Alert archive / Colorado / Fire Weather Watches in 2011

Fire Weather Watch 49, NWS Pueblo, CO

June 17, 201118 counties in Colorado

NWS Pueblo, CO issued this fire weather watch at Jun 17, 2011, 2:41 PM MDT for 18 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Jun 19, 2011, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for .

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2011, 2:41 PM MDT (20:41 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 19, 2011, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Jun 18, 2011, 3:47 PM MDT
In force
Issued by
NWS Pueblo, CO

Counties Alamosa County, CO, Baca County, CO, Bent County, CO, Conejos County, CO, Costilla County, CO, Crowley County, CO, Custer County, CO, El Paso County, CO, Fremont County, CO, Huerfano County, CO, Kiowa County, CO, Las Animas County, CO, Otero County, CO, Prowers County, CO, Pueblo County, CO, Rio Grande County, CO, Saguache County, CO, Teller County, CO

The radar

The Pueblo radar (KPUX), 66 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 243 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2011-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-173 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1450 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

951 
WWUS85 KPUB 172041
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
241 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ZONES 222...224...225...
228...229...230 AND 233...WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT COUNTY...THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY...SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS...AND PUEBLO...HUERFANO AND LAS
ANIMAS COUNTIES...FROM NOON UNTIL TO 9 PM TODAY FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES VALUES AND DRY CONDITIONS.

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ZONES  222...224...225...
229...230 AND 233...WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT COUNTY...THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS...HUERFANO AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...
FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND
DRY CONDITIONS...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ZONES 221...222 AND 224
THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE SOUTHERN
MOUNTAINS...FREMONT COUNTY...THE PIKES PEAK REGION AND ALL OF THE 
SOUTHEAST PLAINS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR GUSTY
WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY CONDITIONS...

COZ222-224-225-229-230-233-181245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0048.110618T1700Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0064.110618T1700Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-110618T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
241 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VERY HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND
233...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...
  230 AND 233. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW
  AND SATURDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ228-181245-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-110618T0300Z/
PUEBLO COUNTY-
241 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VERY HOT AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONE 228...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VERY HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 228...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 228.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH...
  MAINLY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUEBLO COUNTY BEGINNING 
  MID AFTERNOON. 

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND 
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  TOMORROW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ221-226-227-231-232-234>237-181245-
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-
BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
241 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY VERY HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...226...227...231...232...
234...235...236 AND 237...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...226...227...231...
  232...234...235...236 AND 237. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH...
  MAINLY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUEBLO COUNTY BEGINNING 
  MID AFTERNOON. 

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND 
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE 
  TOMORROW.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

HODANISH
5 follow-up statements
001 
WWUS85 KPUB 180228
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
828 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ZONES  222...224...225...
229...230 AND 233...WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT COUNTY...THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS...HUERFANO AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...
FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND
DRY CONDITIONS...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ZONES 221...222 AND
224 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS...FREMONT COUNTY...THE PIKES PEAK REGION AND
ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY CONDITIONS...

COZ222-224-225-229-230-233-181830-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0064.110618T1700Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
828 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. 

RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT SATURDAY THROUGH 9 
PM MDT SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND VERY HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND
233...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND
233...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...
  230 AND 233. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
  AND SUNDAY.
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ228-181830-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
PUEBLO COUNTY-
828 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 228...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 228...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. 

RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 228.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH... 
  MAINLY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUEBLO COUNTY BEGINNING MID 
  AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ221-226-227-231-232-234>237-181830-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-
BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
828 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 221...226...227...231...232...234...235...236 AND
237...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...226...227...231...
  232...234...235...236 AND 237. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH... 
  MAINLY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUEBLO COUNTY BEGINNING MID 
  AFTERNOON.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$
SR
869 
WWUS85 KPUB 180306 CCA
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
905 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT HAS BEEN
CANCELLED...

...RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ZONES  222...224...225...
229...230 AND 233...WHICH INCLUDES FREMONT COUNTY...THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS...HUERFANO AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...
FROM 11 AM UNTIL 9 PM SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND
DRY CONDITIONS...

...A FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ZONES 221...222 AND
224 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE
SOUTHERN MOUNTAINS...FREMONT COUNTY...THE PIKES PEAK REGION AND
ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND DRY CONDITIONS...

COZ222-224-225-229-230-233-181930-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0064.110618T1700Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
905 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT
SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. 

RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM MDT SATURDAY THROUGH 9 
PM MDT SATURDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND VERY HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND
233...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND HOT AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND
233...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...
  230 AND 233. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY
  AND SUNDAY.
 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ228-181930-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.W.0063.000000T0000Z-110618T0300Z/
/O.COR.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
PUEBLO COUNTY-
905 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 228...
...RED FLAG WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY
FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 228...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE RED FLAG
WARNING. 

RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NO LONGER EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 228.

