Alert archive / West Virginia / Flood Watches in 2011
Flood Watch 2, NWS Charleston, WV
NWS Charleston, WV issued this flood watch at Feb 23, 2011, 4:23 AM EST for 19 counties in West Virginia; 4 counties in Kentucky; 9 counties in Ohio. It took effect at Feb 24, 2011, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 12 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 23, 2011, 4:23 AM EST (09:23 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 24, 2011, 7:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 25, 2011, 7:07 AM EST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Charleston, WV
- Flood severity
- None
All 32 counties
Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Athens County, OH, Gallia County, OH, Jackson County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Morgan County, OH, Perry County, OH, Vinton County, OH, Washington County, OH, Barbour County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Mason County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV
The radar
The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 72 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 9.4 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 568 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 71 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 60 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 131 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
167 WGUS61 KRLX 230923 FFARLX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 423 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-017-019-020- 031-231730- /O.NEW.KRLX.FA.A.0002.110225T0000Z-110225T1700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON- JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-WIRT-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE- HARRISON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT... ATHENS...MARIETTA...BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL... MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON... SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON... POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG... VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE... MIDDLEBOURNE...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...ELIZABETH... HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT 423 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A * FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH...MORGAN...MEIGS...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...CABELL...DODDRIDGE...HARRISON...JACKSON WV... MASON...PLEASANTS...PUTNAM...RITCHIE...TYLER...WAYNE...WIRT AND WOOD. * FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * THE SHADE RIVER...HOCKING RIVER...LITTLE SANDY RIVER...RACCOON CREEK...MONDAY CREEK...AND SYMMES CREEK ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
8 follow-up statements
084 WGUS61 KRLX 231654 FFARLX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 1153 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011 OHZ066-WVZ016-018-029-030-032-039-040-047-240100- /O.EXA.KRLX.FA.A.0002.110225T0000Z-110225T1700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PERRY-ROANE-CALHOUN-GILMER-LEWIS-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...SPENCER...GRANTSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...GRAFTON... BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...ELKINS 1153 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS EXPANDED THE * FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHEAST OHIO... PERRY. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...CALHOUN...GILMER...LEWIS... RANDOLPH...ROANE...TAYLOR AND UPSHUR. * FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAINS... FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. HOWEVER, THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING. * THE SHADE RIVER...HOCKING RIVER...LITTLE SANDY RIVER...RACCOON CREEK...MONDAY CREEK...DUCK CREEK AND SYMMES CREEK ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. * OTHER RIVERS THAT MAY SEE STRONG RISES ARE THE UPPER CHEAT...TYGART VALLEY...WEST FORK...AND THE LITTLE KANAWHA IN WEST VIRGINIA...AND THE MUSKINGUM RIVER IN OHIO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$ KYZ101>103-105-OHZ067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-017-019-020- 031-240100- /O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.110225T0000Z-110225T1700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON- JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-WIRT-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE- HARRISON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT... ATHENS...MARIETTA...BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL... MCARTHUR...HAMDEN...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON... SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON... POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG... VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE... MIDDLEBOURNE...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...ELIZABETH... HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT 1153 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH... MORGAN...MEIGS...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST VIRGINIA... CABELL...DODDRIDGE...HARRISON...JACKSON WV...MASON... PLEASANTS...PUTNAM...RITCHIE...TYLER...WAYNE...WIRT AND WOOD. * FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAINS... FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. HOWEVER, THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING. * THE SHADE RIVER...HOCKING RIVER...LITTLE SANDY RIVER...RACCOON CREEK...MONDAY CREEK...DUCK CREEK AND SYMMES CREEK ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. * OTHER RIVERS THAT MAY SEE STRONG RISES ARE THE OHIO RIVER...THE UPPER CHEAT...TYGART VALLEY...WEST FORK...AND THE LITTLE KANAWHA IN WEST VIRGINIA...AND THE MUSKINGUM RIVER IN OHIO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
