Alert archive / West Virginia / Flash Flood Watches in 2011
Flash Flood Watch 17, NWS Charleston, WV
NWS Charleston, WV issued this flash flood watch at Sep 5, 2011, 5:08 AM EDT for 4 states. It took effect at Sep 5, 2011, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 40 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 5, 2011, 5:08 AM EDT (09:08 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 5, 2011, 12:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 7, 2011, 4:08 AM EDT
- In force
- 40 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Charleston, WV
- Flood severity
- None
All 37 counties
Boyd County, KY, Carter County, KY, Greenup County, KY, Lawrence County, KY, Gallia County, OH, Lawrence County, OH, Meigs County, OH, Buchanan County, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Barbour County, WV, Boone County, WV, Braxton County, WV, Cabell County, WV, Calhoun County, WV, Clay County, WV, Doddridge County, WV, Gilmer County, WV, Harrison County, WV, Jackson County, WV, Kanawha County, WV, Lewis County, WV, Lincoln County, WV, Logan County, WV, Mason County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Pleasants County, WV, Putnam County, WV, Ritchie County, WV, Roane County, WV, Taylor County, WV, Tyler County, WV, Upshur County, WV, Wayne County, WV, Wirt County, WV, Wood County, WV, Wyoming County, WV
The radar
The Charleston,WV radar (KRLX), 30 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:09 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 9.1 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 226 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -27 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 749 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 25 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -5 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 31 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
201 WGUS61 KRLX 050908 FFARLX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 508 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 KYZ103-105-OHZ085>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-013>020-024>040-046- 047-051715- /O.NEW.KRLX.FF.A.0017.110905T1600Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN- WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM- KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE- CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING- RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS- RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...LOUISA...POMEROY... GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY... VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT... NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA... ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE... HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE... CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER... ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION... WILLIAMSON...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY... SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON... CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR... MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...OAK HILL... FAYETTEVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE... WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...MARLINTON... ELKINS 508 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY... SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...GALLIA...LAWRENCE OH AND MEIGS. IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE...BRAXTON...CABELL...CALHOUN... CLAY...DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER...HARRISON...JACKSON WV... KANAWHA...LEWIS...LINCOLN...LOGAN...MASON...MCDOWELL...MINGO... NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS...POCAHONTAS...PUTNAM...RALEIGH... RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE... WEBSTER...WIRT...WOOD AND WYOMING. * FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CREEP NORTHEAST TODAY INTO THE MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY. THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL SLOWLY LIFT INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...CONTINUING THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THEN. A GENERAL TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER TOTALS. THE BACK EDGE OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE FAIRLY SHARP...AND ITS PLACEMENT WILL BE KEY. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS COULD CREATE FLOODING ISSUES ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND ALSO COULD EVENTUALLY CREATE HIGH WATER ON THE LARGER RIVERS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
7 follow-up statements
319 WGUS61 KRLX 051646 FFARLX URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 1246 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 KYZ101-102-060100- /O.EXA.KRLX.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL 1246 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHARLESTON HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CARTER AND GREENUP. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CREEP NORTHEAST TODAY INTO THE MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY. THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL SLOWLY LIFT INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...CONTINUING THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THEN. A GENERAL 1 TO 2 INCHES OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL IS FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER TOTALS. THE BACK EDGE OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE FAIRLY SHARP...AND ITS PLACEMENT WILL BE KEY. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS COULD CREATE FLOODING ISSUES ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND ALSO COULD EVENTUALLY CREATE HIGH WATER ON THE LARGER RIVERS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ KYZ103-105-OHZ085>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-013>020-024>040-046- 047-060100- /O.CON.KRLX.