Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
337 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT, THEN IS EXPECTED TO
STALL TO OUR SOUTH THIS WEEKEND. A COUPLE OF WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE
WILL DEVELOP AND TRAVEL ALONG THIS BOUNDARY OVER THE WEEKEND. A
STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE PLAIN STATES WILL LIFT TOWARD THE
GREAT LAKES DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, LIFTING A WARM FRONT
THROUGH OUR AREA WEDNESDAY, FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT BY THE END OF
THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/...
A MID/UPPER LOW WILL CONTINUE TO FLATTEN OUT AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE
AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. A SURFACE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL
SLOWLY CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT, THEN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO STALL TO
OUR SOUTH. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON
AS THE TEMPERATURES WARMED AND THE MID/UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE
EASTWARD. PW VALUES ARE AROUND 1.5 INCHES, AND THERE IS A LITTLE BIT
OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR, SO ANY SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA COULD CONTAIN FREQUENT LIGHTNING, GUSTY WINDS, SMALL HAIL, AND
HEAVY RAIN. WE ARE NOT EXPECTING ANY SEVERE STORMS OR FLASH
FLOODING, BUT THE USUAL STREET AND POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING IS
POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIEST DOWNPOURS. MOS TEMPERATURES WERE CLOSE TO
EACH OTHER, SO WE TOOK A BLEND OF THE TWO.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FORECAST FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK SEEMS TO BE
UNSETTLED AND A LITTLE UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME. THE AFOREMENTIONED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STALL TO OUR SOUTH THIS WEEKEND,
WHILE A COUPLE OF WAVES OF LOW PRESSURE ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP
ALONG THE BOUNDARY AND MOVE TOWARD THE AREA. COINCIDENTALLY, SEVERAL
SHORTWAVES ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AS WELL, WHICH COULD
LEAD TO AN UNSETTLED PERIOD. HOWEVER, THE MODELS ARE NOT GIVING US
VERY GOOD CONSENSUS ON TIMING AND PLACEMENT FOR SOME OF THE
FEATURES.

SATURDAY MAY BE THE DRIEST DAY, AS THERE IS NOT ANY STRONG
SHORTWAVES EXPECTED IN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. HOWEVER, WE DID
DECIDE TO INCLUDE A SLIGHT CHANCE AS THERE WILL BE SOME INSTABILITY
AND PW VALUES WILL BE AROUND 1 TO 1.5 INCHES, SO WE MAY GET AN
ISOLATED SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM. FOR TEMPERATURES, WE TOOK A BLEND OF
THE MAV/MET MOS AS THEY WERE PRETTY CLOSE, BUT WEIGHTED MORE TOWARD
THE HIGHER MAV MOS.

FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY, THE GFS IS A LITTLE FASTER WITH THE
SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE LOW PRESSURE RIDING ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY
THAN MOST OF THE OTHER MODELS. MOST OF THE MODELS DO AGREE THAT
THERE IS A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION, ESPECIALLY FOR OUR SOUTHERN
AREAS SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS THE FIRST LOW MOVES JUST TO OUR
SOUTH.  AGAIN TEMPERATURE WISE, WE TOOK A A BLEND OF THE MAV/MET
MOS, BUT WEIGHTED MORE TOWARD THE HIGHER MAV MOS.

FOR SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY, ANOTHER SHORTWAVE AND SURFACE LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE AREA. JUST LIKE THE PREVIOUS 24 HOUR
PERIOD, MOST MODELS AGREE THAT THERE IS A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
FOR MUCH OF THE AREA, BUT THE LOW MAY CROSS CLOSER TO OUR AREA, OR
RIGHT OVER, SO THE BEST CHANCE MAY BE EVERYWHERE. WE WENT PRETTY
CLOSE TO GFS MOS FOR TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY, WHICH IS PRETTY CLOSE
TO WHAT MODEL 850 MB TEMPERATURES WOULD TRANSLATE TO ACROSS THE AREA.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
THE UPPER PATTERN IN THE LONG TERM WILL FEATURE RIDGING OVER THE
SERN CONUS GIVING WAY TO SOME TROUGHING OVER THE NE USA NEXT
WEEKEND.

THIS EXTENDED PERIOD WILL AVERAGE WARMER THAN NORMAL FOR LATE JUNE
WITH THE HOTTEST DAY IN THIS SCENARIO CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO BE NEXT
THURSDAY WHEN MAX TEMPS IN THE VALLEYS AND COASTAL PLAIN AWAY FROM
WATER SHOULD REACH THE LOW TO MID 90S.

THE PATTERN IS SOMEWHAT UNSTABLE AND IT WAS DIFFICULT TO
DIFFERENTIATE BEST CHANCE FOR CONVECTION WITH THE MULTITUDE OF
DISTURBANCES ALOFT AND ASSOCIATED PIECES OF W AND CAA IN THE LOW
LVLS. THERE IS BASICALLY A CHANCE POP EVERYDAY.

THE DAILIES...

MON NIGHT...LESS THAN AVERAGE CONFIDENCE ON POPS AND WIND DIRECTION.
A WEAK FRONT IN THE MID ATLC STATES MAY BE PRODUCING THUNDERSTORMS.

