Frost Advisory 6, NWS Pueblo, CO

348 
WWUS75 KPUB 100230
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
830 PM MDT SUN OCT 9 2011

COZ083>086-101100-
/O.CON.KPUB.FR.Y.0006.111010T0600Z-111010T1500Z/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
INCLUDING...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO
830 PM MDT SUN OCT 9 2011

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
MDT MONDAY...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 9 AM
MDT MONDAY. 

* LOCATION...EL PASO...PUEBLO AND EASTERN FREMONT COUNTIES.

* TEMPERATURE...FALLING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S FOR A BRIEF 
  PERIOD AROUND SUNRISE MONDAY MORNING. 

* IMPACT...FROST AND NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY DAMAGE OR 
  KILL TENDER VEGETATION. PROTECT PLANTS BY COVERING THEM OR 
  BRINGING THEM INDOORS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TEMPERATURES AROUND FREEZING WILL OCCUR FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT CROPS OR VEGETATION.

&&

$$

256 
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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
414 AM MDT MON OCT 10 2011

COZ083>086-101500-
/O.CON.KPUB.FR.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-111010T1500Z/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
INCLUDING...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO
414 AM MDT MON OCT 10 2011

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

A FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING. 

* LOCATION...EL PASO...PUEBLO AND EASTERN FREMONT COUNTIES.

* TEMPERATURE...FALLING INTO THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S EARLY MONDAY
  MORNING.

* IMPACT...FROST AND NEAR FREEZING TEMPERATURES MAY DAMAGE OR 
  KILL TENDER VEGETATION. PROTECT PLANTS BY COVERING THEM OR 
  BRINGING THEM INDOORS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TEMPERATURES AROUND FREEZING WILL OCCUR FOR A SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME. TAKE PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT CROPS OR VEGETATION.

&&

$$

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URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
744 AM MDT MON OCT 10 2011

COZ083>086-101445-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FR.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-111010T1500Z/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
744 AM MDT MON OCT 10 2011

...FROST ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE FROST
ADVISORY. 

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN INTO THE MID TO UPPER 30S OVER THE ADVISED AREA.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1138 AM MDT SUN OCT 9 2011

.AVIATION...
STUBBORN AREA OF LOW CLOUDS AND MVFR CIGS FINALLY BREAKING OVER
THE SAN LUIS VALLEY AROUND KALS AS OF 18Z...WITH A GENERAL
DECREASE IN CLOUD COVER ELSEWHERE. SUSPECT CLOUDS WILL INCREASE
AGAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH A FEW -SHRA
OBSCURING MANY MOUNTAIN PEAKS BY 20Z. AFTER SUNSET...EXPECT A
DECREASE IN CLOUD COVER AS DRIER AIR FILTERS INTO THE AREA...WITH
VFR CONDITIONS LATE TONIGHT AND MONDAY. FOR THE TAF SITES...KCOS
AND KALS COULD SEE A SPRINKLE/BRIEF -SHRA THIS AFTERNOON...THOUGH
CONDITIONS AT BOTH LOCATIONS WILL REMAIN VFR. ANY SHOWERS END
QUICKLY BY 01Z THIS EVENING...WITH VFR CONDITIONS ALL SITES
OVERNIGHT AND MONDAY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 527 AM MDT SUN OCT 9 2011/

UPDATE...

HAVE CANCELED THE FREEZE WARNING FOR MOST OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR.
HIGH DEW POINTS AND LOTS OF CLOUD COVER HAVE PREVENTED TEMPS FROM FALLING
BELOW FREEZING FOR MOST OF THE AREA. WILL LEAVE THE WRNG OUT FOR
EL PASO...WHERE TEMPS ARE CLOSE TO FREEZING AND MAY FALL BELOW
FOR A SHORT PERIOD THIS MORNING. 44

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 301 AM MDT SUN OCT 9 2011/

SHORT TERM...
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

.COOL AND UNSETTLED TODAY...

THE UPPER LOW THAT RESULTED IN YESTERDAY'S RAIN AND SNOW EVENT IS
NOW OVER CENTRAL CO...AND WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY TO THE NNE
TODAY THROUGH THIS EVENING. A WEAK VORTICITY MAX IS EVIDENT IN WV
IMAGERY AT THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH...AND IS PRESENTLY SITUATED
OVR NW NM. THIS DISTURBANCE WILL TRANSLATE NWRD WITH THE MAIN
TROUGH...AND GIVE US ONE MORE DAY OF COOL AND SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED WX
TODAY.

WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF PRECIP THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE MTN AREAS
AND ADJACENT PLAINS AS RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND A BIT OF INSTABILITY
LEAD TO SOME ISOLD-SCT SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE 18Z SUN TO 03Z MON
TIME FRAME. NOT EXPECTING ANY ACCUMS...MAYBE A LOCAL INCH OR SO FOR
PERSISTENT SHOWERS.

