Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Watches in 2011
Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this flash flood watch at Sep 5, 2011, 3:57 AM EDT for 31 counties in North Carolina. It took effect at Sep 5, 2011, 6:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 36 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 5, 2011, 3:57 AM EDT (07:57 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 5, 2011, 6:00 PM EDT
- Expired
- Sep 7, 2011, 6:00 AM EDT
- In force
- 36 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
- Flood severity
- None
All 31 counties
Alamance County, NC, Anson County, NC, Chatham County, NC, Cumberland County, NC, Davidson County, NC, Durham County, NC, Edgecombe County, NC, Forsyth County, NC, Franklin County, NC, Granville County, NC, Guilford County, NC, Halifax County, NC, Harnett County, NC, Hoke County, NC, Johnston County, NC, Lee County, NC, Montgomery County, NC, Moore County, NC, Nash County, NC, Orange County, NC, Person County, NC, Randolph County, NC, Richmond County, NC, Sampson County, NC, Scotland County, NC, Stanly County, NC, Vance County, NC, Wake County, NC, Warren County, NC, Wayne County, NC, Wilson County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 45 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 00:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 93 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1857 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 26 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 15 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
953 WGUS62 KRAH 050757 FFARAH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 357 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 600 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 600 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING... .A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM 600 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 600 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE REMNANTS OF LEE WILL BECOME AN EXTRA-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AND INTERACT WITH A STALLED FRONTAL ZONE OVER OUR REGION TO PRODUCE HEAVY RAINFALL INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-073>076-083-084-052000- /O.NEW.KRAH.FF.A.0004.110905T2200Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE- DURHAM-FRANKLIN-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT... BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...LEXINGTON... ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...ALBEMARLE...TROY... SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM 357 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A * FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ALAMANCE...ANSON...CHATHAM... DAVIDSON...DURHAM...FORSYTH...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE... GUILFORD...LEE...MONTGOMERY...MOORE...ORANGE...PERSON... RANDOLPH...RICHMOND...STANLY...VANCE...WAKE AND WARREN. * FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. * SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE PIEDMONT TODAY AND CONTINUE TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. THE RAIN WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PIEDMONT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 5 INCHES PLUS EXPECTED. * ONCE THE GROUND BECOMES SATURATED TONIGHT AND THE HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES ARRIVE... FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL OCCUR. THIS INCLUDES URBAN AND RURAL AREAS. OCCASIONALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY... AND POSSIBLY TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW PRESSURE MOVES ALONG THE FRONT OVER OUR REGION. IF THIS EVENT DOES BECOME PROLONGED INTO TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT... THEN FLOODING OF MAIN STEM RIVERS MAY ALSO OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$ BADGETT
7 follow-up statements
515 WGUS62 KRAH 051550 FFARAH FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 1150 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 600 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 600 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING... .A SLOW MOVING SURFACE FRONT INTERACTING WITH A VERY MOIST AIR MASS WILL CAUSE PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-073>076-083-084-052300- /O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0004.110905T2200Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE- DURHAM-FRANKLIN-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT... BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...LEXINGTON... ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...ALBEMARLE...TROY... SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM 1150 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ALAMANCE...ANSON...CHATHAM...DAVIDSON...DURHAM... FORSYTH...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE...GUILFORD...LEE...MONTGOMERY... MOORE...ORANGE...PERSON...RANDOLPH...RICHMOND...STANLY... VANCE...WAKE AND WARREN. * FROM 6 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT * SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OVERSPREAD THE WESTERN PIEDMONT LATER TODAY AND THE REMAINDER OF THE PIEDMONT TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PIEDMONT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 5 OR MORE INCHES PROBABLE. * ONCE THE GROUND BECOMES SATURATED TONIGHT AND THE HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES ARRIVE... FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL OCCUR. PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY... AND POSSIBLY TUESDAY NIGHT. IF THIS EVENT DOES BECOME PROLONGED INTO TUESDAY NIGHT... THEN FLOODING OF MAIN STEM RIVERS MAY ALSO OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
155 WGUS62 KRAH 052341 FFARAH FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 741 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 600 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 600 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING... .A SLOW MOVING SURFACE FRONT INTERACTING WITH A VERY MOIST AIR MASS WILL CAUSE PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-073>076-083-084-061000- /O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE- DURHAM-FRANKLIN-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT... BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...LEXINGTON... ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...ALBEMARLE...TROY... SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM 741 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ALAMANCE...ANSON...CHATHAM...DAVIDSON...DURHAM... FORSYTH...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE...GUILFORD...LEE...MONTGOMERY... MOORE...ORANGE...PERSON...RANDOLPH...RICHMOND...STANLY... VANCE...WAKE AND WARREN. * THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT * SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE PIEDMONT TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. 2 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE PIEDMONT WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 5 OR MORE INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE WESTERN PIEDMONT. * ONCE THE GROUND BECOMES SATURATED TONIGHT AND THE HEAVIER RAINFALL RATES ARRIVE... FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL OCCUR. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. && $$
632 WGUS62 KRAH 060843 AAA FFARAH FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 443 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 600 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING... .A SLOW MOVING SURFACE FRONT INTERACTING WITH A VERY MOIST AIR MASS WILL CAUSE PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN TODAY INTO TONIGHT ACROSS THE PIEDMONT OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-073>076-083-084-070000- /O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE- DURHAM-FRANKLIN-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT... BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...LEXINGTON... ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...ALBEMARLE...TROY... SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM 443 AM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ALAMANCE...ANSON...CHATHAM...DAVIDSON...DURHAM... FORSYTH...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE...GUILFORD...LEE...MONTGOMERY... MOORE...ORANGE...PERSON...RANDOLPH...RICHMOND...STANLY... VANCE...WAKE AND WARREN. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO OVERSPREAD THE PIEDMONT THIS MORNING...FURTHER INCREASING IN COVERAGE BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED IN THE WATCH AREA...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE. * ONCE THE GROUND BECOMES SATURATED AND THE MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS ARRIVE...FLASH FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ VINCENT
