Fire Weather Watch 13, NWS Pueblo, CO

218 
WWUS85 KPUB 012037
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
237 PM MDT FRI APR 1 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221
BELOW 9000 FEET...222...224 AND 225 BELOW 8500 FEET...AND 226
THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...AND ALL OF THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS...FROM 1100 AM UNTIL 800 PM
SATURDAY...FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...
HAINES VALUES OF 5 TO 6 AND DRY FUELS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221 BELOW 9000 FEET...222...AND 225 BELOW 8500 FEET...AND
226 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS
AND PLAINS...FROM 1000 AM UNTIL 800 PM SUNDAY...FOR GUSTY WINDS...
LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...


COZ221-222-225>237-021245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0012.110402T1800Z-110403T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0020.110402T1700Z-110403T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0013.110403T1600Z-110404T0200Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
237 PM MDT FRI APR 1 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE WEATHER 
ZONES 221...222...225...226...227...228...229...230...231...232...
233...234...235...236 AND 237...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING
THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 221...222...225...226...227...228...229...230...
231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY. 

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...225...226...
  227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 
  237. 

* WIND...SATURDAY...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
  SUNDAY...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ACROSS THE
  PLAINS...AND GUSTS TO NEAR 70 MPH ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

* HUMIDITY...SATURDAY...5 TO 10 PERCENT. POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY
  RECOVERY IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT. SUNDAY...10-15 PERCENT.

* HAINES INDICES...SATURDAY...5 TO 6.  

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE
  BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD BOTH SATURDAY AND 
  SUNDAY. EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH COULD OCCUR SHOULD ANY FIRES 
  GET STARTED.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ224-021245-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0012.110402T1800Z-110403T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0020.110402T1700Z-110403T0200Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
237 PM MDT FRI APR 1 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY FOR
GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...AND HIGH HAINES INDICES FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONE 224...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...AROUND 10 PERCENT.

* HAINES VALUES...5.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE
  BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD ON SATURDAY. 
  EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH COULD OCCUR SHOULD ANY FIRES GET 
  STARTED. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

883 
WWUS85 KPUB 021100
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
500 AM MDT SAT APR 2 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 BELOW
9000 FEET...222...224 AND 225 BELOW 8500 FEET...AND 226 THROUGH
237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...AND ALL OF THE
SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS...FROM 1100 AM UNTIL 800 PM
SATURDAY...FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...
HAINES VALUES OF 5 TO 6 AND DRY FUELS...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 BELOW
9000 FEET...222...AND 225 BELOW 8500 FEET...AND 226 THROUGH
237...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND
PLAINS...FROM 1000 AM UNTIL 800 PM SUNDAY...FOR GUSTY WINDS... LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG WARNING
FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS TODAY.
THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SAME
AREA ON SUNDAY...EXCEPT FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WHERE HUMIDITIES
ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE SLIGHTLY. GUSTY WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS
THIS AFTERNOON. COMBINED WITH VERY DRY RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BELOW
10 PERCENT...AND HAINES VALUES OF 5 TO 6...THESE CONDITIONS WILL
BE FAVORABLE FOR EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
WINDS WILL SUBSIDE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA THIS EVENING...BUT
COULD REMAIN GUSTY ALONG THE LOWER EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SOUTHEAST
MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE NIGHT. HUMIDITY RECOVERIES TONIGHT WILL BE
FAIR TO POOR. WINDS WILL BE EVEN STRONGER ON SUNDAY WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR WIND GUSTS TO 50 TO 55 MPH ACROSS THE PLAINS...WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH FOR THE MOUNTAIN AREAS. THIS WILL BRING THE
POTENTIAL FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO RETURN ON
SUNDAY.  


COZ221-222-225>237-030300-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0020.110402T1700Z-110403T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.A.0013.110403T1600Z-110404T0200Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
500 AM MDT SAT APR 2 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH HAINES 
VALUES FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 BELOW 9000 FEET...222 AND 225 BELOW 
8500 FEET...AND 226 THROUGH 237...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY
MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR
FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221 BELOW 9000 FEET...222 AND 225 BELOW 8500 FEET
...AND 226 THROUGH 237...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT SATURDAY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...225...226...
  227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 
  237. 

