Severe Thunderstorm Warning 327, NWS Raleigh, NC

502 
WWUS52 KRAH 220247
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1047 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCC051-163-220330-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0327.000000T0000Z-110822T0330Z/
CUMBERLAND NC-SAMPSON NC-
1047 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EDT
FOR SAMPSON AND CUMBERLAND COUNTIES...

AT 1042 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES EAST OF HOBBTON TO 6 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF HOPE MILLS...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES WEST
OF MOUNT OLIVE TO 12 MILES SOUTH OF FAYETTEVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 58 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... CEDAR CREEK... 
STEDMAN... SALEMBURG...ROSEBORO...CLINTON... HOBBTON... AND GARLAND.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING.
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS NOW AND STAY AWAY FROM THE WINDOWS. MANY
LIGHTNING STRIKES WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY
WINDS. IF YOU CANNOT SEEK SHELTER INDOORS TAKE COVER IN A VEHICLE.
REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE
STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3461 7832 3467 7833 3485 7850 3484 7885
      3496 7904 3502 7903 3523 7862 3526 7847
      3525 7841 3529 7831 3523 7824 3520 7816
      3489 7814 3474 7819 3471 7811 3456 7825
TIME...MOT...LOC 0245Z 293DEG 21KT 3517 7819 3489 7887

$$

77

934 
WWUS52 KRAH 220311
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1111 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCC051-220320-
/O.CAN.KRAH.SV.W.0327.000000T0000Z-110822T0330Z/
CUMBERLAND NC-
1111 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR CUMBERLAND COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED INTO SAMPSON COUNTY... 
THEREFORE THE WARNING FOR CUMBERLAND COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3461 7832 3467 7833 3488 7851 3490 7854
      3491 7854 3498 7864 3509 7833 3513 7817
      3489 7814 3474 7819 3471 7811 3468 7815
      3456 7825
TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 293DEG 21KT 3511 7803 3483 7871

$$

NCC163-220330-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0327.000000T0000Z-110822T0330Z/
SAMPSON NC-
1111 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY...

AT 1109 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF TURKEY TO 14 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF ROSEBORO...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTH
OF MOUNT OLIVE TO 16 MILES NORTH OF ELIZABETHTOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 25 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...IVANHOE...HARRELLS AND 
GARLAND.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING. 
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS NOW AND STAY AWAY FROM THE WINDOWS. IF YOU 
CANNOT SEEK SHELTER INDOORS TAKE COVER IN A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...IF 
YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY 
LIGHTNING.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3461 7832 3467 7833 3488 7851 3490 7854
      3491 7854 3498 7864 3509 7833 3513 7817
      3489 7814 3474 7819 3471 7811 3468 7815
      3456 7825
TIME...MOT...LOC 0310Z 293DEG 21KT 3511 7803 3483 7871

$$

VINCENT

164 
WWUS52 KRAH 220323
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1123 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCC163-220330-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0327.000000T0000Z-110822T0330Z/
SAMPSON NC-
1123 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1130 PM EDT
FOR SOUTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY...

AT 1119 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.  THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TURKEY TO 9 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF GARLAND...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES NORTH
OF WALLACE TO 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF ELIZABETHTOWN...MOVING SOUTHEAST
AT 35 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...HARRELLS AND IVANHOE.

STRAIGHT LINE WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND DAMAGE
MOBILE HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AS FLYING DEBRIS
GENERATED BY DAMAGING WINDS CAN BE DEADLY.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING. 
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS NOW AND STAY AWAY FROM THE WINDOWS. IF YOU 
CANNOT SEEK SHELTER INDOORS TAKE COVER IN A VEHICLE. REMEMBER...IF 
YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE STRUCK BY 
LIGHTNING.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3461 7832 3467 7833 3488 7851 3490 7854
      3494 7845 3499 7831 3503 7816 3489 7814
      3474 7819 3471 7811 3468 7815 3456 7825
TIME...MOT...LOC 0323Z 314DEG 30KT 3487 7791 3467 7848

$$

VINCENT

130 
WWUS52 KRAH 220331
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1131 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCC163-220340-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0327.000000T0000Z-110822T0330Z/
SAMPSON NC-
1131 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN SAMPSON COUNTY
EXPIRES AT 1130 PM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING WILL MOVE OUT OF SAMPSON COUNTY 
SOON...THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

HOWEVER...TORRENTIAL RAINFALL...EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING 
AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE IN SOUTHERN SAMPSON 
COUNTY THROUGH 1230 AM IN ASSOCIATION WITH ADDITIONAL STORMS.