487 WGUS62 KRAH 061828 FFARAH URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 228 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 600 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING... .A TROPICAL AIR MASS OVER CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING. THE VERY MOIST AIR SHIFTS ONLY SLOWLY EAST OVERNIGHT. WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ONLY VERY SLOWLY MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE APPALACHIANS...AND A SURFACE FRONT NEARLY STATIONARY OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES AND WILL INCLUDE AREAS OF THE COASTAL PLAIN... WHERE THE CHANCES FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL BE HIGHEST LATE TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY IMPACT WILL BE TO URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WITH HIGH RATES OF RAINFALL. NCZ011-027-028-042-043-077-078-085-086-088-089-070400- /O.EXA.KRAH.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ HALIFAX-NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND- HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROANOKE RAPIDS...NASHVILLE... ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD...WILSON...LILLINGTON...GOLDSBORO... LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 228 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS EXPANDED THE * FLASH FLOOD WATCH TO INCLUDE A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...CUMBERLAND... EDGECOMBE...HALIFAX...HARNETT...HOKE...JOHNSTON...NASH... SAMPSON...SCOTLAND...WAYNE AND WILSON. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING...WITH THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. OBSERVERS HAVE REPORTED RAINFALL TOTALS OVER AN INCH IN AS LITTLE AS 15 TO 30 MINUTES WITH SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY IMPACT WILL BE TO URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FROM THE HIGH RAINFALL RATES...AND HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. * WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN IN A TROPICAL AIR MASS...FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...INCLUDING LOW LYING AREAS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS...WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-073>076-083-084-070400- /O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE- DURHAM-FRANKLIN-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO...HIGH POINT... BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...LOUISBURG...LEXINGTON... ASHEBORO...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH...ALBEMARLE...TROY... SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM 228 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ALAMANCE...ANSON...CHATHAM...DAVIDSON...DURHAM... FORSYTH...FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE...GUILFORD...LEE...MONTGOMERY... MOORE...ORANGE...PERSON...RANDOLPH...RICHMOND...STANLY... VANCE...WAKE AND WARREN. * THROUGH LATE TONIGHT * WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING...WITH THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING OVERNIGHT ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE IMMEDIATE TRIAD AND THE YADKIN RIVER. OBSERVERS HAVE REPORTED RAINFALL TOTALS OVER AN INCH IN AS LITTLE AS 15 TO 30 MINUTES WITH SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRIMARY IMPACT WILL BE TO URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FROM THE HIGH RAINFALL RATES...AND HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. * WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN IN A TROPICAL AIR MASS...FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...INCLUDING LOW LYING AREAS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS...WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ DJF
536 WGUS62 KRAH 070138 AAA FFARAH FLOOD WATCH...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 938 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 600 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL NC... .A TROPICAL AIR MASS OVER THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. THE VERY MOIST AIR WILL SHIFT ONLY SLOWLY EAST OVERNIGHT. WITH A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ONLY VERY SLOWLY MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE APPALACHIANS...AND A SURFACE FRONT NEARLY STATIONARY OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE FOR ALL LOCATIONS EXCEPT THE WESTERN PIEDMONT. THE PRIMARY IMPACT WILL BE TO URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS WITH HIGH RATES OF RAINFALL. NCZ021-022-038-039-073-074-083-084-070245- /O.CAN.KRAH.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ FORSYTH-GUILFORD-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-ANSON- RICHMOND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WINSTON-SALEM...GREENSBORO... HIGH POINT...LEXINGTON...ASHEBORO...ALBEMARLE...TROY... WADESBORO...ROCKINGHAM 938 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE FLOODING THREAT HAS MOVED TO THE EAST OF THE WESTERN PIEDMONT THIS EVENING. $$ NCZ007>011-023>028-040>043-075>078-085-086-088-089-071000- /O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM- FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-CHATHAM-WAKE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-MOORE-LEE- HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS...BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM... LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH... SMITHFIELD...WILSON...SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON... GOLDSBORO...