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN- WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM- KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE- CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING- RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS- RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHLAND...LOUISA...POMEROY... GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON...SOUTH POINT...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY... VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT... NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA... ST. MARYS...BELMONT...PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE... HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE... CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER... ELIZABETH...GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION... WILLIAMSON...LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY... SUTTON...GASSAWAY...BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON... CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT...GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR... MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...OAK HILL... FAYETTEVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE... WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON...MARLINTON... ELKINS 1246 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...GALLIA...LAWRENCE OH AND MEIGS. IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA... BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE... BRAXTON...CABELL...CALHOUN...CLAY...DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE... GILMER...HARRISON...JACKSON WV...KANAWHA...LEWIS...LINCOLN... LOGAN...MASON...MCDOWELL...MINGO...NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS... POCAHONTAS...PUTNAM...RALEIGH...RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE... TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE...WEBSTER...WIRT...WOOD AND WYOMING. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF LEE WILL CREEP NORTHEAST TODAY INTO THE MIDDLE OHIO VALLEY. THE REMNANT LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL SLOWLY LIFT INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...CONTINUING THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINFALL THROUGH THEN. A GENERAL TWO TO FOUR INCHES OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER TOTALS OVER THE LOWLANDS. A GENERAL 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THE BACK EDGE OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE FAIRLY SHARP...AND ITS PLACEMENT WILL BE KEY. THESE RAINFALL TOTALS COULD CREATE FLOODING ISSUES ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND ALSO COULD EVENTUALLY CREATE HIGH WATER ON THE LARGER RIVERS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
725 WGUS61 KRLX 060227 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 1027 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ085>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-013>020-024>040- 046-047-061030- /O.CON.KRLX.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH- DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS- TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE- MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR- MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR- POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON... SOUTH POINT...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY...VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO... WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD... RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...HARTS...ALUM CREEK... HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON... SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER...ELIZABETH... GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...WILLIAMSON... LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY... BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT... GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR...MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE... BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD... CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI... BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS 1027 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...GALLIA...LAWRENCE OH AND MEIGS. IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE...BRAXTON...CABELL...CALHOUN... CLAY...DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER...HARRISON...JACKSON WV... KANAWHA...LEWIS...LINCOLN...LOGAN...MASON...MCDOWELL...MINGO... NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS...POCAHONTAS...PUTNAM...RALEIGH... RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE... WEBSTER...WIRT...WOOD AND WYOMING. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEAST...ALONG A FRONT STALLED OUT OVER THE REGION. WAVES OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH THE GROUND BECOMING VERY WET...MUCH OF THE RAIN WILL RUN OFF INTO AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. * TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES NEAR THE OHIO RIVER...TO 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLOODING ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AND MAY EVENTUALLY CREATE HIGH WATER ON THE LARGER RIVERS INTO WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
