Freeze Warning 2, NWS Raleigh, NC

Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC

071 
WWUS72 KRAH 290803
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
403 AM EDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...A FREEZE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NORTH
CAROLINA FROM 12 AM THROUGH 8 AM TUESDAY...

.A COLD HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BUILD INTO OUR REGION FROM THE
NORTH. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BE AT FREEZING OR BELOW FOR
SEVERAL HOURS AT MANY LOCATIONS.

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-291200-
/O.CON.KRAH.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110329T1200Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
403 AM EDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...


* TEMPERATURES: TEMPERATURES ARE AT OR BELOW FREEZING ACROSS
  CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A FEW MORE URBAN
  AREAS. SOME NORMALLY COLD LOCATIONS IN THE NORTH WILL EXPERIENCE
  A HARD FREEZE WITH TEMPERATURES AT OR BELOW 28 DEGREES.
  TEMPERATURES WILL FALL AN ADDITIONAL ONE TO TWO DEGREES FROM
  CURRENT READINGS BY SUNRISE.

* TIMING: THE MAIN TIME OF CONCERN WILL BE THROUGH 8 AM.

* IMPACTS: TENDER PLANTS AND VEGETATION SHOULD BE PROTECTED FROM 
  THE COLD. A WIDESPREAD FROST WILL OCCUR. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE IMMINENT OR
HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND OTHER
SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

&&

$$

908 
WWUS72 KRAH 291154
NPWRAH

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
754 AM EDT TUE MAR 29 2011


NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-291300-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FZ.W.0002.000000T0000Z-110329T1200Z/
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-
WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-
ANSON-RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON...
WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...
HIGH POINT...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...
NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...
RALEIGH...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...ALBEMARLE...TROY...
SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO...WADESBORO...
ROCKINGHAM...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON
754 AM EDT TUE MAR 29 2011

...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...

THE FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING AS TEMPERATURES
RAPIDLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S WITH
FORECAST HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 


$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
229 PM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
UNSEASONABLY CHILLY AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WORK WEEK. AFTER BRIEF DRY WEATHER TONIGHT AND TUESDAY... WET
WEATHER WILL RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A SERIES OF STORM SYSTEMS
AFFECTING THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 1030 AM MONDAY...

AREA OF PRECIPITATION IS MOVING VERY QUICKLY TO THE EAST ACROSS
CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...WITH GENERALLY ONLY LIGHT PRECIP OR DRIZZLE
REMAINING. MANY LOCATIONS NORTH OF HWY 64 EXPERIENCED SOME SNOW OR
SLEET MIXED IN WITH THE RAIN THIS MORNING...WITH THE TRIAD AREA
TURNING OVER TO ALL SNOW FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS. THIS RESULTED IN
TRACE ACCUMULATIONS BEING REPORTED IN GRASSY AREAS...DECKS...ETC.
ACROSS THE TRIAD AND INTO PERSON COUNTY. HOWEVER...NO PROBLEMS WERE
REPORTED WITH THE ROADS. AS TEMPS CONTINUE TO WARM...ANY REMAINING
FROZEN PRECIP SHOULD CHANGE OVER TO RAIN AND THEN AM EXPECTING THIS
LIGHT RAIN TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS INTO THE
EARLY AFTERNOON. AS THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE THAT IS PRODUCING
THIS PRECIP MOVES EAST OF THE AREA...SUBSIDENCE AND PARTIAL CLEARING
BEHIND IT IS EXPECTED TO RESULT IN TEMPS RISING INTO THE MID
40S...WITH THE WARMEST TEMPS IN THE SOUTHWEST.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 315 AM MONDAY...

FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF CENTRAL NC FROM MIDNIGHT THROUGH
8AM TUESDAY.

HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO BREAK OFF FROM THE PARENT RIDGE AND
SETTLE OVER THE NE HALF OF THE CWA TONIGHT. SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR
CHARACTERIZED BY DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 20S SHOULD FILTER SOUTH INTO
THE AREA...AND COMBINED WITH CLEARING SKIES AND LIGHT TO CALM
WINDS...LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO BOTTOM OUT IN THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER
30S CWA WIDE.  PLAN TO EXPAND THE CURRENT FREEZE WATCH TO INCLUDE
ALL 31 COUNTIES IN THE RAH CWA.  COULD SEE SOME FOG DEVELOP AS
DEWPOINTS ONLY FALL SLOWLY...MAINLY ACROSS THE SOUTH...BUT
CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS NOT VERY HIGH AT THIS POINT.

THE AFOREMENTIONED SFC HIGH CENTER WILL SLIDE OFFSHORE
TUESDAY...WITH A LIGHT RETURN FLOW POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SW TUESDAY
AFTERNOON AS YET ANOTHER SYSTEM APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  BASED ON
PROJECTED 1000-850MB THICKNESSES AROUND 1335M AND INCREASING HIGH
CLOUDS LATE...WILL FORECAST HIGHS RANGING FROM 56 NE TO 61 SW.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 220 AM...

TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
ZONAL FLOW ALOFT TUESDAY EVENING BECOMES SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY
AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WAVE. THE WAVE WILL INDUCE SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPMENT OVER THE GULF STATES TUESDAY NIGHT... DRIVE THIS LOW
INTO THE CAROLINA COASTAL PLAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON... AND
OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. AS MID LEVEL WINDS SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST
AND INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT... ISENTROPIC LIFT MAY BE ABLE TO
GENERATE SOME MEASURABLE RAIN IN THE WEST BY MIDNIGHT... AND
ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA BY SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS LESS THAN ONE TENTH INCH.

AS WEDNESDAY PROGRESSES... DYNAMICS SURFACE AND ALOFT COME INTO PLAY
AND EXPECTING WIDESPREAD RAINFALL NEAR ONE HALF INCH. PARTS OF THE
SOUTHEAST WOULD SUPPORT AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORM IF THE
SURFACE LAYER IS ABLE TO SUFFICIENTLY WARM... BUT WILL CONTINUE
OMISSION AT THIS TIME. AS THE SURFACE LOW EXITS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
DRY AIR ALOFT ADVECTS IN... RAIN CHANCES IN THE WEST SHOULD END
DURING THE EVENING... AND FURTHER EAST BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SOME
RESIDUAL DRIZZLE COULD PERSIST INTO THE HOURS AFTER MIDNIGHT.

LOW TEMPERATURES LOW TO MID 40S TUESDAY NIGHT... THEN 40S WEDNESDAY
NIGHT... EXCEPT SOME 30S NORTHWEST.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
THE NEXT IN A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL WAVES IS FORECAST OVER THE
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THURSDAY... WITH SMALLER SHORT WAVES ROTATING
THROUGH ITS BASE. TIME OF THESE PULSES IS HIGHLY SUSPECT... HOWEVER
DEVELOPMENT OF ANOTHER SURFACE LOW... AND ITS MOVEMENT UP THE
SOUTHEAST COAST SEEMS REASONABLE. HAVE INTRODUCED AN AFTERNOON RAIN
CHANCE... BUT WITH LOW CONFIDENCE.

THE UPPER TROUGH IS FORECAST TO REACH EASTERN TENNESSEE BY FRIDAY
MORNING... AND INTO THE CAROLINAS BY SUNSET. BEYOND THAT... THINGS
ARE MURKY. THE 00Z ECMWF HAS SOME SUPPORT FROM THE CANADIAN MODEL IN
DRIVING A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE INTO THE OHIO VALLEY FRIDAY
NIGHT... AND THROUGH THE CAROLINAS SATURDAY. HAVE RETAINED THE
LIKELY POPS FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. TIMING OF ANY MINOR
PULSES SO FAR OUT IN TIME IS SUSPECT. WEST MID LEVEL FLOW AHEAD OF
THIS SYSTEM COULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY DRYING EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS.
HAVE ELECTED TO ADD A RAIN CHANCE TO LATE FRIDAY NIGHT... EXTENDING
INTO SATURDAY. SUNDAY DRY AS THE TROUGH EXITS INTO THE ATLANTIC.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 200 PM MONDAY...

