Flood Watch 3, NWS Charleston, WV

Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Athens County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Perry County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Buchanan County, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Barbour County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

533 
WGUS61 KRLX 271536
FFARLX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1036 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

WVZ027-028-037>040-047-272345-
/O.EXA.KRLX.FA.A.0003.110228T0500Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CLAY-BRAXTON-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...
BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...ELKINS
1036 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA AND 
  NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN 
  CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA...BRAXTON...CLAY...NICHOLAS AND WEBSTER. 
  IN NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...RANDOLPH AND UPSHUR.

* FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF STORM 
  TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY 
  SATURATED IN MANY COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...FLOODING IS 
  POSSIBLE. 

* THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.
  HOWEVER...THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING.
  ANY RIVER FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO TUESDAY...WELL AFTER THE
  HEAVIER RAIN HAS EXITED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE WATERWAYS...AND COUNTY OFFICIALS...
SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS. MONITOR WATER LEVELS
PERIODICALLY IF HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.


&&

$$

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-013>020-
024>026-029>032-272345-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0003.110228T0500Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-
JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-
CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-
TAYLOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA...
BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...
POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...
WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...
RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...
PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...
HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...
SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...
GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...WILLIAMSON...
LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...GLENVILLE...WESTON...
CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON
1036 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST 
 VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST 
 KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN 
 SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH...
 MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST 
 VIRGINIA...BOONE...CABELL...CALHOUN...DODDRIDGE...GILMER...
 HARRISON...JACKSON WV...KANAWHA...LEWIS...LINCOLN...LOGAN...
 MASON...MINGO...PLEASANTS...PUTNAM...RITCHIE...ROANE...
 TAYLOR...TYLER...WAYNE...WIRT AND WOOD.

* FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF STORM 
  TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY 
  SATURATED IN MANY COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...FLOODING IS 
  POSSIBLE. 

* THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.
  HOWEVER...THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING.
  ANY RIVER FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO TUESDAY...WELL AFTER THE
  HEAVIER RAIN HAS EXITED. EVEN THE OHIO RIVER WILL SEE A STRONG
  RISE...AND WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED INTO MID WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE WATERWAYS...AND COUNTY OFFICIALS...
SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS.  MONITOR WATER LEVELS
PERIODICALLY IF HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP.

&&

$$

KTB

501 
WGUS61 KRLX 271925
FFARLX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
225 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

VAZ003-004-WVZ033>036-046-280330-
/O.EXA.KRLX.FA.A.0003.110228T0500Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-POCAHONTAS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY...VANSANT...WELCH...
GARY...WAR...MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...OAK HILL...
FAYETTEVILLE...MARLINTON
225 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS EXPANDED THE

* FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST
  VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHWEST
  VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...
  FAYETTE...MCDOWELL...POCAHONTAS...RALEIGH AND WYOMING.

* FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* ONE TO 2 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH
  MONDAY EVENING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED IN MANY
  COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

* THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.
  HOWEVER...THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING.
  ANY RIVER FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO TUESDAY...WELL AFTER THE
  HEAVIER RAIN HAS EXITED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE WATERWAYS...PLUS COUNTY AND STATE
OFFICIALS...SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS. MONITOR
WATER LEVELS PERIODICALLY IF HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS. BE PREPARED TO
TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP...OR A WARNING IS POSTED.

&&

$$

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-013>020-
024>032-037>040-047-280330-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0003.110228T0500Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-
JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-
CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-
LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA...
BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...
POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...
WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...
RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...
PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...
HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...
SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...
GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...WILLIAMSON...
LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...
BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...
GRAFTON...SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...
WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...ELKINS
225 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT
THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST 
  VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST 
  KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN 
  SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH...
  MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST 
  VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE...BRAXTON...CABELL...CALHOUN...
  CLAY...DODDRIDGE...GILMER...HARRISON...JACKSON WV...KANAWHA...
  LEWIS...LINCOLN...LOGAN...MASON...MINGO...NICHOLAS...
  PLEASANTS...PUTNAM...RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...
  TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE...WEBSTER...WIRT AND WOOD.

