Special Marine Warning 54, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

857 
FZUS71 KPHI 140041
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
841 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

ANZ450-470-140130-
/O.CON.KPHI.MA.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110714T0130Z/
841 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

...A SPECIAL MARINE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM EDT...

FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS...
WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 20 TO 40 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM OVER
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS...

AT 838 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO
INDICATE AN AREA OF STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER FROM WATERS FROM
MONTAUK POINT NY TO SANDY HOOK NJ FROM 20 TO 40 NM TO COASTAL WATERS 
FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM...MOVING SOUTHEAST 
AT 25 KNOTS.

THIS AREA OF STRONG WINDS WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN AWAY FROM SIGNIFICANT
COASTAL LANDMARKS OVER THE INDICATED AREAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

&&

LAT...LON 4023 7360 3996 7338 3995 7338 3994 7366
      4012 7404
TIME...MOT...LOC 0040Z 320DEG 27KT 4025 7337 4013 7358
          4010 7383

$$

SMZ

861 
FZUS71 KPHI 140101
MWSPHI

MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
901 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

ANZ450-470-140110-
/O.CAN.KPHI.MA.W.0054.000000T0000Z-110714T0130Z/
901 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

...SPECIAL MARINE WARNING CANCELLED...

THE AFFECTED AREAS WERE...
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK NJ TO FENWICK ISLAND DE FROM 
20 TO 40 NM...
ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 
NM...

LAT...LON 4023 7360 3996 7338 3995 7338 3994 7366
      4012 7404
TIME...MOT...LOC 0100Z 320DEG 27KT 4013 7325 4005 7348
          4003 7370

$$

SMZ

797 
WHUS51 KPHI 191846
SMWPHI
ANZ430-431-454-455-192015-
/O.NEW.KPHI.MA.W.0054.110719T1846Z-110719T2015Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SPECIAL MARINE WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
246 PM EDT TUE JUL 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SPECIAL MARINE WARNING FOR...
  THE DELAWARE BAY...
  THE ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS BETWEEN CAPE MAY NJ AND FENWICK ISLAND
  DE OUT TO 20 NM...


  INCLUDING CAPE HENLOPEN...REHOBOTH BEACH...BUOY 2MS...BRANDYWINE
  SHOAL LIGHT...BROWN SHOAL LIGHT...CAPE MAY POINT AND FOURTEEN FOOT
  BANK LIGHT...

* UNTIL 415 PM EDT

* AT 239 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  THUNDERSTORM...PRODUCING STRONG WINDS 34 KNOTS OR GREATER 17 NM
  WEST OF FOURTEEN FOOT BANK LIGHT...OR ABOUT 7 NM WEST OF BOWERS
  BEACH...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 KNOTS.

* THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR
  6 NM WEST OF CAPE HENLOPEN AND 8 NM NORTHWEST OF REHOBOTH BEACH BY
  415 PM EDT

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MARINERS CAN EXPECT GUSTY WINDS...HIGH WAVES...DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...
AND HEAVY RAINS. BOATERS SHOULD SEEK SAFE HARBOR IMMEDIATELY...UNTIL
THIS STORM PASSES.

FREQUENT LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM. IF CAUGHT ON THE
OPEN WATER STAY BELOW DECK IF POSSIBLE...KEEP AWAY FROM UNGROUNDED
METAL OBJECTS.

&&

LAT...LON 3842 7494 3851 7505 3858 7506 3856 7510
      3861 7517 3862 7513 3868 7518 3866 7514
      3870 7508 3879 7508 3878 7510 3880 7519
      3893 7532 3898 7531 3907 7540 3915 7542
      3920 7536 3878 7471 3839 7480
TIME...MOT...LOC 1846Z 317DEG 14KT 3902 7553

$$

NIERENBERG

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
504 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST INTO THE SOUTHERN MID
ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM
THE GREAT LAKES TONIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AND PASS
ACROSS THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC FRIDAY. THIS HIGH WILL LINGER OFF THE
EAST COAST THIS WEEKEND. A SERIES OF FRONTS MAY BRING UNSETTLED
WEATHER BEGINNING NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
AS OF 21Z...THE COLD FRONT HAS DIPPED SOUTH TO ACROSS THE CENTRAL
DELMARVA. STRATIFORM PRECIP SOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE-DELAWARE CANAL
HAS DIMINISHED THE SEVERE THREAT. THEREFORE...THE SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH HAS BEEN CANCELLED. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR OVER TALBOT AND CAROLINE
COUNTIES IN MD...AND SUSSEX COUNTY IN DE.

ISOLATED SHOWERS...UNDER THE UPPER TROUGH WILL CONTINUE MOVING
SOUTHEAST FROM NORTHEASTERN PA AND THE HUDSON VALLEY. THESE
SHOWERS WILL SPREAD SOUTH THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN PA AND NJ THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF THE CLOUD SWATH THAT IS
CURRENTLY ACROSS THE PHILLY METRO AREA.

