Freeze Warning 8, NWS Pueblo, CO

923 
WWUS75 KPUB 180319
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
919 PM MDT MON OCT 17 2011

COZ083>089-093>099-181000-
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0008.111018T0700Z-111018T1500Z/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...WALSENBURG...
TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...
BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR...
SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
919 PM MDT MON OCT 17 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MDT
TUESDAY...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MDT TUESDAY.

* LOCATION...ALL OF THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR AND EASTERN 
  PLAINS...INCLUDING EL PASO...EASTERN FREMONT...PUEBLO... 
  HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...KIOWA...BENT... 
  PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES. 

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO THE LOWER 30S LATE TONIGHT AND 
  EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...WITH THE COLDEST READINGS ALONG THE 
  ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY NEAR PUEBLO. 

* IMPACT...TENDER VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED OR KILLED. EXPOSED 
  WATER LINES MAY FREEZE AND BURST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO PROTECT TENDER PLANTS BY COVERING THEM OR
BRINGING THEM INDOORS. IT MAY ALSO BE NECESSARY TO DRAIN EXPOSED
WATER LINES AND IRRIGATION SYSTEMS TO PREVENT DAMAGE TO PIPES.

&&

$$

631 
WWUS75 KPUB 180840
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
240 AM MDT TUE OCT 18 2011

COZ083>089-093>099-181500-
/O.CON.KPUB.FZ.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111018T1500Z/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...WALSENBURG...
TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...
BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR...
SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
240 AM MDT TUE OCT 18 2011

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

A FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING. 

* LOCATION...ALL OF THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR AND EASTERN 
  PLAINS...INCLUDING EL PASO...EASTERN FREMONT...PUEBLO... 
  HUERFANO...LAS ANIMAS...CROWLEY...OTERO...KIOWA...BENT... 
  PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES. 

* TEMPERATURES...UPPER 20S TO THE LOWER 30S THROUGH EARLY THIS
  MORNING...WITH THE COLDEST READINGS ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER
  VALLEY NEAR PUEBLO.

* IMPACT...TENDER VEGETATION MAY BE DAMAGED OR KILLED. EXPOSED 
  WATER LINES MAY FREEZE AND BURST. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IT MAY BE NECESSARY TO PROTECT TENDER PLANTS BY COVERING THEM OR
BRINGING THEM INDOORS. IT MAY ALSO BE NECESSARY TO DRAIN EXPOSED
WATER LINES AND IRRIGATION SYSTEMS TO PREVENT DAMAGE TO PIPES.

&&

$$

695 
WWUS75 KPUB 181440
NPWPUB

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
840 AM MDT TUE OCT 18 2011

COZ083>089-093>099-181545-
/O.EXP.KPUB.FZ.W.0008.000000T0000Z-111018T1500Z/
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
INCLUDING...CANON CITY...PENROSE...BLACK FOREST...
AIR FORCE ACADEMY...COLORADO SPRINGS...PUEBLO...WALSENBURG...
TRINIDAD...ORDWAY...OLNEY SPRINGS...LA JUNTA...ROCKY FORD...
BRANSON...KIM...EADS...SHERIDAN LAKE...LAS ANIMAS...LAMAR...
SPRINGFIELD...WALSH
840 AM MDT TUE OCT 18 2011

...FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING...

THE FREEZE WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 9 AM MDT THIS MORNING. 

TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING OVER THE WARNED AREA.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
304 PM MDT MON OCT 17 2011

.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND TUESDAY)

...WINDS TO DIE DOWN THIS EVENING...THEN A FREEZE POSSIBLE ACROSS
MUCH OF THE AREA...

THE COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH ALL OF SOUTHERN COLORADO AND STRONG
WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER MOST OF THE AREA.  ACROSS THE PLAINS...
WINDS ARE NORTHERLY AT 30 TO 40 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH AT
TIMES...INCLUDING GUSTS TO 52 MPH AT THE PUEBLO AIRPORT...51 MPH AT
THE SPRINGFIELD AIRPORT...47 MPH AT THE ALAMOSA AIRPORT...AND 45 MPH
AT THE COLORADO SPRINGS AIRPORT. THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY EVENING HOURS BEFORE DIMINISHING.