803 WGUS61 KRLX 240054 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 754 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-016>020- 029>032-039-040-047-240900- /O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.110225T0000Z-110225T1700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON- JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE- DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA... BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN... POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO... WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD... RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...TEAYS VALLEY... HURRICANE...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE... PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG... BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...ELKINS 754 PM EST WED FEB 23 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH... MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...CABELL...CALHOUN...DODDRIDGE...GILMER... HARRISON...JACKSON WV...LEWIS...MASON...PLEASANTS...PUTNAM... RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE... WIRT AND WOOD. * FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAINS... FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. HOWEVER... THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING. * THE SHADE RIVER...HOCKING RIVER...LITTLE SANDY RIVER...RACCOON CREEK...MONDAY CREEK...DUCK CREEK...AND SYMMES CREEK ARE ESPECIALLY VULNERABLE TO FLOODING. * OTHER RIVERS THAT MAY SEE STRONG RISES ARE THE UPPER CHEAT...TYGART VALLEY...WEST FORK...AND THE LITTLE KANAWHA IN WEST VIRGINIA...AND THE MUSKINGUM RIVER IN OHIO. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
965 WGUS61 KRLX 240847 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 347 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-016>020- 029>032-039-040-047-241700- /O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.110225T0000Z-110225T1700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON- JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE- DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA... BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN... POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO... WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD... RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...TEAYS VALLEY... HURRICANE...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE... PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG... BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...ELKINS 347 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH... MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...CABELL...CALHOUN...DODDRIDGE...GILMER... HARRISON...JACKSON WV...LEWIS...MASON...PLEASANTS...PUTNAM... RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE... WIRT AND WOOD. * FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED FROM PREVIOUS RAINS... FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. HOWEVER... THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE ALERT FOR POSSIBLE FLOOD WARNINGS. THOSE LIVING IN AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING SHOULD BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. && $$
079 WGUS61 KRLX 241530 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 1030 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-016>020- 029>032-039-040-047-242330- /O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.110225T0000Z-110225T1700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON- JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE- DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA... BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN... POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO... WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD... RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...TEAYS VALLEY... HURRICANE...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE... PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG... BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...ELKINS 1030 AM EST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH... MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...CABELL...CALHOUN...DODDRIDGE...GILMER... HARRISON...JACKSON WV...LEWIS...MASON...PLEASANTS...PUTNAM... RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE... WIRT AND WOOD. * FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN TODAY INTO FRIDAY MORNING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED IN MANY COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. * THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. HOWEVER... THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING. ANY RIVER FLOODING COULD EASILY EXTEND INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT. * THE MOST VULNERABLE RIVERS AND LARGER STREAMS ARE...IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...THE HOCKING AND THE SHADE RIVERS...RACCOON CREEK...SYMMES CREEK...DUCK CREEK...SUNDAY AND MONDAY CREEKS. IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...VULNERABLE WATERWAYS INCLUDE THE LITTLE SANDY RIVER AND TYGARTS CREEK. * OTHER RIVERS THAT WILL LIKELY SEE STRONG RISES ARE...IN WEST VIRGINIA...THE WEST FORK...THE TYGART VALLEY...THE UPPER CHEAT...AND THE LITTLE KANAWHA. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...THE MUSKINGUM RIVER. THE OHIO RIVER WAS ALSO SEE STRONG RISES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AND COUNTY OFFICIALS SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS NOW. MONITOR WATER LEVELS PERIODICALLY OVERNIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. MOTORISTS NEED TO BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && $$ JS/KTB