LAT...LON 3461 7832 3467 7833 3488 7851 3490 7854
      3494 7845 3499 7831 3503 7816 3489 7814
      3474 7819 3471 7811 3468 7815 3456 7825
TIME...MOT...LOC 0330Z 314DEG 30KT 3483 7786 3463 7843

$$

VINCENT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
817 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A DISTURBANCE ALOFT WILL CROSS CENTRAL NC TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY THE
PASSAGE OF A SURFACE COLD FRONT ON MONDAY. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL
FOLLOW BEHIND THE FRONT...AND REMAIN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 225 PM SUNDAY...

SURFACE-BASED CAPE HAD INCREASED TO VALUES APPROACHING 2500J/KG ON
THE LATEST SPC MESOANALYSIS...WITH THE LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS
SHOWING A SURFACE TROUGH JUST EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS...AND A FAIRLY
ROBUST MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE HEADED TOWARD THE APPALACHIANS ON WATER
VAPOR IMAGERY. A 50KT 250MB JETLET CONTINUES TO BE FORECAST BY THE
NAM TO MOVE ACROSS AREAS NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER DURING THE
EVENING...AND GIVEN THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY AND THE LIFT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE...THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE SURFACE TROUGH...MOVING EAST THROUGH
THE EVENING. AMPLE 850MB LIFT IS FORECAST...AND WITH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES AOA TWO INCHES THIS EVENING...NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD OCCUR. SOME STORM ORGANIZATION IS POSSIBLE AS
THE NAM FORECASTS 0-3KM HELICITY RISING TO NEAR 100M2/S2 THIS
EVENING...WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT BEING GUSTY WINDS. OVERNIGHT...
BOTH THE GFS AND THE NAM SHOW A CONTINUED MOISTURE FEED COMING INTO
AT LEAST THE SANDHILLS TOWARD THE COASTAL PLAIN...AND THE LAST TWO
OR THREE RUNS OF THE HRRR WRF HAS BEEN PERSISTENT SHOWING
REDEVELOPMENT DURING THE LATE EVENING OVER THE WESTERN PIEDMONT...
MOVING RAPIDLY SOUTHEAST TOWARD HIGHER INSTABILITY OVERNIGHT. AS
SUCH...HAVE ACTUALLY FORECAST CATEGORICAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TONIGHT IN A SMALL AREA FROM NEAR KFAY AND KMEB EAST INTO THE FAR
SOUTHERN COASTAL PLAIN. BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW INCREASINGLY STABLE AIR
MOVING INTO THE WESTERN PIEDMONT OVERNIGHT AND THIS SHOULD RESULT IN
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION DIMINISHING QUICKLY THERE ESPECIALLY
BEYOND THE LATE EVENING. OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD RANGE FROM THE UPPER
60S NORTHWEST TO THE LOWER TO MID 70S FAR SOUTHEAST...WITH ONLY VERY
LIMITED...IF ANY...MOISTURE DECREASE IMMEDIATELY BEHIND THE
SLOW-MOVING COLD FRONT THAT PUSHES INTO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA LATE
TONIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 225 PM SUNDAY...

