OF POP FIELDS. DID BUMP UP INTO CATEGORICAL THOUGH. STILL WORRIED ABOUT WARM WEDGE SNEAKING INTO SOUTHERN COALFIELDS AND UP WINDWARD SIDE OF SOUTHERN MTNS WITH INVERTED TROF. ANY WARM WEDGE WOULD ULTIMATELY DEPEND ON STRENGTH OF SFC WAVE/LOW AS IT MOVES THRU. AS IT STANDS...KEPT AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF I64 CORRIDOR SN WITH A BRIEF RA/SN MIX ACROSS AFOREMENTIONED LOCATIONS. MODEL CONSENSUS QPF/ABSENT NAM/ PUTS .25 TO .5 ACROSS THE AREA...WITH THE HIGHEST ACROSS SE OH INTO NORTHERN LOWLANDS AND NORTHERN MTNS. USING VARIOUS SNOW PROCEDURES...THIS TRANSLATES TO 2 TO 4 INCHES CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LOWLANDS...WITH 3 TO 5 ACROSS SE OH...AND 4 TO 6 NORTHERN LOWLANDS AND MTNS. WITH MOST OF THIS OCCURRING IN A 12 HR PERIOD...CONCERNS FOR WARNING CRITERIA SNOW ACROSS SE OH. GIVEN SOME LINGERING UNCERTAINTY TO STRENGTH OF SFC WAVE AND WARM WEDGE....ELECTED TO GO WITH A STRONGLY WORDED HWO ACROSS SE OH ATTM...WITH MENTION OF POSSIBLE ADVISORIES EVERYWHERE ELSE. IT SHOULD BE NOTED ECWMF IS NOT AS WET WITH THIS SYSTEM...GIVEN THE QUICK HITTING NATURE. BRIEF UPSLOPE REGIME SETS UP FOR FRIDAY. GIVEN GOOD CAA AND STRONG FLOW ALOFT...THINK MTNS COULD SEE ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS...ONLY LIMITED BY HOW PROGRESSIVE UPR TROF IS. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... ANOTHER INTERESTING WEATHER SYSTEM AFFECTING THE OHIO VALLEY THIS PERIOD...SIMILAR TO PAST SYSTEMS IN THIS VERY ACTIVE NAO SEASON. MODELS AGREE THERE WILL BE A NORTHERN STREAM AMPLIFYING UPPER TROUGH THAT DROPS OUT OF WESTERN CANADA INTO THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THURSDAY...WITH A SOUTHERN STREAM UPPER TROUGH THAT MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES. BOTH SYSTEMS EJECT EAST NORTHEAST TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY FRIDAY MORNING...FORMING A STRONG SURFACE LOW THERE. HOWEVER...MODELS DISAGREE ON THE AMOUNT OF AMPLIFICATION OF THE NORTHERN UPPER TROUGH AND IN THE PHASING OF THE TWO UPPER TROUGHS AS THEY MOVE ACROSS THE EASTERN U.S.. THIS AFFECTS THE STRENGTH...TRACK...AND SPEED OF THE ASSOCIATED TWO SURFACE LOWS...ONE THAT WOULD TRACK NORTHEAST JUST WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS...AND THE OTHER THAT WOULD TRACK ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES. THE EURO IS FLATTER AND FASTER...AND THE GEM AND NAM ARE MOST AMPLIFIED AND SLOWER. IN BETWEEN IS THE GFS...WHICH SEEMS THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION...A COMPROMISE. THIS SCENARIO ENTAILS A WEAKER SURFACE LOW LIFTING NORTHEAST JUST WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS OVER EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA...BEFORE SHIFTING ITS ENERGY TO THE COAST AND MERGING WITH THE STRONG SOUTHERN STREAM SURFACE LOW. BECAUSE OF THIS INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH AND MODEST WARM WEDGE JUST WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS...HAVE EXTENDED A MIX OF PRECIP FARTHER NORTH BETWEEN THE OHIO RIVER AND THE MOUNTAINS. THIS IS SUPPORTED IN THE LOW LEVEL THERMAL FIELDS OF THE GFS...BUT THIS WILL BE FOR A BRIEF PERIOD OF TIME THURSDAY AFTERNOON...AS THE LOW ALONG THE COAST QUICKLY TAKES OVER AND THE COLD AIR COLLAPSES THURSDAY EVENING. WE LOOK FOR SNOW GENERALLY WEST OF HTS-CKB LINE...A MIX EAST AND SOUTH OF THAT LINE...AND ALL SNOW IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. SINCE THIS SYSTEM WILL BE A PROGRESSIVE SYSTEM...