Severe Thunderstorm Warning 24, NWS Pueblo, CO

826 
WWUS55 KPUB 020009
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
609 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

COC009-099-020100-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110602T0100Z/
BACA CO-PROWERS CO-
609 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHERN
PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM MDT...

AT 604 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A 
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL 
SIZE HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS 
WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM SPRINGFIELD TO 10 MILES 
SOUTHWEST OF CAMPO...MOVING EAST AT 50 MPH.

IN ADDITION...AT 550 PM...WIND DAMAGE WAS REPORTED BY LAW 
ENFORCEMENT NEAR PRITCHETT FROM THESE THUNDERSTORMS. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  SPRINGFIELD...CAMPO...VILAS...TWO BUTTES...WALSH AND STONINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3699 10301 3762 10302 3764 10290 3764 10273
      3768 10272 3781 10206 3709 10202 3699 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 270DEG 43KT 3746 10263 3697 10263
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.50IN

$$

603 
WWUS55 KPUB 020028
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
628 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

COC009-099-020100-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110602T0100Z/
BACA CO-PROWERS CO-
628 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
PROWERS AND EASTERN BACA COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM MDT...

AT 625 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF TWO BUTTES
TO 16 MILES EAST OF CAMPO...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WALSH.
  STONINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

INTENSE SQUALL LINES CAN OCCASSIONALY PRODUCE BRIEF TORNADOES IN
ADDITION TO WIDESPREAD SIGNIFICANT WIND DAMAGE. ALTHOUGH NOT
IMMEDIATELY LIKELY... FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON
THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. THIS STORM HAS THE
POTENTIAL TO CAUSE SERIOUS INJURY AND SIGNIFICANT DAMAGE TO PROPERTY.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3701 10256 3771 10257 3781 10206 3709 10202
      3699 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0028Z 263DEG 48KT 3751 10222 3706 10224
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.50IN

$$

799 
WWUS55 KPUB 020039
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
639 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

COC009-099-020100-
/O.CON.KPUB.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110602T0100Z/
BACA CO-PROWERS CO-
639 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHEASTERN
PROWERS AND EASTERN BACA COUNTIES UNTIL 700 PM MDT...

AT 638 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PING PONG BALL SIZE
HAIL...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH.  THESE STORMS WERE
LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF THE SAUNDERS
ELEVATOR TO 16 MILES SOUTH OF STONINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EXTREME EASTERN BACA COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM. PEOPLE OUTSIDE SHOULD MOVE TO A SHELTER...
PREFERABLY INSIDE A STRONG BUILDING AND AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3701 10235 3772 10231 3780 10213 3781 10206
      3709 10202 3699 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0039Z 263DEG 48KT 3754 10205 3709 10207
WIND...HAIL 60MPH 1.50IN

$$

369 
WWUS55 KPUB 020058
SVSPUB

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
658 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

COC009-099-020108-
/O.EXP.KPUB.SV.W.0024.000000T0000Z-110602T0100Z/
BACA CO-PROWERS CO-
658 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN PROWERS AND
EASTERN BACA COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE AT 700 PM MDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE 
WARNED AREA...HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE IN THE AREA.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM MDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

LAT...LON 3701 10235 3772 10231 3780 10213 3781 10206
      3709 10202 3699 10204
TIME...MOT...LOC 0058Z 263DEG 48KT 3757 10173 3712 10175

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
309 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND THURSDAY)

...SHORT TERM CONCERNS INCLUDE SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL ACROSS THE
EASTERN PLAINS THIS EVENING WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON...

CURRENT WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND RUC UPPER AIR ANALYSIS INDICATING
MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE REGION AS AN
UPPER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE ONSHORE ACROSS THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST ATTM. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY ALSO INDICATING
AMPLE MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE EMBEDDED WITHIN THE FLOW
STREAMING ACROSS THE DESERT SW THROUGH THE ROCKIES ATTM. AT THE
SFC...LOW PRESSURE DEEPENING ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS KEEPING MOIST
SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW IN PLACE WITH DEW PTS IN THE MID 40S TO MID
50...SAVE THE PIKES PEAK REGION THROUGH WESTERN PUEBLO COUNTY WHERE
MORE SOUTHWEST WINDS HAVE KEPT DEW PTS IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S ATTM.