PRECIPITATION HAS COME TO AN END ACROSS THE REGION...BUT CEILINGS
HAVE BEEN SLOW TO LIFT...WITH MOST TAF SITES REMAINING IN THE MVFR
RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. VISIBLE SATELLITE DOES SHOW SOME CLEARING FROM
THE NORTHEAST AS HIGH PRESSURE AND DRIER AIR IS BEGINNING TO MOVE
INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH. THAT TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
WITH CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY IMPROVE TO VFR OVER THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS. THEN WITH HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING ACROSS THE
REGION...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL FOR THE REMAINDER OF
THE TAF PERIOD. HOWEVER...WITH LIGHT TO CALM WINDS ALSO EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT...THERE COULD BE SOME PATCHY FOG DEVELOPMENT...BUT
CONFIDENCE IS RATHER LOW WITH THIS OCCURRING. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY
VEER TO A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION THROUGH THE DAY ON TUESDAY AS THE HIGH
PRESSURE MOVES OFFSHORE.

LOOKING AHEAD:
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE TO IFR/LIFR TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY IN ASSOCIATION WITH ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
APPROACHING THE AREA FROM THE WEST. THEN POOR AVIATION CONDITIONS
WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AS YET
ANOTHER (AND STRONGER) LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IMPACTS THE REGION. EVEN
THOUGH A GREAT DEAL OF UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS...THERE MAY FINALLY
BE SOME IMPROVEMENT BY THE WEEKEND.

&&

.RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING FOR
NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HARTFIELD
NEAR TERM...KRR
SHORT TERM...SMITH
LONG TERM...XXX
AVIATION...KRR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
750 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-291200-
PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-
ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-
JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON-
RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON-
750 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FREEZE WATCH.

LOWS MAY FALL INTO THE MID 30S TUESDAY MORNING. A FROST ADVISORY MAY
BE NEEDED.

ADDITIONALLY...SEVERAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED TO BRING
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL THIS WEEK. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE
ON WEDNESDAY AND AGAIN THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
916 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 AM     SLEET            4 SW RALEIGH            35.77N  78.68W
03/28/2011  M0.0 INCH        WAKE               NC   NWS OFFICE

            TRACE OF SLEET

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100308

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
918 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 AM     SNOW             HALIFAX                 36.33N  77.59W
03/28/2011  M0.0 INCH        HALIFAX            NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            TRACE OF SNOW

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100309

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
923 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0910 AM     SNOW             4 SE BUSHY FORK         36.27N  79.02W
03/28/2011  E0.2 INCH        PERSON             NC   BROADCAST MEDIA

            IN HURDLE MILLS AREA

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100310

DJF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
924 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0907 AM     SNOW             GREENSBORO              36.08N  79.83W
03/28/2011  M0.0 INCH        GUILFORD           NC   PUBLIC

            LIGHT SNOW IN GREENSBORO ACCUMULATING ON GRASSY AND
            ELEVATED SURFACES

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100311

MEB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
930 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0838 AM     SLEET            6 ENE RDU INTERNATIONAL 35.90N  78.68W
03/28/2011  M0.0 INCH        WAKE               NC   PUBLIC

            TRACE OF SLEET

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100312

MEB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
934 AM EDT MON MAR 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0740 AM     SLEET            EFLAND                  36.06N  79.17W
03/28/2011  M0.0 INCH        ORANGE             NC   PUBLIC

            TRACE OF SLEET ON CAR WINDSHIELD

&&

EVENT NUMBER RAH1100313

MEB