Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
133 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A WARM FRONT SOUTHWEST OF OUR AREA TONIGHT WILL MOVE GRADUALLY
NORTHEASTWARD INTO OUR REGION WEDNESDAY...AND STALL WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO PASS THROUGH
THE MID ATLANTIC REGION AROUND FRIDAY. A WARM AND SOMEWHAT
UNSTABLE AIRMASS IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND...BUT HIGH PRESSURE
TAKING SHAPE OVER THE GREAT LAKES DURING THE WEEKEND IS FORECAST
TO MOVE EASTWARD INTO OUR AREA BY EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
CONDITIONS WERE NOT UNSTABLE ENOUGH TO GET SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
GOING THIS AFTERNOON...ALTHOUGH A FEW CUMULUS TRIED TO BUILD AND A
FEW ISOLATED AND VERY WEAK CELLS WERE NOTED ON RADAR...MAINLY
NORTH. A FEW HEAVY SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRED NORTH
OF OUR AREA OVER THE CATSKILLS AND SANK SOUTHWARD. PRECIPITATION
OCCURRED IN OUR AREA THIS MORNING WITH THE WAVE ASSOCIATED WITH
THE MCS FROM THE OHIO VALLEY. TODAY LOOKED LIKE THE TRANSITION
DAY...AS IT WAS MORE UNSTABLE THAN MONDAY AND MOISTURE WAS
ACCUMULATING.

WITH NEGATIVE VORTICITY ADVECTION AND WITH NO REAL FORCING EARLY
TONIGHT...PRECIPITATION CHANCES WERE CUT BACK FOR MUCH OF
TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY EAST, AS WERE SKY COVER GRIDS. PERHAPS SOME
CONVECTION CAN BE GENERATED AGAIN TO OUR WEST AND WILL MAKE IT
INTO OUR WESTERN AREAS DURING THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AS IT WEAKENS.

MOS TEMPERATURES LOOKED DECENT AND WERE RELIED ON HEAVILY. CLOUD
COVER MAY NOT INCREASE UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT, AND THAT MAINLY
WEST...BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD DROP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 60S IN
MOST AREAS OVERNIGHT, EXCEPT NEAR 70 IN THE URBAN HEAT ISLAND
SPOTS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE WARM FRONT MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
THERE STILL REMAINS THE POSSIBILITY THAT THE FRONT WILL NOT MAKE IT
THROUGH THE ENTIRE REGION AND WILL INSTEAD STALL ACROSS THE FORECAST
AREA. THE GUIDANCE DIFFERS ON THE LOCATION OF THE FRONT AND VARIES
FROM BISECTING THE FORECAST AREA TO MAKING IT ALL THE WAY TO OUR
NORTH. THIS WILL HAVE A DIRECT IMPACT ON TEMPERATURES AS THE AREAS
TO THE SOUTH OF BOUNDARY WILL BE FULLY ENTRENCHED IN THE WARM SECTOR
WHILE THE AREAS TO THE NORTH OF THE FRONT SHOULD REMAIN COOLER.
THEREFORE, THERE STILL REMAINS LOWER CONFIDENCE THAN USUAL WITH
RESPECT TO WEDNESDAYS FORECAST. ALSO, THERE WILL BE SOME CLOUDS
STREAMING ACROSS WEDNESDAY AS THE REMNANTS OF AN MCS MOVES ACROSS
PENNSYLVANIA AND PUSHES THEM OUT WAY. SEVERAL FACTORS MAY END UP
LIMITING HEATING AT THE SURFACE AND WE HAVE KEPT TEMPERATURES MAINLY
IN THE LOWER 80S FOR THE DAY.

A TROUGH ON THE LEE SIDE OF APPALACHIANS LOOKS TO SET UP ACROSS OUR
AREA AND COULD BE THE SOURCE OF LIFT NEEDED TO GET THUNDERSTORMS
GOING IN THE AFTERNOON. VERTICAL SHEAR IS VERY LIMITED AND STORMS
WILL LIKELY BE SLOW MOVERS AND MULTI CELLULAR IN NATURE.

PRECIPITABLE WATERS ALSO BEGIN TO INCREASE AND RISE IN EXCESS OF 2
INCHES BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. WHEN PWATS GET OVER 2 INCHES
IN JUNE IT INDICATES A DEPARTURE GREATER THAN 2SD OF NORMAL AND IS A
GOOD INDICATOR THAT DEVELOPING STORMS WILL LIKELY BE EFFICIENT
RAINMAKERS. THEREFORE, THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING WILL ALSO
INCREASE. AS FAR AS FLASH FLOODING GOES, THE MOST PRONE AREAS REMAIN
ACROSS NORTHERN  AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND THE SOUTHERN POCONOS.
LATEST GUIDANCE SHOWS THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION STAYING OFF TO
OUR NORTH AND WE HAVE DECIDED TO NOT ISSUE A FLOOD WATCH AT THIS
TIME. SHOULD THE PRECIP SHIFT SOUTHWARD, WE WOULD BE MORE AT RISK
AND WATCH MAY BE NEEDED. WE WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THIS.

