Severe Thunderstorm Warning 291, NWS Raleigh, NC

573 
WWUS52 KRAH 121533
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1133 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

NCC101-191-121615-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0291.000000T0000Z-110812T1615Z/
JOHNSTON NC-WAYNE NC-
1133 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM EDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL WAYNE AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTIES...

AT 1128 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
GRANTHAM...OR 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNT OLIVE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
5 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE... PRINCETON...PINE LEVEL
AND MAR-MAC.

LARGE HAIL CAN DAMAGE VEHICLES...WINDOWS AND SOME ROOFS. SEVERE
WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND CAN DAMAGE MOBILE
HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL
THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3521 7818 3523 7824 3529 7831 3527 7837
      3529 7841 3554 7827 3540 7798
TIME...MOT...LOC 1533Z 213DEG 5KT 3533 7824

$$

VINCENT

569 
WWUS52 KRAH 121547
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1147 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

NCC101-191-121615-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0291.000000T0000Z-110812T1615Z/
JOHNSTON NC-WAYNE NC-
1147 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM EDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL WAYNE AND SOUTHERN JOHNSTON COUNTIES...

AT 1146 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
GRANTHAM...OR 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNT OLIVE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
5 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THE STORM INCLUDE...PRINCETON.

LARGE HAIL CAN DAMAGE VEHICLES...WINDOWS AND SOME ROOFS. SEVERE
WINDS CAN BLOW DOWN TREES...POWER LINES...AND CAN DAMAGE MOBILE
HOMES AND OTHER BUILDINGS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL
THE STORM HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3521 7818 3523 7824 3529 7831 3527 7837
      3529 7841 3552 7822 3541 7800
TIME...MOT...LOC 1547Z 218DEG 4KT 3533 7823

$$

VINCENT

741 
WWUS52 KRAH 121600
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1200 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

NCC101-191-121615-
/O.CON.KRAH.SV.W.0291.000000T0000Z-110812T1615Z/
JOHNSTON NC-WAYNE NC-
1200 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 PM EDT
FOR WEST CENTRAL WAYNE AND SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTIES...

AT 1154 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
GRANTHAM...OR 12 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNT OLIVE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
5 MPH.

HAZARDS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
QUARTER SIZED HAIL.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY ALONG THE 
WAYNE AND JOHNSTON COUNTY BORDER NEAR GRANTHAM.

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL CAPABLE OF BREAKING WINDOWS...
DAMAGING ROOFS AND DENTING VEHICLES. STAY INSIDE AWAY FROM WINDOWS
UNTIL THE STORM HAS PASSED.

WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO...PLEASE CALL IN YOUR REPORTS OF PENNY OR
LARGER SIZED HAIL...AS WELL AS WIND DAMAGE...INCLUDING TREES OR LARGE
LIMBS DOWNED BY CALLING THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOLL FREE AT...
1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2.

LAT...LON 3530 7834 3532 7839 3550 7824 3538 7802
      3521 7818 3523 7824 3529 7831
TIME...MOT...LOC 1559Z 205DEG 3KT 3533 7820

$$

VINCENT

093 
WWUS52 KRAH 121608
SVSRAH

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1208 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

NCC101-191-121618-
/O.EXP.KRAH.SV.W.0291.000000T0000Z-110812T1615Z/
JOHNSTON NC-WAYNE NC-
1208 PM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR WEST CENTRAL WAYNE AND
SOUTHEASTERN JOHNSTON COUNTIES EXPIRES AT 1215 PM EDT...

THE STORM THAT PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED...AND SEVERE 
WEATHER IS NO LONGER EXPECTED. THEREFORE...THE WARNING WILL BE 
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING DAMAGING WINDS OR LARGE
HAIL...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL
FREE 1...8 7 7...6 3 3...6 7 7 2...OR NOTIFY YOUR NEAREST LAW
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN RALEIGH.

