Winter Weather Advisory 10, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

055 
WWUS41 KPHI 011949
WSWPHI

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
249 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...ICE STORM TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY FOR NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY AND 
A LARGE PORTION OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA WEST AND NORTH OF 
PHILADELPHIA...

.LOW PRESSURE IN THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH TONIGHT WILL REFORM IN
THE WATERS EAST OF NEW JERSEY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...THEN QUICKLY
DEPART FOR THE MARITIMES WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-061-062-020400-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110202T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.IS.W.0001.110201T1949Z-110202T2300Z/
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
249 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...THIS REPLACES THE WINTER STORM WARNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED AN ICE
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHWEST NEW 
  JERSEY. 

* PRECIPITATION TYPES: HEAVY FREEZING RAIN. THERE IS A CHANCE
  THAT SLEET OCCURS OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY IN THE POCONOS AND
  SUSSEX COUNTY NEW JERSEY.

* ACCUMULATIONS: GLAZE ACCUMULATIONS OF ONE HALF TO THREE QUARTERS
  OF AN INCH ARE EXPECTED BY 10 AM WEDNESDAY. IF SLEET OCCURS...
  GLAZE ACCUMULATION WOULD BE LESS BUT SLEET COULD ACCUMULATE ONE
  HALF INCH. 

* TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS AND 20S THROUGHOUT THIS
  STORM. 

* TIMING: SPOTTY FREEZING DRIZZLE IN PROGRESS WILL INTENSIFY TO
  FREEZING RAIN BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT. THE WORST OF THE
  GLAZING SHOULD OCCUR BETWEEN 3 AM AND 9 AM WEDNESDAY.
  PRECIPITATION TAPERS TO DRIZZLE EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS LATER TONIGHT THROUGH
  MID MORNING WEDNESDAY ON ALL UNTREATED SURFACES. POWER OUTAGES
  ARE EXPECTED FROM BREAKING TREE LIMBS AND WIRES WEDNESDAY
  MORNING. IF GLAZE EXCEEDS THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH...THIS WOULD
  RAISE THE POTENTIAL FOR DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD POWER OUTAGES. THE
  WEDNESDAY COMMUTE WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT
ADD TO THE DANGER.

&&

$$

NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ060-067>069-020400-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-110202T2100Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.IS.W.0001.110201T1949Z-110202T2100Z/
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-
BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...TRENTON...READING...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...
DOYLESTOWN
249 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...ICE STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...
...THIS REPLACES WINTER STORM WARNING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED AN ICE
STORM WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: WEST CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND MUCH OF SOUTHEAST
  PENNSYLVANIA JUST TO THE WEST AND NORTH OF PHILADELPHIA.

* PRECIPITATION TYPES: FREEZING RAIN. 

* ACCUMULATIONS: GLAZE ACCUMULATIONS OF FOUR TO SEVEN TENTHS OF
  AN INCH ARE EXPECTED OVER MOST OF THIS AREA BY 10 AM WEDNESDAY.
  ALREADY AT 2 PM... THERE HAS BEEN A REPORT OF ONE TENTH INCH OF
  GLAZE FROM THIS MORNINGS FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE.

* TIMING: SPOTTY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BECOME A STEADY FREEZING
  RAIN LATE THIS EVENING AND THEN OCCASIONALLY HEAVY FREEZING RAIN
  BETWEEN 3 AM AND 9AM WEDNESDAY BEFORE IT ENDS AS DRIZZLE DURING
  MIDDAY WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT THE FREEZING RAIN WILL
  BRIEFLY MIX WITH SLEET FOR A TIME OVERNIGHT.

* IMPACTS: TRAVEL WILL BECOME TREACHEROUS LATER TONIGHT THROUGH
  MID MORNING WEDNESDAY ON ALL UNTREATED SURFACES. POWER OUTAGES
  ARE EXPECTED FROM BREAKING TREE LIMBS AND WIRES WEDNESDAY
  MORNING. IF GLAZE WERE TO EXCEED THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH...THIS
  WOULD RAISE THE POTENTIAL FOR DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD POWER
  OUTAGES. THE WEDNESDAY COMMUTE WILL BE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

AN ICE STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF ICE ACCUMULATIONS
WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS OR IMPOSSIBLE. TRAVEL IS STRONGLY
DISCOURAGED. COMMERCE WILL LIKELY BE SEVERELY IMPACTED. IF YOU
MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. ICE ACCUMULATIONS AND WINDS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SNAPPED POWER LINES AND FALLING TREE BRANCHES THAT
ADD TO THE DANGER.