THIS EVENING...MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN MTS AND
RATON MESA REGION AND SPREADING NORTH AND EAST ACROSS THE FAR
SOUTHEAST PLAINS THROUGH THE LATE EVENING...WITH THE 18Z NAM SPREADING
CONVECTION A TAD FURTHER NORTH ACROSS EASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY AND INTO
EASTERN EL PASO COUNTY AS WELL...WITH CONVECTIVE TEMPS BEING
APPROACHED ATTM. AT ANY RATE...BEST INSTABILITY REMAINS SOUTH AND EAST
OF TRINIDAD TO HASWELL AREA WITH CAPES BETWEEN 1000-2000 J/KG. BULK
SHEARS ARE FAIRLY UNIDIRECTIONAL THOUGH ARE INCREASING TO BETWEEN
25-35KTS SUPPORTING THE DEVELOPMENT OF A FEW SUPERCELLS...WITH SPC
ISSUING A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR THIS AREA THROUGH 03Z THU.
MAIN STORM THREATS REMAIN WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE
HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS.

WILL ALSO KEEP CURRENT RED FLAG WARNING IN TACT FOR THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...THE PIKES PEAK REGION AND PUEBLO AND FREMONT COUNTIES
THROUGH 03Z THU.

REST OF TONIGHT AND TOMORROW...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT INCREASES ACROSS
THE REGION AS PACIFIC NORTHWEST SYSTEM CONTINUES TO LIFT OUT ACROSS
THE NORTHERN GREAT BASIN TONIGHT AND OUT ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY. INCREASING SW FLOW WILL REDEVELOP LEE
TROUGHING ACROSS THE I-25 CORRIDOR OVERNIGHT WHICH KICKS OUT ACROSS
THE FAR SE PLAINS THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW WITH GUSTY SOUTHWEST
WINDS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND HELP DRY OUT THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE
ACROSS THE AREA ONCE AGAIN. MODEL SOUNDINGS INDICATING MIXING TO
BETWEEN H55 AND H60 SUPPORTING GUSTS OF 50-60 MPH...STRONGEST ACROSS
THE HIGHER TERRAIN. THE STRONG WINDS...COMBINED WITH EXPECTED LOW
HUMIDITIES...AND DRY FUELS WILL SUPPORT THE DEVELOPMENT OF CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. WITH THAT SAID...HAVE
UPGRADED CURRENT FIRE WEATHER WATCH TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR ALL
BUT THE FAR SE PLAINS...WHERE RHS ARE PROGGED TO REMAIN AROUND 15-20
PERCENT. HOWEVER...WITH THE EXPECTED STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS...HAVE
KEPT THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR KIOWA...BENT...PROWERS AND BACA
COUNTIES...IF LATER MODELS ARE A TAD FASTER IN KICKING OUT THE LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE. HAVE BUMPED LOW TEMPS TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
THE FAR SE PLAINS WITH MODELS DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS
WESTERN KANSAS WITH NEAR RECORD HIGHS EXPECTED WITH THE STRONG
DOWNSLOPE FLOW TOMORROW. -MW

.LONG TERM...
(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)

...WARM WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AFTERNOON AND EVENING
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PERIOD...
...MARGINAL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS ON FRIDAY...

GENERALLY WARM AND DRY SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO NEXT
FEW DAYS BUT WITH INFLUXES OF MOISTURE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS TO PRODUCE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM
COVERAGE AT TIMES. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS COULD SURFACE AT
TIMES.  SEE FIRE WEATHER DISCUSSION BELOW.

THERE COULD BE SOME THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS NEXT
COUPLE DAYS AS THE DRYLINE MEANDERS ACROSS THE PLAINS OF
SOUTHEAST COLORADO AND SOUTHWEST KANSAS THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK. THERE COULD BE A FEW STORMS OVER THE FAR EASTERN PLAINS
THURSDAY EVENING. SHEAR VALUES LOOK MARGINAL AT THIS POINT BUT 1
OR 2 STORMS COULD PRODUCE LARGE HAIL OR HIGH WINDS. SAME THING FOR
FRIDAY ONLY WITH STORM CHANCES EXTENDING A LITTLE FARTHER WESTWARD.

THEN...OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE OVER COLORADO WILL BUILD NORTHWARD ALONG THE ROCKIES...
ALLOWING MOISTURE TO WORK NORTHWARD ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST
AREA...FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS
EVERYWHERE. THE FLOW LOOKS MORE SOUTHERLY AND LIGHTER DURING THIS
TIME...WHICH SHOULD MEAN LESS SHEAR...LESS SEVERE...AND MORE RAIN.
WE WILL SEE.