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH... 
  MAINLY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUEBLO COUNTY BEGINNING MID 
  AFTERNOON SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ221-226-227-231-232-234>237-181930-
/O.COR.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-
BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
905 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 221...226...227...231...232...234...235...236 AND
237...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...226...227...231...
  232...234...235...236 AND 237. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH... 
  MAINLY OVER WESTERN PORTIONS OF PUEBLO COUNTY BEGINNING MID 
  AFTERNOON SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AND
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$
SR
791 
WWUS85 KPUB 181045
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
445 AM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
HUMIDITY LEVELS AND DRY FUELS...FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM TODAY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...WHICH INCLUDES
FREMONT COUNTY...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND
WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...AND HUERFANO AND LAS
ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
HUMIDITY LEVELS AND DRY FUELS...FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM SUNDAY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 221...222 AND 224 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES PIKES
PEAK AND TELLER COUNTY...FREMONT COUNTY...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE
SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND
ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...

COZ222-224-225-229-230-233-190245-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0064.110618T1700Z-110619T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
445 AM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233... 

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...


* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...
  230 AND 233. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH TODAY.
  SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD...IF A FIRE SHOULD START.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ221-226>228-231-232-234>237-190245-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
445 AM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 221...226...227...228...231...232...234...235...
236 AND 237...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...226...227...228...
  231...232...234...235...236 AND 237. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE ON
  SUNDAY...STRONGEST ALONG AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD...IF A FIRE SHOULD START
  ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$
467 
WWUS85 KPUB 182103
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
303 PM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
HUMIDITY LEVELS AND DRY FUELS...UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...WHICH
INCLUDES FREMONT COUNTY...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...AND HUERFANO
AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
HUMIDITY LEVELS AND DRY FUELS...FROM NOON TO 9 PM SUNDAY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225 AND 227 THROUGH 237...WHICH
INCLUDES FREMONT COUNTY...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND ALL OF THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS...

COZ221-226-182215-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
303 PM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 AND 226...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. 

$$

COZ222-224-225-229-230-233-191315-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0065.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0064.000000T0000Z-110619T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
303 PM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...
224...225...229...230 AND 233...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...
225...229...230 AND 233...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...
  230 AND 233. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH TODAY. 
  SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE ON 
  SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD...IF A FIRE SHOULD START.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ227-228-231-232-234>237-191315-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0065.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
303 PM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227...228...
231...232...234...235...236 AND 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227...228...231...232...
  234...235...236 AND 237. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE 
  ON SUNDAY...STRONGEST ALONG AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 25 
  CORRIDOR. 

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD...IF A FIRE SHOULD START
  ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$
110 
WWUS85 KPUB 182147
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE...RESENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
347 PM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
HUMIDITY LEVELS AND DRY FUELS...UNTIL 9 PM THIS EVENING FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...230 AND 233...WHICH
INCLUDES FREMONT COUNTY...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY...AND HUERFANO
AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES...

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW
HUMIDITY LEVELS AND DRY FUELS...FROM NOON TO 9 PM SUNDAY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225 AND 227 THROUGH 237...WHICH
INCLUDES FREMONT COUNTY...THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE SANGRE DE
CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...THE WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY AND ALL OF THE
SOUTHEAST PLAINS...

COZ221-226-182300-
/O.CAN.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-
347 PM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS CANCELLED FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW
HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 AND 226...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS CANCELLED THE FIRE
WEATHER WATCH. 

$$

COZ222-224-225-229-230-233-191415-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0065.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0064.000000T0000Z-110619T0300Z/
FREMONT COUNTY-SAN LUIS VALLEY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-
347 PM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...
224...225...229...230 AND 233...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...
225...229...230 AND 233...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 222...224...225...229...
  230 AND 233. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH TODAY. 
  SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE ON 
  SUNDAY.

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD...IF A FIRE SHOULD START.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ227-228-231-232-234>237-191415-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0049.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0065.110619T1800Z-110620T0300Z/
SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-OTERO COUNTY-
KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
347 PM MDT SAT JUN 18 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227...228...
231...232...234...235...236 AND 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM MDT SUNDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 227...228...231...232...
  234...235...236 AND 237. 

* WIND...SOUTHWEST 15 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH POSSIBLE 
  ON SUNDAY...STRONGEST ALONG AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 25 
  CORRIDOR. 

* HUMIDITY...5 TO 15 PERCENT.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR WITH
  RAPID RATES OF FIRE GROWTH AND SPREAD...IF A FIRE SHOULD START
  ON SUNDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this fire weather watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Pueblo, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this fire weather watch went out at Jun 17, 1:54 PM MDT, 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 1:54 PM MDT, 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
154 PM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

.SHORT TERM...
(TONIGHT AND TOMORROW)

...MAIN CONCERN SEVERE WX AND FIRE WX BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW CURRENTLY...
SVR TSRA WATCH WAS JUST ISSUED AT 1 PM FOR PARTS OF THE PLAINS.
CONVECTION COMING OUT OF THE MTNS AND MOVING ACROSS EL PASO. CAPES
OVER AREA ABOUT 1000 J/KG AND GOOD THETA-E AXIS PUSHING INTO THE
PALMER DIVD/SE CO REGION. DEEP SHEAR IS ABOUT 40-50 KNTS.