637 WGUS61 KRLX 242101 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 401 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-016>020- 029>032-039-040-047-250515- /O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.110225T0000Z-110225T1700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON- JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE- DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA... BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN... POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO... WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD... RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...TEAYS VALLEY... HURRICANE...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE... PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG... BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...ELKINS 401 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH... MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...CABELL...CALHOUN...DODDRIDGE...GILMER... HARRISON...JACKSON WV...LEWIS...MASON...PLEASANTS...PUTNAM... RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE... WIRT AND WOOD. * FROM 7 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. * A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING 1 TO 2.5 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED IN MANY COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. AS WINDS INCREASE AND TEMPERATURES FALL MONDAY AFTERNOON...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL END. * THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. HOWEVER... THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING. ANY RIVER FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO FRIDAY NIGHT...WELL AFTER THE HEAVIER RAIN HAS EXITED. * THE MOST VULNERABLE RIVERS AND LARGER STREAMS ARE...IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...THE HOCKING AND THE SHADE RIVERS...RACCOON CREEK...SYMMES CREEK...DUCK CREEK...SUNDAY AND MONDAY CREEKS. IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...VULNERABLE WATERWAYS INCLUDE THE LITTLE SANDY RIVER AND TYGARTS CREEK. * OTHER RIVERS THAT WILL LIKELY SEE STRONG RISES ARE...IN WEST VIRGINIA...THE WEST FORK...THE TYGART VALLEY...THE UPPER CHEAT...AND THE LITTLE KANAWHA. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...THE MUSKINGUM RIVER. THE OHIO RIVER WILL ALSO SEE STRONG RISES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AND COUNTY OFFICIALS SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS. MONITOR WATER LEVELS PERIODICALLY OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. MOTORISTS NEED TO BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && $$ KTB
478 WGUS61 KRLX 250247 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 947 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-016>020- 029>032-039-040-047-251100- /O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T1700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON- JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE- DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA... BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN... POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO... WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD... RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...TEAYS VALLEY... HURRICANE...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE... PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG... BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...ELKINS 947 PM EST THU FEB 24 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH... MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...CABELL...CALHOUN...DODDRIDGE...GILMER... HARRISON...JACKSON WV...LEWIS...MASON...PLEASANTS...PUTNAM... RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE... WIRT AND WOOD. * THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING * A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING WILL LIKELY BRING 1 TO 2.5 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED IN MANY COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS... FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. AS WINDS INCREASE AND TEMPERATURES FALL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL END. * THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. HOWEVER... THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING. ANY RIVER FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO FRIDAY NIGHT... WELL AFTER THE HEAVIER RAIN HAS EXITED. * THE MOST VULNERABLE RIVERS AND LARGER STREAMS ARE...IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...THE HOCKING AND THE SHADE RIVERS...RACCOON CREEK...SYMMES CREEK...DUCK CREEK...SUNDAY AND MONDAY CREEKS. IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...VULNERABLE WATERWAYS INCLUDE THE LITTLE SANDY RIVER AND TYGARTS CREEK. * OTHER RIVERS THAT WILL LIKELY SEE STRONG RISES ARE...IN WEST VIRGINIA...THE WEST FORK...THE TYGART VALLEY...THE UPPER CHEAT...AND THE LITTLE KANAWHA. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...THE MUSKINGUM RIVER. THE OHIO RIVER WILL ALSO SEE STRONG RISES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AND COUNTY OFFICIALS SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS. MONITOR WATER LEVELS PERIODICALLY OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. MOTORISTS NEED TO BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && $$ SL