THEN THE QUESTION IS...HOW COLD WILL IT GET TONIGHT.  THE AIRMASS IS
PLENTY COLD FOR A WIDESPREAD FREEZE PROVIDED THE WINDS DIE DOWN AND
THE SKIES CLEAR OUT.  BUT SOMETIMES WITH THESE CYCLONES MOVING
THROUGH...THE WINDS ARE A LITTLE HESITANT TO DIE OFF AND THE CLOUDS
ARE A LITTLE HESITANT TO LEAVE.  ACCORDING TO THE MODELS...THE SKIES
SHOULD CLEAR ENOUGH AND THE WINDS SHOULD DECREASE ENOUGH TO DROP
BELOW FREEZING FOR AT LEAST A FEW HOURS TOWARD MORNING.  HOWEVER...
WILL NOT GO QUITE AT COLD AS SOME OF THE GUIDANCE WOULD SUGGEST DUE
TO FEARS OF LINGERING CLOUDS AND WINDS.  IN ANY EVENT...IT SHOULD
STILL GET COLD ENOUGH FOR A GOOD FREEZE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING...SO THE FREEZE WARNING HAS BEEN HOISTED.  BE
ADVISED TO PROTECT TENDER PLANTS AND DRAIN SPRINKLER SYSTEMS.  THE
GROUND MAY STILL BE A LITTLE WARM TO AFFECT MOST SPRINKLER
SYSTEMS...BUT BETTER TO PROTECT THAN NEGLECT.

FOR TOMORROW...A RATHER COOL...CRISP FALL DAY ON TAP...WITH WINDS
REDEVELOPING ON THE PLAINS...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE I-25 CORRIDOR.
IT WONT BE AS WINDY AS TODAY...BUT BREEZY...GENERALLY NORTHERLY 15
TO 30 MPH...AGAIN WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EAST OF I-25.
TEMPERATURES TOMORROW WILL FINALLY BE BELOW AVERAGE FOR A CHANGE
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA.  AFTERNOON HIGHS SHOULD BE ABOUT 10 TO 15
DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW
AVERAGE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS.  FALL IS MAKING A
STAND...AT LEAST FOR A FEW DAYS. LW

.LONG TERM...

(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)

...DRY WEATHER THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK...

NO SIGN OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN THE FORECAST FOR THIS WEEK.
NW FLOW PATTERN WILL TRANSITION TO A DIRTY RIDGE WITH SEVERAL WEAK
SYSTEMS MOVING THROUGH TO THE N...BUT NO SIGNIFICANT PRECIP IS ON
THE HORIZON.

IF ANY AREAS ON THE PLAINS ESCAPE A FREEZE TONIGHT...THERE IS A GOOD
CHANCE THAT MOST SPOTS WILL HIT FREEZING OR BELOW TUE NIGHT-WED
MORNING. H7 TEMPS WILL RISE A BIT OVERNIGHT AS ZONAL FLOW
INCREASES...BUT DECOUPLING OF THE BL IS LIKELY WITH A WEAK SURFACE
PRESSURE GRADIENT WED MORNING. UPPER 20S LOOKS A GOOD BET FOR THE
LOWER ARKANSAS RIVER...WITH A HARD FREEZE POSSIBLE FOR SOME AREAS.