LAT...LON 3530 7834 3532 7839 3550 7824 3538 7802
      3521 7818 3523 7824 3529 7831
TIME...MOT...LOC 1608Z 205DEG 3KT 3534 7820

$$

VINCENT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1048 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC WILL EXTEND
SOUTH INTO CENTRAL NC TODAY THEN SHIFT OFFSHORE SATURDAY. THE RETURN
FLOW ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE HIGH WILL ALLOW A STALLED SURFACE
BOUNDARY OVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO RETURN NORTH AS A WARM FRONT
SATURDAY NIGHT. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS OUR AREA LATE SUNDAY AND
SUNDAY NIGHT.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1045 AM FRIDAY...

14Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWED 1020 MB HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER PA...
WITH A SFC RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING SOUTH INTO VA AND PORTIONS OF NC. A
WEAK (1013 MB) SFC LOW WAS CENTERED IN EASTERN GA...ALONG A STALLED
FRONT. AN INVERTED SFC TROUGH EXTENDED NORTH INTO CENTRAL NC.
ALOFT...AT 14Z A ROBUST H25 SHORTWAVE WAS LOCATED OVER THE WESTERN
VA/WV MOUNTAINS EXTENDING SOUTHWEST INTO TN...MOVING SOUTHEAST
TOWARD CENTRAL VA/NC.

TEMPERATURES TODAY/TONIGHT:
1000-850 MB THICKNESSES ARE PROGGED AT 1410-1420 METERS THIS
AFTERNOON...SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY. A FAIR AMOUNT OF MID-LEVEL CLOUD
COVER WILL BE PRESENT IN ADVANCE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE...
ALONG WITH CONVECTIVE DEBRIS FROM ISOLD CONVECTION ALREADY
DEVELOPING THIS MORNING...AND THERE WILL LIKELY BE A SMALL IMPACT ON
HIGH TEMPS IN LOCATIONS WHERE CLOUD COVER IS MORE PERSISTENT. WILL
FCST HIGHS RANGING FROM THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S...SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY. GIVEN A SOUTH/SE LOW LEVEL RETURN FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF
THE SURFACE HIGH MOVING OFFSHORE THE MID-ATLANTIC...EXPECT LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.

CONVECTION TODAY/TONIGHT:
W/REGARD TO INSTABILITY...14Z SPC MESOANALYSIS SHOWED 500-1000 J/KG
OF MLCAPE OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN AND WESTERN PIEDMONT. AS OF 14Z...
SFC DEWPOINTS CONTINUE TO RISE INTO THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S...
AND MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WERE ON THE ORDER OF ~6C/KM. FCST
SOUNDINGS SHOW DEWPOINTS MIXING OUT INTO THE LOWER 60S THIS
AFTERNOON AT ALL LOCATIONS...WITH A MAX OF 500-1500 J/KG MLCAPE
DURING PEAK HEATING. HOWEVER...IF SFC DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE UPPER
60S TO LOWER 70S...MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500-2500 J/KG WILL BE POSSIBLE.
W/REGARD TO LIFT...IN THE LOWER LEVELS...A FEW INVERTED SFC TROUGHS
WERE NOTED ACROSS CENTRAL NC...ONE JUST WEST OF THE TRIANGLE AND
ANOTHER IN THE COASTAL PLAIN. ALOFT...A ROBUST H25 SHORTWAVE WILL
CROSS CENTRAL NC FROM THE NW LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH MID
AFTERNOON...WITH CENTRAL NC IN THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF AN H3
JET THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL H25 SHORTWAVE ENERGY IS
EXPECTED TO CROSS THE AREA FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT. GIVEN FORCING IN
BOTH THE LOWER/UPPER LEVELS AND AN UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE...WILL
INCREASE PRECIP CHANCES TO 30-40% ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA FROM LATE
MORNING THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON. ONE THE AFOREMENTIONED H25 WAVE
CROSSES THROUGH CENTRAL NC THIS AFTERNOON THERE MAY BE A LULL IN
ACTIVITY IN ASSOC/W SUBSIDENCE IN THE WAKE OF THIS FEATURE...
HOWEVER...THIS MAY BE SHORT-LIVED AS BOTH THE GFS/NAM/RUC INDICATE
ADDITIONAL H25 SHORTWAVE ENERGY MOVING INTO THE AREA FROM THE WEST
AFTER 00Z. WILL INDICATE CHANCE POPS OVERNIGHT AS WELL.