* WIND...TODAY...WEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
  SUNDAY...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH ACROSS
  THE PLAINS...AND GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.

* HUMIDITY...TODAY...5 TO 10 PERCENT. POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY
  RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. SUNDAY...7-15 PERCENT.

* HAINES INDICES...SATURDAY...5 TO 6 OR A MODERATE TO HIGH
  POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE 
  BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD BOTH SATURDAY AND 
  SUNDAY. EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH COULD OCCUR SHOULD ANY FIRES 
  GET STARTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE FORECAST TO OCCUR. LISTEN FOR LATER FORECASTS AND POSSIBLE
RED FLAG WARNINGS.

&&

$$

COZ224-030200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0020.110402T1700Z-110403T0200Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
500 AM MDT SAT APR 2 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO
8 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH 
HAINES VALUES AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...AROUND 10 PERCENT.

* HAINES VALUES...5 OR A MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
  DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE 
  BEHAVIOR AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD ON SATURDAY. 
  EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH COULD OCCUR SHOULD ANY FIRES GET 
  STARTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

304 
WWUS85 KPUB 022140
RFWPUB

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
340 PM MDT SAT APR 2 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES
221 BELOW 9000 FEET...222...224 AND 225 BELOW 8500 FEET...AND
226 THROUGH 237...WHICH INCLUDES THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...AND ALL OF
THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS...FROM 1100 AM UNTIL 800 PM
TODAY...FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES... HAINES
VALUES OF 5 TO 6 AND DRY FUELS...

...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221
BELOW 9000 FEET...222...AND 225 BELOW 8500 FEET...AND 226 THROUGH
237...WHICH INCLUDES ALL OF THE SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND
PLAINS...FROM 1000 AM UNTIL 800 PM SUNDAY...FOR GUSTY WINDS... LOW
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES...AND DRY FUELS...

.THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO...IN COORDINATION WITH
AREA LAND MANAGEMENT AGENCIES HAS CONTINUED THE RED FLAG WARNING
FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY...SOUTHEAST MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS TODAY.
A RED FLAG WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE SAME AREA ON
SUNDAY...EXCEPT FOR THE SAN LUIS VALLEY WHERE HUMIDITIES ARE
EXPECTED TO IMPROVE SLIGHTLY. 

COZ221-222-225>237-031345-
/O.UPG.KPUB.FW.A.0013.110403T1600Z-110404T0200Z/
/O.NEW.KPUB.FW.W.0021.110403T1600Z-110404T0200Z/
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110403T0200Z/
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE-FREMONT COUNTY-SOUTHERN FRONT RANGE-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY-PUEBLO COUNTY-
HUERFANO COUNTY-WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-CROWLEY COUNTY-
OTERO COUNTY-EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-KIOWA COUNTY-BENT COUNTY-
PROWERS COUNTY-BACA COUNTY-
340 PM MDT SAT APR 2 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY AND HIGH HAINES VALUES FOR FIRE
WEATHER ZONES 221 BELOW 9000 FEET...222 AND 225 BELOW 8500 FEET...
AND 226 THROUGH 237...
...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY
FOR FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221
BELOW 9000 FEET...222 AND 225 BELOW 8500 FEET... AND 226 THROUGH
237......

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PUEBLO HAS ISSUED A NEW RED FLAG
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM MDT SUNDAY. THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONES 221...222...225...226... 
  227...228...229...230...231...232...233...234...235...236 AND 
  237.

* WIND...TODAY...WEST-SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 45
  MPH. SUNDAY...WEST 25 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH
  ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND GUSTS TO AROUND 70 MPH ACROSS THE
  MOUNTAINS.

* HUMIDITY...TODAY...5 TO 10 PERCENT. POOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY 
  RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TONIGHT. SUNDAY...7-15 PERCENT.