&&

$$

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-020400-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-110202T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0004.110202T0300Z-110202T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.110201T1949Z-110202T1300Z/
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
249 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THIS
REPLACES THE PREVIOUSLY ISSUED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. THE WINTER
STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT.

* AREAS AFFECTED: THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF MARYLAND...THE NORTH
  THIRD OF DELAWARE...THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
  INTERIOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY IN THE VICINITY OF PHILADELPHIA.

* PRECIPITATION TYPES: FREEZING RAIN. 

* ACCUMULATIONS: GLAZE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH
  ARE FORECAST TONIGHT.

* TIMING: DRIZZLE AND SPOTTY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BECOME FREEZING
  RAIN BETWEEN 9 PM AND MIDNIGHT AND THEN COME DOWN BRIEFLY HEAVY
  BEFORE DAWN. TEMPERATURES AT DAWN SHOULD RISE TO NEAR 33 DEGREES
  WHEN THE FREEZING RAIN CHANGES TO PLAIN RAIN.

* IMPACTS: THE MORNING COMMUTE WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED
  BY LEFTOVER ICE ON ALL UNTREATED PAVEMENTS AS WELL AS POOR
  DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NJZ013-020400-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0010.110201T2100Z-110202T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0004.110202T0300Z-110202T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.110201T1949Z-110202T1300Z/
WESTERN MONMOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...FREEHOLD
249 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...THIS REPLACES THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* AREAS AFFECTED: INTERIOR MONMOUTH COUNTY. 

* PRECIPITATION TYPES: FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH TONIGHT.

* ACCUMULATIONS: GLAZE ACCUMULATIONS OF AROUND ONE TENTH INCH ARE
  EXPECTED TONIGHT.

* TIMING: AREAS OF FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BECOME A STEADY FREEZING
  RAIN BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM THEN SHOULD CHANGE TO NON FREEZING
  RAIN AROUND SUNRISE WEDNESDAY. THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR AN ICE
  ACCUMULATION IS 1 AM TO 6 AM WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS: THE EVENING COMMUTE TODAY WILL BE AFFECTED BY FREEZING
  DRIZZLE AS TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S. THE MORNING
  COMMUTE WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED BY LEFTOVER ICE ON ALL
  UNTREATED SURFACES AS WELL AS POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING FROM HEAVY
  RAINS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NJZ020-027-020400-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WW.Y.0010.110201T2100Z-110202T0300Z/
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0004.110202T0300Z-110202T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.110201T1949Z-110202T1100Z/
OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JACKSON...WHARTON STATE FOREST
249 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...
...THIS REPLACES WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. THE WINTER STORM
WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* PRECIPITATION TYPES: FREEZING RAIN. 

* ACCUMULATIONS: GLAZE ACCUMULATIONS OF UP TO ONE TENTH OF AN
  INCH ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.

* TIMING: DRIZZLE WITH TEMPERATURES JUST ABOVE FREEZING THIS
  AFTERNOON WILL TURN TO FREEZING DRIZZLE THIS EVENING AS THE
  TEMPERATURE FALLS TO 30 DEGREES. A STEADY FREEZING RAIN WILL
  DEVELOP BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM THEN CHANGE TO PERIODS OF HEAVY
  PLAIN RAIN AROUND 6 AM AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING. 

* IMPACTS: THE EVENING COMMUTE TODAY MAY BE AFFECTED BY MINIMAL
  ICE ACCUMULATIONS AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING. THE
  MORNING COMMUTE WEDNESDAY WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED BY POOR
  DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING AND ANY LEFTOVER ICE ON UNTREATED
  SURFACES.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

NJZ026-012100-
/O.CAN.KPHI.WS.A.0004.110202T0300Z-110202T1500Z/
COASTAL OCEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LONG BEACH ISLAND
249 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WATCH. 

