Severe Thunderstorm Warning 94, NWS Charleston, WV

727 
WWUS51 KRLX 232308
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
708 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

WVC019-039-087-232318-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110424T0000Z/
KANAWHA WV-FAYETTE WV-ROANE WV-
708 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHERN ROANE...EXTREME NORTH
CENTRAL FAYETTE AND EAST CENTRAL KANAWHA COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL
WEST VIRGINIA.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3821 8006 3821 8037 3826 8044 3821 8051
      3823 8117 3823 8118 3826 8121 3854 8094
      3882 8123 3889 8015 3859 7979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 270DEG 48KT 3870 8099 3853 8076
          3830 8105

$$

WVC007-013-015-021-041-067-075-083-097-101-240000-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110424T0000Z/
POCAHONTAS WV-NICHOLAS WV-LEWIS WV-RANDOLPH WV-GILMER WV-CLAY WV-
CALHOUN WV-BRAXTON WV-WEBSTER WV-UPSHUR WV-
708 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN UPSHUR...WEBSTER...BRAXTON...SOUTHERN CALHOUN...EASTERN
CLAY...SOUTHERN GILMER...SOUTHWESTERN RANDOLPH...SOUTH CENTRAL
LEWIS...NICHOLAS AND CENTRAL POCAHONTAS COUNTIES...

AT 706 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER
SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  THESE STORMS
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NICUT TO BIRCH RIVER TO
SWISS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 15 MILES SOUTH OF GRANTSVILLE
TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SUTTON TO 11 MILES SOUTH OF CLAY...MOVING
EAST AT 55 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
FRAMETOWN...SHOCK...DRENNAN...ROSEDALE...WILSIE...LITTLE BIRCH...
KESSLERS CROSS LANES...MUDDLETY...GASSAWAY...ERBACON...CEDARVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...BOGGS...EXCHANGE...CANVAS...CALVIN...CENTRALIA...
DIANA...BURNSVILLE...FLATWOODS...NETTIE...COWEN...CRAIGSVILLE...
HEATERS...CAMDEN ON GAULEY...UPPER GLADE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...FALLS
MILLS...RICHWOOD...BERGOO...WANETA...HACKER VALLEY...IRELAND...HOLLY
RIVER STATE PARK...CLEVELAND...KANAWHA HEAD...ROCK CAVE...
MONTERVILLE...EDEN...PICKENS...VALLEY HEAD...MINGO...SLATY FORK...
ALEXANDER...HELVETIA...ALTON...CHEAT BRIDGE...EDRAY...CASS SCENIC
RAILROAD...SNOWSHOE...MILL CREEK...MARLINTON...HUTTONSVILLE AND
DURBIN

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...I-79 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
42 AND 78.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST OHIO AND CENTRAL
WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3821 8006 3821 8037 3826 8044 3821 8051
      3823 8117 3823 8118 3826 8121 3854 8094
      3882 8123 3889 8015 3859 7979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 270DEG 48KT 3870 8099 3853 8076
          3830 8105

$$

09

205 
WWUS51 KRLX 232318
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
718 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

WVC007-013-015-021-041-067-075-083-097-101-240000-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110424T0000Z/
POCAHONTAS WV-NICHOLAS WV-LEWIS WV-RANDOLPH WV-GILMER WV-CLAY WV-
CALHOUN WV-BRAXTON WV-WEBSTER WV-UPSHUR WV-
718 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN UPSHUR...WEBSTER...BRAXTON...SOUTHERN CALHOUN...EASTERN
CLAY...SOUTHERN GILMER...SOUTHWESTERN RANDOLPH...SOUTH CENTRAL
LEWIS...NICHOLAS AND CENTRAL POCAHONTAS COUNTIES...