THE COLD FRONT WILL SLOWLY PUSH SOUTH...AND IT SHOULD LIE NEAR THE
SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES
FALL TO BELOW 1.5 INCHES THROUGHOUT CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA BY 00Z
TUESDAY...AND K INDICES FALL INTO THE SINGLE FIGURES IN THE
NORTHWEST PIEDMONT BY THEN. BUFR SOUNDINGS FROM BOTH THE NAM AND THE
GFS BECOME INCREASINGLY STABLE DURING THE DAY MONDAY...AND AFTER ANY
LINGERING EARLY MORNING SHOWERS IN OR NEAR THE COASTAL PLAIN MONDAY
MORNING...THE BEST CHANCES FOR SCATTERED REDEVELOPMENT WILL BE OVER
THE FAR SOUTHEAST...MAINLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM ABOUT KMEB
TO KGSB. ALTHOUGH THE GUIDANCE IS SUGGESTIVE OF ONLY WEAK LOW-LEVEL
CONVERGENCE MONDAY AFTERNOON UNDER NEGLIGIBLE DIFFLUENCE ALOFT...
A WEAK MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
DURING THE AFTERNOON COULD HELP RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MAINLY THE FAR SOUTHEAST...CLOSER TO
THE FRONT AND LINGERING MOISTURE. HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE WARM
BEFORE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN...RANGING FROM THE UPPER 80S TO THE
LOWER 90S.

MONDAY NIGHT...THE AIR MASS BECOMES VERY STABLE...WITH GRADUAL
DRYING OF SURFACE DEW POINTS...K INDICES TURNING NEGATIVE...AND
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BELOW AN INCH. UNDER A CLEAR SKY...
TEMPERATURES SHOULD FALL TO THE UPPER 50S IN PARTS OF CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA ESPECIALLY NORTH OF U.S. 64. DEW POINTS TAKE LONGER TO FALL
TOWARD KFAY AND OVERNIGHT LOWS THERE SHOULD BE CLOSER TO THE MID
60S. DID NOT GO QUITE AS LOW AS THE MET GUIDANCE FOR LOWS AS THE
GRADIENT AHEAD OF THE HIGH BUILDING IN IS SOMEWHAT TIGHT...WHICH
COULD RESULT IN JUST A LITTLE MIXING...ENOUGH TO KEEP READINGS FROM
BOTTOMING OUT.

TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT:
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC ON
TUESDAY AND SHIFT OFFSHORE BY TUESDAY EVENING... WITH THE RIDGE AXIS
CONTINUING TO EXTEND BACK INTO CENTRAL NC THROUGH AT LEAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER... A WEAK INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH ALONG/NEAR THE
COAST COUPLED WITH THE APPROACH OF A MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT IN THE RATHER LOW AMPLITUDE
THROUGH ALOFT OVER OUR LATITUDE MAY ALLOW FOR A FEW SHOWERS AND/OR
STORMS TO DEVELOP ACROSS OUR FAR EASTERN OR SOUTHEASTERN REACHES OF
OUR CWA THEN. FOR NOW WILL ONLY ADD A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN COUNTIES FOR THIS TIME FRAME
(WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON).

TEMPERATURES DURING THIS PERIOD WILL BE QUITE PLEASANT. LOW LEVEL
THICKNESS VALUES ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON ARE ONLY EXPECTED TO TOP OUT
NEAR 1400 METERS. THIS COMBINED WITH DRIER AIR (AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE REGION) WILL ALLOW FOR HIGH TEMPS TUESDAY
TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S (83-88)... NEAR NORMAL. LOWS TUESDAY
NIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S... WITH PERHAPS A
FEW UPPER 50S IN THE USUAL COOL RURAL LOCATIONS ACROSS THE NORTH.
HIGHS ON WEDNESDAY SHOULD BE A TOUCH WARMER AS THE SURFACE HIGH
MOVES OFFSHORE (HOWEVER... THE RIDGE AXIS WILL STILL EXTEND BACK
INTO THE AREA) AND LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO BE
ABOUT 5 TO 10 METERS HIGHER. THUS... WILL GO WITH HIGH TEMPS A
DEGREE OR TWO WARMER. THIS YIELDS HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S
(MAINLY 85-89)... WITH PERHAPS A FEW LOCATIONS ACROSS THE SOUTH
REACHING THE 90 DEGREE MARK. LOWS WEDNESDAY NIGHT/THURSDAY MORNING
ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 235 PM SUNDAY...