* HAINES INDICES...TODAY...5 TO 6 OR A MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL
  FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. SUNDAY...4 OR A LOW
  POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH. 

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR
  AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD BOTH TODAY AND SUNDAY. EXPLOSIVE
  FIRE GROWTH COULD OCCUR SHOULD ANY FIRES GET STARTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

COZ224-030200-
/O.CON.KPUB.FW.W.0020.000000T0000Z-110403T0200Z/
SAN LUIS VALLEY-
340 PM MDT SAT APR 2 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING
FOR GUSTY WINDS...LOW HUMIDITY...HIGH HAINES VALUES AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224...

* AFFECTED AREA...FIRE WEATHER ZONE 224.

* WIND...WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 45 MPH.

* HUMIDITY...AROUND 10 PERCENT.

* HAINES VALUES...5 OR A MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME 
  DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

* IMPACTS...CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR
  AND RAPID RATES OF FIRE SPREAD TODAY. EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH
  COULD OCCUR SHOULD ANY FIRES GET STARTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A RED FLAG WARNING MEANS THAT CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ARE EITHER OCCURRING NOW...OR WILL SHORTLY. A COMBINATION OF
STRONG WINDS...LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY...AND WARM TEMPERATURES WILL
CREATE EXPLOSIVE FIRE GROWTH POTENTIAL.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
433 AM MDT FRI APR 1 2011

.SHORT TERM...

(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

AREA REMAINS UNDER NORTHWEST FLOW TODAY BEFORE UPPER RIDGE AXIS
BEGINS TRANSLATING OVER THE AREA LATER TONIGHT.  WINDS ACROSS THE
HIGHER TERRAIN AND IN WIND PRONE AREAS OF THE UPPER ARKANSAS RIVER
VALLEY AND LOWER EASTERN SLOPES HAVE REMAINED GUSTY OVERNIGHT WITH
GUSTS IN THE 40 KT RANGE AT TIMES...AND IN EXCESS OF 60 KTS REPORTED
AT PIKES PEAK SENSOR.  LOCAL 4KM WRF CROSS-SECTION SHOWS A BIT OF A
WEAK MTN WAVE WHICH BREAKS DOWN QUICKLY TOWARDS 12Z...SO SUSPECT
THAT LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE SOME TOWARDS DAWN ACROSS THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS.  WESTERLY WINDS HAVE KEPT THE TEMPERATURES TONIGHT QUITE
WARM IN AND NEAR THE SE MTS WITH READINGS STILL IN THE 50S ALONG
THE LOWER EASTERN SLOPES.

WEAK SURFACE HIGH WILL DROP SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE PLAINS THIS
MORNING SENDING A COOL FRONT INTO SE CO.  THIS WILL BRING LIGHTER
WINDS TO THE AREA TODAY VS YESTERDAY AS WINDS SHIFT AROUND FROM THE
EAST BEHIND THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. NOT REALLY EXPECTING MUCH COOLING
ACROSS THE AREA WITH H7 TEMPS RANGING FROM +2C OUT EAST...WITH +8 TO
+9C ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR/EASTERN MOUNTAINS...TO +2 TO +4C ACROSS
THE WESTERN MOUNTAINS.  THIS SHOULD YIELD MAX TEMPS IN THE LOWER/MID
70S FOR THE PLAINS...WITH 60S TO AROUND 70 FOR THE VALLEYS...AND
GENERALLY 40S/50S FOR THE MOUNTAIN COMMUNITIES.  DRIER AIR MOVING IN
FROM THE WEST WILL PROBABLY RESULT IN LOWER HUMIDITY VALUES THAN
YESTERDAY...THOUGH LIGHTER WINDS SHOULD PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER PARAMETERS FROM DEVELOPING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS.  THERE IS A NARROW RIBBON OF SOME NEAR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MAY DEVELOP AROUND 8500 FEET ALONG THE
LOWER EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SE MTS AND ALONG THE EDGES OF THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY FOR AN HOUR OR TWO CENTERED AROUND 21Z (3PM MDT).
HOWEVER...THESE CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE MET FOR THE
REQUIRED 3 HOUR DURATION...AND IS TOO LIMITED IN AREAL EXTENT TO
WARRANT ISSUANCE OF ANY FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS AT THIS TIME.