TEMPERATURES WILL PROBABLY REMAIN ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH TONIGHT
AND ICING IS NOT EXPECTED.

$$

NJZ014-020400-
/O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0004.110202T0300Z-110202T1500Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.110201T1949Z-110202T1300Z/
EASTERN MONMOUTH-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...SANDY HOOK
249 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY. THE
WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* AREAS AFFECTED: THE NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY SHORE INCLUDING ASBURY
  PARK. 

* PRECIPITATION TYPES: FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FREEZING RAIN. 

* GLAZE ACCUMULATIONS: UP TO ONE TENTH INCH.

* TIMING: THE GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR AN ICE ACCUMULATION IS FROM 1
  AM TO 6 AM WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS: THIS EVENING COMMUTE WILL BE AFFECTED BY FREEZING
  DRIZZLE AND TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S. WEDNESDAY
  MORNINGS COMMUTE SHOULD ALSO BE AFFECTED BY LEFTOVER ICE AND
  POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING FROM ON GOING HEAVY RAIN. UNTREATED ROADS
  AND WALKWAYS WILL BE SLIPPERY TONIGHT.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

MDZ012-020400-
/O.NEW.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.110201T1949Z-110202T1300Z/
KENT MD-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...CHESTERTOWN
249 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* PRECIPITATION TYPES: FREEZING DRIZZLE AND FREEZING RAIN. 

* TIMING: SPOTTY FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL BECOME A STEADY FREEZING
  RAIN BETWEEN 10 PM AND 2 AM.

* GLAZE ACCUMULATIONS: ONE TO TWO TENTHS OF AN INCH

* IMPACTS: THIS EVENING COMMUTE MAY BE AFFECTED BY FREEZING
  DRIZZLE AND TEMPERATURES FALLING TO NEAR 30. WEDNESDAY MORNINGS
  COMMUTE SHOULD ALSO BE AFFECTED BY ANY LEFTOVER ICE AND POOR
  DRAINAGE STREET FLOODING FROM ON GOING HEAVY RAIN. UNTREATED
  ROADS AND WALKWAYS WILL BE SLIPPERY TONIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$

DEZ002-MDZ015-019-020-NJZ021-022-020400-
/O.NEW.KPHI.ZR.Y.0001.110201T1949Z-110202T1100Z/
KENT-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON...
MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON
249 PM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A FREEZING
RAIN ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* AREAS AFFECTED: CENTRAL DELAWARE AS WELL AS FAR SOUTHERN NEW
  JERSEY AND A PORTION OF MARYLAND'S EASTERN SHORE.

* PRECIPITATION TYPES: FREEZING RAIN.

* TIMING: DRIZZLE SHOULD CHANGE TO A PERIOD OF FREEZING DRIZZLE
  AND FREEZING RAIN BETWEEN BETWEEN 9 PM AND 3 AM THEN BACK TO NON
  FREEZING RAIN BY 6 AM WEDNESDAY AS WARMER AIR RETURNS. 

* GLAZE ACCUMULATIONS: LESS THAN ONE TENTH INCH.

* IMPACTS: AREAS OF SLIPPERY PAVEMENT SHOULD DEVELOP OVERNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN OR
FREEZING DRIZZLE WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SLIPPERY ROADS. SLOW DOWN AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING.

&&

$$


DRAG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1036 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN JUST EAST OF THE AREA
THIS AFTERNOON AND DRIFT OFFSHORE TONIGHT. A STRONG LOW
DEVELOPING OVER THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON WILL TRACK
NORTHEAST...REACHING A POSITION OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
WEDNESDAY MORNING. THIS LOW WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE REGION
WEDNESDAY MORNING...BEFORE EXITING THE AREA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO OUR AREA TO CLOSE OUT THE
WORK WEEK. LOW PRESSURE MAY DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHEAST STATES
DURING THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
PRECIPITATION IS ALREADY TRANSITIONING TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
IN THE FAR NORTHERN PART OF OUR CWA AND THE EXPECTED LULL IS
TAKING PLACE FARTHER TO THE SOUTH. WE WILL CANCEL THE SOUTHERN
ADVISORY (DELMARVA AND SOUTHEAST NJ) AS THE CHANCES OF ANY DRIZZLE
OR FREEZING DRIZZLE ARE TOO LOW. WE WILL PUSH BACK THE ADVISORY TO
THIS LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING FARTHER NORTH ALONG COASTAL NEW
JERSEY AS TEMPERATURES ARE ABOVE FREEZING FOR NOW.