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD...FAYETTEVILLE...CLINTON 938 PM EDT TUE SEP 6 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...ALAMANCE...CHATHAM...CUMBERLAND...DURHAM...EDGECOMBE... FRANKLIN...GRANVILLE...HALIFAX...HARNETT...HOKE...JOHNSTON... LEE...MOORE...NASH...ORANGE...PERSON...SAMPSON...SCOTLAND... VANCE...WAKE...WARREN...WAYNE AND WILSON. * UNTIL 6 AM EDT WEDNESDAY * SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR THIS EVENING...WITH THE THREAT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING OVERNIGHT. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES AS MUCH AS ONE TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN TODAY ACROSS THE AREA... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO FOUR INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH BANDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUING TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY IMPACT WILL BE TO URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS FROM THE HIGH RAINFALL RATES...AND HIGH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. * WITH WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN IN A TROPICAL AIR MASS...FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...INCLUDING LOW LYING AREAS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS...WILL BE POSSIBLE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ 77
224 WGUS62 KRAH 070736 FFARAH FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 336 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011 ...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 600 AM THIS MORNING EAST OF INTERSTATE 95... NCZ007>009-023>025-040-041-075>077-085-086-088-070845- /O.CAN.KRAH.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-ALAMANCE-ORANGE-DURHAM-CHATHAM-WAKE-MOORE- LEE-HARNETT-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ROXBORO...OXFORD...HENDERSON... BURLINGTON...CHAPEL HILL...DURHAM...PITTSBORO...RALEIGH... SOUTHERN PINES...SANFORD...LILLINGTON...LAURINBURG...RAEFORD... FAYETTEVILLE 336 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN HAS SHIFTED INTO THE COASTAL PLAIN... THEREFORE THE WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED WEST OF INTERSTATE 95. $$ NCZ010-011-026>028-042-043-078-089-071000- /O.CON.KRAH.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-WAYNE- SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS... LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD...WILSON... GOLDSBORO...CLINTON 336 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR * A PORTION OF CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...EDGECOMBE...FRANKLIN...HALIFAX...JOHNSTON...NASH... SAMPSON...WARREN...WAYNE AND WILSON. * UNTIL 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING * ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST EAST OF INTERSTATE 95 THROUGH SUNRISE. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH 600 AM. * GIVEN A SATURATED GROUND FROM RECENT RAIN...ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING OF URBAN AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...INCLUDING LOW LYING AREAS ALONG CREEKS AND STREAMS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION. YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED. $$ VINCENT
337 WGUS62 KRAH 070937 FFARAH FLOOD WATCH NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 537 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011 NCZ010-011-026>028-042-043-078-089-071045- /O.EXP.KRAH.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-110907T1000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ WARREN-HALIFAX-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-WAYNE- SAMPSON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WARRENTON...ROANOKE RAPIDS... LOUISBURG...NASHVILLE...ROCKY MOUNT...SMITHFIELD...WILSON... GOLDSBORO...CLINTON 537 AM EDT WED SEP 7 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 6 AM EDT EARLY THIS MORNING... THE HEAVIEST SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL SHIFT INTO EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA THIS MORNING...AND THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 6 AM. $$ VINCENT