LEE TROF DEEPENS AND KICKS EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AS WINDS INCREASE
AGAIN ACROSS THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS.  ENHANCED WESTERLY DRAINAGE
SHOULD KEEP MIN TEMPS ON THE WARM SIDE FOR THE LOWER EASTERN
SLOPES/ADJACENT I-25 CORRIDOR.  HAVE WARMED UP MIN TEMPS IN THESE
AREAS.  -KT

.LONG TERM...

(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)

...WET CONDITIONS FOR LATE THIS WEEKEND...EARLY NEXT WEEK...

MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE EXTENDED WITH
A TREND NORTH IN THE STORM SYSTEM FOR THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL SHIFT EAST ACROSS THE ROCKIES ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF A DIGGING STORM SYSTEM INTO THE WESTERN CONUS.
FLOW ALOFT BEGINS TO INCREASE AND SHIFT MORE SOUTHWESTERLY
ALLOWING FOR MIXING SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HUMIDITY VALUES ARE
FORECAST TO DROP BELOW 15 PERCENT WITH WIDESPREAD WINDS GUSTING
OVER 25 MPH EXPECTED SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH
DRY FUELS TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR MOST OF
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO. TEMPERATURES ALOFT WARM AND MIX DOWN DURING
THE AFTERNOON WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE LOWER TO MID 80S FOR
THE PLAINS.

THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO DIG ACROSS UTAH AND
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW MEXICO BEGINNING SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. MODELS
CRANK UP WINDS IN THE MID LEVELS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY MORNING WITH 700 MB FLOW APPROACHING 70 KTS. NAM CROSS
SECTIONS INDICATING A PERIOD IN THE EARLY MORNING WHERE DOWNSLOPE
IS POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO RANGE
AND LEE SLOPES. REVERSE SHEAR DIMINISHES AND A MORE BRUTE FORCE
WIND EVENT FOR THE MOUNTAINS AND PLAINS BY LATE SUNDAY MORNING.
WIDESPREAD WINDS GUSTING OVER 40 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH SOME
LOCATIONS SEEING NEAR HIGH WIND CRITERIA ALONG THE I-25 CORRIDOR.
THESE STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH HUMIDITY VALUES BELOW 15
PERCENT AND VERY DRY FUELS TO PRODUCE VERY DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS. CURRENTLY HAVE A FIRE WEATHER WATCH BEGINNING AT 16Z
SUNDAY MORNING...HOWEVER THIS MAY NEED TO BE ADJUSTED EARLIER WITH
VERY POOR OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES AND DOWNSLOPE POTENTIAL
DURING THE FIRST PART OF THE DAY. ANY OUTDOOR BURNING ACTIVITIES
ARE HIGHLY DISCOURAGED AND SHOULD BE LIMITED SUNDAY. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER SUNDAY WITH COOLER AIR
WORKING INTO THE REGION ALOFT WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
SNOW WILL ALSO DEVELOP BY SUNDAY MORNING ALONG THE CONTINENTAL
DIVIDE AND PICK UP IN INTENSITY BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.