SEVERE THREAT:
CONVECTION THIS MORNING IN NORTHEAST WAKE AND FRANKLIN/NASH COUNTIES
HAS ALREADY BEEN CLOSE TO SEVERE...WITH 60-68 DBZ ECHOES AS HIGH AS
20 KFT AND SIGNS OF MID-LEVEL ROTATION. THE SEVERE THREAT TODAY
APPEARS GREATEST THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WHEN 0-6 KM BULK SHEAR
VALUES WILL BE IN THE 30-40 KT RANGE AND UPPER LEVEL LIFT WILL BE
MAXIMIZED IN ASSOC/W THE APPROACHING H25 WAVE AND THE RIGHT ENTRANCE
REGION OF AN 85 KT JET MAX OVER KWAL. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WINDS (1000-1300 J/KG DCAPE) AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL (WBZ ~12
KFT). THE SEVERE THREAT LATER TODAY IS LESS CLEAR GIVEN THAT DEEP
LAYER SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO DECREASE AND THE RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OF
THE AFOREMENTIONED JET SHIFTS INTO EASTERN NC AND EVENTUALLY
OFFSHORE...HOWEVER...AS LONG AS DEEP CONVECTION IS PRESENT AND DCAPE
VALUES PERSIST OVER 1000 J/KG...A DAMAGING WIND THREAT CANNOT BE
RULED OUT. -VINCENT

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 310 AM FRIDAY...

SATURDAY...LOW LEVEL RETURN FLOW OFF THE ATLANTIC WILL CONTINUE
SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT WITH BEST MOISTURE TRANSPORT ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN COUNTIES. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS TO
START THE DAY ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE WEST HALF. A WEAK MID LEVEL
TROUGH LIFTING NE SHOULD TRIGGER A FEW SHOWERS AND
T-STORMS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE HEAT OF THE DAY WITH THE BEST
COVERAGE WHERE MOISTURE MOST PLENTIFUL (WEST AND SOUTH). PLAN TO
KEEP POPS BELOW 50 PERCENT BUT COULD SEE THE NEED FOR A HIGHER POP
OVER THE SW HALF...ESPECIALLY IF THE MID LEVEL TROUGH IS SHARPER
THAN PREDICTED.

TEMPS SATURDAY HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE OPAQUENESS OF CLOUD COVERAGE.
BETTING ON AT LEAST PARTLY SUNNY SKIES THOUGH POTENTIAL FOR
OVERCAST SKIES TO PERSIST ALL DAY OVER THE WESTERN THIRD OF THE CWA
WHERE MAX TEMPS MAY END UP BEING 3-4 DEGREES COOLER THAN FORECAST.
MAX TEMPS MID 80S NW TO NEAR 90 SE.

SATURDAY NIGHT...APPROACH OF DEEPENING MID-UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL
SERVE TO ENHANCE MOISTURE TRANSPORT OVER THE REGION. BEST DYNAMICS
ALOFT WILL STILL BE WEST OF CENTRAL NC...BUT EXPECT TO SEE AN
INCREASE IN SHOWER COVERAGE OVERNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
SUNDAY. TIMING THIS MODEL RUN A LITTLE SLOWER THAN PREVIOUS SO HAVE
DELAYED ONSET OF LIKELY POPS A FEW HOURS. MIN TEMPS UPPER 60S TO
AROUND 70. -WSS