AT 715 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A BROKEN LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
QUARTER SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH.  
THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM FRAMETOWN TO 
BOGGS TO KESSLERS CROSS LANES...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SUTTON TO 13 MILES WEST OF WEBSTER SPRINGS TO 8 
MILES SOUTHWEST OF SUMMERSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
CANVAS...GASSAWAY...COWEN...CRAIGSVILLE...CAMDEN ON GAULEY...
EXCHANGE...LITTLE BIRCH...UPPER GLADE...ERBACON...BURNSVILLE...
FLATWOODS...HEATERS...NETTIE...CENTRALIA...FALLS MILLS...DIANA...
RICHWOOD...IRELAND...WALKERSVILLE...BERGOO...CLEVELAND...HACKER
VALLEY...KANAWHA HEAD...ROCK CAVE...SLATY FORK...HOLLY RIVER STATE
PARK...EDEN...WANETA...ALEXANDER...ALTON...PICKENS...SNOWSHOE...
HELVETIA...MONTERVILLE...MINGO...EDRAY...CASS SCENIC RAILROAD...CHEAT
BRIDGE...MILL CREEK...MARLINTON...HUTTONSVILLE...DURBIN AND VALLEY
HEAD

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...I-79 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
43 AND 78.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3821 8006 3821 8037 3826 8044 3821 8051
      3823 8117 3823 8118 3826 8121 3854 8094
      3882 8123 3889 8015 3859 7979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2318Z 270DEG 48KT 3860 8081 3842 8059
          3820 8089

$$

09

007 
WWUS51 KRLX 232327
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
727 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

WVC013-015-021-232336-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110424T0000Z/
GILMER WV-CLAY WV-CALHOUN WV-
727 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN CALHOUN...EASTERN
CLAY AND SOUTHERN GILMER COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT 
SATURDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3821 8006 3821 8037 3826 8044 3821 8051
      3824 8078 3857 8058 3884 8077 3885 8075
      3889 8015 3859 7979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 270DEG 48KT 3879 8063 3857 8045
          3835 8061

$$

WVC007-041-067-075-083-097-101-240000-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110424T0000Z/
POCAHONTAS WV-NICHOLAS WV-LEWIS WV-RANDOLPH WV-BRAXTON WV-WEBSTER WV-
UPSHUR WV-
727 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN UPSHUR...WEBSTER...EASTERN BRAXTON...SOUTHWESTERN
RANDOLPH...SOUTH CENTRAL LEWIS...EAST CENTRAL NICHOLAS AND CENTRAL
POCAHONTAS COUNTIES...

AT 724 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A BROKEN LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG 
A LINE EXTENDING FROM HEATERS TO DIANA TO CRAIGSVILLE...OR ALONG A 
LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES NORTH OF SUTTON TO 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF 
WEBSTER SPRINGS TO 11 MILES NORTHWEST OF RICHWOOD...MOVING EAST AT 55
MPH.

THIS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATE...I-79 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS
67 AND 78.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING DESTRUCTIVE WINDS. SEEK 
SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS!

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3821 8006 3821 8037 3826 8044 3821 8051
      3824 8078 3857 8058 3884 8077 3885 8075
      3889 8015 3859 7979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2326Z 270DEG 48KT 3879 8063 3857 8045
          3835 8061

$$

09

065 
WWUS51 KRLX 232339
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
739 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

WVC007-067-232347-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110424T0000Z/
NICHOLAS WV-BRAXTON WV-
739 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EASTERN BRAXTON AND EAST
CENTRAL NICHOLAS COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THESE 
COUNTIES.
 
PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3821 8006 3821 8037 3824 8038 3830 8051
      3862 8034 3881 8048 3883 8047 3886 8052
      3887 8052 3889 8015 3859 7979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 270DEG 48KT 3881 8037 3857 8030
          3845 8034

$$

WVC041-075-083-097-101-240000-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110424T0000Z/
POCAHONTAS WV-LEWIS WV-RANDOLPH WV-WEBSTER WV-UPSHUR WV-
739 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN UPSHUR...EASTERN WEBSTER...SOUTHWESTERN RANDOLPH...SOUTH
CENTRAL LEWIS AND CENTRAL POCAHONTAS COUNTIES...