158 WGUS61 KRLX 250916 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 416 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-016>020- 029>032-039-040-047-251700- /O.CON.KRLX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T1700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON- JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE- DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA... BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN... POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO... WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD... RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...TEAYS VALLEY... HURRICANE...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE... PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG... BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...ELKINS 416 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY... THE FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...ATHENS...GALLIA...JACKSON OH...LAWRENCE OH... MORGAN...MEIGS...PERRY...VINTON AND WASHINGTON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...CABELL...CALHOUN...DODDRIDGE...GILMER... HARRISON...JACKSON WV...LEWIS...MASON...PLEASANTS...PUTNAM... RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE... WIRT AND WOOD. * UNTIL NOON EST TODAY * A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BRING 1 TO 2.5 INCHES OF STORM TOTAL RAINFALL THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. WITH THE GROUND ALREADY SATURATED IN MANY COUNTIES...FROM PREVIOUS RAINS... FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. AS WINDS INCREASE AND TEMPERATURES FALL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAIN WILL END. * THE MAIN HAZARD WILL BE FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS. HOWEVER... THIS MAY LEAD INTO LARGER STREAM AND RIVER FLOODING. ANY RIVER FLOODING COULD EXTEND INTO FRIDAY NIGHT... WELL AFTER THE HEAVIER RAIN HAS EXITED. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLOOD WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING BASED ON CURRENT FORECASTS. THOSE THAT LIVE ALONG FLOOD PRONE SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS AND COUNTY OFFICIALS SHOULD HEIGHTEN THEIR WEATHER AWARENESS. MONITOR WATER LEVELS PERIODICALLY OVERNIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLOODING DEVELOP. MOTORISTS NEED TO BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. && $$
325 WGUS61 KRLX 251207 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 707 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-016>020- 029>032-039-040-047-251315- /O.CAN.KRLX.FA.A.0002.000000T0000Z-110225T1700Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON- JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE- DODDRIDGE-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...NEW LEXINGTON...CROOKSVILLE... SOMERSET...MCCONNELSVILLE...STOCKPORT...ATHENS...MARIETTA... BELPRE...JACKSON...WELLSTON...OAK HILL...MCARTHUR...HAMDEN... POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO... WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD... RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...TEAYS VALLEY... HURRICANE...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE... PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG... BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...ELKINS 707 AM EST FRI FEB 25 2011 ...FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE HEAVY RAINS HAVE ALL BUT MOVED OUT OF THE REGION. SOME SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AS COLDER AIR MOVES IN. MINOR WATER PROBLEMS OF LOW LYING AREAS AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS ARE STILL LIKELY. SOME RIVERS WILL CONTINUE TO RUN HIGH THROUGH THE WEEKEND. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Feb 23, 4:06 AM EST, 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 23, 4:06 AM EST, 17 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
406 AM EST WED FEB 23 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE TODAY. RAINY LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
LOW CLOUDS HANGING TOUGH AT THIS EARLY MORNING HR...COURTESY OF
TRAPPED LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BENEATH SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AMID WEAK
FLOW AT H925. CODED UP PATCHY FRZ DZ AND OR FLURRIES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN MTNS AND ADJACENT LOWLAND COUNTIES THRU DAWN.
CLOUDS WILL FINALLY GIVE UP THE GHOST LATER THIS MORNING FROM WEST
TO EAST AS SOME LOW LEVEL FLOW PICKS UP A HAIR ON WAA ARND H925.
THIS WILL ALLOW THE LOW LEVELS TO DRY OUT WITH A MOSTLY SUNNY SKY
EXPECT IN THE AFTN. EXCEPTION COULD BE EASTERN SLOPES WHERE SOME LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL TRY TO HANG ON A LITTLE LONGER DUE TO WEAK
OROGRAPHIC FLOW.
EXPECTING A MAINLY CLEAR SKY INITIALLY TONIGHT TILL LATE WHEN SOME
MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO ADVECT IN FROM WEST. THIS IS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH A DEVELOPING WARM FRONT AHEAD OF A BIG RAIN MAKER
BEYOND THE NEAR TERM. TIGHTENED UP POP GRADIENT AND STIFF ARMED TILL
AFTER 09Z. INSERTED CATEGORICAL POPS ACROSS NE KY INTO SOUTHERN COAL
FIELDS BY 12Z...ACCOUNTING FOR DECENT THETA E RIDGE AND LOW LEVEL
CONVERGENCE AXIS MOVING IN.
ROLLED CLOSER TO LCL MOS FOR TEMPS TDY WHICH IS A HAIR WARMER THAN
MET/MAV ACROSS THE SOUTH AND WEST. USED ADJMET NUMBER TO POPULATE A
SLIGHT NON DIURNAL LATE TONIGHT AND FORMULATE OVERNIGHT LOW. COULD
SEE A QUICK DROP IN TEMPS THIS EVENING BEFORE STABILIZING AND RISING
TOWARD MORNING...PARTICULARLY SOUTH AND WEST.