TEMPERATURES WILL BE SUMMER LIKE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH
LOTS OF 80S AND 90S (AND EVEN NEAR 100) ACROSS THE PLAINS...70S AND
LOWER 80S HIGH VALLEYS...AND 40S...50S...AND 60S MOUNTAINS. THIS
WILL LEAD TO ESCALATING SNOWMELT AND RISING STREAMS IN THE
MOUNTAINS. SEE HYDROLOGY SECTION BELOW FOR DETAILS. LW

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED NEXT 24 HOURS FOR ALS WITH GUSTY SW
WINDS DIMINISHING AFT 02Z AND INCREASING AGAIN BETWEEN 16-18Z.
VFR CONDITIONS ALSO EXPECTED AT COS AND PUB...POSSIBLE TSRA VCNTY
THROUGH 03Z. GUSTY SW WINDS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS FOR BOTH
COS AND PUB AND ALL OF THE EASTERN MTS AND PLAINS LATE TOMORROW
MORNING THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON. -MW

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNING OR FIRE WEATHER WATCHES ARE IN
AFFECT FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS
AND PLAINS FOR THURSDAY. A FAST MOVING PACIFIC WEATHER SYSTEM WILL
RACE BY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE AREA...SPREADING STRONG DOWNSLOPE
WINDS ACROSS SOUTHERN COLORADO. ONCE AGAIN...A COMBINATION OF DRY
FUELS...STRONG WINDS GUSTING INTO THE 50S...AND HUMIDITIES BELOW
15 PERCENT WILL RESULT IN HIGH FIRE DANGER. CRITICAL CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED FROM NOON UNTIL AROUND 9 PM THURSDAY. FOR FRIDAY...
NO HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS TIME.  LOOKS LIKE WINDS WILL COME UP SHORT
IN ALL AREAS...WITH HUMIDITIES PERHAPS TOO HIGH OVER THE FAR
EASTERN PLAINS.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...SNOWMELT IN THE HIGH COUNTRY WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...ESCALATING THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK.
MOUNTAIN RIVERS AND STREAMS WILL BE SWELLING AND RISING...ESPECIALLY
ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER ABOVE PUEBLO AND ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER
TRIBUTARIES ABOVE SALIDA...WHERE THE SNOW PACK WAS HEAVIEST THIS
YEAR. LATEST HYDROLOGIC FORECASTS FROM THE RIVER FORECAST CENTER
INDICATE THAT THE ARKANSAS RIVER NEAR LEADVILLE MAY REACH MINOR
FLOOD STAGE THIS WEEKEND. PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FLOOD WATCH ISSUED BY
THIS OFFICE FOR FURTHER INFORMATION. LOOK FOR WMO HEADER WGUS65 OR
YOU CAN VIEW THE WATCH ON OUR WEB PAGE AT WEATHER.GOV/PUB UNDER TOP
NEWS OF THE DAY. LW

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY FOR COZ221-222-
224>233.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ222-224-
226>228.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY
EVENING FOR COZ234>237.

&&

23/50

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
336 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

COZ058>089-093>099-022145-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
336 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...A FEW SEVERE...ARE EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST COLORADO PLAINS THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. PRIMARY
SEVERE STORM THREATS WILL BE HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND
WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH. ADDITIONAL STORM THREATS WILL BE LIGHTNING
AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. THE PRIMARY AREA OF CONCERN IS EAST OF
A LINE FROM TRINIDAD THROUGH PUEBLO.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY EVENING
ACROSS PUEBLO...FREMONT AND EL PASO COUNTIES...AS WELL AS THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY. DRY FUELS IN COMBINATION WITH SOUTH WINDS OF 15 TO
20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH...AND MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
BELOW 15 PERCENT WILL CREATE CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE
BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD IF A FIRE STARTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ISOLATED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHERN COLORADO EACH DAY. PRIMARY STORM
THREATS WILL BE GUSTY WINDS AND HAZARDOUS LIGHTNING...ALTHOUGH
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL TO AROUND 1 INCH IN DIAMETER
AND WIND GUSTS AROUND 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE...MAINLY OVER THE
FAR SOUTHEAST PLAINS...FROM LATER THIS WEEK INTO AT LEAST EARLY
THIS WEEKEND.

WITH THE CONTINUING DRY CONDITIONS...VERY WARM TEMPERATURES...LOW
HUMIDITIES AND GUSTY WINDS AT TIMES...NEAR CRITICAL TO CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY OVER THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS AS WELL AS THE SAN LUIS VALLEY.
THEREFORE...RED FLAG WARNINGS AND FIRE WEATHER WATCHES ARE IN
EFFECT FOR THIS REGION FROM NOON TO 9 PM THURSDAY. THEN ON FRIDAY
AND POSSIBLY SATURDAY AS WELL AS NEXT TUESDAY...NEAR CRITICAL TO
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY AGAIN DEVELOP OVER PORTIONS
OF THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AND INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR.