AT 733 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE A BROKEN LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING 
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG 
A LINE EXTENDING FROM IRELAND TO 7 MILES NORTH OF WEBSTER SPRINGS TO 
WEBSTER SPRINGS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES SOUTH OF 
WESTON TO 7 MILES NORTH OF WEBSTER SPRINGS TO WEBSTER 
SPRINGS...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN ADDITION TO DAMAGING WINDS...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING 
IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS. MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY! LIGHTNING 
IS ONE OF NATURES NUMBER ONE KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR 
THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3821 8006 3821 8037 3824 8038 3830 8051
      3862 8034 3881 8048 3883 8047 3886 8052
      3887 8052 3889 8015 3859 7979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2337Z 270DEG 48KT 3881 8037 3857 8030
          3845 8034

$$

09

900 
WWUS51 KRLX 232358
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
758 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

WVC041-075-083-097-101-240007-
/O.EXP.KRLX.SV.W.0094.000000T0000Z-110424T0000Z/
POCAHONTAS WV-LEWIS WV-RANDOLPH WV-WEBSTER WV-UPSHUR WV-
758 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN UPSHUR...EASTERN
WEBSTER...SOUTHWESTERN RANDOLPH...SOUTH CENTRAL LEWIS AND CENTRAL
POCAHONTAS COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 800 PM EDT...

THE STORMS THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE 
LIMITS AND NO LONGER POSE A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT...THUS THE SEVERE 
THUNDERSTORM WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER THE WEAKER 
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA MAY STILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS AND PEA SIZE 
HAIL.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT
SATURDAY EVENING FOR CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL OR STRONG WINDS TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...877-633-6772...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3821 8006 3821 8037 3824 8038 3830 8051
      3862 8034 3881 8048 3883 8047 3886 8052
      3887 8052 3889 8015 3859 7979
TIME...MOT...LOC 2357Z 270DEG 48KT 3871 8002 3846 7996
          3835 8001

$$

09

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
411 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH MULTIPLE BOUTS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. FRONT
LIFTS NORTH BY MONDAY...BUT MORE STORMS WITH A COLD FRONT MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
STILL AWAITING THE CONVECTION AT THIS HOUR WITH CAPE SLOWLY
INCREASING AND CIN DECREASING.

BANKING ON THE OSCILLATIONS OF THE FRONT OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS...AND HAVE EXTENDED THE DURATION OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH INTO
SUNDAY EVENING. CREEKS...STREAMS...AND SOILS ARE STILL
SATURATED...AND THE THRESHOLD FOR ADDITIONAL RAIN TO CREATE PROBLEMS
OR ADD TO EXISTING PROBLEMS IS LOW.

CARRY THE LIKELY TO CATEGORICAL POPS ALONG THE OHIO RIVER AND NORTH
INTO SUNDAY GIVEN THE SET UP OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. STILL HAVE
CONCERNS ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR MULTIPLE CONVECTIVE SYSTEMS
AFFECTING THE AREA...RIDING ALONG THE BOUNDARY. HAVE TWO SEPARATE
SYSTEMS CURRENTLY IN SOUTHWEST OHIO AND NORTHERN KENTUCKY...AND
MOVING FROM SOUTHEAST MISSOURI INTO FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY. EXPECT
THESE TO HAVE AN IMPACT ON OUR AREA EVENTUALLY. BOTH HAVE CLOUD TOPS
TO -70C.