TUESDAY...12Z EC AND GFS DIFFER. RAISED THE HPC POP GUIDANCE A BIT
CLOSER TO THE 12Z EC BUT WITH LESS THAN AVG CONFIDENCE.  SAME WEAK
FRONTAL SYSTEM  IN THE AREA.  IT COULD BE GENERATING A PERIOD OF
TSTMS.

WEDNESDAY...WAA AND A CHANCE FOR TSTMS AS IT APPEARS MORE UNSTABLE
ARRIVES FROM THE W.

THURSDAY...LOOKS HOT AND HUMID WITH ANY PREDAWN TSTMS TEMPORARILY
DISSIPATING OR PUSHING OUT TO SEA. THE HEAT INDEX SHOULD RISE INTO
THE 95-100 RANGE FROM KTTN SOUTHWESTWARD AND COULD SEE THE NEED FOR
AT LEAST AN URBAN HEAT ADVISORY.  AN APPROACHING COOL FRONT SHOULD
SPAWN TSTMS THAT CROSS OUR AREA IN THE AFTN OR NIGHT.  CONFIDENCE ON
TEMPS ABV AVG AND CONFIDENCE ON POPS AVG.

FRIDAY...THE INITIAL COOL FRONT MAY DIE OUT AT THE EXPENSE OF ONE
MORE SHORT WAVE DEPARTING THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES FRI MORNING AND
FORMING A NEW COOL FRONT IN THE APPS THAT IF OCCURS...WOULD BE A
TSTM GENERATOR.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WERE BREAKING OUT EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
MAINLY NORTHWEST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR, AND A EASTERLY PROGRESSION IS
EXPECTED THROUGHOUT THE REST OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. A THUNDERSTORM
MAKING A DIRECT HIT AT A TERMINAL WOULD CAUSE CONDITIONS TO DROP
FROM VFR TO IFR IN LOW CEILINGS AND/OR VISIBILITIES. WIND GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 KNOTS ALSO WOULD BE LIKELY. MEANWHILE, IF AT LEAST ONE OF
OUR HIGH RESOLUTION MODELS CAN BE BELIEVED, THE SEA BREEZE HAS A
CHANCE OF MOVING INTO ACY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

THE SYSTEM RESPONSIBLE FOR THE THUNDER SHOULD CLEAR OUR AREA THIS
EVENING. THE ONLY RESTRICTIONS ANTICIPATED AFTER THAT ARE TO
VISIBILITY DUE TO FOG. FOG IS SOMEWHAT DEPENDENT ON WHETHER A SITE
RECEIVES RAIN THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING, BUT FOR NOW WE'VE LEANED ON
CLIMATOLOGY, TEMPERATURE/DEW POINT AND MODEL SOUNDING FORECASTS TO
PAINT SOME MVFR FOG LATE TONIGHT AT SOME SITES. IF ENOUGH RAIN FALLS
LOCALLY, IFR FOG WOULD BE QUITE POSSIBLE.

VFR CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. OUTSIDE OF ANY
CONVECTION, WINDS SHOULD BE BENIGN THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD.

OUTLOOK...
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR SATURDAY EVENING. THERE IS A CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS
ANOTHER WEATHER SYSTEM DROPS INTO OUR REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE IS ANTICIPATED TO BRING MAINLY DRY WEATHER FOR
MONDAY AND TUESDAY. CONVECTION-RELATED, LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY.

&&

.MARINE...
THE PRESENT MID LEVEL LOW AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE
EAST OVERNIGHT. CONVECTION IS POSSIBLE IN ADVANCE OF THE SYSTEM.
OUTSIDE OF CONVECTION, WINDS AND WAVES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
ADVISORY CRITERIA. AFTER THAT, ALTHOUGH WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS
WILL PASS EITHER OVER OR JUST SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN WATERS ON SUNDAY
AND MONDAY, CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN SUB-ADVISORY THROUGH
THE FORECAST (ALTHOUGH BOATING CONDITIONS WON'T BE IDEAL, AS
CONVECTION IS AGAIN POSSIBLE WITH EACH).

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
BASED ON VARIOUS GUIDANCE, THERE ISN'T SUFFICIENT EVIDENCE TO ISSUE
ANY COASTAL FLOOD PRODUCTS FOR THE NEXT HIGH TIDE CYCLE (LATE THIS
EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD FROM THE ATLANTIC COAST UP TO THE
TIDAL DELAWARE RIVER AND SATURDAY MORNING ALONG CHESAPEAKE BAY). WE
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE TIDES, BUT ANY UNEXPECTED FLOODING
WOULD BE QUITE MINOR IN NATURE.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...ROBERTSON
NEAR TERM...ROBERTSON
SHORT TERM...ROBERTSON
LONG TERM...DRAG
AVIATION...DELISI
MARINE...DELISI
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...DELISI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
352 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

DEZ001>004-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>023-027-
PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-182000-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-KENT MD-
QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
352 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS... SMALL HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL RETURN AGAIN TO THE AREA NEXT WEEK,
POSSIBLY LEADING TO ADVISORY CONDITIONS ON THURSDAY. A COUPLE OF
PERIODS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE AS WELL FOR THE MID
TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ014-024>026-182000-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-
352 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS... SMALL HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A COUPLE OF PERIODS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE
MID TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-182000-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
352 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING MAY PRODUCE GUSTY
WINDS... SMALL HAIL...HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

A COUPLE OF PERIODS OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FOR THE
MID TO LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
145 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

NJZ008-171830-
MORRIS NJ-
145 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MORRIS COUNTY...