382 WGUS61 KRLX 060847 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 447 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ085>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-013>020-024>040- 046-047-061700- /O.CON.KRLX.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH- DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS- TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE- MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR- MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR- POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON... SOUTH POINT...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY...VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO... WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD... RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...HARTS...ALUM CREEK... HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON... SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER...ELIZABETH... GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...WILLIAMSON... LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY... BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT... GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR...MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE... BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD... CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI... BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS 447 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...GALLIA...LAWRENCE OH AND MEIGS. IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE...BRAXTON...CABELL...CALHOUN... CLAY...DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER...HARRISON...JACKSON WV... KANAWHA...LEWIS...LINCOLN...LOGAN...MASON...MCDOWELL...MINGO... NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS...POCAHONTAS...PUTNAM...RALEIGH... RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE... WEBSTER...WIRT...WOOD AND WYOMING. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD NORTHEAST...ALONG A FRONT STALLED OUT OVER THE REGION. WAVES OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY NIGHT. WITH THE GROUND BECOMING VERY WET...MUCH OF THE RAIN WILL RUN OFF INTO AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. * TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES NEAR THE OHIO RIVER...TO 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLOODING ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...AND MAY EVENTUALLY CREATE HIGH WATER ON THE LARGER RIVERS INTO WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
172 WGUS61 KRLX 061628 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 1228 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ085>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>011-013>020-024>040- 046-047-070030- /O.CON.KRLX.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH- DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS- TYLER-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE- MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR- MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR- POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON... SOUTH POINT...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY...VANSANT...KENOVA...CEREDO... WAYNE...HUNTINGTON...POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD... RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG...VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...HARTS...ALUM CREEK... HAMLIN...TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON... SOUTH CHARLESTON...SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER...ELIZABETH... GRANTSVILLE...HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...WILLIAMSON... LOGAN...CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON...CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY... BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT... GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR...MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE... BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD... CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI... BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS 1228 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS... IN NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...BOYD...CARTER...GREENUP AND LAWRENCE KY. IN SOUTHEAST OHIO...GALLIA...LAWRENCE OH AND MEIGS. IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BOONE...BRAXTON...CABELL...CALHOUN... CLAY...DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER...HARRISON...JACKSON WV... KANAWHA...LEWIS...LINCOLN...LOGAN...MASON...MCDOWELL...MINGO... NICHOLAS...PLEASANTS...POCAHONTAS...PUTNAM...RALEIGH... RANDOLPH...RITCHIE...ROANE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WAYNE... WEBSTER...WIRT...WOOD AND WYOMING. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE WAVES OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH AT LEAST TONIGHT. WITH A SATURATED GROUND IN MANY LOCATIONS...MUCH OF THE RAIN WILL RUN OFF INTO AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. * TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES NEAR THE OHIO RIVER...TO 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLOODING ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND MAY EVENTUALLY CREATE HIGH WATER ON THE LARGER RIVERS INTO THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