MIN TEMPS TONIGHT MUCH COOLER...MID 50S NRN INLAND NJ AND E-CNTRL
PA...TO MID 60S FOR URBAN AND NEAR SHORE AREAS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH 6 PM THURSDAY/...
SEVERAL PLEASANT DAYS ARE IN STORE AS THE HIGH FROM CANADA BUILDS
IN AND PASSES ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY. MOSTLY SUNNY DAYS AND CLEAR
SKIES AT NIGHT ARE EXPECTED. HIGHS THU AND FRI WILL BE CLOSER TO
NORMAL WITH MOSTLY 80S ACROSS THE AREA AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
50S TO THE NORTH AND 60S ACROSS THE SOUTH. THE HUMIDITY LEVELS
WILL BE MUCH MORE COMFORTABLE TOO.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
HPC GUIDANCE WAS USED FOR THE LONG TERM.

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
IT CONTINUES TO LOOK AS IF A QUIET EXTENDED PERIOD /GENERALLY DRY
AND NEAR SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES/ IS IN STORE FOR OUR CWA THROUGH
SUNDAY. THEREAFTER...AT LEAST A DAY OR 2 OF 90 PLUS HEAT IS
ANTICIPATED EARLY NEXT WEEK IN THE I95 CORRIDOR INTO SE PA.

PATTERN ALOFT FEATURES A TROUGH IN THE MARITIMES THAT MAY RELOAD THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK WITH A STRONG HOT RIDGE CONTINUING IN THE
CENTRAL USA.

USED HPC POPS/TEMPS/SKY/WIND FROM THEIR TUESDAY 12Z/12 GUIDANCE.

STILL A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE DEVELOPMENT OF LOW PRESSURE
ALONG THE SE COAST OF THE USA EARLY IN THIS PERIOD AND ANY SHOWERS
THAT ESCAPE NORTHWARD INTO OUR AREA.

THERE COULD BE EARLY MORNING FOG SAT-MON IN THE FAIR SKY HIGH PRESSURE
REGIME WITH AFTERNOON SEA-BREEZES.

A CLUSTER OF TSTMS MAY ACCOMPANY THE ATTEMPTED HEAT INFLUX HERE
EARLY WEEK?

NCEP HPC PROBABILITY OF MAX HEAT INDEX REACHING 100-105 IN THE PHL AREA
NEXT TUESDAY...AS ISSUED AT 1836Z TODAY...JULY 12TH...IS 40 TO 70
PCT. NO MENTION OF HEAT ADVISORY POTENTIAL FOR A WHILE IN OUR
HWO...UNTIL MORE CONSISTENCY IN THE SIGNAL.  WE STRUGGLED TODAY TO
REACH THE HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA EVEN THO YDY...THE HI REACHED
100-105 KILG KESN TO SWWD.

CONFIDENCE ON THE OVERALL DETERMINISTIC FORECAST SCENARIO IS A BIT
ABOVE AVERAGE...THOUGH IT WANES EARLY NEXT WEEK DUE TO WSW LOW LVL
FLOW WAA BENEATH NW FLOW ALOFT.

&&

.AVIATION /21Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

AREAS OF RAIN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE CENTRAL DELMARVA OVER THE
NEXT HOUR. FOR TAF AREAS...ISO/SCT SHOWERS TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH THE
NORTHERN MID ATLANTIC TOWARD THE PHILLY METRO AREA THROUGH THE
EVENING.

OUTLOOK... HIGH PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO BUILD INTO OUR REGION FROM
THE NORTHWEST FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE HIGH WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
OFF THE COAST OVER THE WEEKEND. MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.MARINE...
A NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 TO 15 KNOTS IS ANTICIPATED FOR THIS
EVENING WITH WAVES ON OUR OCEAN WATERS AVERAGING AROUND 2 FEET.

A COLD FRONT FROM THE NORTH IS WILL PASS SOUTH ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS OF NEW JERSEY AND DELAWARE THROUGH THIS EVENING. IN THE
WAKE OF THE FRONT, THE WIND SHOULD BECOME NORTHERLY AND IT WILL
LIKELY INCREASE INTO THE 15 KNOT RANGE. FREQUENT GUSTS NEAR 20
KNOTS ARE ANTICIPATED WITH A FEW GUSTS AROUND 25 KNOTS POSSIBLE.
THE 25 KNOT GUSTS STILL DO NOT APPEAR AS THOUGH THEY WILL BE
WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO WARRANT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY AT THIS POINT.
WE MAY NEED TO REVISIT THAT DECISION IF THERE IS ANY CHANGE IN THE
NEXT SET OF MODEL GUIDANCE.

LARGE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL BUILD EASTWARD. AS IT DOES, WIND SPEEDS SHOULD DECREASE
GRADUALLY ON THURSDAY. THE CENTER OF THE HIGH IS EXPECTED TO PASS
OFF THE NORTHEAST COAST ON FRIDAY NIGHT AND IT SHOULD REMAIN OVER
THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC INTO THE EARLY PART OF THE NEW WEEK. AS A
RESULT, WIND SPEEDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW 15 KNOTS AND OCEAN
WAVES BELOW 4 FEET FOR FRIDAY AND FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

UPDATE...JACKSON

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
445 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

DEZ001>003-MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-013-015>023-027-
PAZ054-055-060>062-067>071-142045-
NEW CASTLE-KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-
NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
445 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...NORTHERN
DELAWARE...SOUTHERN DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW
JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND
SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-142045-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
445 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ004-NJZ014-024>026-142045-
DELAWARE BEACHES-EASTERN MONMOUTH-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
445 PM EDT WED JUL 13 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THE RIP CURRENT RISK IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO MODERATE ON
THURSDAY FOR THE DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY BEACHES.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

JACKSON