REST OF TODAY...
BEST CHANCE OF SVR FROM HI RES MODELS WILL BE OVER EL PASO AND
KIOWA COUNTIES. OTHER STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE FARTHER SOUTH
ALTHOUGH SIMULATIONS NOT EXPLICITLY SHOWING STRONGER THUNDER
FARTHER SOUTH. STORMS MOVING OVER EL PASO NOW ARE NOT PUTTING OUT
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...SO THIS WILL KEEP THE INSTABILITY IN THE
COUNTY. AS MORE STORMS COME OUT LATER ON...THEY WILL LIKELY BECOME
SVR OVER EL PASO AND THEN MOVE EAST OR EAST SOUTHEAST MOVG ACROSS
KIOWA COUNTY LATER ON.

RED FLAG CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY OCCUR OVER PARTS OF THE SOUTHERN
MTNS AND SAN LUIS VALLEY...SIMULATIONS DO SHOW STRONGER WEST WINDS
PUNCHING OUT TO THE I-25 CORRIDOR REGION LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

TONIGHT...
STRONGER CONVECTION WILL LIKELY BE OVER THE E PLAINS AFTER 6 PM
WITH THE DRYLINE PUSHING A BIT EAST. LARGE OUTFLOW LATER THIS
EVENING WILL LIKELY PUSH SOUTH ACROSS THE REST OF THE PLAINS
BRINGING HIGHER RH AIR TO ALL OF THE PLAINS. THIS OUTFLOW WILL
HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO FIRE OFF NEW CONVECTION.

LATER TONIGHT WE WILL LIKELY SEE SOME LOWER CLOUDS MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION. SIMULATIONS NOT ALL THAT GUNG-HO ABOUT BRINGING A DENSE LOW
OVC INTO THE AREA...BUT IF STORMS REALLY GET GOING IT MIGHT BE A
CLOUDY EARLY MORNING ACROSS THE PLAINS.

TOMORROW...
PRETTY MUCH A REPEAT PERFORMANCE OF TODAY. FIRE WX CONCERNS WILL
MAINLY BE OVER THE MTNS AND SAN LUIS VALLEY WITH THE DRYLINE
PUNCHING OUT TO THE I-25 CORRIDOR REGION. FOR THIS REASON UPGRADED
TO A RED FLAG WARNING FOR TOMORROW.

SVR THREAT WILL ONCE AGAIN OCCUR ACROSS THE PLAINS TOMORROW AS
MODEST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES OVER A LLVL UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE. SUPERCELLS WILL BE POSSIBLE BUT TOR CHANCE LOOK LOW.
\/HODANISH

.LONG TERM...
UPPER LEVEL TROF DIGS INTO THE GREAT BASIN SAT NIGHT/SUN WITH
INCREASING SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT OVER THE CWA. MODELS HINTING AT SOME
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERING IN THE NORTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CWA
SATURDAY NIGHT...BUT IT SHOULD MOVE EAST FAIRLY EARLY IN THE DAY.
HAVE ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS FOR SUNDAY. ONLY
CONCERN IS THAT RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE TOO HIGH IN THE FAR
NORTHEAST PORTION OF THE CWA TO VERIFY RED FLAG CONDITIONS. LATER
SHIFTS MAY HAVE TO ADJUST THE WATCH AREA IF NEEDED. OTHERWISE...
SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE ANOTHER CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER DAY FOR SOUTHEAST
COLORADO (ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 50). 7H WINDS
PROGGED TO BE 25 TO 35 KTS DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
ALONG WITH VERY DRY AIR.

UPPER LOW MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN COLORADO AND INTO SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA
BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. EUROPEAN AND GFS MODELS APPEAR TO BE IN BETTER
AGREEMENT WITH THE LOCATION AND TIMING OF THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM.
COULD SEE A WIDE VARIATION IN TEMPS AND PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS
THE CWA WITH THE NORTHERN AREAS FAVORED FOR BETTER PRECIPITATION
CHANCES. COULD ALSO SEE THE NEED FOR ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER
HIGHLIGHTS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST. THE GOOD NEWS
IS THAT A STRONG COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST
PLAINS MONDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH BETTER RELATIVE HUMIDITY
RECOVERY AND SOME CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. CERTAINLY COOLER TEMPS
SHOULD BE NOTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.