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...
A SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY OVER EASTERN MONTANA WILL DIG SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE MIDWEST SATURDAY AND TOWARD THE MID ATLANTIC COAST BY
SUNDAY...FORMING AN ANOMALOUSLY DEEP (FOR THE SEASON) UPPER TROUGH.
ONGOING CONVECTION FROM UPSTREAM OVER THE TN VALLEY SATURDAY EVENING
SHOULD BE CROSSING THE APPALACHIANS OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE CONVECTION WILL LIKELY MOVE OUT
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...WHICH SHOULD JUST BE APPROACHING CENTRAL
TN/KY SUNDAY MORNING.  WEAK INSTABILITY AND SEPARATION FORM DEEPER
FORCING SHOULD CAUSE CONVECTION TO INITIALLY WEAKEN EAST OF
MOUNTAINS...BUT STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL THETA E ADVECTION FROM THE
SOUTH AND PWS APPROACHING 2 INCHES SHOULD CAUSE DECENT
DESTABILIZATION SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WILL TRANSITION LIKELY POPS IN THE
WEST SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA DURING THE AFTERNOON.
THEN... AS THE MID/UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS TO CLOSE OFF OVER THE
OHIO VALLEY...EXPECT A DRY PUNCH TO PUSH SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
ACROSS THE CWA SUNDAY AFTERNOON.  HOWEVER..WILL KEEP POPS HIGH INTO
SUNDAY EVENING AS THE COMBINATION OF DRYING ALOFT AND ARRIVAL OF
DPVA FROM UPPER WAVE MAY LEAD TO DESTABILIZATION VIA POTENTIAL
INSTABILITY.  THUS...THERE MAY BE REDEVELOPMENT ALONG THE FRONT
SUNDAY EVENING...AND IF THIS OCCURS...INCREASING DEEP LAYER SHEAR
WITH THE UPPER TROUGH MAY HELP MAINTAIN A SEVERE THREAT INTO SUNDAY
NIGHT.

CONVECTION WILL MAKE THE TEMP FORECAST SUNDAY TRICKY AS WARM
ADVECTION WILL BE OFFSET BY CLOUD COVER AND PRECIP.  WILL KEEP TEMPS
PRETTY MUCH AS ADVERTISED...83-88..BUT MAY SEE SOME BREAKS IN CLOUD
COVER EXTRA HEATING IN THE SOUTHWEST CWA DURING THE AFTERNOON IF DRY
AIR ALOFT DOES INDEED RACE IN.  LOWS SUNDAY NIGHT 65-70. -SMITH

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM FRIDAY...

RECENT MODEL RUNS HAVE SLOWED THE PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH...AND SUBSEQUENTLY THE COLD FRONT ACROSS NC....AS THE TROUGH
DEVELOPS INTO A CLOSED LOW OFF THE DELMARVA.  BASED ON THIS...THE
COLD FRONT MAY BE OVER THE COASTAL PLAIN MONDAY AS THE CORE OF THE
UPPER LOW MIGRATES ACROSS THE AREAS.  WILL INCLUDE A CHANCE POPS FOR
INSTABILITY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND STORMS...MAINLY EAST...MONDAY
AFTERNOON. THEN AS THE UPPER TROUGH SLOWLY WEAKENS AND MIGRATES
EAST...A SECOND BUT WEAKER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO MOVE OFF THE UPPER
RIDGE AND REESTABLISH SOME FORM OF WEAK TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN
US.  THUS...TEMPS THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL GENERALLY RUN AT OR ONLY
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL AS NC REMAINS ON THE EASTERN FRINGE OF THE
UPPER RIDGE.  FORCING FOR CONVECTION LOOKS RATHER WEAK UNTIL THE
NEXT TROUGH ARRIVES LATE IN THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /11Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 130 AM FRIDAY...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS CENTRAL NC THROUGH THIS EVENING.
THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE MVFR CEILINGS/VISIBILITY IN THE VICINITY
OF ISOLATED OR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND T-STORMS THAT WILL DEVELOP
LATER TODAY. THE FAVORED AREAS FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT APPEAR TO
BE NEAR THE SOUTH CAROLINA BORDER IN PROXIMITY TO A STALLED
BOUNDARY...AND NEAR THE VIRGINIA BORDER WHERE A WEAK MID LEVEL TROUGH
EXISTS. FOR NOW WILL MENTION CB LATER TODAY IN THE FAYETTEVILLE AREA
BUT REFRAIN FROM MENTIONING ELSEWHERE.