114 WGUS61 KRLX 061950 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 350 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ085>087-WVZ005>010-013>017-024>026-062100- /O.CAN.KRLX.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-MEIGS-GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE- CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA- ROANE-WIRT-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLATWOODS...GREENUP...GRAYSON... OLIVE HILL...ASHLAND...LOUISA...POMEROY...GALLIPOLIS...IRONTON... SOUTH POINT...KENOVA...CEREDO...WAYNE...HUNTINGTON... POINT PLEASANT...NEW HAVEN...RAVENSWOOD...RIPLEY...PARKERSBURG... VIENNA...ST. MARYS...BELMONT...HARTS...ALUM CREEK...HAMLIN... TEAYS VALLEY...HURRICANE...CHARLESTON...SOUTH CHARLESTON... SAINT ALBANS...SPENCER...ELIZABETH...WILLIAMSON...LOGAN... CHAPMANVILLE...MAN...MADISON 350 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST KENTUCKY... SOUTHEAST OHIO AND WEST VIRGINIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. MUCH OF THE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION HAS TAPERED OFF THIS AFTERNOON...HOWEVER...OCCASIONAL LIGHT SHOWERS ARE STILL POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. $$ VAZ003-004-WVZ011-018>020-027>040-046-047-070400- /O.CON.KRLX.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-TYLER-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-CLAY-BRAXTON- GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE- NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY...VANSANT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...GRANTSVILLE... HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY... BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT... GRAFTON...WELCH...GARY...WAR...MULLENS...OCEANA...PINEVILLE... BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE...RICHWOOD... CRAIGSVILLE...WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI... BELINGTON...MARLINTON...ELKINS 350 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...BUCHANAN AND DICKENSON. IN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...BRAXTON...CALHOUN... CLAY...DODDRIDGE...FAYETTE...GILMER...HARRISON...LEWIS... MCDOWELL...NICHOLAS...POCAHONTAS...RALEIGH...RANDOLPH... RITCHIE...TAYLOR...TYLER...UPSHUR...WEBSTER AND WYOMING. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE WAVES OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH TONIGHT. WITH A SATURATED GROUND IN MANY LOCATIONS... MUCH OF THE RAIN WILL RUN OFF INTO AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. * TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 4 INCHES NEAR THE OHIO RIVER...TO 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. THIS RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLOODING ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND MAY EVENTUALLY CREATE HIGH WATER ON THE LARGER RIVERS INTO THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
457 WGUS61 KRLX 062347 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 747 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 VAZ003-004-WVZ011-018>020-027>029-033>037-070100- /O.CAN.KRLX.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-TYLER-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-CLAY-BRAXTON- GILMER-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLINTWOOD...GRUNDY...VANSANT... PADEN CITY...SISTERSVILLE...MIDDLEBOURNE...GRANTSVILLE... HARRISVILLE...PENNSBORO...WEST UNION...CLAY...SUTTON...GASSAWAY... BURNSVILLE...GLENVILLE...WELCH...GARY...WAR...MULLENS...OCEANA... PINEVILLE...BECKLEY...OAK HILL...FAYETTEVILLE...SUMMERSVILLE... RICHWOOD...CRAIGSVILLE 747 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND WEST VIRGINIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS...YET IT WAS SPREAD OUT ENOUGH TO PREVENT ORGANIZED FLOODING PROBLEMS. WITH ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT...THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED EARLY. $$ WVZ030>032-038>040-046-047-070800- /O.CON.KRLX.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT... GRAFTON...WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON... MARLINTON...ELKINS 747 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA...CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...IN WEST VIRGINIA...POCAHONTAS. IN CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA...TAYLOR AND WEBSTER. IN NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA...BARBOUR...HARRISON... LEWIS...RANDOLPH AND UPSHUR. * THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING * MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE WAVES OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES...THROUGH TONIGHT. 2 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...AND SOME WATER PROBLEMS HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED IN SOME LOCATIONS. WITH SATURATED GROUND...ANY ADDITIONAL RAIN QUICKLY WILL RUN OFF INTO AREA CREEKS AND STREAMS. * THOUGH MOST OF THE RAIN IS FINISHED...ANY ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLOODING ON SMALL CREEKS AND STREAMS...AND MAY EVENTUALLY CREATE HIGH WATER ON THE LARGER RIVERS THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
877 WGUS61 KRLX 070808 FFARLX FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 408 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011 WVZ030>032-038>040-046-047-070915- /O.CAN.KRLX.FF.A.0017.000000T0000Z-110907T1200Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WESTON...CLARKSBURG...BRIDGEPORT... GRAFTON...WEBSTER SPRINGS...BUCKHANNON...PHILIPPI...BELINGTON... MARLINTON...ELKINS 408 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WEST VIRGINIA...CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. ALTHOUGH RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TO REDEVELOP LATER TODAY...HEAVY RAINFALL IS NO LONGER A THREAT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Sep 5, 4:42 AM EDT, 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 5, 4:42 AM EDT, 26 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
442 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES EAST OF THE AREA THIS MORNING. THE REMNANTS
OF LEE BRINGS COPIOUS RAINFALL INTO WEDNESDAY...MAINLY FROM NEAR THE
OHIO RIVER EAST. THE SYSTEM SLOWLY WEAKENS THROUGH LATE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
RAIN HAS DIMINISHED CONSIDERABLY IN INTENSITY OVERNIGHT...ALLOWING
AN EARLY CANCELLATION OF THE FLOOD WATCH. RATHER STRATIFORM RAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH COLD FRONT MOVES E ACROSS ARA TODAY WITH FRONT.
THIS BY ITSELF SHOULD NOT CREATE ANY WATER PROBLEMS.
HOWEVER...ADDITIONAL MOISTURE FROM THE REMNANTS OF LEE CONTINUE TO
RIDE UP ALONG THE FRONT. QUESTION IS HOW FAR E THE BACK EDGE OF
THE RAIN GETS AND WHEN THIS EVENING BEFORE IT MOVES BACK WEST AS THE
LOW CENTER REPRESENTING THE REMNANTS OF LEE MOVES N.
BEST FORCING AND LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE SETS UP OVER MOUNTAINS
TONIGHT. CWA GETS BENEATH RRQ OF NORTHERN STREAM JET BUT WITHOUT
COUPLETTING FROM ITS SOUTHERN STREAM COUNTERPART. OTHERWISE THE
EVENT EVOLVES INTO OVERRUNNING WITH ELEVATED ISENTROPIC LIFT.
ISSUING WITH THIS PACKAGE FLOOD WATCH BEGINNING NOON TODAY AND GOING
TWO PERIODS BEYOND THE NEAR TERM...IN ANTICIPATION OF THE RATHER
JUICY LEE COMING UP THE APPALACHIANS. WATER ISSUES WILL LIKELY
ELEVATE TO MAIN STEM RIVERS BEFORE ALL IS SAID AND DONE.
AS LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION FOLLOWS THE COLD FRONT CROSSING FIRST
THING THIS MORNING...TEMPERATURES DO NOT MOVE MUCH TODAY BUT NOT
MUCH OF A FALL ANTICIPATED TONIGHT EITHER. GENERALLY AT OR BELOW
THE NUMBERS TODAY AND AT OR ABOVE TONIGHT...CLOSEST TO THE HIGHER
MET.
&&
.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
CONTINUING WITH A PREFERENCE FOR THE GFS/ECMWF SCENARIO OF EVENTS AS
OPPOSED TO THE NAM. THE LATTER STILL LIFTS OUT THE SURFACE LOW
REMNANTS OF LEE AND THE H500 TROUGH FASTER THAN THE MODEL
CONSENSUS...WHICH HAS THE EFFECT OF BRINGING THE INITIAL DRY PUNCH
INTO THE MOUNTAINS AS OPPOSED TO THE WESTERN COUNTIES...WHICH WOULD
BE A BREAK FROM CONTINUITY. STILL THINK MUCH OF THE CWA...AND
ESPECIALLY THE MOUNTAINS...IS IN LINE FOR A CONTINUED HEAVY QPF
EVENT.
FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE
BEING DRAWN NORTHWARD AHEAD OF MIDLEVEL TROUGH. ON TUESDAY...RRQ OF
UPPER JET COMBINES WITH STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT ON THE 305K SURFACE
TO CREATE ABUNDANT UVV FOR RAIN SHIELD. BROUGHT CATEGORICAL POPS TO
ROUGHLY I-79 WITH LIKELY INTO SOUTHEAST OHIO. MAXIMIZE POPS AT
18Z...AND THEN ALLOW THEM TO DROP OFF AS UPPER JET PULLS AWAY AND
DRIER AIR BECOMES ENTRAINED. DRY SLOT MAY IMPACT ESPECIALLY THE
WESTERN CWA AT SOME POINT BUT ELECTED NOT TO TIME THIS. GENERAL 1-2
INCH AMOUNTS IN THE FLOOD WATCH AREA DURING THIS 24 HOUR PERIOD.
THIS COMBINED WITH MONDAY NIGHT RAIN COULD CREATE FLASH FLOODING
PROBLEMS AS WELL AS RIVER ISSUES...THUS THE WATCH. THUNDER WILL BE
NONEXISTENT WITH SATURATED...STABLE SOUNDINGS. WENT WITH A SMALL
DIURNAL TEMPERATURE RANGE...LEANING TO COOL SIDE OF MOS TUESDAY AND
WARM SIDE TUESDAY NIGHT.
MODELS DIFFER ON POSITION OF UPPER LOW WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT BUT
AGREE ON KEEPING IT IN THE GENERAL OHIO VALLEY VICINITY. SEE LITTLE
REASON TO DEVIATE FROM HIGH CHANCE/LOW LIKELY POPS IN PREVIOUS
FORECAST. HIGHER POPS IN EAST WITH EASTERLY FLOW. THUNDER RETURNS
TO THE GRIDS AS SOME CLOUD BREAKS ALLOW CONVECTIVE PROCESS TO GET
GOING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHTER AS HIGHER PWAT AIR GETS
SHUNTED TO THE EAST...SO ALLOWED FLOOD WATCH TO EXPIRE AT 12Z
WEDNESDAY FOR NOW. WENT COOLER ON WEDNESDAY MAXES...AND LIKED NEW
MEX NUMBERS FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
&&
.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
USED A BLEND OF THE GFS...GEFS MEAN...AND ECMWF ENSEMBLE MEAN. THIS
LEAVES THE TROPICAL SYSTEM CUT OFF FROM THE FLOW AND MEANDERING
AROUND THE AREA THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE FORECAST
BECOMES EXTRA TRICKY AS VERY DRY AIR WEST OF THE TROPICAL SYSTEM
BECOMES ENTRAINED INTO THE SYSTEM...ROTATING AROUND IT.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT INTO MON MORNING...AND
THEN THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM LEE RIDE UP ALONG THE FRONT MON
NT AND BEYOND.
VFR CONDITIONS WILL GO IFR OVERNIGHT AS RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE
FRONT MOVES E. DURING THE DAY MON...WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA
WILL TREND TOWARD VFR UNLESS STRATOCU HANGS BELOW 3KFT FOR A TIME
BEHIND THE FRONT.
CONDITIONS WILL START TO DETERIORATE FROM THE S MON NT AS THE
REMNANTS OF LEE MOVE N.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE SURFACE FLOW WILL BECOME LIGHT N TO NW AS THE
FRONT MOVES E ACROSS THE AREA OVERNIGHT THROUGH MON MORNING...AND
THEN STRENGTHENING JUST A BIT FROM THE N TO NE LATE MON. LIGHT SW
FLOW ALOFT BECOMES LIGHT N TO NW AS THE FRONT CROSSES THROUGH MON
MORNING...AND THEN GRADUALLY BECOMES MODERATE N TO NE MON AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: MEDIUM.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF CONVECTION TONIGHT COULD
VARY. PLACEMENT AND TIMING OF RAIN WITH COLD FRONT TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW COULD VARY AS WELL.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
DATE MON 09/05/11
UTC 1HRLY 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
EDT 1HRLY 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
CRW CONSISTENCY M M M M L L L L M M M M
HTS CONSISTENCY M M L L L L L L M M M H
BKW CONSISTENCY L L M M M L M M M M M M
EKN CONSISTENCY H M M L M M M M L M M M
PKB CONSISTENCY L L H L L L L M L L L L
CKB CONSISTENCY M L L L L L L M M M M M
AFTER 06Z TUESDAY...
WIDESPREAD IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE IN RAIN THROUGH TUESDAY
NIGHT...AND THEN ON A LESS WIDESPREAD SCALE IN SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH FRIDAY.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR WVZ005>011-013>020-024>040-046-047.
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR OHZ085>087.
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR KYZ103-105.
VA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING FOR VAZ003-004.
&&
SYNOPSIS...CL/TRM
NEAR TERM...TRM
SHORT TERM...CL
LONG TERM...RPY
AVIATION...TRMHazardous weather outlook, Sep 4, 3:36 PM EDT, 13 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV 336 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011 KYZ101>103-105-OHZ066-067-075-076-083>087-WVZ005>011-014-017-051945- GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE-PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON- VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM- WIRT- 336 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...SOUTHEAST OHIO AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE REMNANTS OF LEE MAY BRING HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. IT APPEARS THE THREAT WILL BE GREATEST TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE NECESSARY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES. VAZ003-004-WVZ013-015-016-018>020-024>040-046-047-051945- DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-LINCOLN-KANAWHA-ROANE-CALHOUN-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE- MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-MCDOWELL- WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS- RANDOLPH- 336 PM EDT SUN SEP 4 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA...CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE REMNANTS OF LEE MAY BRING HEAVY RAIN AND POSSIBLE FLOODING. IT APPEARS THE THREAT WILL BE GREATEST TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. FLOOD WATCHES MAY BE NECESSARY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in West Virginia, 2011Flash Flood Watches in Kentucky, 2011Flash Flood Watches in Ohio, 2011Every flash flood watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.