ANOTHER S/W TROUGH ALOFT IS EXPECT TO TRACK EASTWARD NEAR THE
US/CANADIAN BORDER (GREAT LAKES REGION INTO NEW ENGLAND) ON THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW ANOTHER COLD FRONT TO APPROACH THE AREA
ON THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY. QUESTIONS REMAIN ON HOW FAR SOUTH
THIS FEATURES WILL SINK BEFORE POSSIBLE AFFECTS AND/OR INTERACTIONS
WITH THE CURRENT TROPICAL STORM IRENE. FOR THURSDAY THINK MOST OF
THE AREA WILL BE DRY (SLIGHT CHANCE POP)... WITH INCREASING CHANCES
FOR PRECIP ON FRIDAY AS THE THE TROPICAL SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE
SOUTH AND THE COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTH/NORTHWEST. EXPECT HIGH TEMPS
ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY TO BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90. LOWS
FRIDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

NHC FORECAST AND MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW IRENE TURNING NORTHWARD OUT
OF THE CARIBBEAN AND AFFECTING PORTIONS IF NOT ALL OF FLORIDA
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY (ALTHOUGH LATEST MODEL GUIDANCE IS INDICATING A
SLIGHT SHIFT EASTWARD TO THE OVERALL TRACK)... AS MODELS CONTINUE TO
INDICATE A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE OVER THE SE U.S. MEDIUM
RANGE MODELS THEN CONTINUE TO TRACK IT NORTHWARD AND INTO OUR REGION
NEXT WEEKEND. GIVEN WE ARE STILL TALKING ABOUT DAYS 6 AND 7 OF THE
FORECAST AND TIMING AND EXACT TRACK OF THE SYSTEM ARE STILL IN
DOUBT... WILL ONLY RAISE POPS TO HIGH CHANCE FOR NEXT WEEKEND AND
LOWER HIGH TEMPS AT BIT. GIVEN THE CURRENT SETUP AND GENERAL
TRACK... HEAVY RAIN... ISOLATED TORNADOES... AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE
POSSIBLE NEXT WEEKEND. WILL GO WITH HIGH TEMPS IN THE LOWER TO MID
80S BOTH DAYS... WITH LOWS IN THE 70S.

WITH REGARD TO THE THE AFOREMENTIONED TROPICAL SYSTEM... EVERYONE
ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD ESPECIALLY IN THE SE US SHOULD KEEP UP TO
DATE WITH THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NHC AND LOCAL WFOS.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 815 PM SUNDAY...

IN ADVANCE OF A LIFT-INDUCING MID-UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVER
WESTERN NC... SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP AND AFFECT LOCATIONS MAINLY FROM JUST SOUTH OF THE TRIAD
TERMINALS EASTWARD TO KRDU/KFAY/KRWI AS THEY MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
AROUND 04-08Z...PERSISTING LONGEST IN THE VICINITY OF KFAY. THERE IS
A GOOD CHANCE OF MVFR-IFR CEILINGS AT KRDU/KFAY/KRWI...AS
SOUTHWESTERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW RIDES ATOP THE RAIN-COOLED AIR FROM
PRECEDING SHOWERS/STORMS. THERE IS ALSO A GOOD CHANCE OF MVFR
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS FOLLOWING SHOWERS/STORMS...WHOSE HIGHEST
PROBABILITY OF OCCURRENCE IS ALSO AT KRDU/KFAY/KRWI.

ON MONDAY...AFTER ANY LINGERING MORNING SHOWERS TOWARD KFAY AND
KRWI...AND MIXING OF ANY MVFR CEILINGS AND FOG...VFR CONDITIONS
SHOULD PREVAIL. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM IS POSSIBLE TOWARD KFAY
AGAIN LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON...BUT THE BETTER CHANCES WILL BE SOUTH
AND SOUTHEAST OF THERE. WINDS WILL VEER TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH...
AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL BE THE RULE THEN THROUGH MID-WEEK. THE
CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASE LATE IN THE WEEK AS
HIGH PRESSURE RETREATS AND MOISTURE RETURNS.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...MWS
NEAR TERM...DJF
SHORT TERM...DJF/BSD
LONG TERM...BSD
AVIATION...MWS/DJF

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
941 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>040-221100-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
941 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

FOLLOW THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
REGARDING TROPICAL STORM IRENE.

NCZ041>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-221100-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
941 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THROUGH TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT.
THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND RESULTANT FLOODING...AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

FOLLOW THE LATEST FORECASTS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
REGARDING TROPICAL STORM IRENE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
925 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0703 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 NW SHARPSBURG         35.90N  77.86W
08/21/2011                   NASH               NC   PUBLIC

            LARGE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101248

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
926 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0705 PM     HAIL             3 SSW ROCKY MOUNT       35.91N  77.80W
08/21/2011  E1.25 INCH       EDGECOMBE          NC   PUBLIC

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101249

DJF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
930 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCZ042-043-077-078-088-089-220230-
CUMBERLAND-HARNETT-JOHNSTON-SAMPSON-WAYNE-WILSON-
930 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SAMPSON...HARNETT...WAYNE...
JOHNSTON...WILSON AND CUMBERLAND COUNTIES THROUGH 1030 PM EDT...

AT 928 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS OVER COATS CROSSROADS...OR ABOUT 9 MILES WEST OF
SMITHFIELD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE LILLINGTON... CLAYTON... FOUR OAKS...
LUCAMA... FAYETTEVILLE... DUNN... BENSON... AND GOLDSBORO.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH.

DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

THESE THUNDERSTORMS ARE PRODUCING AN EXCESSIVE AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING.
SEEK SHELTER INDOORS AND STAY AWAY FROM THE WINDOWS. MANY LIGHTNING
STRIKES WILL OCCUR WELL AHEAD OF THE HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. IF
YOU CANNOT SEEK SHELTER INDOORS TAKE COVER IN A VEHICLE.

DON'T WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES OR THE
FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS WELL AWAY FROM
YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

THIS STORM WILL PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH WILL CAUSE MINOR
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS INCLUDING DITCHES...CREEKS...ROADWAYS AND
AREAS OF POOR DRAINAGE. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. MOTORISTS SHOULD ALSO REDUCE DRIVING SPEEDS TO AVOID
HYDROPLANING.

&&

LAT...LON 3489 7893 3496 7904 3504 7909 3520 7910
      3527 7922 3558 7890 3552 7871 3566 7853
      3581 7825 3573 7820 3575 7813 3558 7780
      3537 7780 3518 7783 3515 7790 3519 7801
      3518 7816 3497 7814 3485 7851 3483 7890
TIME...MOT...LOC 0128Z 299DEG 37KT 3546 7848

10

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
948 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0821 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 ESE ROLESVILLE        35.91N  78.40W
08/21/2011                   WAKE               NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE BLOWN DOWN ON MITCHELL MILL ROAD

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101250

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
954 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0850 PM     FLASH FLOOD      4 SSW DORTCHES          35.96N  77.87W
08/21/2011                   NASH               NC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            PARTS OF SOUTH HALIFAX ROAD BETWEEN KETCH POINT DRIVE
            AND MCINTYRE LANE CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER AND PREVIOUS
            HEAVY RAIN. DOT ENROUTE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101251

DJF

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1028 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

NCZ083>085-220330-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-
1028 PM EDT SUN AUG 21 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS SCOTLAND...RICHMOND AND
ANSON COUNTIES THROUGH 1130 PM EDT...

AT 1027 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
POLKTON...OR ABOUT 6 MILES WEST OF WADESBORO...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE... WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM... ELLERBE... LILESVILLE... AND MORVEN.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS TO 50 MPH.

DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. STRONG WINDS ARE
CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN SMALL TREES AND BLOWING AROUND TRASH CANS...
POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR OBJECTS.

DON'T WAIT UNTIL YOU SEE THE FIRST LIGHTNING FLASH BEFORE HEADING TO
SAFETY. MOVE INDOORS AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING SKIES OR THE
FIRST SOUND OF THUNDER. MAKE SURE THAT LIGHTNING IS WELL AWAY FROM
YOUR LOCATION BEFORE RESUMING OUTDOOR ACTIVITY.

&&

LAT...LON 3480 7968 3482 8032 3516 8028 3515 8016
      3516 8017 3517 8009 3514 8007 3514 8002
      3516 7998 3516 7989 3518 7986 3516 7962
      3512 7957 3506 7957 3502 7943 3491 7935
      3482 7935 3477 7932 3463 7946
TIME...MOT...LOC 0227Z 290DEG 28KT 3497 8012

10