WITH THE TRANSITION TO NON SNOW PTYPE OCCURRING FASTER AND WITH
LESSER ACCUMS OVERALL PRIOR, WE WILL CONTINUE TO RATCHET DOWNWARD
THE ACCUMS, BUT UNFORTUNATELY THIS MEANS MORE ICE FOR MORE PLACES
FARTHER TO THE NORTH.

FURTHER SOUTH...THE WARM AIR ADVECTION PRECIPITATION (AS LIGHT AS IT
IS THIS MORNING) TAPERS OFF...PROBABLY TO DRIZZLE. FOR MUCH OF
MARYLAND...CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE...AND SOUTHEAST NEW
JERSEY...TEMPERATURES SHOULD GET ABOVE FREEZING AND END THE THREAT
FOR ADDITIONAL LIGHT ICING BEFORE LATE MORNING.

AS MENTIONED ABOVE...WINDS SHOULD STAY NORTH OF EAST JUST ABOVE
EVERYWHERE TODAY. THIS WOULD MEAN THAT ALL MOS GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE
PROBABLY TOO HIGH. WITH THIS IN MIND...HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY
SHOULD REMAIN BELOW FREEZING NORTH AND NEAR OR JUST ABOVE FREEZING
IN THE METRO AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THE MAIN FORECAST PROBLEM WILL BE THE SPEED AT WHICH THE RAIN
ARRIVES TONIGHT OPPOSED TO HOW FAST THE TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE THE
FREEZING MARK IN NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NORTHERN DELAWARE...
PHILADELPHIA AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY.

THE SHORT WAVE DROPPING INTO WESTERN TEXAS EARLY THIS MORNING WILL
MOVE EAST...INDUCING DEVELOPMENT OF LOW PRESSURE IS IT MOVES INTO
THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE
TRACK OF THE SYSTEM...WHICH SHOULD REACH WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA BEFORE
1200 UTC WEDNESDAY. AHEAD OF THIS...THERE MAY BE A LULL IN
PRECIPITATION FROM LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON INTO LATE TUESDAY EVENING.
AFTER THIS...THERE SHOULD BE AN INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION COVERAGE TO
THE WEST AFTER 0300 UTC...AND THE LEADING EDGE OF THE STEADIER
PRECIPITATION WILL BE APPROACHING THE LEHIGH VALLEY AROUND 0600 UTC.

FOR NORTHERN AREAS...MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE WARM AIR
ADVECTION AHEAD OF THE SHORT WAVE WILL BE GREAT ENOUGH TO CREATE A
LARGE ABOVE FREEZING LAYER EVEN ACROSS THE SOUTHERN POCONOS AND
NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY. THEREFORE...PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE FALL IN
THE FORM OF FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THIS AREA LATE TONIGHT.

FOR THE AREA WITH THE WATCH IN PLACE...THE PRECIPITATION ARRIVES
LATER...POTENTIALLY BETWEEN 0900 UTC AND 1200 UTC WEDNESDAY. SURFACE
TEMPERATURES AT THAT JUNCTURE WILL BE CLOSE TO CRITICAL. THE 0000
UTC NAM AND GFS 2 METER TEMPERATURES ARE JUST ABOVE FREEZING...AND
THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE MOS VALUES FOR EACH MODEL. BASED ON THIS
INFORMATION ALONE...IT WOULD APPEAR AS THOUGH THE THREAT FOR
ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE WOULD BE DIMINISHING.