KEPT THE OVERNIGHT LOWS ON THE HIGHER SIDE OF GUIDANCE TONIGHT WITH
CLOUDS AND CONTINUED SOUTHERLY FLOW. CONVERSELY...KEPT THE NORTHERN
CWA COOLER SUNDAY WITH RAIN...EXCEPT FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN CWA.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
COMPLEX PATTERN CONTINUES INTO MON MORNING...AS FRONT ALONG WHICH
COMPLEXES MIGRATE...REMAINS NEAR NW PORTION OF FORECAST AREA.  TOUGH
TO TIME SUCH COMPLEXES IN THE NEAR TERM...LET ALONE THE SHORT
TERM...ESPECIALLY AS CONVECTION ITSELF REDEFINES BOUNDARY /IES/.

PW VALUES CONTINUE AS HIGH AS 1.5 IN JUST S OF FRONT WHILE CAPE
VALUES GET TO A GRAND OR BETTER DURING THE AFTERNOON.  GIVEN THE
SHEAR ENVIRONMENT...THE DUAL SEVERE / FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES WITH
ANY OF THESE COMPLEXES.  COMPLEXES TRACKING ACROSS THE SAME AREA
ALSO GIVE RISE TO A PERSISTENT FLOOD THREAT.

DURING MON...UPPER FLOW BACKING TO THE SW ON ACCOUNT OF RIDGING TO
THE E AND S/W TROF APPROACHING FROM THE W...SHOULD PUSH THE FRONT
FARTHER N...GREATLY REDUCING THE AMOUNT OF CONVECTION AND THE
ASSOCIATED AFOREMENTIONED THREATS.

GENERAL INSTABILITY AND HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT COULD LEAD TO WARM
SECTOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION MON AFTERNOON AND THEN
ESPECIALLY TUE AFTERNOON...WITH RIPPLES IN THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW
TUE.  THERE IS SOME QUESTION AS TO WHETHER A MORE BONAFIDE RIPPLE
MATERIALIZES FOR LATE TUE AND TUE NT...WARRANTING AT LEAST CHANCE
POPS THEN.

MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO HIGHS MON AND TUE WITH THE AID OF
ADJMET AND CONSALL...WITH WARM AFTERNOONS ON TAP BOTH DAYS.  SIMILAR
MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE ON LOWS SUN NT THROUGH TUE NT...WITH MON
AND TUE NIGHTS BEING PARTICULARLY MILD.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
PRETTY MUCH ROLLED CLOSE TO HPC SOLUTION THRU EXTENDED GIVEN ONGOING
WX SITUATION. AREA FINALLY GETS IN ON PATTERN CHANGE WITH DEEP TROF
CARVED OUT IN MID SECTION OF CONUS WHICH SLOWLY MIGRATES EAST INTO
OUR NECK OF THE WOODS BY WEEKS END. HOWEVER...TO GET THERE...AREA
MUST CONTEND WITH A ANOTHER BIG RAIN MAKER TOWARD THURSDAY. IT
APPEARS THAT SFC CYCLOGENESIS WILL HANG UP FRONT JUST TO THE WEST
WEDNESDAY...KEEPING BULK OF PCPN WEST. WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE BREEZY
WITH STRONG DOWNSLOPING HELPING TO KEEP MORE SUN IN FCST FOR MUCH OF
THE DAY. EXCEPTION BEING EASTERN SLOPES WHERE MORE IN THE WAY OF
UPSLOPE CLDS WILL BE PRESENT. AS DEEPENING SFC LOW HEADS NORTH INTO
GREAT LAKES...AND BECOME OCCLUDED...COLD FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MARCH
EAST INTO AREA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. EXPECT A
GOOD SHOT OF RAIN WITH THIS BUT HOPING IT WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE
ENOUGH. HOWEVER...CONVECTIVE ELEMENT WILL UNDOUBTEDLY RESULT IN
HIGHER RAINFALL RATES.

BEHIND FRONT...GOOD CAA AND STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL KEEP
CLDS PLENTIFUL ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. COULD SEE SOME UPSLOPE SHRA
AS WELL.