* FROM MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* ONE TO 2 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH
  MONDAY EVENING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED IN MANY
  COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

* THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND 
  CREEKS. HOWEVER...THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER 
  FLOODING. ANY RIVER FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO TUESDAY...WELL 
  AFTER THE HEAVIER RAIN HAS EXITED. EVEN THE OHIO RIVER WILL 
  SEE A STRONG RISE...AND WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED INTO MID 
  WEEK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE WATERWAYS...PLUS COUNTY AND
STATE OFFICIALS...SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS.
MONITOR WATER LEVELS PERIODICALLY IF HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS. BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP...OR A WARNING IS
POSTED.

&&

$$

KTB

874 
WGUS61 KRLX 280307
FFARLX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1007 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>040-046-047-281115-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0003.110228T0500Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-
WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-
KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-
CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA...
BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...
POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...CLINTWOOD...
GRUNDY...VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...
VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...
MIDDLEBOURNE...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...
HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...
SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...
WEST UNION...WILLIAMSON...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...
CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...
CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR...
MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...FAYETTEVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...
BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS
1007 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH MONDAY EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST
  VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... IN
  NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY.
  IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH... LAWRENCE
  OH...MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN
  SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST
  VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE...BRAXTON...CABELL...CALHOUN...
  CLAY...DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER...HARRISON...JACKSON WV...
  KANAWHA...LEWIS...LINCOLN...LOGAN...MASON...MCDOWELL...MINGO...
  NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS...POCAHONTAS...PUTNAM...RALEIGH...
  RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE...
  WEBSTER...WIRT...WOOD AND WYOMING.

* THROUGH MONDAY EVENING

* ONE TO 2 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH
  MONDAY EVENING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED IN MANY
  COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...FLOODING IS POSSIBLE.

* THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS.
  HOWEVER...THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING.
  ANY RIVER FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO TUESDAY...WELL AFTER THE
  HEAVIER RAIN HAS EXITED. EVEN THE OHIO RIVER WILL SEE A STRONG
  RISE...AND WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED INTO MID WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE WATERWAYS...PLUS COUNTY AND
STATE OFFICIALS...SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS.
MONITOR WATER LEVELS PERIODICALLY IF HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS. BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP...OR A WARNING IS
POSTED.

&&

$$

TRM

416 
WGUS61 KRLX 280836
FFARLX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
336 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>040-046-047-281645-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-
WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-
KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-
CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-
RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA...
BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...
POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...CLINTWOOD...
GRUNDY...VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...
VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...
MIDDLEBOURNE...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...
HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...
SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...
WEST UNION...WILLIAMSON...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...
CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...
CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR...
MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...FAYETTEVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...
BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS
336 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST 
 VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
 IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE 
 KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...
 LAWRENCE OH...MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. 
 IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST 
 VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE...BRAXTON...CABELL...CALHOUN...
 CLAY...DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER...HARRISON...JACKSON WV...
 KANAWHA...LEWIS...LINCOLN...LOGAN...MASON...MCDOWELL...MINGO...
 NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS...POCAHONTAS...PUTNAM...RALEIGH...
 RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE...
 WEBSTER...WIRT...WOOD AND WYOMING.

* THROUGH THIS EVENING

* ONE TO 2 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED THROUGH 
 MONDAY EVENING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED IN MANY 
 COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. 

* THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND 
 CREEKS. HOWEVER...THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER 
 FLOODING. ANY RIVER FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO TUESDAY...WELL 
 AFTER THE HEAVIER RAIN HAS EXITED. EVEN THE OHIO RIVER WILL 
 SEE A STRONG RISE...AND WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED INTO MID 
 WEEK. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE WATERWAYS...PLUS COUNTY AND
STATE OFFICIALS...SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS.
MONITOR WATER LEVELS PERIODICALLY IF HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS. BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP...OR A WARNING IS
POSTED.