HOWEVER...LOW LEVEL AGEOSTROPHIC WINDS WILL STILL BE NORTH...AND
FAIRLY STRONG. THIS COULD BE AIDED BY THE FACT THERE IS STILL A GOOD
AMOUNT OF SNOW ACROSS THE REGION THIS MORNING. THE LOW LEVEL
AGEOSTROPHIC WINDS ARE IN STARK CONTRAST TO THE FORECAST EAST
SURFACE WIND AND SOUTHEAST WINDS AT 925 MB. IT WOULD BE APPEAR AS
THOUGH THE GREATEST THREAT FOR NEAR ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE
WOULD BE ACROSS NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NORTHERN DELAWARE (NEAR KILG)
AND KPHL. HPC PROBABILITIES OF ONE-QUARTER OF AN INCH IS BORDERLINE
THROUGH 1200 UTC WEDNESDAY AS WELL.

RIGHT NOW...IT IS SIMPLY TOO CLOSE TO CALL FOR THE ABOVEMENTIONED
AREA. THE TIMING OF THE PRECIPITATION IS CLOSE TO THE TIME WHEN IT
APPEARS SURFACE TEMPERATURES WOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING. FURTHER
SOUTH AND EAST...SURFACE TEMPERATURES LOOK AS THOUGH THEY HAVE A
BETTER CHANCE OF BEING ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK AS THE STEADIER
PRECIPITATION ARRIVES. THE WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN PLACE. IF
MORE DEFINITIVE INFORMATION ARRIVES LATER THIS MORNING...THIS COULD
CHANGE.

THERE SEEMS TO BE ENOUGH MODEL AGREEMENT TO SUGGEST SECONDARY
SURFACE DEVELOPMENT OVER THE FORECAST AREA LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING.
THIS COULD ALLOW A WARM WEDGE TO FORM ACROSS DELAWARE AND EASTERN
NEW JERSEY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING AND EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES NEAR 1.20 INCHES IN THIS WARM
WEDGE...IT IS NOT OUT OF THE REALM OF POSSIBILITY THAT A LINE OF LOW
TOPPED CONVECTION COULD FORM JUST AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT IN THE
ABOVEMENTIONED AREAS.

ANY CONVECTION WOULD HAVE PLENTY OF SHEAR AT ITS DISPOSAL...AND A
BROKEN LINE COULD FORM WITH GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE
COMPLEXITY OF THE FORECAST THIS MORNING...THIS WILL NOT BE HIT TOO
HARD JUST YET. THE WARM WEDGE COULD ALSO ALLOW TEMPERATURES TO JUMP
WELL INTO THE 50S FROM KGED TO KACY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

BEHIND THE SURFACE SYSTEM...THE GRADIENT INCREASE AS THE SURFACE LOW
DEEPENS. MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST 35 TO 40 KNOTS OF WIND AVAILABLE
UNDER THE INVERSION AS THE LOW EXITS...SO WINDS GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY. NOT SURE YET
HOW MUCH OF PROBLEM THIS COULD BE WITH ICE LADEN TREES.

SKIES SHOULD SLOWLY CLEAR WITH GUSTY WINDS WEDNESDAY NIGHT AS MUCH
COLDER AIR RETURNS TO THE FORECAST AREA. AT THIS POINT...NOT MUCH
CHANGE TO THE CURRENT THURSDAY FORECAST.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
MOST OF THE ACTION IN THE NEXT WEEK TAKES PLACE IN THE NEAR AND
SHORT TERM. AFTER THE IMPENDING STORM EXITS OUR AREA WEDNESDAY
NIGHT...QUIET WEATHER IS FORECAST TO START THE LONG TERM PERIOD BUT
BE INTERRUPTED BY A COASTAL LOW BRUSHING THE AREA LATER FRIDAY NIGHT
SATURDAY AND PERHAPS INTO SATURDAY NIGHT...AND THEN RETURN TO MORE
QUIESCENT WEATHER SUNDAY AND MONDAY TO END THE LONG TERM.

THE 12Z GFS AND THE 12Z ECMWF HAVE COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ABOUT
THE LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY COASTAL LOW...SO PROBABILITIES
WERE INCREASED TO HIGH CHANCE FOR NOW...WITH PRECIPITATION TYPES
WEIGHTED TOWARD SNOW NORTH AND CENTRAL...BUT BLENDED WITH RAIN
SOUTH-CENTRAL...AND SNOW CHANGING TO RAIN SOUTH SATURDAY MORNING.
THE ECMWF SEEMS TO HOLD ONTO PRECIPITATION A BIT TOO LONG SATURDAY
NIGHT...CONSIDERING THE SPEED OF THE UPPER FLOW. FOR NOW A SMALL
CHANCE OF SNOW WAS RETAINED FOR EARLY SATURDAY NIGHT.