IN ADDITION...RECENT WARM TEMPERATURES ARE MELTING THE SNOW PACK
IN THE COLORADO MOUNTAINS. VERY WARM TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THIS
PROCESS OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...ESPECIALLY LATER THIS WEEK
INTO NEXT WEEK. HIGH STREAM FLOWS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
MANY COLORADO RIVERS AND STREAMS DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

ALSO...IN SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO...THE MOUNTAINS
NORTH OF SALIDA...EXPERIENCED WELL ABOVE AVERAGE SNOW PACK DURING
THE WINTER SEASON. CONSEQUENTLY...THE ARKANSAS RIVER AND ITS
TRIBUTARY STREAMS NORTH OF SALIDA CAN EXPECT TO SEE HIGH STREAM
FLOWS AS THE SNOW PACK MELTS DURING THE COMING DAYS AND WEEKS.

CAUTION SHOULD BE USED WHEN VENTURING IN OR NEAR FAST FLOWING
MOUNTAIN STREAMS DURING THE SNOW MELT RUNOFF SEASON. COLD...FAST
FLOWING WATER CAN POSE A SERIOUS SAFETY HAZARD.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING OVER THE SOUTHEAST COLORADO PLAINS.

23/50

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
430 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

COZ094-012300-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
430 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  SOUTH CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...

AT 426 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES EAST OF BRANSON...OR 42 MILES EAST OF
TRINIDAD...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

THE STRONG STORM WILL IMPACT MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTH CENTRAL LAS
ANIMAS COUNTY.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM. DANGEROUS LIGHTNING WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH 9 PM MDT
FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

STARK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
456 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

COZ089-093>095-097-012345-
CROWLEY COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO
COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
456 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  WEST CENTRAL BENT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  SOUTHEASTERN CROWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  NORTH CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  OTERO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
   THIS INCLUDES...LA JUNTA.

AT 453 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF TIMPAS...OR 20 MILES WEST OF
LA JUNTA...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HIGBEE.
  ROCKY FORD.
  SWINK.
  LA JUNTA.
  CHERAW.
  SUGAR CITY.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
THIS STORM.  RAINFALL MAY NOT BE FALLING AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER
STRONG GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS MAY OCCUR AT ANY TIME.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

KAM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
517 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

COZ095>098-012345-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS
VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
517 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  NORTHEASTERN BENT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  NORTHWESTERN PROWERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...

AT 515 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEEGRONDA RESERVOIR...OR 17
MILES NORTHWEST OF LAMAR...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT
30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  NEEGRONDA RESERVOIR.
  SWEETWATER RESERVOIR.
  QUEENS RESERVOIR.
  NEENOSHE RESERVOIR.
  EADS.

WINDS AROUND 50 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.
SOME SMALL HAIL UP TO 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER IS POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM AS WELL.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
530 PM MDT WED JUN 01 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     10 S KIM                37.10N 103.35W
06/01/2011                   LAS ANIMAS         CO   PUBLIC

&&

PJC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
544 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

COZ099-020015-
SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
544 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  BACA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
   THIS INCLUDES...SPRINGFIELD.

AT 541 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
PRITCHETT TO 9 MILES NORTHEAST OF KENTON...WHICH WAS MOVING TOWARD
THE EAST AT 50 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CAMPO.
  SPRINGFIELD.
  VILAS.
  WALSH.
  TWO BUTTES.

WINDS AROUND 50 MPH AND HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.
SOME BRIEF SMALL HAIL UP TO 1/2 INCH IN DIAMETER WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
544 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

COZ089-093-095-097-020030-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS
VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
544 PM MDT WED JUN 1 2011

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...

  NORTHERN BENT COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  SOUTHEASTERN CROWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  SOUTHWESTERN KIOWA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
  NORTHEASTERN OTERO COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST COLORADO...
   THIS INCLUDES...LA JUNTA.

AT 541 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CHERAW...OR NEAR LA JUNTA...WHICH WAS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LAS ANIMAS.
  FORT LYON.
  ARLINGTON.
  JOHN MARTIN RESERVOIR.
  MCCLAVE.
  HASWELL.
  HASTY.

PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL...WINDS AROUND 50 MPH...AND HEAVY RAIN ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THESE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

KAM