&&

$$

798 
WGUS61 KRLX 281647
FFARLX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1147 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

OHZ066-067-281800-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PERRY-MORGAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE...
SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT
1147 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST OHIO HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. THE RAIN HAS ENDED AND STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD START
TO RECEDE THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-013>020-
024>040-046-047-010100-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-
VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-CABELL-
MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-
ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-
BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-
FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON...
OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...ATHENS...MARIETTA...BELPRE...
JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...POMEROY...
GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY...
VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...
NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...
ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...
HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...
CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER...
ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...
WILLIAMSON...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY...
SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...
CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR...
MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...FAYETTEVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...
BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS
1147 AM EST MON FEB 28 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST 
 VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
 IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE 
 KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...
 LAWRENCE OH...MEIGS...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN SOUTHWEST 
 VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...
 BARBOUR...BOONE...BRAXTON...CABELL...CALHOUN...CLAY...
 DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER...HARRISON...JACKSON WV...
 KANAWHA...LEWIS...LINCOLN...LOGAN...MASON...MCDOWELL...MINGO...
 NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS...POCAHONTAS...PUTNAM...RALEIGH...
 RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE...
 WEBSTER...WIRT...WOOD AND WYOMING.

* UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING

* A HALF TO THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN AND AN
  ADDITIONAL QUARTER INCH TO A HALF INCH IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS
  AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED IN MANY
  COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND
  CREEKS IS POSSIBLE.

* THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE POSSIBLE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS
  AND CREEKS. HOWEVER...THIS WILL CAUSE LARGER STREAM AND RIVERS
  TO RISE TO THREE QUARTER TO NEAR BANKFULL. ANY POSSIBLE RIVER
  FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO TUESDAY...WELL AFTER THE RAIN HAS
  EXITED.  THE OHIO RIVER WILL SEE A STRONG RISE...AND WILL NEED
  TO BE MONITORED INTO MID WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE WATERWAYS...PLUS COUNTY AND
STATE OFFICIALS...SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS.
MONITOR WATER LEVELS PERIODICALLY IF HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS. BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP...OR A WARNING IS
POSTED.

&&

$$

107 
WGUS61 KRLX 282225
FFARLX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
525 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

KYZ101-OHZ075-076-083>087-WVZ007>011-016>020-029>032-039-040-
282330-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
GREENUP-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-
LAWRENCE OH-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-ROANE-WIRT-
CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-
BARBOUR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...ATHENS...
MARIETTA...BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...
HAMDEN...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...
POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...
VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...
MIDDLEBOURNE...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...
PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...
BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON
525 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST
OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA HAS BEEN CANCELED. 

THE HEAVIEST OF THE RAIN IS OVER...AND DAYTIME RAINFALL AMOUNTS
WERE GENERALLY A HALF AN INCH OR LESS. WITH NO SIGNIFICANT
WIDESPREAD WATER PROBLEMS HAVING MATERIALIZED FROM THE RAINFALL
SINCE SUNDAY...THE THREAT FOR FLOODING HAS PASSED.

$$

KYZ102-103-105-VAZ003-004-WVZ005-006-013>015-024>028-033>038-046-
047-010300-
/O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-CABELL-LINCOLN-
PUTNAM-KANAWHA-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAYSON...OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...
LOUISA...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY...VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...
HUNTINGTON...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...
HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...
WILLIAMSON...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY...
SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...WELCH...GARY...WAR...MULLENS...
OCEANA...PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...
MARLINTON...ELKINS
525 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST 
 VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST 
 KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHWEST 
 VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BOONE...
 BRAXTON...CABELL...CLAY...FAYETTE...KANAWHA...LINCOLN...
 LOGAN...MCDOWELL...MINGO...NICHOLAS...POCAHONTAS...PUTNAM...
 RALEIGH...RANDOLPH...WAYNE...WEBSTER AND WYOMING.

* UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING

* WHILE THE HEAVIEST OF THE RAINFALL HAS ENDED...THREE QUARTERS TO
  ONE INCH OF DAYTIME RAINFALL...COMBINED WITH PREVIOUS RAINFALL
  SINCE YESTERDAY...TOOK MANY AREA CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS TO OR
  ABOVE BANKFULL. THERE WERE REPORTS OF WATER ON ROADS IN SOME
  AREAS...MAINLY IN KANAWHA COUNTY...WHERE A FLOOD WARNING REMAINS
  IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM. AS THE LAST OF THE RAIN MOVES OUT THIS
  EVENING...STREAMS MAY STILL RISE A BIT FARTHER...WITH A FEW
  ADDITIONAL WATER PROBLEMS STILL POSSIBLE. ALSO...STREAMS ARE
  FAST FLOWING...AND BANKS MAY BE WEAKENED FROM THE RAIN. THESE
  STREAMS SHOULD BE AVOIDED.