ALL IN ALL...THE FAST FLOW ALOFT AND ACTIVE WEATHER THAT WE HAVE
BEEN EXPERIENCING WILL PERSIST IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD. INITIAL
TROUGHING OVER THE WESTERN STATES WILL GRADUALLY BRING ENERGY
EASTWARD BY WEEKS END...BUT THEN RELOAD CLOSER TO THE INITIAL STATE
ALBEIT IN A BIT MORE AMPLIFIED FASHION BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

HPC GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES SEEMED REASONABLE AND WERE RELIED ON
HEAVILY.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

WE WELCOME IN FEBRUARY WITH SOMEWHAT LESS THAN IDEAL FLYING
CONDITIONS. WITH LOW PRESSURE TO OUR SOUTHWEST AND A COLD HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE PUSHING DOWN FROM THE NORTHEAST, WE CAN LOOK FOR
ABOUT 36 HOURS OF INCLEMENT WEATHER. LIGHT SNOW AND SLEET HAS
SPREAD ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. CONDITIONS HAVE
LOWERED TO MVFR IN MANY AREAS. EVEN THOUGH THE PRECIPITATION
WILL REMAIN ON THE LIGHT SIDE TODAY, CIGS AND VSBYS WILL CONTINUE
TO LOWER TO IFR. WARM AIR ALOFT WILL MOVE IN CAUSING THE SNOW TO
MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH. EVENTUALLY THE MIXED PRECIPITATION WILL BECOME ALL RAIN
IN THE SOUTH AS TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK. THERE
WILL BE A LULL IN THE STEADY PRECIPITATION FROM MID AFTERNOON INTO
THE EVENING HOURS. DURING THIS TIME PERIOD, THERE COULD BE
INTERMITTENT DRIZZLE OR FREEZING DRIZZLE. WINDS TODAY WILL BE
MAINLY E TO NE AT LESS THAN 10 KT. ANOTHER ROUND OF HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION WILL ARRIVE TONIGHT AND CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY.
THIS WILL FALL MAINLY AS RAIN, EXCEPT IN THE EXTREME NORTH, WHERE
IT WILL FALL AS SNOW AND SLEET. WITH TEMPERATURES STILL BELOW
FREEZING IN OUR NORTHERN AREAS AND CENTRAL AREAS, WE COULD HAVE
A SIGNIFICANT ICING EVENT. THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE
FOR ALL OF THIS NASTINESS WILL CROSS OUR AREA AROUND MIDDAY
WEDNESDAY AND THEN HEAD OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS WILL ALLOW
CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

OUTLOOK...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE IN AND BRING GOOD FLYING CONDITIONS
THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. BUT THEN YET ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE PRECIPITATION ALONG WITH REDUCED CIGS AND
VSBYS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
HIGH PRESSURE PUSHING DOWN FROM THE NORTHEAST IS COMBINING WITH
LOW PRESSURE APPROACHING FROM THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TO GIVE
US E TO NE WINDS 10 TO 15 KT TODAY. THE GRADIENT IS NOT ESPECIALLY
TIGHT AND IS ACTUALLY FORECAST TO WEAKEN SOMEWHAT TODAY. BY LATE
TONIGHT, THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE OHIO VALLEY. THE COLD
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE APPROACHING FROM THE
WEST. THIS WILL CAUSE WINDS TO INCREASE FROM AN EASTERLY DIRECTION.
THEY WILL BECOME SE AND THEN S WEDNESDAY MORNING BEFORE SHIFTING
TO W AND NW WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WILL BE
RAISED WITH THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. IT WILL BE IN EFFECT FROM
9Z TO 23Z WEDNESDAY. AS THE STORM PULLS AWAY FROM OUR AREA, W TO
NW WIND GUSTS COULD REACH GALE FORCE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN MOVE IN FROM THE WEST TO
BRING A RETURN TO MORE TRANQUIL CONDITIONS LATER THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY. ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM COULD BRING MORE
INCLEMENT WEATHER FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
WITH AN INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW LATER TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY,
TIDAL DEPARTURES WILL BE INCREASING TO 1 TO 1 1/2 FT ABOVE NORMAL.
THIS WILL BRING A THREAT FOR MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THIS WILL
BE A MARGINAL EVENT AND THAT ONLY THE MOST SUSCEPTIBLE AREAS WILL BE
AFFECTED. FOR THIS REASON, ADVISORIES WILL NOT BE ISSUED. FOR NOW
WE WILL ISSUE A STATEMENT AND CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR PAZ054-055-
     061-062.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR PAZ060-
     067>069.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR PAZ070-071.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     PAZ070-071.
NJ...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR NJZ001-007-
     008.
     WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR NJZ009-010-
     012-015.
     WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR NJZ013-014-016>020-026-027.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     NJZ016>019.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM EST
     THIS EVENING FOR NJZ013-020-027.
DE...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR DEZ001.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     DEZ001.
MD...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
     WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR MDZ008.
     WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR
     MDZ008.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY FOR
     ANZ431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HAYES
NEAR TERM...GIGI/HAYES
SHORT TERM...HAYES
LONG TERM...
AVIATION...RPW
MARINE...RPW
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1037 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

NJZ001-007-008-PAZ054-055-061-062-021545-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-CARBON-MONROE-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
1037 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SNOW IS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ009-010-012-015-PAZ060-067>069-021545-
HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-BERKS-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
1037 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WARNING.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SNOW IS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-021545-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1037 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SNOW IS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021>023-021545-
KENT-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-
1037 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHEAST
MARYLAND AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SNOW IS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ013-020-027-021545-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
1037 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
10 PM EST THIS EVENING...
...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY.
   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SNOW IS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ014-026-021545-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-COASTAL OCEAN-
1037 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM EST THIS EVENING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WINTER STORM WATCH.

THERE IS A THREAT OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SNOW IS FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ003-004-NJZ024-025-021545-
INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-
1037 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THERE IS A THREAT OF MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH
TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SNOW IS FRIDAY NIGHT
INTO SATURDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ431-450>455-021545-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
1037 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-021545-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
1037 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
629 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-062-011400-
SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...JIM THORPE...
STROUDSBURG...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
629 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...LOOK FOR SNOW TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN POCONOS AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...

LOOK FOR SNOW TO FALL WITH VARY INTENSITY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
POCONOS AND NORTHWEST JEW JERSEY THROUGH 900 AM. THE SNOW MAY FALL
HEAVILY AT TIMES...AND SNOWFALL RATES COULD REACH AN INCH AN HOUR.
THIS MEANS AN ADDITIONAL 2 OR 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE...IN
ADDITIONAL TO WHAT HAS ALREADY FALLEN.

SINCE TEMPERATURES ARE WELL BELOW THE FREEZING MARK...EXPECT ROADS...
ESPECIALLY SECONDARY ROADS...TO BE SNOW COVERED AND SLICK HEADING
UP TO THE MORNING COMMUTE. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THIS MORNING...BE
ON THE ALERT FOR SLICK ROADS...SIDEWALKS AND PARKING LOTS.

PAZ060-061-011400-
BERKS-LEHIGH-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...READING...ALLENTOWN
629 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...LOOK FOR SNOW TO MIX WITH SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THROUGH THE
MORNING COMMUTE...

LOOK FOR SNOW TO FALL WITH VARYING INTENSITY ACROSS THE LEHIGH
VALLEY THROUGH 730 AM. AFTER THAT TIME...THE SNOW MAY MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN AT TIMES THROUGH 900 AM.
ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL OF AN INCH OR SO CAN BE EXPECTED. THE FREEZING
RAIN COULD PRODUCE A GLAZE ON TOP OF THE NEWLY FALLEN SNOW.

SINCE TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW THE FREEZING MARK...EXPECT SLICK
DRIVING WITH SNOW COVERED ROADS AND A POSSIBLE COATING OF ICE
THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THIS
MORNING...BE ON THE ALERT FOR SLICK ROADS...SIDEWALKS AND PARKING
LOTS.

NJZ008>010-011400-
MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE
629 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...LOOK FOR SNOW TO FALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE...