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Sep 5, 3:45 AM EDT, 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 5, 3:45 AM EDT, 12 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 345 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 .SYNOPSIS... THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHEAST ALONG A NEARLY STATIONARY FRONT... THROUGH THE TENNESSEE VALLEY TOWARD THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS... TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING A HEAVY RAIN EVENT TO THE APPALACHIANS AND POTENTIALLY INTO THE PIEDMONT THROUGH TUESDAY. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... AS OF 330 AM MONDAY... ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED BEGINNING AT 600 PM TODAY AND EXTENDING THROUGH 10Z WEDNESDAY FOR THE PIEDMONT. THIS WOULD BE ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM ROCKINGHAM (RICHMOND COUNTY) NE TO RALEIGH TO WARRENTON... A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN PIEDMONT BEGINNING AT 600 PM TODAY. THE MODELS CONTINUE TO GENERALLY ADVERTISE THE REMNANTS OF ONCE TROPICAL STORM LEE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST TODAY AND TONIGHT... THEN MERGE WITH A STRONG FRONTAL ZONE AND BECOME AN EXTRATROPICAL LOW TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. DUE TO THE FORECAST TRACK OF THE DEPRESSION BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL LOW... THIS APPEARS TO BE A CLASSIC TRACK FOR AN EXCESSIVE AND LIFE THREATENING RAINFALL EVENT FOR THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIANS (NE GEORGIA THROUGH THE NC/VA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS). ONE CRITICAL ELEMENT FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA THAT IS NOT YET DETERMINED - IS THE POSITION OF THE EXPECTED FRONTAL ZONE THAT WILL BE ONE OF THE MAIN PLAYERS IN THE QPF. THE LATEST EUROPEAN SOLUTIONS DEPICT THE BOUNDARY WILL DRIFT INTO CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA... WHILE THE GFS IS FARTHER TO THE NORTHWEST IN WESTERN NC TO CENTRAL VA. THE LATEST EUROPEAN IS AGAIN SLOWER THAN THE OTHER MODELS WITH THE LIFTING OF THE SYSTEM PAST OUR LATITUDE... WITH HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL AT LEAST INTO WED AND THU. THUS... THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY HAVE TO BE EXTENDING IN TIME AND ALSO EXPANDED EASTWARD AS WELL IN LATER FORECASTS. FOR NOW... WE WILL CONTINUE TO USE THE LATEST NHC/HPC FORECASTS ALONG WITH BLENDING THE OPERATIONAL GFS/UKMET/EU SOLUTIONS. WHILE WE GENERALLY LIKE TO BE LIBERAL WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCHES... GIVEN THE AFOREMENTIONED APPROACH AND INCORPORATING THE LATEST RADAR/SATELLITE DATA... WE WILL HONE ON ON THE PIEDMONT FOR THE PLACEMENT OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH. IT APPEARS THAT THE STRONG UPPER TROUGH WILL PUSH THROUGH NEW ENGLAND TODAY ALLOWING A SOUTHWARD PUSH TO THE COLD FRONT INTO THE MID- ATLANTIC STATES. THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL IN A SW TO NE ORIENTATION OVER WESTERN AND NORTHERN NC LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. VERY MOIST TROPICAL AIR WILL SURGE NORTHWARD AND BE LIFTED UP AND OVER THE BOUNDARY. ALSO IN PLAY WILL BE THE EXPECTED SPLIT IN THE UPPER JET PATTERN BETWEEN THE REMNANTS OF LEE AND THE UPPER TROUGH MOVING OFF THE NE COAST. THIS WILL ADD TO THE STRONG LIFT ALONG THE BOUNDARY FROM GA THROUGH WESTERN NC/VA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. IN ADDITION... A VERY STRONG MID LEVEL DEFORMATION ZONE IS FORECAST BY THE MODELS ALONG AND NW OF THE TRACK OF THE REMNANTS OF LEE. IF THE REMNANTS OF LEE TRACK JUST EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS INTO NC... THEN EXCESSIVE LIFE THREATENING RAIN WOULD FALL EVEN INTO OUR WESTERN AND NORTHERN PIEDMONT REGIONS. WE WILL FORECAST 2-4 INCHES OF RAIN... WITH LOCALLY 5 INCHES POSSIBLE ALONG THE YADKIN RIVER... WITH LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE EAST. THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE IS LOWEST IN THE YADKIN VALLEY FROM FORSYTH TO ANSON COUNTIES (LESS THAN 3 INCHES IN 3 HOURS AND 4-4.5 IN 24 HOURS). RAINFALL RATES WILL BE VERY HIGH (2+ INCHES IN AN HOUR IN SOME BANDS). RAINFALL IN THE EAST SHOULD VARY DUE TO A MORE SHOWERY PATTERN BUT QPF OF 1-3 INCHES STORM TOTAL (MOST BEYOND THE TODAY AND TONIGHT PERIODS OF THIS FORECAST). SENSIBLE WEATHER... SHOWERS DEVELOPING TODAY BECOMING HEAVY IN THE WEST. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EAST LATE. HIGHS 70S WEST TO MID-UPPER 80S EAST. HEAVY RAIN AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT IN THE WEST AND NORTH... SHOWERS AND SCATTERED STORMS EAST WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 70S. MAY SEE A THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS IN THE WESTERN PIEDMONT THIS AFTERNOON WHERE MLCAPES ARE FORECAST NEAR 1000 J/KG WITH BULK SHEAR OF 25-35KTS (SUGGESTING ORGANIZED MULTI-CELLULAR STRUCTURE). && .SHORT TERM /TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT/... AS OF 330 AM MONDAY... THE NWP MODELS CONTINUE TO HAVE A DIFFICULT TIME RESOLVING THE EVOLUTION AND INTERACTION OF BOTH BRANCHES OF THE POLAR JET AND ATTENDING INITIALLY-DUAL LOW LEVEL FRONTAL ZONES WITH THE REMNANT LOW-MID LEVEL CIRCULATION OF T.D. LEE. HOWEVER...THE TREND WITH THE 00Z/5TH NWP GUIDANCE HAS BEEN FOR A FASTER (AND MORE EASTWARD) EJECTION OF LEE...AND A RESULTANT LESS INVASIVE NORTHERN SEGMENT OF THE LOW LEVEL FRONTAL INTO CENTRAL NC. THE NAM CONTINUES TO INITIALIZE POORLY THE STRENGTH OF AND A LESSER EXTENT THE LOCATION OF LEE...AND ACCORDINGLY FAVOR A 00Z GFS/UKMET/ECMWF BLEND...THE LATTER (EC) OF WHICH MAINTAINS BEST CONTINUITY WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. THE DUAL LEVEL FRONTAL STRUCTURE IS FORECAST TO BECOME ONE UNIFIED VERY SHARP BAROCLINIC ZONE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. BOLSTERED BY DRY AIR ON THE EASTERN EXTENSION OF CAD-INDUCING 1020-1025 MB SURFACE HIGH OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST THIS MORNING...DIABATIC COOLING FROM THE STEADILY NORTHEASTWARD MARCH OF UPSTREAM RAINFALL SHOULD FORCE THE FRONT TO A POSITION FROM THE DELMARVA WEST SOUTHWESTWARD INVOF THE VA STATE LINE/NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN NC PIEDMONT...THEN SOUTHWESTWARD DOWN THE EASTWARD SLOPES OF THE APPALACHIANS TO THE REMNANT LOW CENTER OF LEE INVOF NORTHERN AL/GA AT 12Z TUE. STRONG FRONTAL FORCING AND ISENTROPIC LIFT...AMIDST BY THEN TROPICAL PRECIPITABLE VALUES AROUND 2.25 INCHES ACROSS OUR REGION...WILL CAUSE HEAVY RAINFALL TO BE ONGOING ALONG AND ON THE COOL SIDE OF THIS BOUNDARY. HENCE THE ISSUANCE OF THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THOSE LOCATIONS NEAREST THE BOUNDARY ACROSS THE NORTH AND NORTHWEST PIEDMONT. THE BOUNDARY AND ASSOCIATED LOCUS OF LOW LEVEL HELICITY AND FAVORABLY LOW LCL HEIGHTS WILL ALSO FOCUS STRONG TO SEVERE CONVECTION. MEANWHILE...BINOVC AND A STRONG LOW LEVEL WAA REGIME DRIVEN BY A 20-30 KT H85 JET DOWNSTREAM OF LEE...SUGGESTS SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BECOME NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD IN A WEAKLY INHIBITED WARM SECTOR TO THE SOUTH FIRST WITH BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING INTO THE 80S (WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER-MIDDLE 70S) AND LATER TUE AFT AND NIGHT WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE WARM CONVEYOR. STRENGTHENING OF THE DEEP LAYER WIND FIELD WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MORE THAN ADEQUATE LOW-DEEP LAYER SHEAR ON THE ORDER OF 25 AND 50 KTS OR SO...RESPECTIVELY...TO POSE A RISK OF SUPERCELLS AND ALL SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS. THE TORNADO THREAT WILL BE MAXIMIZED INVOF THE SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL RANGE FROM ONE TO FOUR INCHES...HEAVIEST FROM ALBEMARLE TO RALEIGH AND ROANOKE RAPIDS AND POINTS NORTH AND WESTWARD...WITH LOWER AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTHEAST WHERE THE WARM CONVEYOR WILL BE THE PRIMARY RAIN MAKER. WITH THE EXPECTED FRONTAL PLACEMENT...TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 70S OVER THE NORTHERN PIEDMONT CONTRASTED BY MIDDLE TO UPPER 80S AWAY ACROSS THE SANDHILLS AND SOUTHERN-CENTRAL COASTAL PLAIN. A CONTINUED WIDE RANGE IN TEMPERATURES FROM THE UPPER 50S TO AROUND 60 DEGREES OVER THE WELL-ENTRENCHED CAD REGIME OVER THE NORTHWEST PIEDMONT...TO LOWER 70S IN THE WARM SECTOR. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... AS OF 345 AM SUNDAY... FORECAST CONFIDENCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK AVERAGE AT BEST GIVEN A CARRYOVER OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE CIRCULATION OF LEE AND A BAROCLINIC MID-UPPER LOW FORECAST TO ABSORB IT. WILL FOLLOW A 00Z GFS/ECMWF BLEND FOR WED-WED NIGHT...WHICH SUGGESTS NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WILL CONTINUE WITHIN THE SLOWLY EASTWARD MARCHING WARM CONVEYOR...ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE TRAILING OCCLUDED FRONT FROM THE REMNANTS OF LEE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM INTO THE 80S AGAIN AHEAD OF THE FRONT...WITH THE DAMMING REGIME AND ASSOCIATED LOW CLOUDS AND DRIZZLE HOLDING OVER THE NW PIEDMONT UNTIL THE FRONTAL OCCLUSION SCOURS THE WEDGE LATE IN THE DAY. THE MERGED BAROCLINIC/LEE MID-UPPER LOW IS THEN FORECAST TO PARK OVER THE MID MS/TN VALLEYS...BENEATH A CORE OF POSITIVE HEIGHT ANOMALIES WHICH BUILD EASTWARD BRIEFLY IN REX BLOCKING FASHION ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS WILL PLACE CENTRAL NC IN A SHARP GRADIENT OF CONTINUED TROPICAL DEEP LAYER MOISTURE ALONG THE MID ATLANTIC COAST AND A MID LEVEL DRY SLOT IMPINGING FROM THE SOUTHWEST...WHICH SUGGESTS A SLIGHT TO LOW CHANCE POP...HIGHEST EAST...IS WARRANTED UNTIL FORECAST DETAILS BECOME CLEARER. && .AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... AS OF 200 AM MONDAY... SHOWERS WITH IFR TO LIFR CIGS AND MVFR TO IFR VSBYS EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD THE KGSO/KINT REGION TODAY... ESPECIALLY AFTER 18Z. ELSEWHERE... VFR CIGS/VSBYS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY WITH SHOWERS EXPECTED LATE IN THE KRDU AREA. THESE SHOWERS WILL REDUCE THE CIGS/VSBYS BACK TO MVFR LATE TODAY... LOWERING TO IFR TONIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS MAY LINGER LONGER THIS AFTERNOON IN THE KFAY TO KRWI AREAS... BUT THEY TOO WILL SEE SHOWERS DEVELOP WITH CIGS/VSBYS LOWERING TO IFR MAINLY AFTER 06Z/06 TUESDAY MORNING. THE OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY IS FOR WIDESPREAD IFR CIGS/VSBYS WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. CIGS WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE WEDNESDAY INTO THE MVFR RANGE WITH VSBYS RETURNING TO VFR OUTSIDE OF SCATTERED SHOWERS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE OUTLOOK FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY IS FOR MVFR TO VFR CIGS AND VFR VSBYS WITH SOME DRYING EXPECTED BEHIND THE COLD FRONT AND DEPARTURE OF THE REMNANTS OF LEE. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-073>076-083-084. && SYNOPSIS...BADGETT NEAR TERM...BADGETT SHORT TERM...MWS LONG TERM...MWS AVIATION...BADGETT
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 5, 3:53 AM EDT, 4 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 353 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 NCZ007>010-021>026-038>041-073>076-083-084-060800- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE-ORANGE- DURHAM-FRANKLIN-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE-STANLY-MONTGOMERY- MOORE-LEE-ANSON-RICHMOND- 353 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. FLASH FLOOD WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING FLOODING AND RAINFALL AMOUNTS AS SOON AS IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR LATER WATCHES AND WARNINGS. NCZ011-027-028-042-043-077-078-085-086-088-089-060800- HALIFAX-NASH-EDGECOMBE-JOHNSTON-WILSON-HARNETT-WAYNE-SCOTLAND-HOKE- CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 353 AM EDT MON SEP 5 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. HEAVY RAIN AND ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER REMAIN A POSSIBILITY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. HOWEVER... IT APPEARS THAT THE BEST CHANCE OF HEAVY RAIN AND ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER THE PIEDMONT THROUGH TONIGHT. HOWEVER... LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MAY DEVELOP IN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH LOCALLY UP TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN POSSIBLE OVER THE SANDHILLS AND COASTAL PLAIN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AT TIMES TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING MAY OCCUR. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WINDS OR ISOLATED TORNADOES TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED TUESDAY. SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT SEVERE WEATHER AS SOON AS IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. PLEASE STAY TUNED FOR LATER WATCHES AND WARNINGS. BADGETT
The office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2:36 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Forsyth | 54 min |
| Sep 5, 4:08 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Davidson | 52 min |
| Sep 5, 4:15 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Lee | 60 min |
| Sep 5, 4:25 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Forsyth, Guilford, Randolph | 65 min |
| Sep 5, 5:02 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Davidson | 43 min |
| Sep 5, 5:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Durham, Franklin, Johnston, Nash, Wake | 64 min |
| Sep 5, 5:19 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Stanly | 56 min |
| Sep 5, 5:58 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Durham | 32 min |
| Sep 5, 6:11 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Davidson, Randolph | 49 min |
| Sep 5, 6:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Person | 29 min |
| Sep 5, 6:26 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Franklin, Granville, Person, Vance, Warren | 64 min |
| Sep 5, 7:56 PM EDT | Tornado Warning | RAH | Stanly | 49 min |
Nearby
Flash Flood Watches in North Carolina, 2011Every flash flood watch in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.