* WHILE THE MAIN IMMEDIATE HAZARD IS POSSIBLE FLOODING ALONG SMALL
  STREAMS AND CREEKS...THE RAIN WILL ALSO CAUSE LARGER STREAMS AND
  RIVERS TO RISE TO THREE QUARTER TO NEAR BANKFULL. ANY POSSIBLE
  RIVER FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO TUESDAY...WELL AFTER THE RAIN
  HAS EXITED. THE OHIO RIVER WILL SEE A STRONG RISE...AND WILL
  NEED TO BE MONITORED INTO MID WEEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON
CURRENT FORECASTS.

THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE WATERWAYS...PLUS COUNTY AND
STATE OFFICIALS...SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS.
MONITOR WATER LEVELS PERIODICALLY IF HEAVY RAIN DEVELOPS. BE
PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP...OR A WARNING IS
POSTED.

&&

$$

TRM

546 
WGUS61 KRLX 010218
FFARLX

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
918 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

KYZ102-103-105-VAZ003-004-WVZ005-006-013>015-024>028-033>038-046-
047-010330-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FA.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110301T0300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-CABELL-LINCOLN-
PUTNAM-KANAWHA-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-
RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GRAYSON...OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...
LOUISA...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY...VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...
HUNTINGTON...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...
HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...
WILLIAMSON...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY...
SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...WELCH...GARY...WAR...MULLENS...
OCEANA...PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...
SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...
MARLINTON...ELKINS
918 PM EST MON FEB 28 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

THE HEAVIEST OF THE RAIN IS LONG GONE...AND AREA STREAMS ARE
BEGINNING TO RECEDE FROM BANKFULL OR NEAR BANKFULL LEVELS. ANY
WATER ON AREAS ROADS OR PROPERTY SHOULD ALSO CONTINUE TO
RECEDE...AND THE THREAT FOR NEW FLOODING HAS PASSED.

NOTE THAT LARGER RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RISE AT LEAST INTO
TUESDAY.

$$

TRM

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
1228 AM EST SUN FEB 27 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
DEVELOPING WARM FRONT ACROSS SOUTHERN KENTUCKY INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN
WEST VIRGINIA TONIGHT...MOVES NORTH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. STRONG COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.  HIGH PRESSURE MIDWEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
JUST A FEW TWEAKS MADE TO THE FORECAST THIS EVENING...MAINLY TO
THE SKY COVER GRIDS...AS MUCH OF THE AREA REMAINS RELATIVELY
CLEAR...EXCEPT FOR PARTS OF SE OHIO. HOWEVER...THIS WILL CHANGE AS
THE NIGHT PROGRESSES AS CLOUDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT.

RELATIVELY DRY TONIGHT...HOWEVER POPS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE
TOMORROW MORNING AS THE WARM FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHWARD
TOMORROW. WEAK INSTABILITY...ESPECIALLY IN THE SOUTHERN
ZONES...COULD AID IN PRODUCING A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO TOMORROW. IN
ADDITION...STRONG 850 JET WILL AID IN MOISTURE TRANSPORT TO THE
REGION...WITH DEW POINTS TOMORROW INCREASING INTO THE 50S...CLOSE
TO 60S...WITH PW VALUES INCREASING TO OVER AN INCH BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON/EVENING.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...
AT LEAST SATURDAY WAS A DAY TO DRY OUT. TEMPERATURES WARMING NICELY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES...REFLECTING THE
STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER OUR CWA.  THAT GRADIENT CONTINUES INTO
SUNDAY...MAKING TEMPERATURE FORECAST DIFFICULT.

850 MOISTURE INCREASES QUICKLY AGAIN FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING IN
THE OHIO VALLEY...HOLDING TEMPERATURES UP TONIGHT.  HOWEVER...THE
INCREASE IN THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE...AND THUS THE CLOUDS...WILL BE
MUCH SLOWER TO PENETRATE OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES. SO ENOUGH CLEAR TIME
FOR FIRST HALF OF THE NIGHT...FOR OUR EASTERN AND SOUTHERN
VALLEYS THAT NEED TO BE A BIT COLDER.