LOOK FOR SNOW TO FALL ACROSS HUNTERDON...MORRIS AND NORTHERN AND
WESTERN SECTIONS OF SOMERSET COUNTIES THROUGH 900 AM. THE SNOW
WILL FALL WITH VARYING INTENSITY...WITH 1 TO 3 INCHES OF NEW
SNOW...MAINLY ACROSS HUNTERDON AND WESTERN MORRIS COUNTY.

SINCE TEMPERATURES ARE BELOW THE FREEZING MARK...EXPECT ROADS...
ESPECIALLY SECONDARY ROADS...TO BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLICK
THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THIS
MORNING...BE ON THE ALERT FOR SLICK ROADS...SIDEWALKS AND PARKING
LOTS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
639 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

PAZ067>069-011400-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN
639 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...LOOK FOR A MIX OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE MORNING
COMMUTE...

LOOK FOR A VARIETY OF WINTRY PRECIPITATION TYPES THROUGH 900 AM
ACROSS CHESTER...MONTGOMERY AND BUCKS. ACROSS UPPER BUCKS AND
MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...SNOW WILL CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN
TOWARD 900 AM. BEFORE THAN...AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE IN
PLACES LIKE EAST GREENVILLE AND PLEASANT VALLEY.

ACROSS LOWER BUCKS AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES...AS WELL AS CHESTER
COUNTY...LOOK FOR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE. WHILE
ICING AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LIGHT...IT ONLY TAKES A SMALL AMOUNT OF
ICE TO CAUSE TRAVEL PROBLEMS.

SINCE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW THE FREEZING
MARK...EXPECT SLICK ROADS...SIDEWALKS AND PARKING LOTS THROUGH THE
BALANCE OF THE MORNING COMMUTE.

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ015>019-021-022-027-PAZ070-071-011400-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-KENT MD-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...CHESTERTOWN...
TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...
MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...MILLVILLE...HAMMONTON...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...MEDIA...PHILADELPHIA
639 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...LOOK FOR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH THE
MORNING COMMUTE...

LOOK FOR LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND PATCHY FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH
900 AM ACROSS NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHWEST NEW JERSEY. THROUGH THAT TIME...ICE
ACCUMULATIONS WILL ONLY BE A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH. HOWEVER...IT
ONLY TAKES A SMALL AMOUNT OF ICE TO CAUSE SLICK TRAVEL.

TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING THROUGH THE
MORNING COMMUTE. IF YOU WILL BE TRAVELING THIS MORNING...BE ON THE
ALERT FOR SLICK SPOTS ON ROADS...SIDEWALKS AND PARKING LOTS.
TRAVEL SURFACES THAT APPEAR TO BE WET MAY INSTEAD BE ICY.

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
644 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

DEZ002>004-MDZ015-019-020-011400-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DOVER...GEORGETOWN...REHOBOTH BEACH...
CENTREVILLE...EASTON...DENTON
644 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE IS POSSIBLE
THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE...

LOOK FOR PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE THROUGH
900 AM ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST MARYLAND AND CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN DELAWARE. WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR THE FREEZING
MARK...SLICK TRAVEL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING COMMUTE.

IF YOU PLAN TO TRAVEL THIS MORNING...BE ON THE ALERT FOR PATCHY
FREEZING DRIZZLE. TRAVEL SURFACES THAT APPEAR TO BE WET MAY
INSTEAD BE ICY.

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
647 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

NJZ012-013-020-011400-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...JACKSON
647 AM EST TUE FEB 1 2011

...PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE CAN BE EXPECTED
FOR THE MORNING COMMUTE...

LOOK FOR PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND FREEZING DRIZZLE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF MIDDLESEX...MONMOUTH AND OCEAN COUNTIES THROUGH 900
AM. TEMPERATURES ARE NEAR OR JUST BELOW THE FREEZING MARK WEST OF
THE PARKWAY...AND SLICK SPOTS MAY DEVELOP THIS MORNING.

IF YOU PLAN TO TRAVEL...BE ON THE ALERT FOR ICY SPOTS ON THE ROAD.
TRAVEL SURFACES THAT LOOK WET MAY INSTEAD BE ICY.

HAYES