THE COOL DRY WEATHER WILL TRANSITION TO WARM AND DRY BY THE END OF
THE WEEK...AS A RIDGE BUILDS OVR THE DESERT SW. FIRST IN A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES PASSES THRU WED NIGHT-EARLY THU...BUT THIS SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO TREND TOWARDS A COMPLETELY WEAK AND DRY EVENT...SO HAVE
REMOVED ALL MENTION OF POPS. MAIN EFFECT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN
MID-UPPER CLOUDS THRU THU MORNING. NEXT CHANCE OF ANY PRECIP WILL
COME OVER THE WEEKEND. THERE ARE SOME MINOR TIMING DIFFERENCES
BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF...BUT IT LOOKS LIKE A TROUGH WILL MOVE
THROUGH EITHER FRI NIGHT OR SAT. EARLIER RUN OF THE GFS HINTED AT A
MORE AMPLIFIED SYSTEM...BUT NOW CONSENSUS IS FOR THE SYSTEM TO BE
TOO DRY AND TOO WEAK TO AFFECT OUT AREA. WILL MAINTAIN SOME LOW POPS
FOR THE MTN AREAS GENERALLY ABOVE 10K FEET...WHICH WOULD LIKELY SEE
SOME LIGHT SHSN EVEN IF THE SYSTEM DELIVERS A WEAK AND PASSING BLOW
TO THE AREA. THE UPPER RIDGE THEN ATTEMPTS TO BUILD AGAIN BY LATE IN
THE WEEKEND OR EARLY NEXT WEEK. ROSE

&&

.AVIATION...

COLD FRONT HAS RACED SOUTH THROUGH THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...AND IS
NOW INTO NEW MEXICO AND THE PANHANDLES. STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS OF 30
TO 40 MPH GUSTING TO AROUND 50 MPH HAVE SPREAD SOUTH BEHIND THE
FRONT DURING THE AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS.  ISOLATED -SHRA WITH SPOTTY MVFR CIGS WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE ACROSS THE PLAINS THROUGH EARLY EVENING. ISOLATED
-SHRA/-SHSN WITH LOCAL MVFR CIGS/VSBYS WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE
MOST MOUNTAINS AND HIGH VALLEYS THROUGH EARLY EVENING WITH SPOTTY
IFR/LIFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE OVER THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE.
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO IMPROVE TO VFR MOST AREAS AFTER 03Z WITH
WEATHER MOVING OUT OF AREA AND WINDS DIMINISHING. THE 3 TAF
SITES...KCOS...KPUB AND KALS...ARE ALL EXPECTED TO REMAIN FREE OF
SHOWERS THIS EVENING...BUT THEY WILL STILL HAVE THE WINDS TO DEAL
WITH. LW

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM MDT TUESDAY FOR COZ083>089-
093>099.

&&

50/44

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1248 PM MDT MON OCT 17 2011

COZ058>089-093>099-181900-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1248 PM MDT MON OCT 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A FAST MOVING WEATHER SYSTEM WILL TRACK SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON...PRODUCING ISOLATED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS THAT
COULD PRODUCE ADDITIONAL LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 OF 2 INCHES
ACROSS THE SAWATCH AND MOSQUITO RANGES OF LAKE AND CHAFFEE
COUNTIES.  HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT TIMES
THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES DUE TO SNOW SHOWERS...WIND...SLICK
ROADS...AND LOCALLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW.

THE MAIN IMPACT OF THIS WEATHER SYSTEM ON SOUTHERN COLORADO FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY WILL BE THE WIND...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
PLAINS WHERE WINDS WILL BE NORTHERLY AT 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
NEAR 50 MPH POSSIBLE AT TIMES. OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA...WINDS
WILL BE NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 30 MPH.

LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING ARE POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT OVER THE
EASTERN PLAINS AND I-25 CORRIDOR...WITH THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED ALONG THE ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY NEAR PUEBLO. READINGS ARE
EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S AND LOWER 30S FOR SEVERAL
HOURS PRIOR TO DAWN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

LOW TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING ARE EXPECTED OVER THE PLAINS TUESDAY
MORNING...WEDNESDAY MORNING AND POSSIBLY AGAIN THURSDAY MORNING.
MUCH OF THE PLAINS MAY SEE ITS FIRST FREEZE OF THE SEASON ON ONE
OR MORE OF THE NEXT FEW MORNINGS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

50/44

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
105 PM MDT MON OCT 17 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 AM     SNOW             CLIMAX                  39.37N 106.18W
10/17/2011  M4.0 INCH        LAKE               CO   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR SNOWFALL REPORT FROM NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
            COOPERATIVE OBSERVER IN CLIMAX.

&&

LW