ANALYZED THE DEVELOPING WARM FRONT RUNNING WEST TO EAST NEAR THE
KENTUCKY AND TENNESSEE BORDER AT 18Z.  HOLDING THE FRONT TO THE
SOUTH OF HTS-CRW THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...BEFORE TRYING TO LIFT NORTH
SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  12Z MODELS HAVE PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
AT 925 TO 850 MB ON THE INCREASING 35 TO 40 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET 09Z
TO 15Z SUNDAY.

SO WILL JUST HAVE A SLIGHT CHANCE POP ACROSS OUR EXTREME NORTH FOR
THE FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT WITH WEAK SUPPORT ALOFT...NOT RELATED TO
THE WARM FRONT.  THEN TRY TO INCREASE POPS IN EASTERN KENTUCKY AND
OUR SOUTHERN COUNTIES BEFORE DAWN ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT.
INCREASED POPS TO AROUND 60 PERCENT...MAXING OUT LATE SUNDAY MORNING
INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...ACROSS OUR SOUTH...BEFORE SUPPORT SHIFTS INTO
THE OHIO VALLEY FOR SUNDAY NIGHT.  SO HAVE POPS DECREASING IN THE
SOUTH 18Z SUNDAY TO 00Z SUNDAY.  COULD NOT RULE OUT AN EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORM ALONG THE WARM FRONT ON SUNDAY.

HAVE LOW CONFIDENCE IN MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE FORECAST FOR
SUNDAY...SINCE DURATION OF THE RAIN AND AREAL COVERAGE TO THE NORTH
IS IN QUESTION.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ROLLS THROUGH THE AREA SUN NT THROUGH
MON.  TRICK OF THIS TALE IS THAT NEITHER THE GFS40 NOR THE NAM12
OFFER VIABLE SOLUTIONS.  THE NAM12 IS SLOW...WITH THE FRONT STILL W
OF THE CWA 00Z TUE 1 MAR.  ALL OTHER MODELS ARE FASTER...GETTING THE
FRONT JUST E OF THE CWA BY THAT TIME.  THE GFS...THOUGH...IS MUCH
FARTHER E...WITH THE LOW CENTER OVER ROA...AT ODDS WITH OTHER MODELS
SAVE FOR THE UKMET.  09Z AND 15Z SREFS WERE ALSO MUCH FASTER...WITH
1 09Z MEMBER AND ONLY 3 12Z MEMBERS EVEN CLOSER TO THE SLOWER TIMING
OF THE 12Z OP NAM12.  THE 18Z OP NAM12 IS NOT MUCH FASTER THAN ITS
PREDECESSOR.

AS SUCH...CANNOT KEY IN ON KEY DETAILS...LIKE THE NAM12 H85 JET OVER
PKB AREA 21Z MON WITH 600 J/KG CAPE AREA JUST TO THE W OF THAT AND
LOW CENTER JUST TO NW...MAKING THAT AREA A FOCUS FOR THE STRONGEST
THUNDERSTORMS OR AT LEAST HIGHEST POTENTIAL THEREOF FOR THAT TIME.

USED 06Z GFS...ECMWF AND GEM TO FIX GRIDS.  PW VALUES REMAIN NEAR
TOP OF HISTORICAL OBSERVATIONS FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR SUN NT THROUGH
MON...WHICH RAISES CONCERNS FOR AT LEAST LOCALIZED WATER ISSUES.
INSERTED HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH GUSTY WINDS FOR ANYTIME DURING THE
DAY ON MON GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED TIMING DIFFERENCES AMONG THE
MODELS.  THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE LIMITED BY CLOUDS AND SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY ON...BUT IF THE NAM12 SOLN PANS OUT THEN ALL
BETS MAY BE OFF.  STRONG WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM AND
ASSOCIATED SHEAR AND HIGH BUT NOT EXCESSIVE MOISTURE CONTENT SUGGEST
THERE WILL STILL BE SOME THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER EVEN WITH THE
EARLIER TIMING OF ALL THE OTHER MODELS.  SHOWALTERS AT OR BELOW ZERO
SUN NT THROUGH MON SUGGEST SOME THUNDER POSSIBILITY ANYTIME SUN NT
THROUGH MON...WITH LIX DROPPING BELOW ZERO MON.