THE INCREASED MOISTURE WILL ALSO RAISE DEWPOINTS INTO THE UPPER 60S
TO LOWER 70S FOR WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY MAKING IT NOT ONLY HOT OUT
BUT QUITE HUMID AS WELL.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT WE SEE YET ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ROTATE AROUND THE MID
LEVEL RIDGE, KEEPING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST.

BY THURSDAY, THE MID LEVEL RIDGE HAS STARTED TO MOVE EASTWARD,
PLACING US IN A DEEP LAYER OF SOUTHWEST FLOW. SKIES SHOULD BE A
LITTLE BIT CLEARER WITH WILL ALLOW FOR MORE SURFACE HEATING TO TAKE
PLACE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD START TO RISE INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S,
WITH SOME LOWER 90S, ACROSS THE AREA. AGAIN, THERE WILL BE A CHANCE
FOR SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FOR FRIDAY WITH MORE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LOTS OF FLOW ALOFT TO START AS THE UPPER MIDWEST TROF LIFTS INTO SE
CANADA AND WEAKENS OVER THE WEEKEND WITH HEIGHTS AT 500 MB SLOWLY
RISING-WARMING....SUGGESTING AT LEAST A TEMPORARY RESPITE FROM THE
SHOWERY PATTERN.

TEMPS: WARMER THAN NORMAL THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY BUT MAY COOL
SLIGHTLY TO NEAR NORMAL NEXT SUNDAY MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

QPF: MOST EVIDENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR RAINFALL APPEAR TO BE FRIDAY
NIGHT-SATURDAY NIGHT WITH A PROBABLE DRIER PERIOD SHAPING UP SUNDAY
AND MONDAY.

CONFIDENCE: ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH SUNDAY FOR TEMPS/QPF
OPPORTUNITIES-TRENDS AS POSTED IN THE DETERMINISTIC 330 PM FCST.

THEREAFTER...LOTS OF MODEL SPREAD ON SOLUTIONS FOR NEXT
MONDAY-TUESDAY AND CONFIDENCE ON QPF IS MUCH BELOW AVG THEN.

THE DAILIES BELOW...

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...THE PRIMARY TROUGH ALOFT IN
THE GREAT LAKES WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN NEWD INTO SE CANADA. THAT
PROBABLY MEANS...MAINLY DIURNAL HEAT DRIVEN AFTERNOON-EVENING
SHOWERS/SCT TSTMS IN THE WARM SECTOR AHEAD OF THE COOL FRONT.
12Z/21 EC AND GEFS SFC FRONTAL PASSAGE EVOLUTION DIFFER.  ITS
POSSIBLE MOST OF THIS 36 HOUR PERIOD WILL BE RAINFREE.

SUNDAY/MONDAY...THE COOL FRONT SHOULD PASS OFFSHORE AND A RAINFREE
LOW HUMIDITY PERIOD SHOULD OCCUR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY.  THERE COULD BE
SOME LEFTOVER SHOWERS IN THE MORNING IN THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE
FORECAST AREA BUT CONFIDENCE IS LESS THAN AVERAGE ON THE POTENTIAL
SHOWERS FOR EARLY SUNDAY.

NEXT TUESDAY...LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST AS MODEL SOLUTIONS VARY. ODDS
AS OF THIS WRITING FAVOR AT LEAST DRY START BUT CAN SEE A SOGGIER
SCENARIO IF A TROUGH ALOFT DEVELOPS OVERHEAD AS HINTED IN SOME OF
THE MODEL MEMBERS.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING...WITH CONVECTION WELL NORTH OF THE AREA...AND A MORE
IMPRESSIVE AREA OF CONVECTION SOUTH CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...EASTERN
MARYLAND AND CENTRAL DELAWARE. THE SOUTHERN AREA OF CONVECTION
APPEARS TO BE FORMING ALONG AND JUST AHEAD OF A SURFACE FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION.

BASED ON THE MOVEMENT OF THE CONVECTION...KILG WAS THE ONLY TERMINAL
SITE TO HAVE AN EXPLICIT MENTION OF CONVECTION EARLY THIS MORNING.
THE AIRMASS IS FAIRLY STABLE TO THE EAST OF THE FRONT...AND THE
CONVECTION SHOULD BECOME ELEVATED AS IT MOVES EAST. IT IS POSSIBLE
THAT KMIV COULD BE AFFECTED LATER THIS MORNING AS WHATEVER SURVIVES
MOVES EAST. THIS IS NOT INCLUDED IN THE TERMINAL FORECAST...AND IT
WILL BE AMENDED AS NEEDED.

AFTER SOME MVFR CONDITIONS IN PATCHY FOG AND HAZE THROUGH ABOUT 1300
UTC...THE FORECAST WILL BE INFLUENCED IN LARGE PART BY THE POSITION
OF THE SURFACE FRONT. NORTH OF THE FRONT...CONDITIONS SHOULD REMAIN
VFR WITH STABLE CONDITION. SOUTH OF THE FRONT...VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITH POSSIBLE CONVECTION AS CONDITIONS BECOME MODERATELY
UNSTABLE ALONG WITH JUST ENOUGH SHEAR FOR ORGANIZATION. SINCE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF NEW CONVECTION IS MORE THAN 6 HOURS AWAY...THE
POTENTIAL WAS INCLUDED AS A CB REMARK.

THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER ABOUT 0300 UTC
THURSDAY. AFTER THIS...THE FORECAST BECOMES A BIT MORE PROBLEMATIC
AS THE NAM MODEL SOUNDINGS AND MOS SUGGEST IFR CEILINGS WILL DEVELOP
IN THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST FLOW. THIS WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
WHERE THE SURFACE FRONT IS. FOR NOW...THIS WAS HINTED AT WITH A
SCATTERED DECK BELOW 1000 FEET. THIS WILL BE EXPANDED UPON FOR THE
1200 UTC TERMINAL FORECAST ISSUANCE.

OUTLOOK...
ANY IFR CEILINGS SHOULD DISSIPATE THURSDAY MORNING (IF THEY OCCUR AT
ALL)...AND GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY. ONCE
AGAIN...CONVECTION BECOMES POSSIBLE SOUTH OF THE FRONT. WITH A BIT
MORE ORGANIZATION (BASED ON THE MID LEVEL WIND PATTERN)...CONVECTION
COULD BECOME MORE WIDESPREAD THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RIGHT
NOW...IT WOULD APPEAR AS THOUGH THE BEST CHANCE OF CONVECTION DURING
THIS TIME WOULD BE SOUTH OF KPHL.

GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH LOCAL
MVFR VISIBILITIES IN FOG. MORE CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND AGAIN SATURDAY AFTERNOON. OUTSIDE OF THESE
AREAS...GENERALLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.

OUTLOOK...
MOSTLY MVFR IN HAZE AND OVERNIGHT PATCHY FOG. SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS
WILL PRODUCE BRIEFLY LOWER CONDITIONS WED NIGHT AND AGAIN THU...FRI
AND POSSIBLY SAT AFTERNOONS.

&&

.MARINE...
NO HEADLINES.

HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST AND A DEEP LOW WELL TO THE WEST WILL
CONTINUE TO PRODUCE A SRLY FLOW ON THE WATERS. WIND SPEEDS WILL
MOSTLY REMAIN AROUND 10 KTS...BUT OCNLY HIGHER. CONDITIONS SHOULD
REMAIN MOSTLY SUB-SCA TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY FOR SOME SCA CONDITIONS LATER THU INTO FRI AS THE DEEP
AND PERSISTENT FLOW MAY EVENTUALLY RESULT IN SOME 5 FT SEAS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS WILL BRING LOCALLY HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES
WED-FRI.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...KLINE/MEOLA
NEAR TERM...MEOLA
SHORT TERM...MEOLA
LONG TERM...DRAG
AVIATION...HAYES
MARINE...DRAG/O'HARA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
353 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

NJZ001-007>010-012-015-PAZ054-055-062-222000-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-MERCER-CARBON-
MONROE-NORTHAMPTON-
353 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WINDS, HAIL AND HEAVY RAINS ON
WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ013-014-016>027-PAZ060-061-
067>071-222000-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
353 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WINDS, HAIL AND HEAVY RAINS ON
WEDNESDAY EVENING AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-222000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
353 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS, HAIL AND HEAVY RAINS
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1157 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

MDZ008-012-015-019-220500-
CECIL MD-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-TALBOT MD-
1157 PM EDT TUE JUN 21 2011

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
CECIL...KENT...QUEEN ANNE'S AND TALBOT COUNTIES...

AT 1151 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF CENTERVILLE...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR STARKEY
CORNER...CHURCH HILL AROUND 1215 AM...SUDLERSVILLE...MILLINGTON
AROUND 1230 AM...MASSEY AND SASSAFRAS AROUND 1245 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3877 7640 3875 7635 3887 7625 3882 7621
      3883 7620 3894 7624 3890 7624 3893 7628
      3884 7638 3885 7639 3905 7631 3905 7629
      3900 7627 3900 7618 3915 7628 3954 7580
      3918 7579 3868 7633

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1240 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-220545-
CAROLINE MD-CECIL MD-KENT MD-KENT DE-NEW CASTLE DE-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
TALBOT MD-
1240 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CAROLINE...CECIL...KENT...NEW
CASTLE...QUEEN ANNE'S AND TALBOT COUNTIES...

AT 1236 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES NORTH OF
CENTERVILLE TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST OF EASTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR JUMPTOWN...MORGNEC AROUND 1245
AM...GRIFFIN...CRUMPTON AROUND 100 AM...GALENA...TEMPLEVILLE AROUND
115 AM...MASSEY...SANDTOWN AROUND 130 AM...HAZLETTVILLE AND CLAYTON
AROUND 145 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3947 7560 3932 7550 3908 7540 3889 7553
      3878 7608 3890 7602 3914 7600 3930 7608

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1255 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

MDZ008-PAZ067-220600-
CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-
1255 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CECIL AND CHESTER COUNTIES...

AT 1253 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES WEST OF
LANCASTER TO 27 MILES WEST OF ELKTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR ROCK SPRINGS...RICHARDSMERE AROUND 130
AM...WEST NOTTINGHAM...FARMINGTON AROUND 145 AM...GLEN ROY AND ZION
AROUND 200 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3973 7623 3973 7615 3978 7607 3985 7603
      3987 7601 3992 7601 4002 7596 4002 7595
      3960 7580 3959 7613 3962 7616 3965 7617
      3970 7624

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
101 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

DEZ003-MDZ015-019-020-220600-
CAROLINE MD-INLAND SUSSEX DE-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-TALBOT MD-
101 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CAROLINE...QUEEN ANNE'S...SUSSEX
AND TALBOT COUNTIES...

AT 1258 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 13 MILES WEST OF
EASTON TO 10 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EASTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR ST. MICHAELS AROUND 115 AM...
COPPERVILLE...TRAPPE AROUND 130 AM...WINDYHILL...HAMBLETON AROUND
145 AM...CHOPTANK AND TANYARD AROUND 200 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3873 7625 3870 7627 3871 7633 3878 7637
      3885 7629 3888 7632 3884 7638 3891 7637
      3893 7629 3888 7632 3882 7621 3889 7621
      3893 7627 3891 7622 3897 7599 3859 7569
      3867 7576 3869 7586 3857 7607

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
129 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

DEZ001-MDZ008-012-NJZ016-220630-
CECIL MD-KENT MD-NEW CASTLE DE-SALEM NJ-
129 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CECIL...KENT...NEW CASTLE AND
SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 127 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 6 MILES NORTHWEST OF MIDDLETOWN...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR MOUNT PLEASANT...
BRANTWOOD AROUND 145 AM...SAINT GEORGES...BEAR AROUND 200 AM...
DELAWARE CITY...PORT PENN AROUND 215 AM...PENNSVILLE AND NEW CASTLE
AROUND 230 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3956 7598 3971 7549 3955 7538 3948 7556
      3950 7557 3952 7554 3956 7553 3958 7554
      3958 7556 3954 7555 3947 7559 3937 7584

HAYES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
143 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

DEZ002>004-220645-
DELAWARE BEACHES DE-INLAND SUSSEX DE-KENT DE-
143 AM EDT WED JUN 22 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT KENT AND SUSSEX COUNTIES...

AT 140 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES SOUTH OF
MIDDLETOWN TO 14 MILES NORTHWEST OF GEORGETOWN...MOVING EAST AT 15
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR WOODSIDE...VIOLA AROUND 200 AM...
WYOMING...WOODSIDE EAST AROUND 215 AM...DOVER SPEEDWAY...MILFORD
AROUND 230 AM...WOODLAND BEACH AND SLAUGHTER BEACH AROUND 245 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3883 7573 3929 7576 3930 7570 3929 7568
      3931 7559 3937 7551 3934 7545 3920 7538
      3916 7540 3909 7540 3898 7529 3893 7530
      3880 7516 3874 7512 3866 7569

HAYES