UPPER LOW GRADUALLY MOVES EAST THRU THE PLAINS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY
WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT HOLDING IN PLACE TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND UPSLOPE FLOW ON THE PLAINS SHOULD
LEAD TO A BETTER CHANCE OF DIURNAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND THEN MOVING OVER THE
PLAINS. WEAK UPPER RIDGE EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH SEVERAL WEAK SHORT
WAVES MOVING THRU THE WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH FRIDAY.
TEMPS SHOULD WARM A FEW DEGREES THRU FRIDAY. STARK

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR LIKELY AT ALL 3 TAF SITES NEXT 24H.

FOR KCOS...MAY BE SOME BOUTS OF STRONG THUNDER OVER THE AERODROME
SITE THIS AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THERE WILL ALSO BE A
CHANCE OF SOME LOW CLOUDS TOMORROW MORNING. LOW CLOUDS WILL BE
DEPENDENT ON HOW MUCH THUNDER OCCURS OVER THE E PLAINS THIS EVENING.
IF LOTS OF THUNDER GOES...THEN THERE WILL BE A BETTER CHANCE OF LOW
CIGS.

KPUB - ISOLD TSRA CHANCES THIS AFTERNOON AND TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

KALS WILL REMAIN MOSTLY CLEAR WITH GUSTY DRY SW WINDS DURING THE
AFTERNOON TIME PDS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING...
AND REDEVELOP SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW
OF THE STORMS IN AND NEAR THE MOUNTAINS COULD PRODUCE LIGHTNING
WITH LITTLE RAINFALL...WHICH WOULD INCREASE THE CHANCE OF
LIGHTNING STARTED FIRES. MODERATE SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
CONTINUE OVER THE WEEKEND AND COMBINE WITH LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES
AND WARM TEMPERATURES TO CREATE HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
ON SATURDAY...THE RED FLAG WARNING INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...THE WET AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...
FREMONT...HUERFANO AND LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES. ON SUNDAY...THE THREAT
OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS APPEARS TO SPREAD FARTHER
NORTH AND EAST AFFECTING MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS.
HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY LINGER OVER TELLER AND EL PASO
COUNTIES AS WELL AS ALONG THE KANSAS BORDER...WHICH WOULD HELP TO
BOOST RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ABOVE THE CRITICAL THRESHOLD. LATER
SHIFTS MAY NEED TO ADJUST THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH LOCATION.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR COZ221-222-224>237.

RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR COZ222-224-225-
228>230-233.

RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR COZ222-224-
225-229-230-233.

&&

34/40
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 17, 10:53 AM MDT, 3 hours 48 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1053 AM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

COZ058>089-093>099-181700-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
1053 AM MDT FRI JUN 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY FROM MID
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. THE BEST CHANCE OF STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL BE NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM
PUEBLO TO KIM. HAIL UP TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS UP
TO 70 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A
TORNADO.

CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND WET MOUNTAINS...HUERFANO AND
WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES BY EARLY AFTERNOON...AS THE WINDS BECOME
GUSTY AND THE HUMIDITIES DROP BELOW 15 PERCENT.  FREMONT...PUEBLO
AND EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTIES MAY NOT SEE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS DEVELOP UNTIL MID AFTERNOON OR LATER. OUTDOOR BURNING AND
SMOKING IS DISCOURAGED...AND IS PROHIBITED IN SOME AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE REMAINS THE POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE AREA ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. THE MOST FAVORABLE AREAS
FOR THESE CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP ON SATURDAY WILL BE THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
INTERSTATE 25 CORRIDOR...WITH MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND ALL OF
SOUTHEAST COLORADO UNDER THE GUN ON SUNDAY. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS
OF 25 MPH OR MORE AND HUMIDITY LEVELS OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS...COMBINED
WITH DRY VEGETATION...WILL CREATE THIS POTENTIAL FOR EXTREME FIRE
BEHAVIOR.

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE...TELLER AND EL PASO COUNTIES...AND PORTIONS
OF THE EASTERN PLAINS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...AND ACROSS ALL OF THE AREA
MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. THE MAIN THREATS FROM STORMS WILL BE LIGHTNING
AND WIND GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH. HOWEVER...A FEW SEVERE STORMS...PRODUCING
HAIL TO AROUND 1 INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...WILL
BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ON SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS MEETING REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER AREAS NORTH AND EAST OF A LINE FROM PUEBLO TO KIM
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

HODANISH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Pueblo, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 2:41 PM MDTRed Flag WarningPUBAlamosa, Conejos, Costilla, Custer, Fremont, Huerfano and 4 more30 hr
Jun 17, 2:48 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso57 min
Jun 17, 3:25 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso50 min
Jun 17, 3:41 PM MDTTornado WarningPUBEl Paso18 min
Jun 17, 4:56 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUBEl Paso16 min

Nearby

Fire Weather Watches in Colorado, 2011Every fire weather watch in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.