MON NT BRINGS DRYING AND CLEARING...AND THEN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN
ON TUE.  THERE WILL BE SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND LIGHT UPSLOPE
FLOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS INTO TUE MORNING IN THE WAKE OF THIS
SYSTEM.  ACCUMULATIONS EARLY TUE MORNING SHOULD BE UNDER AN INCH.

NO MAJOR CHANGES TO THE TEMPERATURES.  MET WAS WAY TO HIGH ON MON
GIVEN ITS MUCH SLOWER SOLN...WHILE MAV APPEARED TOO LOW IN THE NW
FOR HIGHS MON. OTHERWISE THE GUIDANCE WAS GENERALLY WELL CLUSTERED
WITH EXCEPTION ON LOWS TUE MORNING...WHEN CURRENT FORECAST IS CLOSER
TO THE LOW MAV THAN THE RATHER HIGH MET.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
FAIRLY FLAT AND PROGRESSIVE FLOW EXPECTED AT THE START OF THE
EXTENDED PERIOD.  ECMWF SEEMS TO HAVE A GOOD GENERAL HANDLE ON THE
EXPECTED PATTERN AND FOLLOWED IT FOR THE DETAILS.

SPLIT FLOW ALOFT TUESDAY NIGHT AT THE START...TRANSITIONS TO MORE OF
A ZONAL PATTERN WITH TIME.  AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE IS
BRIDGING ACROSS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHICH WILL COME THROUGH
WITH NARY A WHIMPER.  CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE
FRONT...WITH THE CENTER TRACKING ACROSS SOUTHEAST CANADA.  DESPITE
THE ZONAL FLOW...HPC AND MEX/ENSEMBLE TEMPERATURES ARE AT LEAST
SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE BOARD.  KNOCKED THESE DOWN A
BIT FOR TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...BUT STILL REMAINED A BIT
ABOVE NORMAL.

LOW LEVEL FLOW TURNS SOUTHWEST THURSDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF A WARM FRONT
WHICH WILL APPROACH ON FRIDAY.  BEST MOISTURE FEED LOOKS TO STAY TO
THE WEST AT FIRST...SO INTRODUCE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS SLOWLY THURSDAY
NIGHT...AND CHANCE POPS FROM THE OHIO RIVER WEST ON FRIDAY.  TROUGH
STARTS TO DIG IN THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TOWARDS SATURDAY WITH
ENERGY ARRIVING FROM SOUTHERN CANADA...PUSHING A COLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY INTO THE OHIO VALLEY.  RAMP POPS UP TO THE 40 PERCENT RANGE
BY SATURDAY FOR THIS SYSTEM.  GENERALLY LIKED TEMPERATURES ABOVE
MEX/ENSEMBLE FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS WE GET INTO ANOTHER WARM
SECTOR.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
CEILINGS GRADUALLY LOWERING ACROSS THE NORTH...BUT SHOULD SEE VFR
THROUGH 15Z SUNDAY...LESS AN HOUR OR TWO OF MVFR AT CRW. WARM
FRONTAL ACTION BRINGS SHOWER CHANCES SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.
COULD SEE CB LATER SUNDAY WITH LI VALUES DROPPING BELOW ZERO
BRIEFLY IN THE WARM SECTOR. WESTERLY WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY BEHIND
THE WARM FRONT SUNDAY NIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 20KTS POSSIBLE.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: HIGH.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: CRW MVFR IN QUESTION SUNDAY MORNING.
VISIBILITIES MAY DROP TO MVFR BRIEFLY IN SHOWERS.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                                                       SUN 02/27/11
UTC 1HRLY       02   03   04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13
EST 1HRLY       21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05   06   07   08
CRW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
HTS CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    M    M    L    M    H    H    H    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    M    M    H    H    H    H    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    H    H    H    H    M    H    H    H    H    H

AFTER 06Z MONDAY...
IFR POSSIBLE IN RAIN SHOWERS MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...NONE.
OH...NONE.
KY...NONE.
VA...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KTB/CL/TRM
NEAR TERM...KTB
SHORT TERM...TRM
LONG TERM...CL
AVIATION...26

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
700 AM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-
013>020-024>040-046-047-271200-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-
JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-
CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-
ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-
GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-
NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
700 AM EST SAT FEB 26 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND MUCH OF WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

STRONG WINDS WILL AFFECT THE AREA AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT LATER
SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...ESPECIALLY IN SHOWERS OR EVEN A
THUNDERSTORM MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.