AS FOR TEMPS...CURRENTLY...STARTING TO SEE TEMPS DROP OVR THE I-25
CORRIDOR...ESPECIALLY TO THE S WHERE WINDS HAVE FINALLY RELAXED A
BIT. MAY STILL STRUGGLE TO GET BELOW FREEZING OVR THE NRN I-25
ZONES...WHERE WINDS HAVE BEEN HOLDING IN THE 10-20 MPH RANGE THIS
MORNING...AND MAY NOT RELAX IN TIME FOR A SIGNIFICANT PERIOD OF
FREEZING TEMPS. WILL MAINTAIN THE FZ WRNG FOR NOW AND REEVALUATE AS
SUNRISE APPROACHES.

WILL BE A RATHER COOL DAY WITH H7 TEMPS NOT GETTING MUCH ABOVE ZERO
C DURING THE AFTERNOON. HAVE CUT BACK HIGH TEMPS A BIT ESPECIALLY
FOR ERN ZONES ABOVE ABOUT 7K FEET...WHERE SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL FROM
YESTERDAY WILL HOLD TODAYS TEMPS WELL BELOW GUIDANCE. EXPECT
MAINLY 50S FOR THE PLAINS...AND 30S-40S FOR THE MTNS AND HIGH
VALLEYS.

TONIGHT SHOULD BE QUITE A BIT CALMER FOR WINDS...AND THE I-25
CORRIDOR WILL AGAIN FLIRT WITH FREEZING TEMPS. BEST BET WILL BE OVR
EL PASO AND PORTIONS OF N PUEBLO COUNTY. STILL DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A
LONG ENOUGH PERIOD OF BELOW FREEZING TEMPS TO GO WITH ANY HEADLINES
AT THIS TIME. WILL CERTAINLY BE ANOTHER COLD NIGHT OVR THE HIGHER
ELEVATION ZONES WHERE RESIDUAL SNOWPACK WILL COMBINE WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES TO ALLOW FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. COULD
SEE SOME TEMPS IN THE TEENS FOR THE HIGH VALLEYS AND ERN MTN ZONES.
44

LONG TERM...
(MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY)

MONDAY...AS THE UPR LOW LIFTS NORTHWARD INTO THE DAKOTAS...DRY
WESTERLY FLOW WL BE FOUND OVR THE FORECAST AREA...WITH TEMPS
EXPECTED TO WARM SEVERAL DEGREES OVR SUNDAYS HIGHS...THE MOST
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN TEMPS WL BE OVR THE SERN PLAINS. ON TUESDAY
WEST TO NW FLOW ALOFT WL STILL BE FOUND OVR THE AREA. A WEAK
SHORTWAVE TROF IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ACRS THE STATES...WITH THE BEST
ENERGY AND MSTR REMAINING TO THE NORTH...ALTHOUGH WE COULD SEE
SOME SHOWERS DEVELOP FOR THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT HOURS OVR NRN
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA...INCLUDING THE CENTRAL MTS...PIKES
PEAK...TELLER COUNTY AND MAYBE EL PASO COUNTY. TUE SHOULD BE A
LITTLE WARMER THAN MON.

A FRONT WL MOVE THRU THE AREA WED AND DAYTIME HIGHS WL BE A LITTLE
COOLER. THE WEATHER ON WED LOOKS DRY AGAIN ACRS THE CWA. AN UPR
RIDGE IS THEN EXPECTED TO BUILD OVR THE AREA FOR THU AND FRI WITH
CONTINUED DRY WEATHER...AND TEMPS THAT ARE ABOUT NORMAL.

THERE ARE SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE ECMWF AND GFS FOR
SATURDAY. THE GFS HAS AN UPR RIDGE REMAINING OVR THE AREA...WHILE
THE ECMWF HAS AN UPR TROF DROPPING SOUTH INTO CO...BRINGING COOLER
WEATHER AND A CHANCE FOR PCPN...AT LEAST TO NRN PORTIONS OF THE
CWA. FOR NOW WL GO WITH THE WARMER AND DRIER GFS.

AVIATION...

NO MAJOR AVN CONCERNS FOR THE NEXT 24 H...WITH GENERALLY
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. AT KCOS THIS MORNING...PERSISTENT N WINDS
SHOULD KEEP THREAT OF ANY FG/BR AT A MINIMUM. WILL LIKELY SEE SOME
AREAS OF FG DEVELOP OVR THE MTNS/VALLEYS HOWEVER...WHERE THE WINDS
ARE LIGHTER AND SFC MOISTURE IS HIGHER. THREAT OF PRECIP TODAY IS LOW
FOR THE TAF SITES...BUT COULD SEE SOME SCT SHWRS DEVELOP OVR THE
MTNS THIS AFTERNOON. 44

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

10/23

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1140 AM MDT SUN OCT 9 2011

COZ058>089-093>099-101745-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1140 AM MDT SUN OCT 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE MOUNTAINS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING...BUT ANY ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE SPOTTY
AND UNDER ONE INCH.

WITH CLEARING SKIES TONIGHT...A FEW SPOTS OVER PUEBLO AND EL PASO
COUNTIES MAY FALL BELOW FREEZING EARLY MONDAY MORNING. AT THIS
TIME...IT APPEARS THAT ANY PERIOD OF FREEZING WEATHER WILL BE
BRIEF...BUT THOSE WITH AGRICULTURAL OR FLORAL INTERESTS SHOULD
MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR THE POTENTIAL OF A FREEZE WATCH OR
WARNING OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

10/23