MODELS SENDING A STRONG COLD FRONT SOUTH ACROSS THE PLAINS HOWEVER
THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING. TRENDED WITH THE GFS AND NAM
WHICH BRING THE FRONT SOUTH BETWEEN 00Z AND 06Z SUNDAY EVENING.
WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHERLY BEHIND THE FRONT WITH RAIN AND SNOW
FILLING IN ACROSS THE PLAIN THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. MODELS HAVE
THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION FOCUSED ALONG THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND
LEE SLOPES WHERE SEVERAL INCHES OF SNOWFALL ARE EXPECTED IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. SNOW WILL ALSO BE QUITE HEAVY ACROSS THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. STILL TOO EARLY FOR
HIGHLIGHTS FOR THE MOUNTAINS...BUT AT LEAST ADVISORY SNOW IS
EXPECTED FOR THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND SANGRE DE CRISTO RANGE
THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. THERE WILL ALSO BE PERIODS OF SNOW LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING FOR THE PLAINS WITH LOCALIZED
MINOR ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE. HIGHS ON MONDAY WILL BE
SUBSTANTIALLY COOLER WITH LOWER TO MID 40S FOR THE PLAINS. SNOW IS
EXPECTED TO QUICKLY COME TO AN END MONDAY EVENING FOR THE REGION
AS THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST. THERE IS STILL
SOME UNCERTAINTY WITH THIS STORM SYSTEM AND MODELS HAVE STARTED TO
TREND NORTH WITH THE STORM TRACK. GIVEN THE MORE NORTHERLY STORM
TRACK THIS WINTER...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE THIS TREND
CONTINUE...WHICH WOULD MOST LIKELY LOWER THE PRECIPITATION CHANCES
FOR MUCH OF THE PLAINS...STAY TUNED.

HIGH PRESSURE ONCE AGAIN MOVES OVER THE ROCKIES TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY WITH A QUICK WARM UP. HIGHS WILL REBOUND NICELY WITH
HIGHS WARMING UP INTO THE 70S FOR MID WEEK. SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF A STRENGTHENING WEST COAST TROUGH ONCE
AGAIN PRODUCING SNOW FOR THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BY THURSDAY. THIS
INCREASED SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL ALSO BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS FOR THURSDAY.  MOZLEY

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AT TAF SITES TODAY...WITH
LIGHTER WINDS THAN YESTERDAY.  BOTH KCOS AND KPUB SHOULD SEE
AFTERNOON WINDS SHIFT AROUND FROM THE SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 KTS.  THE
SAN LUIS VALLEY WILL SEE WEST WINDS INCREASE TO AROUND 10-15 KTS BY
AFTERNOON.  -KT

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES TODAY WILL DROP TO BETWEEN
10-15 PERCENT ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE DISTRICT...HOWEVER
LIGHTER WINDS TODAY SHOULD PREVENT WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS FROM DEVELOPING. THERE WILL BE A NARROW WINDOW OF TIME
THIS AFTERNOON WHERE 1 TO 2 HOURS OF WESTERLY WINDS GUSTS NEAR 25
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN SPOTTY AREAS ALONG THE LOWER EASTERN SLOPES
OF THE WETS AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY EDGES.  GIVEN THE LIMITED AREAL EXTENT...AND DURATION LESS
THAN 3 HOURS...NO FIRE WEATHER HIGHLIGHTS ARE EXPECTED FOR TODAY.
WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER TONIGHT WITH POOR HUMIDITY
RECOVERIES EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOWER EASTERN SLOPES OF THE SE
MTS...WHICH WILL SET UP THE AREA FOR GREATER FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
INTO SATURDAY. -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY
EVENING FOR COZ221-222-224>237.

FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING
FOR COZ221-222-225>237.

&&

31/88

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
810 PM MDT THU MAR 31 2011

COZ058>089-093>099-020215-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
810 PM MDT THU MAR 31 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER
CONDITIONS...WITH LOW HUMIDITIES...GUSTY WINDS AND DRY FUELS...ACROSS
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ON SATURDAY AND ACROSS ALL OF
THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS ON SUNDAY.

A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL DROP SOUTH ACROSS THE ROCKIES FROM LATE
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG
THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SPREAD EAST INTO THE
EASTERN MOUNTAINS ON SUNDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH
ACROSS THE PLAINS BY MONDAY MORNING BRINGING THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD RAIN AND ACCUMULATING SNOW....AND MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES
TO EASTERN COLORADO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT.

23/23