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE THURSDAY OVER THE NORTHWEST THIRD...THEN TRANSITIONING TO AN UPSLOPE EVENT THURSDAY NIGHT. RIGHT NOW...GOING FOR A GENERAL 2 TO 4 INCH SNOW ACCUMULATION ENDING FRIDAY MORNING...WHIT ADDITIONAL MOUNTAIN ACCUMULATIONS FRIDAY. FOR TEMPS...SNEAKING TEMPS JUST ABOVE FREEZING IN THE WARM WEDGE...THEN RAPIDLY DROPPING THURSDAY EVENING IN THE STRONG COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE LOW. MAINLY UPSLOPE MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS FRIDAY BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BRIEFLY BUILDS IN LATER FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. A WEAK CLIPPER MAY BRING SOME SNOW SHOWERS LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS WILL BE MORE TO REINFORCE THE COLD AIR FOR THE WEEKEND. IN GENERAL...WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPS THIS WHOLE PERIOD. && .AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... STILL SEEING FEW CLOUDS FROM I-79 ON EAST...EXPECT THIS HOLE TO FILL IN DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL SWING THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY AND PUSH A COLD FRONT THROUGH IN THE 00Z-06Z PERIOD. EXPECTING ALL AREAS TO DROP TO MVFR CIG/VIS IN THE MAIN RAIN SHIELD ALONG/JUST BEHIND THE FRONT. A PERIOD OF IFR CIGS IS ALSO EXPECTED BEHIND THE BOUNDARY. COLDER AIR WILL SLOWLY CREEP IN...SO ANY CHANGEOVER TO SNOW WILL HAPPEN MAINLY LATE THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT. MVFR WITH SPOTTY IFR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 12Z. THEREAFTER...ACTIVITY FOCUSES ON THE MOUNTAINS WHILE CONDITIONS IMPROVE CLOSER TO THE OHIO RIVER. VFR SHOULD BE ATTAINED WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS BY 18Z. WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR FZDZ POTENTIAL TOMORROW AS MOISTURE BECOMES QUITE SHALLOW. FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM. ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING OF LOWER CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION WITH THE COLD FRONT COULD VARY. EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION: H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS. L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL. UTC 1HRLY 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 EST 1HRLY 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 CRW CONSISTENCY H H H M L L L L L L M L HTS CONSISTENCY M M M L L L L L L M L L BKW CONSISTENCY H H H M L L M M M M M M EKN CONSISTENCY H H L L H H M L L L M M PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H L L L L L L M L CKB CONSISTENCY H H L H L L L M M L M L AFTER 18Z WEDNESDAY... IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...AND AREA WIDE ON THURSDAY NIGHT IN SNOW. && .RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WV...NONE. OH...NONE. KY...NONE. VA...NONE. && SYNOPSIS...JMV/RPY/30 NEAR TERM...RPY SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM...JMV AVIATION...CL
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 18, 4:30 AM EST, 10 hours before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 430 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ083-085>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>008-011-013>020- 024>040-046-047-190930- GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-JACKSON OH-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH- DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-TYLER-LINCOLN- PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN- BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING- RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- 430 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWS TO THE AREA THURSDAY EVENING...INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. ADVISORIES WILL PROBABLY BE NEEDED AS THE EVENT DRAWS NEAR. THESE ADVISORIES MAY EXTEND THROUGH FRIDAY ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS DUE TO UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. OHZ066-067-075-076-084-WVZ009-010-190930- PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-VINTON-WOOD-PLEASANTS- 430 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING ACCUMULATING SNOWS TO THE AREA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A WINTER STORM WATCH MAY BE NEEDED SHOULD CONFIDENCE INCREASE FOR HEAVY SNOW. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Winter Storm Watches in West Virginia, 2011Winter Storm Watches in Ohio, 2011Every winter storm watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.