Flash Flood Watch 3, NWS Pocatello, ID

231 
WGUS65 KPIH 050412
FFAPIH

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1012 PM MDT THU AUG 4 2011


IDZ018-022-023-025-031-032-050515-
/O.EXP.KPIH.FF.A.0003.000000T0000Z-110805T0400Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
SAWTOOTH MOUNTAINS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CARIBOU HIGHLANDS-
WASATCH MOUNTAINS/IDAHO PORTION-BIG AND LITTLE WOOD RIVER REGION-
LOST RIVER/PAHSIMEROI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...STANLEY...CLAYTON...MALAD CITY...
OAKLEY...ROCKLAND...DOWNEY...LAVA HOT SPRINGS...SODA SPRINGS...
WAYAN...MONTPELIER...GEORGETOWN...PARIS...HAILEY...KETCHUM...
SUN VALLEY...BELLEVUE...CAREY...ARCO...CHALLIS...MACKAY
1012 PM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL IDAHO AND SOUTHEAST
IDAHO HAS EXPIRED. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND SNAKE PLAIN OF SOUTHEAST IDAHO FOR SEVERAL HOURS YET
TONIGHT....BUT THE RAIN FALL FROM ANY ONE OF THESE STORMS IS
GENERALLY LESS THAN ONE QUARTER INCH. LOCALIZED PONDING OF WATER
ON ROAD WAYS IS STILL POSSIBLE AND MOTORISTS SHOULD DRIVE WITH
CAUTION. 

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
130 PM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

.DISCUSSION...

SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS BEGINNING TO PUNCH INTO THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS DEVELOPING ACROSS THE AREA.
CELL MOVEMENT APPEARS TO BE RATHER LOW...FACTORING IN THE AMOUNT
OF MOISTURE PRESENT AND ANTICIPATED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE...WILL
LIKELY ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
FOR THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHERN HIGHLANDS WHERE THE THREAT
FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN IS MOST LIKELY. ALONG WITH THE
HEAVY DOWNPOURS...SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
THUNDERSTORMS GIVEN THE INSTABILITY...ADDED LIFT FROM THE TROUGH
AND HIGH MOISTURE. MUCH OF THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD DIMINISH THIS
EVENING...ALTHOUGH MODELS ARE SUGGESTING THAT A FEW SHOWERS COULD
PERSIST THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS INTO FRIDAY MORNING.

THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND DUE TO RESIDUAL
MOISTURE HANGING AROUND THE REGION. COVERAGE SHOULD GRADUALLY
DECREASE EACH DAY AND THE BEST CHANCES REMAIN IN THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS INTO MONTANA. ALTHOUGH...LATEST MODEL RUN IS TRYING TO
SHOW SOME ISOLATED COVERAGE OVER THE EASTERN HIGHLANDS AS WELL.

RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD OVER THE REGION NEXT WEEK. IF THIS
OCCURS...THEN CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DECREASE
SUBSTANTIALLY AS MOISTURE IS PUSHED AWAY FROM THE AREA. SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES ARE STILL EXPECTED DURING THE FORECAST.

VALLE

&&

.AVIATION...EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. LOOK FOR LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. ALSO...EXPECT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS IN AND AROUND
THUNDERSTORMS. WYATT

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
LOOK FOR ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY MAINLY OVER
HIGHER TERRAIN. EXPECT ISOLATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS AND UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS OVER THE WEEKEND. HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN DURING NEXT WEEK BRINGING DRIER CONDITIONS AS THE WEEK
PROGRESSES. WYATT

&&

.PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 10 PM MDT THIS EVENING
IDZ018-022-023-025-031-032.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
413 AM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

IDZ017>025-031-032-051200-
EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY-SAWTOOTH MOUNTAINS-UPPER SNAKE HIGHLANDS-
UPPER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-LOWER SNAKE RIVER PLAIN-
SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-CARIBOU HIGHLANDS-
CACHE VALLEY/IDAHO PORTION-WASATCH MOUNTAINS/IDAHO PORTION-
BIG AND LITTLE WOOD RIVER REGION-LOST RIVER/PAHSIMEROI-
413 AM MDT THU AUG 4 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN IDAHO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON OVER ALL
OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN IDAHO. STRONG WIND...AND POSSIBLY DAMAGING
WIND...WILL DEVELOP WITH THESE STORMS. HAIL AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS
WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY THESE THUNDERSTORM CELLS. THE FREQUENT
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...HAIL...AND STRONG WIND WILL CONTINUE INTO
FRIDAY MORNING WITH CLEARING DEVELOPING LATE AND MOVING FROM WEST
TO EAST ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN IDAHO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW. THERE IS
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER THE
HIGHLANDS AND CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS ALONG THE IDAHO-MONTANA
BORDER FOR THE BULK OF THIS PERIOD. EXPECT NEAR NORMAL SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WE ASK TRAINED SPOTTERS AND CITIZENS TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN IT IS SAFE TO DO SO. THESE CONDITIONS MAY
INCLUDE HAIL...TORNADOES...STRONG WIND...DUST STORMS...SNOWFALL...
EXTREME COLD TEMPERATURES...FREEZING RAIN OR HEAVY RAIN...DENSE
FOG...AND FLOODING OR ICE JAMS. INFORMATION ABOUT THESE HAZARDOUS
CONDITIONS SHOULD BE CALLED INTO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN POCATELLO USING THE 1-800 SEVERE WEATHER HOTLINE...OR
208-233-0834.

MESSICK