SFC HIGH WILL BUILD IN FOR SATURDAY RESULTING A RETURN TO SUNSHINE
AND DRY WX.

STARTED WITH HPC FOR TEMPS...TWEAKING LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT HIGHER IN
WAA FLOW AND NUDGING DOWN HIGHS FRIDAY IN CAA PARTICULARLY ACROSS
THE HIGH TERRAIN.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR WHEN NOT IN CONVECTION...UNLESS IT IS INVOLVED WITH TRAILING
STRATIFORM RAIN...WHEN MVFR CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE. HTS AND PKB ARE
MOST VULNERABLE TO THE CONVECTION TODAY...WITH CHANCES LINGERING
IN CRW...CKB...AND EKN. IFR POSSIBLE BRIEFLY IN THESE
STORMS...WITH GUSTS TO 45KTS POSSIBLE. RIGHT NOW...DO NOT HAVE
TSRA IN THE TAFS...BUT CARRYING THE THREAT WITH CB INSTEAD. FIGURE
AN AMENDMENT OR TWO IS LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING. BKW SHOULD
ESCAPE THE ACTION.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING OF STORMS WILL VARY. ATMOSPHERE IN THE
POST CONVECTIVE ENVIRONMENT MAY NOT MATCH TAFS...REQUIRING
AMENDMENTS.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
BKW CONSISTENCY  M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    H    M    H    M    H    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    M    H    H    M    H    H    H    H    M    H    H

AFTER 18Z SUNDAY...
POSSIBLE IFR FROM THUNDERSTORM BATCHES THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT...MAINLY IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...NORTHEAST KENTUCKY... AND INTO
NORTHERN WV.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR WVZ006>011-
     014>020-027>032-037>040-046-047.
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR OHZ066-067-075-
     076-083>087.
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR KYZ101>103.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...26/TRM/30
NEAR TERM...26
SHORT TERM...TRM
LONG TERM...30
AVIATION...26

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
451 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

OHZ066-067-075-076-084-WVZ032-037>040-046-047-242100-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-VINTON-TAYLOR-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-
BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
451 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OHIO...CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA FOR
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

VAZ003-004-WVZ024-025-033>036-242100-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-MINGO-LOGAN-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-
451 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

KYZ101>103-OHZ083-085>087-WVZ006>011-014>020-027>031-242100-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-JACKSON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE-CABELL-MASON-WOOD-
PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-
CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-
451 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 188 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA...PART OF SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA FOR
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

KYZ105-WVZ005-013-026-242100-
LAWRENCE-WAYNE-LINCOLN-BOONE-
451 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 188 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHERN
WEST VIRGINIA AND WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA FOR
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

TRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA
645 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0627 PM     HAIL             SCOTT DEPOT             38.45N 81.90W
04/23/2011  U0.50 INCH       PUTNAM             WV   PUBLIC

&&

NNNN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
646 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 ENE IRONTON           38.57N  82.58W
04/23/2011                   LAWRENCE           OH   PUBLIC

            TREES DOWN ALONG 141 NEAR KITTS

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100493

TAX

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
647 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FLATWOODS               38.52N  82.72W
04/23/2011                   GREENUP            KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES AND POWER LINES DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100494

RPY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
648 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ASHLAND                 38.46N  82.64W
04/23/2011                   BOYD               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            DOWNED TREES AND POWER LINES.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100495

RPY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
649 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0516 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ASHLAND                 38.46N  82.64W
04/23/2011                   BOYD               KY   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREE DOWN ON CAR AT CITY PARK.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100496

RPY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, WV
650 PM EDT SAT APR 23 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SE LAKE VESUVIUS      38.60N  82.60W
04/23/2011                   LAWRENCE           OH   PUBLIC

            ROOFS REPORTED OFF HOUSES...AND MULTIPLE TREES DOWN
            ALONG ELLISONVILLE RIDGE ROAD IN UPPER TOWNSHIP

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1100497

TAX