&&
.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS ARE COMING INTO AGREEMENT WITH THE SYSTEM FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY...ALTHOUGH STILL A SLIGHT TRACK DIFFERENCE. THEREFORE HAVE
RAISED POPS AND QPF AMOUNTS. MODELS ARE INDICATING A SIGNIFICANT
RAIN EVENT FOR MUCH OF THE REGION. WITH SOUTHEAST OHIO AND NORTHERN
WEST VIRGINIA SATURATED FROM THE PREVIOUS SYSTEM...AM CONCERNED WITH
A FLOOD THREAT. SHADE RIVER WENT TO FLOOD STAGE AND RACCOON CREEK IS
STILL SLIGHTLY ABOVE THE FLOOD STAGE. THE HOCKING RIVER AT ATHENS IS
CURRENTLY ONLY 5 FEET OFF FLOOD STAGE. WITH MODELS PRINTING OUT 2 TO
3 INCHES IN KENTUCKY AND 1 TO 3 ELSEWHERE...HAVE DECIDED ON A FLOOD
WATCH FOR NORTHEAST KY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND PORTIONS OF WESTERN
AND NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LOOKING AT AN OVERALL ZONAL FLOW PATTERN DURING THIS PERIOD...BEFORE
A TROUGH TRIES TO GET ESTABLISHED TOWARDS THE TAIL END. WHILE
MODELS MORE OR LESS AGREE ON THIS...THE SYSTEM DETAILS VARY GREATLY
BETWEEN MODELS AND MODEL RUNS. GOING TO USE HPC AS A STARTING
POINT. THEY WERE RECOMMENDING THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MEANS FOR THE
MOST PART...A GOOD CALL GIVEN THE SOLUTION SPREAD. OVERALL...THIS
IS A LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST.
WILL START WITH ONLY A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS REMAINING FROM
DEPARTING SYSTEM ON FRIDAY NIGHT. THINK HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS
IN BRIEFLY FOR A DRY SATURDAY. SOME MODELS...LIKE THE
ECMWF...SUGGEST A SHORTWAVE SKIRTING ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES SATURDAY
NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. KEPT HIGHER POPS ACROSS THE NORTH CLOSER TO THIS
STORM TRACK. KEPT SOME SNOW ACROSS THE NORTH AS WELL WITH ECMWF
H850 TEMPS BELOW ZERO FOR A TIME. POSSIBLE RELATIVE LULL IN
ACTIVITY SUNDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. MODELS THEN HINTING AT ANOTHER
LARGE AND WET SYSTEM FOR SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH A TRACK NOT
TOO DISSIMILAR FROM THE THURSDAY SYSTEM. WILL PROBABLY HAVE TO
WATCH THIS ONE AS WELL FOR POTENTIAL WATER PROBLEMS. THINGS THEN
QUIET DOWN MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE.
ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE RULE THROUGH THE EXTENDED
PERIOD. MADE SOME MINOR CHANGES TO HPC SUGGESTIONS.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TRAPPED BENEATH INVERSION...WILL KEEP MVFR TO
IFR CEILINGS ACROSS MOST SITES THRU EARLY MORNING. EVEN LOCALIZED AREAS
OF FOG COULD BE POSSIBLE FROM 09-13Z. HOWEVER...LOW STRATUS IS
MORE FAVORABLE.
AFTER 13Z...RAPID IMPROVEMENT AS WHAT REMAINS OF THIN SATURATED
LAYER MIXES OUT WITH MUCH DRIER ATMOSPHERE ALOFT...LEADING TO VFR
AND SUNSHINE.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: IFR CLOUDS COULD SCATTER OUT EARLIER THAN
FORECAST TONIGHT IN LOWLANDS...YET THIS WOULD BE REPLACED BY IFR
OR WORSE VIS IN VALLEYS.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE WED 02/23/11
UTC 1HRLY 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
EST 1HRLY 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14
CRW CONSISTENCY M M H H H H M M M M M H
HTS CONSISTENCY H M L L L M L H H H H H
BKW CONSISTENCY M M M H H M M M L L L H
EKN CONSISTENCY M M M M M L H H M M M M
PKB CONSISTENCY M M M L L L L M M M M M
CKB CONSISTENCY H H M L L L M M M M M M
AFTER 06Z THURSDAY...
IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN RAIN WITH SYSTEM THURSDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
WVZ005>011-014-017-019-020-031.
OH...FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
OHZ067-075-076-083>087.
KY...FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
KYZ101>103-105.
VA...NONE.
&&
SYNOPSIS...CL/RPY/30
NEAR TERM...30
SHORT TERM...RPY
LONG TERM...CL
AVIATION...30Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 22, 3:13 PM EST, 13 hours 10 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 313 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011- 013>020-024>040-046-047-232015- GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON- JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE- CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA- ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON- GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE- NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- 313 PM EST TUE FEB 22 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF RAIN THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. A FLOOD WATCH MAY BE NECESSARY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
Nearby
Flood Watches in West Virginia, 2011Flood Watches in Ohio, 2011Flood Watches in Kentucky, 2011Every flood watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.