LOW LEVEL ELY FLOW TODAY WILL BECOME SLY LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
THIS SLY FLOW WILL ADVECT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WHICH WILL INCREASE THE
PROBABILITY OF STRATUS AND ASSOCIATED MVFR/IFR CEILINGS BY DAYBREAK
SATURDAY ESPECIALLY IN THE TRIAD VICINITY AS WELL AS KFAY.

AN UNUSUALLY STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WILL
AFFECT THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. THIS WEATHER SYSTEM
WILL CAUSE PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND T-STORMS WITH EXTENDED PERIODS OF
SUB-VFR CEILINGS PROBABLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY. A
RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED BY TUESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD BACK INTO THE REGION.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...WSS
NEAR TERM...VINCENT
SHORT TERM...WSS/SMITH
LONG TERM...SMITH
AVIATION...WSS

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
416 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-130930-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
416 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH STRONG AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL...ARE EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
923 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

NCZ027-121430-
NASH-
923 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS NASH COUNTY THROUGH 1030 AM
EDT...

AT 923 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
NASHVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...DORTCHES...AND...RED
OAK.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3602 7776 3591 7781 3583 7793 3593 7807
      3616 7791 3615 7789 3614 7778 3615 7774
      3613 7772 3615 7771 3614 7770 3611 7770
TIME...MOT...LOC 1323Z 223DEG 7KT 3596 7793

VINCENT

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1008 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

NCZ026-027-041-121500-
FRANKLIN-NASH-WAKE-
1008 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS NASH...NORTHEASTERN WAKE...
AND FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 1100 AM EDT...

AT 1006 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED DEVELOPING STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FROM NEAR ROLESVILLE TO LOUISBURG...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS INCLUDE CASTALIA...BUNN...
SPRING HOPE.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH.

HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

IF YOU SEE LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE AT RISK. TAKE SHELTER
INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. IF YOU CANNOT FIND SHELTER IN A BUILDING A
VEHICLE PROVIDES SAFETY FROM LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3617 7798 3619 7797 3619 7793 3615 7789
      3614 7778 3615 7774 3613 7772 3615 7770
      3584 7785 3584 7790 3577 7807 3582 7826
      3587 7828 3588 7837 3599 7852 3616 7833
      3621 7804
TIME...MOT...LOC 1406Z 264DEG 13KT 3608 7821

MWS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

NCZ042-078-121545-
JOHNSTON-WAYNE-
1109 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL MOVE ACROSS WAYNE AND JOHNSTON COUNTIES
THROUGH 1145 AM EDT...

AT 1108 AM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
GRANTHAM...OR ABOUT 13 MILES NORTHWEST OF MOUNT OLIVE...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...GRANTHAM.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
PEA SIZE HAIL.
GUSTY WINDS UP TO 45 MPH.
DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
HEAVY RAINFALL AND MINOR FLOODING.

SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY BUILDING OR VEHICLE. WINDS OF THIS
MAGNITUDE ARE CAPABLE OF KNOCKING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND BLOWING AROUND
TRASH CANS...POTTED PLANTS...LAWN FURNITURE AND OTHER LIGHT OUTDOOR
OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3521 7820 3523 7824 3529 7831 3527 7835
      3532 7840 3552 7816 3534 7796
TIME...MOT...LOC 1508Z 228DEG 7KT 3531 7825

VINCENT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1117 AM EDT FRI AUG 12 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1106 AM     HAIL             3 WSW BUNN              35.94N  78.29W
08/12/2011  E0.75 INCH       FRANKLIN           NC   PUBLIC

            DIME SIZED HAIL

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1101164

SEC