AT 140 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES EAST OF MORRISTOWN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
35 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR LINCOLN PARK AND PEQUANNOCK
TOWNSHIP AROUND 200 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.
IN ADDITION...WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH...SMALL HAIL...AND NUMEROUS
CLOUD TO GROUND STRIKES CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM AS IT MOVES
THROUGH MORRIS COUNTY.

LAT...LON 4089 7433 4087 7433 4086 7431 4078 7437
      4074 7436 4069 7442 4068 7445 4079 7459
      4103 7442 4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428
      4089 7427

JJM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
234 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

DEZ001-MDZ008-PAZ067-171930-
CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-NEW CASTLE DE-
234 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CECIL...CHESTER AND NEW CASTLE
COUNTIES...

AT 231 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 18 MILES NORTHWEST OF ELKTON...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR RISING SUN...FARMINGTON AROUND 245
PM...ZION...PLEASANT HILL AROUND 300 PM...CHERRY HILL...BARKSDALE
AROUND 315 PM...GLASGOW AND BEAR AROUND 330 PM.

ON ITS WAY THROUGH CECIL COUNTY...THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL CLIP THE
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CHESTER COUNTY.  IT WILL THEN MOVE INTO NEW
CASTLE COUNTY AFTER 3 PM.

IN ADDITION TO STRONG GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH...HEAVY RAIN, SMALL
HAIL AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3973 7623 3973 7615 3978 7608 3982 7550
      3967 7553 3962 7560 3959 7559 3961 7558
      3960 7555 3944 7558 3958 7612 3965 7617
      3971 7624

JJM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
331 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

NJZ012-172030-
MIDDLESEX NJ-
331 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT MIDDLESEX COUNTY...

AT 330 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES SOUTH OF NEW BRUNSWICK...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 15 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR NEW BRUNSWICK...SOUTH RIVER
AROUND 345 PM...FORDS...EDISON AROUND 400 PM...SEWAREN AND PORT
READING AROUND 415 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
FROM THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 4055 7423 4048 7427 4045 7422 4042 7425
      4040 7425 4030 7444 4042 7457 4048 7447
      4053 7451 4060 7442 4060 7431 4059 7429
      4060 7421 4057 7420

JJM

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
345 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

DEZ001-NJZ016-017-021-172045-
CUMBERLAND NJ-GLOUCESTER NJ-NEW CASTLE DE-SALEM NJ-
345 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CUMBERLAND...GLOUCESTER...NEW
CASTLE AND SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 338 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF MIDDLETOWN...MOVING EAST AT
25 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR SHILOH...BRIDGETON AROUND 400
PM...SOUTH VINELAND AND MILLVILLE AROUND 415 PM. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS
WERE SCATTERED AROUND THE AREA AS WELL...ALL MOVING IN AN EASTERLY
DIRECTION AT AROUND 25 MPH.

VERY HEAVY RAIN COULD FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING ARE
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3916 7492 3921 7518 3929 7527 3929 7532
      3934 7535 3946 7555 3958 7554 3958 7556
      3946 7558 3937 7550 3932 7558 3935 7570
      3968 7561 3984 7536 3988 7516 3978 7508
      3978 7509 3960 7488 3951 7499 3943 7488

JJM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
353 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0208 PM     HAIL             BLAIRSTOWN              40.98N  74.96W
06/17/2011  M0.25 INCH       WARREN             NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL

0322 PM     HAIL             GLASGOW                 39.60N  75.75W
06/17/2011  M0.25 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   PUBLIC

            PEA SIZE HAIL

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100271 PHI1100272

KEK

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
448 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

NJZ013-014-020-026-172145-
COASTAL OCEAN NJ-EASTERN MONMOUTH NJ-OCEAN NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
448 PM EDT FRI JUN 17 2011

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT COASTAL MONMOUTH AND
   OCEAN COUNTIES...

AT 442 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 16 MILES NORTH OF TOMS RIVER...MOVING EAST AT 25
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR AVON-BY-THE-SEA...WANAMASSA AROUND
445 PM...BRADLEY BEACH AND OCEAN GROVE AROUND 500 PM. ANOTHER
THUNDERSTORM NORTH OF LAVALLETTE IN OCEAN COUNTY WAS MOVING EAST AND
WILL BE ON THE COAST AROUND 5 PM.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

EXPECT SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING
FROM THESE STORM.

LAT...LON 4014 7402 3996 7404 3990 7406 3990 7409
      3991 7409 3990 7411 3990 7421 4025 7421
      4045 7411 4041 7399 4047 7402 4047 7399
      4041 7396 4032 7396

FORECASTER: