Alert archive / New Jersey / Coastal Flood Warnings in 2011

Coastal Flood Warning 1, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

March 10, 2011New Castle County, Delaware; Delaware County, Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania; 4 counties in New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this coastal flood warning at Mar 10, 2011, 3:02 PM EST for New Castle County, Delaware; Delaware County, Philadelphia County, Pennsylvania; 4 counties in New Jersey. It took effect at Mar 11, 2011, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 10, 2011, 3:02 PM EST (20:02 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 11, 2011, 1:00 AM EST
Expired
Mar 11, 2011, 8:00 AM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

Counties New Castle County, DE, Burlington County, NJ, Camden County, NJ, Gloucester County, NJ, Salem County, NJ, Delaware County, PA, Philadelphia County, PA

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 69 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 8.0 hours before the alert went out and 207 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-03-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 6 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2011-03-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 222 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
6 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1061 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
314 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

706 
WHUS41 KPHI 102002
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS FORECAST NEAR PHILADELPHIA AND
WILMINGTON LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...

.THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER
FLOWS AND AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS SET THE STAGE
FOR SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF UPPER DELAWARE
BAY AND THE ADJOINING PORTION OF THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-110415-
/O.UPG.KPHI.CF.A.0001.110311T0600Z-110311T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.W.0001.110311T0600Z-110311T1300Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST FRIDAY.
THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...A 2.5 TO 3.5 FOOT STORM SURGE NEAR THE TIME
  OF HIGH TIDE WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MINOR TO AREAS OF
  MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* PRELIMINARY MINOR EVENT POSSIBLE AT PHILADELPHIA NEAR 530 PM
  THIS EVENING WHERE THE STORM TIDE WILL BE NEAR THE 8.2 FOOT
  THRESHOLD. THE MUCH MORE IMPORTANT EVENT IS PROJECTED TO OCCUR
  EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...REEDY POINT DELAWARE HIGH TIDE IS 232 AM FRIDAY.
  PHILADELPHIA HIGH TIDE IS 530 AM FRIDAY. HIGH TIDE VARIES ABOUT
  AN HOUR EITHER SIDE OF THESE TIMES AT DISTANCES FROM THESE
  PARTICULAR GAGING STATIONS.

* FORECAST HIGHEST TIDE...PHILADELPHIA 9 TO 9.5 FEET MEAN LOWER
  LOW WATER. THE REEDY POINT THE HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 8 TO
  8.5 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. 

* CONFIDENCE...OCCURRENCE FOR MODERATE STAGE THRESHOLD IS MUCH ABOVE
  AVERAGE AT PHILADELPHIA AND A BIT ABOVE AVERAGE AT REEDY POINT.

* LESS THREATENING OPTION...IF THIS FORECAST ENDS UP SLIGHTLY LESS
  THAN THE MODERATE THRESHOLD IT WOULD BE ATTRIBUTABLE TO THE
  SOUTHEAST WIND LESSENING ENOUGH TO RELEASE THE SOME OF THE WATER
  PILING UP IN THE CLOSED UPPER PORTION OF THE WARNING AREA.
  HOWEVER... ITS PROBABLY MORE THAN THE WIND AND LOWERING PRESSURE
  CONTRIBUTING TO THE SURGE. IN THIS CASE...THE RUNOFF FROM
  ANTICIPATED DAILY RECORD RAINFALL ALONG THE DELAWARE RIVER HAS
  INCREASED STAGE FLOWS IN THIS BASIN.

* FORECAST HIGHEST TIDE...PHILADELPHIA 9 TO 9.5 FEET MEAN LOWER 
  LOW WATER. THE REEDY POINT THE HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 8 
  TO 8.5 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. THESE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR 
  LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. 

* SAMPLING OF IMPACTS...PHILADELPHIA AREA FLOODING NEAR THE BEN
  FRANKLIN BRIDGE ALONG DELAWARE AVENUE AT RACE STREET. BURLINGTON
  TOWNSHIP ALONG TANNERS RUN...FLOODING AT US ROUTE 130 BEVERLY
  ROAD AND DEVLIN AVENUE. IN DELANCO...FLOODING ON THE ACCESS ROAD
  TO RIVERSIDE BRIDGE. IN CAMDEN...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE
  ADMIRAL WILSON BLVD /US ROUTE 30/ AND BAIRD RIVER ASSOCIATED
  WITH COOPER RIVER OVERFLOWING. IN WESTVILLE OF GLOUCESTER
  COUNTY... FLOODING OCCURS ALONG TIMBER AVENUE EDGEWATER AVENUE
  AND NJ ROUTE 47 AS THE BIG TIMBER RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS. IN
  DELAWARE COUNTY...FLOODING OCCURS IN TINICUM TOWNSHIP BETWEEN
  PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND ESSINGTON. FOR THE REEDY
  POINT REFERENCE...FLOODING IN WILMINGTON DELAWARE OCCURS ALONG
  EAST 12TH STREET. IN SALEM COUNTY FLOODING OCCURS ALONG DELAWARE
  AVENUE IN PENNS GROVE AND IN CARNEYS POINT TOWNSHIP AMONG OTHER
  PLACES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

MDZ012-015-019-020-110415-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0006.110310T2300Z-110311T0500Z/
KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
302 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS STILL EXPECTED DURING
  THE EVENING HIGH TIDE BUT IT MAY ONLY MARGINALLY EXCEED THE
  MINOR COASTAL FLOOD STAGE THRESHOLD. TIDE DEPARTURES SHOULD BE
  ABOUT 2 TO 2.5 FEET.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE OCCURS ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY THIS EVENING 
  BETWEEN 700 PM ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAY TO 
  AROUND 1030 PM ACROSS THE UPPER PORTION OF THE BAY. 

* CONFIDENCE...ONLY AVERAGE FOR THE EVENT AND A PORTION OF THIS
  ADVISORY MAY BE CANCELLED IF SURGE DEPARTURES FAIL TO MEET THE
  REQUIREMENT TO FORCE A MINOR FLOOD EVENT. 

* IMPACTS...AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING WILL PROBABLY EXPERIENCE
  MINOR INUNDATION TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$


DRAG
6 follow-up statements
892 
WHUS41 KPHI 110117
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
817 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS FORECAST NEAR PHILADELPHIA AND
WILMINGTON LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...

.THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER
FLOWS AND AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS SET THE STAGE
FOR SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF UPPER DELAWARE
BAY AND THE ADJOINING PORTION OF THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-110600-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0001.110311T0600Z-110311T1300Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
817 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 8 AM EST
FRIDAY. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...A 2.5 TO 3.5 FOOT STORM SURGE NEAR THE TIME
  OF HIGH TIDE WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MINOR TO AREAS OF
  MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

* TIMING...REEDY POINT DELAWARE HIGH TIDE IS 232 AM FRIDAY. 
  PHILADELPHIA HIGH TIDE IS 530 AM FRIDAY. HIGH TIDE VARIES 
  ABOUT AN HOUR EITHER SIDE OF THESE TIMES AT DISTANCES FROM 
  THESE PARTICULAR GAGING STATIONS. 

* FORECAST HIGHEST TIDE...PHILADELPHIA 9 TO 9.5 FEET MEAN LOWER 
  LOW WATER. THE REEDY POINT THE HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 8 
  TO 8.5 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. 

* CONFIDENCE...OCCURRENCE FOR MODERATE STAGE THRESHOLD IS MUCH 
  ABOVE AVERAGE AT PHILADELPHIA AND A BIT ABOVE AVERAGE AT REEDY 
  POINT. 

* LESS THREATENING OPTION...IF THIS FORECAST ENDS UP SLIGHTLY 
  LESS THAN THE MODERATE THRESHOLD IT WOULD BE ATTRIBUTABLE TO 
  THE SOUTHEAST WIND LESSENING ENOUGH TO RELEASE THE SOME OF THE 
  WATER PILING UP IN THE CLOSED UPPER PORTION OF THE WARNING 
  AREA. HOWEVER... ITS PROBABLY MORE THAN THE WIND AND LOWERING 
  PRESSURE CONTRIBUTING TO THE SURGE. IN THIS CASE...THE RUNOFF 
  FROM ANTICIPATED DAILY RECORD RAINFALL ALONG THE DELAWARE 
  RIVER HAS INCREASED STAGE FLOWS IN THIS BASIN. 

* FORECAST HIGHEST TIDE...PHILADELPHIA 9 TO 9.5 FEET MEAN LOWER 
  LOW WATER. THE REEDY POINT THE HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 8 
  TO 8.5 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. THESE HIGH TIDES WILL OCCUR 
  LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING. 

* SAMPLING OF IMPACTS...PHILADELPHIA AREA FLOODING NEAR THE BEN 
  FRANKLIN BRIDGE ALONG DELAWARE AVENUE AT RACE STREET. 
  BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP ALONG TANNERS RUN...FLOODING AT US ROUTE 
  130 BEVERLY ROAD AND DEVLIN AVENUE. IN DELANCO...FLOODING ON 
  THE ACCESS ROAD TO RIVERSIDE BRIDGE. IN CAMDEN...FLOODING 
  OCCURS ALONG THE ADMIRAL WILSON BLVD /US ROUTE 30/ AND BAIRD 
  RIVER ASSOCIATED WITH COOPER RIVER OVERFLOWING. IN WESTVILLE 
  OF GLOUCESTER COUNTY... FLOODING OCCURS ALONG TIMBER AVENUE 
  EDGEWATER AVENUE AND NJ ROUTE 47 AS THE BIG TIMBER RIVER 
  OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS. IN DELAWARE COUNTY...FLOODING OCCURS IN 
  TINICUM TOWNSHIP BETWEEN PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT 
  AND ESSINGTON. FOR THE REEDY POINT REFERENCE...FLOODING IN 
  WILMINGTON DELAWARE OCCURS ALONG EAST 12TH STREET. IN SALEM 
  COUNTY FLOODING OCCURS ALONG DELAWARE AVENUE IN PENNS GROVE 
  AND IN CARNEYS POINT TOWNSHIP AMONG OTHER PLACES. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

MDZ012-015-019-020-110500-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110311T0500Z/
KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
817 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND WILL
  CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE AROUND 3
  FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT TOLCHESTER AND AROUND 2 FEET AT CAMBRIDGE.
  THE DEPARTURES WILL DECREASE ONCE A FRONT PASSES AND WINDS
  SWITCH AROUND TO WEST. 

* TIMING...UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING WILL PROBABLY EXPERIENCE 
  MINOR INUNDATION TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
230 
WHUS41 KPHI 110314
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1014 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS FORECAST NEAR PHILADELPHIA AND
WILMINGTON LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY...

.THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER
FLOWS AND AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS SET THE STAGE
FOR SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF UPPER DELAWARE
BAY AND THE ADJOINING PORTION OF THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-111115-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0001.110311T0600Z-110311T1300Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1014 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST
FRIDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST FRIDAY. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...A 2.5 TO 3.5 FOOT STORM SURGE NEAR THE TIME 
  OF HIGH TIDE WILL RESULT IN WIDESPREAD MINOR TO AREAS OF 
  MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 

* TIMING...REEDY POINT DELAWARE HIGH TIDE IS 232 AM FRIDAY. 
  PHILADELPHIA HIGH TIDE IS 530 AM FRIDAY. HIGH TIDE VARIES 
  ABOUT AN HOUR EITHER SIDE OF THESE TIMES AT DISTANCES FROM 
  THESE PARTICULAR GAGING STATIONS. 

* FORECAST HIGHEST TIDE...PHILADELPHIA 9 TO 9.5 FEET MEAN LOWER
  LOW WATER. THE REEDY POINT THE HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 8 TO
  8.5 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER.

* SAMPLING OF IMPACTS...PHILADELPHIA AREA FLOODING NEAR THE BEN 
  FRANKLIN BRIDGE ALONG DELAWARE AVENUE AT RACE STREET. 
  BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP ALONG TANNERS RUN...FLOODING AT US ROUTE 
  130 BEVERLY ROAD AND DEVLIN AVENUE. 

  IN DELANCO...FLOODING ON THE ACCESS ROAD TO RIVERSIDE BRIDGE. IN
  CAMDEN...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE ADMIRAL WILSON BLVD /US ROUTE
  30/ AND BAIRD RIVER ASSOCIATED WITH COOPER RIVER OVERFLOWING. 

  IN WESTVILLE OF GLOUCESTER COUNTY...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG TIMBER
  AVENUE EDGEWATER AVENUE AND NJ ROUTE 47 AS THE BIG TIMBER RIVER
  OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS. 

  IN DELAWARE COUNTY...FLOODING OCCURS IN TINICUM TOWNSHIP BETWEEN
  PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND ESSINGTON. 

  FOR THE REEDY POINT REFERENCE...FLOODING IN WILMINGTON DELAWARE
  OCCURS ALONG EAST 12TH STREET. IN SALEM COUNTY FLOODING OCCURS
  ALONG DELAWARE AVENUE IN PENNS GROVE AND IN CARNEYS POINT
  TOWNSHIP AMONG OTHER PLACES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

MDZ012-015-019-020-110500-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110311T0500Z/
KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
1014 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...MINOR TIDAL FLOODING IS OCCURRING AND WILL 
  CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. TIDAL DEPARTURES ARE AROUND 3 
  FEET ABOVE NORMAL AT TOLCHESTER AND AROUND 2 FEET AT 
  CAMBRIDGE. THE DEPARTURES WILL DECREASE ONCE A FRONT PASSES 
  AND WINDS SWITCH AROUND TO WEST. 

* TIMING...UNTIL MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...AREAS PRONE TO FLOODING WILL PROBABLY EXPERIENCE MINOR
  INUNDATION TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE. HIGH
  TIDE HEIGHTS COULD BRIEFLY TOUCH THE MODERATE TIDAL FLOOD
  BENCHMARK NEAR TOLCHESTER BEACH BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
288 
WHUS41 KPHI 110502
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1202 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS FORECAST NEAR PHILADELPHIA AND
WILMINGTON EARLY THIS MORNING...

.THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER
FLOWS AND AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS SET THE STAGE
FOR SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF UPPER DELAWARE
BAY AND THE ADJOINING PORTION OF THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER.

MDZ012-015-019-020-110615-
/O.EXP.KPHI.CF.Y.0006.000000T0000Z-110311T0500Z/
KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
1202 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY HAS EXPIRED...

THE COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

TIDES WILL SLOWLY RECEDE DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS.

$$

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-111300-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0001.110311T0600Z-110311T1300Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
1202 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...A 2.5 TO 3.5 FOOT STORM SURGE NEAR THE TIME
  OF HIGH TIDE WILL RESULT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING EARLY THIS
  MORNING.

* TIMING...REEDY POINT DELAWARE HIGH TIDE IS 232 AM FRIDAY. 
  PHILADELPHIA HIGH TIDE IS 530 AM FRIDAY. HIGH TIDE VARIES 
  ABOUT AN HOUR EITHER SIDE OF THESE TIMES AT DISTANCES FROM 
  THESE PARTICULAR GAGING STATIONS. 

* FORECAST HIGHEST TIDE...PHILADELPHIA 9 TO 9.5 FEET MEAN LOWER 
  LOW WATER. THE REEDY POINT THE HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 8 
  TO 8.5 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. 

* SAMPLING OF IMPACTS...PHILADELPHIA AREA FLOODING NEAR THE BEN 
  FRANKLIN BRIDGE ALONG DELAWARE AVENUE AT RACE STREET. 
  BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP ALONG TANNERS RUN...FLOODING AT US ROUTE 
  130 BEVERLY ROAD AND DEVLIN AVENUE. 

  IN DELANCO...FLOODING ON THE ACCESS ROAD TO RIVERSIDE BRIDGE.
  IN CAMDEN...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE ADMIRAL WILSON BLVD /US
  ROUTE 30/ AND BAIRD RIVER ASSOCIATED WITH COOPER RIVER
  OVERFLOWING.

  IN WESTVILLE OF GLOUCESTER COUNTY...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG
  TIMBER AVENUE EDGEWATER AVENUE AND NJ ROUTE 47 AS THE BIG TIMBER
  RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.

  IN DELAWARE COUNTY...FLOODING OCCURS IN TINICUM TOWNSHIP
  BETWEEN PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND ESSINGTON.

  FOR THE REEDY POINT REFERENCE...FLOODING IN WILMINGTON DELAWARE
  OCCURS ALONG EAST 12TH STREET. IN SALEM COUNTY FLOODING OCCURS
  ALONG DELAWARE AVENUE IN PENNS GROVE AND IN CARNEYS POINT
  TOWNSHIP AMONG OTHER PLACES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$
090 
WHUS41 KPHI 110631
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
131 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS FORECAST NEAR PHILADELPHIA AND
WILMINGTON EARLY THIS MORNING...

.THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW COMBINED WITH ABOVE NORMAL RIVER
FLOWS AND AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM HAS SET THE STAGE
FOR SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF UPPER DELAWARE
BAY AND THE ADJOINING PORTION OF THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-111300-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110311T1300Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
131 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...A 2.5 TO 4.0 FOOT STORM SURGE NEAR THE TIME
  OF HIGH TIDE WILL RESULT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING EARLY THIS
  MORNING.

* TIMING...REEDY POINT DELAWARE HIGH TIDE IS 232 AM FRIDAY. 
  PHILADELPHIA HIGH TIDE IS 530 AM FRIDAY. HIGH TIDE VARIES 
  ABOUT AN HOUR EITHER SIDE OF THESE TIMES AT DISTANCES FROM 
  THESE PARTICULAR GAGING STATIONS. 

* FORECAST HIGHEST TIDE...PHILADELPHIA 9 TO 9.5 FEET MEAN LOWER 
  LOW WATER. THE REEDY POINT THE HIGH TIDE IS EXPECTED TO BE 8 
  TO 8.5 FEET MEAN LOWER LOW WATER. 

* SAMPLING OF IMPACTS...PHILADELPHIA AREA FLOODING NEAR THE BEN 
  FRANKLIN BRIDGE ALONG DELAWARE AVENUE AT RACE STREET. 
  BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP ALONG TANNERS RUN...FLOODING AT US ROUTE 
  130 BEVERLY ROAD AND DEVLIN AVENUE. 

* IN DELANCO...FLOODING ON THE ACCESS ROAD TO RIVERSIDE BRIDGE.
  IN CAMDEN...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE ADMIRAL WILSON BLVD /US
  ROUTE 30/ AND BAIRD RIVER ASSOCIATED WITH COOPER RIVER
  OVERFLOWING.

* IN WESTVILLE OF GLOUCESTER COUNTY...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG TIMBER
  AVENUE EDGEWATER AVENUE AND NJ ROUTE 47 AS THE BIG TIMBER RIVER
  OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS.

* IN DELAWARE COUNTY...FLOODING OCCURS IN TINICUM TOWNSHIP  
  BETWEEN PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND ESSINGTON.

* FOR THE REEDY POINT REFERENCE...FLOODING IN WILMINGTON DELAWARE
  OCCURS ALONG EAST 12TH STREET. IN SALEM COUNTY FLOODING OCCURS ALONG
  DELAWARE AVENUE IN PENNS GROVE AND IN CARNEYS POINT TOWNSHIP
  AMONG OTHER PLACES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$
241 
WHUS41 KPHI 110825
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
325 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS FORECAST NEAR PHILADELPHIA AND
WILMINGTON EARLY THIS MORNING...

.THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW HAS SET THE STAGE FOR SIGNIFICANT
COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND THE
ADJOINING PORTION OF THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER EARLY THIS MORNING.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-111300-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110311T1300Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
325 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EST THIS
MORNING. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...A 2.5 TO 4.0 FOOT STORM SURGE NEAR THE TIME 
  OF HIGH TIDE WILL RESULT MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING EARLY THIS 
  MORNING. 

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE HAS ALREADY OCCURRED AT REEDY POINT DELAWARE.
  PHILADELPHIA HIGH TIDE IS 530 AM. HIGH TIDE VARIES ABOUT AN
  HOUR EITHER SIDE OF THESE TIMES AT DISTANCES FROM THESE
  PARTICULAR GAGING STATIONS.

* FORECAST HIGHEST TIDE...PHILADELPHIA 9 TO 9.5 FEET MEAN LOWER
  LOW WATER. 

* SAMPLING OF IMPACTS...PHILADELPHIA AREA FLOODING NEAR THE BEN 
  FRANKLIN BRIDGE ALONG DELAWARE AVENUE AT RACE STREET. 
  BURLINGTON TOWNSHIP ALONG TANNERS RUN...FLOODING AT US ROUTE 
  130 BEVERLY ROAD AND DEVLIN AVENUE. 

* IN DELANCO...FLOODING ON THE ACCESS ROAD TO RIVERSIDE BRIDGE. 
  IN CAMDEN...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG THE ADMIRAL WILSON BLVD /US 
  ROUTE 30/ AND BAIRD RIVER ASSOCIATED WITH COOPER RIVER 
  OVERFLOWING. 

* IN WESTVILLE OF GLOUCESTER COUNTY...FLOODING OCCURS ALONG 
  TIMBER AVENUE EDGEWATER AVENUE AND NJ ROUTE 47 AS THE BIG 
  TIMBER RIVER OVERFLOWS ITS BANKS. 

* IN DELAWARE COUNTY...FLOODING OCCURS IN TINICUM TOWNSHIP BETWEEN
  PHILADELPHIA INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT AND ESSINGTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD BE ALERT
FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY.

&&

$$

MDZ012-015-019-020-111630-
/O.NEW.KPHI.CF.Y.0007.110311T1200Z-110311T1700Z/
KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
325 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
NOON EST TODAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO
NOON EST TODAY. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...A STORM SURGE OF 2.0 TO 2.5 FEET MAY RESULT
  IN MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ACROSS THE EASTERN SHORE OF CHESAPEAKE
  BAY DURING THE MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 730 AM AND 1130 AM...FROM
  SOUTH TO NORTH. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT CAMBRIDGE AT 804 AM AND HIGH
  TIDE OCCURS AT TOLCHESTER BEACH AT 1104 AM.

* IMPACTS...LOCATIONS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING MAY EXPERIENCE MINOR
  TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS MORNING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$
969 
WHUS41 KPHI 111314
CFWPHI

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
814 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...MODERATE COASTAL FLOODING IS FORECAST NEAR PHILADELPHIA AND
WILMINGTON EARLY THIS MORNING...

.THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW HAS SET THE STAGE FOR SIGNIFICANT
COASTAL FLOODING ALONG PORTIONS OF UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND THE
ADJOINING PORTION OF THE LOWER DELAWARE RIVER EARLY THIS MORNING.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-111415-
/O.EXP.KPHI.CF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-110311T1300Z/
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
814 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING HAS EXPIRED...

THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

HIGH TIDE AT PHILADELPHIA WAS 8.93 FEET ABOVE MLLW AT 4:24 AM EST
THIS MORNING. HIGH TIDE AT REEDY POINT DE WAS 7.7 FEET ABOVE MLLW
AT 2:00 AM EST. THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD NOT POSE
A FLOOD THREAT.

$$

MDZ012-015-019-020-111700-
/O.CON.KPHI.CF.Y.0007.000000T0000Z-110311T1700Z/
KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
814 AM EST FRI MAR 11 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TODAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...A STORM SURGE OF 2.0 TO 2.5 FEET MAY RESULT 
  IN MINOR TIDAL FLOODING ACROSS THE EASTERN SHORE OF CHESAPEAKE 
  BAY DURING THE MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE. 

* TIMING...HIGH TIDE OCCURS BETWEEN 730 AM AND 1130 AM...FROM 
  SOUTH TO NORTH. HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT CAMBRIDGE AT 804 AM AND 
  HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT TOLCHESTER BEACH AT 1104 AM. 

* IMPACTS...LOCATIONS PRONE TO TIDAL FLOODING MAY EXPERIENCE 
  MINOR TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE THIS 
  MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY INDICATES THAT ONSHORE WINDS AND TIDES
WILL COMBINE TO GENERATE FLOODING OF LOW AREAS ALONG THE SHORE.

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood warning went out at Mar 10, 1:15 PM EST, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 1:15 PM EST, 1 hour 47 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
115 PM EST THU MAR 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
LOW PRESSURE NEAR DETROIT EARLY THIS MORNING WILL MOVE SLOWLY
NORTHEAST AND DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA LATER TONIGHT.
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL CROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
AN ALBERTA LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IS THEN FORECAST TO PASS JUST
NORTH OF OUR REGION AND DRAG ANOTHER COLD FRONT ACROSS SATURDAY
NIGHT. A HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL THEN BUILD IN FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
HEAVIER PRECIPITATION, MAINLY IN THE FORM OF RAIN NOW, IS FALLING
ACROSS THE ADVISORY AREAS THUS ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO
ABOVE FREEZING. THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED
WITH THE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN. THERE COULD STILL BE A FEW VERY
LOCALIZED POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN FALLING IN THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS, BUT THESE POCKETS WILL BE SCOURED OUT OVER THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO. OTHERWISE, WE ARE GOING TO BE IN FOR A VERY WET PERIOD
AS MOISTURE PUMPS NORTH AHEAD OF THE APPROACHING FRONT. NO REASON
TO CHANGE THE FLOOD WATCH AT THIS TIME. IT WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT
UNTIL 8 AM FRIDAY MORNING. MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE INTO
OUR AREA TODAY. THE HEAVIEST IS FORECAST TO OCCUR EARLY TONIGHT AS
THE FRONTAL ZONE MOVES IN. AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO CAN NOT
BE RULED OUT, ESPECIALLY IN OUR SOUTHERN AREAS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WILL BE WIDESPREAD, WITH UP TO 4 INCHES POSSIBLE,
ESPECIALLY FROM THE I-95 CORRIDOR N AND W. THESE AMOUNTS WILL
PRODUCE MINOR TO MAJOR FLOODING ON THE MAJORITY OF OUR WATERWAYS.
THIS WILL BE A WIDESPREAD FLOOD EVENT AND IT IS POSSIBLE THAT SOME
RIVERS AND STREAMS COULD APPROACH RECORD LEVELS. ANYONE LIVING IN
OR NEAR A FLOOD PRONE AREA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT TODAY INTO FRIDAY
FOR THE POSSIBILITY OF VERY HIGH WATER. EVEN THE MAJOR RIVERS IN
OUR AREA WILL NOT BE SPARED, ESPECIALLY SINCE WATER LEVELS ARE
STILL RUNNING HIGH FROM OUR LAST EPISODE.

THE RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF LATER TONIGHT AND SHOULD END IN
MOST SECTIONS BY DAYBREAK FRIDAY. BUT THE FLOODING WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY AND INTO THE WEEKEND ON SOME OF OUR SLOWER
REACTING RIVERS AND STREAMS.

WITH EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH AND GUSTY TODAY, HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE LOWER 40S NORTH TO NEAR 60 SOUTH.
TEMPERATURES WILL NOT BE ABLE TO DROP MUCH TONIGHT SINCE THE FRONT
WON'T CROSS THE REGION UNTIL WELL AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS WILL BE
MAINLY IN THE 40S.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW THE FRONT LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY.
THE AIR WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY MILD FRIDAY, WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S AND 50S. WITH PARTIAL CLEARING FRIDAY NIGHT, LOWS WILL
DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S AND 30S. AN UPPER AIR LOW TO OUR NORTH
WILL BRING AN ALBERTA CLIPPER TYPE LOW IN FROM THE UPPER MIDWEST.
THIS LOW WILL, MORE THAN LIKELY, MOVE ACROSS TO OUR NORTH, BUT
WILL DRAG A COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT. THERE
WILL BE VERY LIMITED MOISTURE AVAILABLE WITH THE FRONT, SO ONLY
A FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE IN OUR NORTHERN AREAS.
SATURDAY WILL STILL BE IN ON THE MILD SIDE, WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S TO UPPER 50S. LOWS SATURDAY NIGHT WILL BE MAINLY IN THE
30S.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THE ACTIVE PATTERN LOOKS TO CONTINUE, HOWEVER IN GENERAL THE FLOW
REGIME IS RATHER PROGRESSIVE FOR AWHILE. THE GUIDANCE IS IN FAIRLY
GOOD AGREEMENT TO START OUT BUT THERE ARE STILL SOME DIFFERENCES
FARTHER OUT IN TIME REGARDING A POTENTIAL SYSTEM UNDER A RIDGE IN
THE PLAINS THAT NEARS THE EAST COAST AROUND TUESDAY. THE FLATTER
FLOW INITIALLY ALLOWS SYSTEMS TO ZIP ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF
STATES, HOWEVER THEREAFTER PERHAPS SOME AMPLIFICATION AND SLOWING
MAY TRY TO TAKE PLACE. HPC FAVORED MORE OF THE GFS AND ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEAN. WE INITIALIZED THE DATABASE WITH A 50/50 BLEND OF
CONTINUITY AND HPC GUIDANCE BUT THEN MADE SOME TWEAKS AFTER
ADDITIONAL COLLABORATION.

BASED ON THE ABOVE, A SHARP UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH FROM THE SHORT TERM
LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY ALTHOUGH SOME
TROUGHING STILL REMAINS FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE NORTHEAST. A
CYCLONIC FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM ALONG WITH A SECONDARY
TROUGH AXIS MAY ALLOW FOR SOME LAKE ENHANCED PRECIPITATION. SOME OF
THIS MAY REACH THE FAR NORTHWEST ZONES THEREFORE WILL JUST CARRY A
SLIGHT CHC POP SATURDAY NIGHT. THE SECONDARY TROUGH AXIS MAY TOSS A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA BY SUNDAY MORNING. A COOLER NORTHWEST
FLOW MAY ALLOW FOR A RAIN/SNOW SHOWER TO GET INTO THE FAR NORTHWEST
ZONES THEREFORE A SLIGHT CHC POP WAS CARRIED IN THE DATABASE SUNDAY.
ON SUNDAY IT MAY TURN INTO A BREEZY TO WINDY DAY BEFORE THE GRADIENT
RELAXES. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER EASTERN CANADA IS THEN FORECAST
TO BUILD SOUTHWARD MONDAY BEFORE SLIDING EASTWARD THROUGH TUESDAY.
THIS IS ESPECIALLY WHERE SOME DIFFERENCES COME INTO PLAY AMONG THE
GUIDANCE. A POTENTIAL TROUGH SLIDING UNDERNEATH A RIDGE MAY ALLOW A
SURFACE LOW TO TRACK FROM THE CENTRAL PLAINS LATE SUNDAY AND MONDAY
TO THE MID ATLANTIC TUESDAY. AS OF NOW, A LARGE SURFACE HIGH TO THE
NORTH MAY TEND TO KEEP THIS SYSTEM SOUTHWARD. IT APPEARS THE MODEL
GUIDANCE IS HAVING SOME DIFFICULTY REGARDING THE HANDLING OF THE
SOUTHERN/NORTHERN STREAMS AND THE POSITION OF THE LARGE SURFACE
HIGH. THE GFS FOR EXAMPLE WENT MUCH FARTHER SOUTH AND DAMPENS THIS
SYSTEM OUT WITH AN EASTWARD EXTENT, WHILE THE ECMWF IS FARTHER NORTH
AND MORE AMPLIFIED. FOR NOW GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY THIS FAR OUT, WE
LEANED TOWARD CONTINUITY/HPC AND KEPT POPS UNDER SLIGHT CHC FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS MAY HAVE TO BE REVISITED IF BETTER
AGREEMENT IN THE MODELS BECOMES APPARENT FOR A SYSTEM FARTHER NORTH
AND STRONGER.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG,
KILG, KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

REST OF TODAY...CONDS MVFR VARIABLE IFR IN SHOWERS VARYING INTENSITY
FROM LIGHT TO HEAVY. GUSTY ESE WINDS RANGING FROM NEAR 20 KNOTS VCNTY
KRDG KABE TO BETWEEN 22 AND 32 KNOTS ELSEWHERE. INCREASING LLWS
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON BETWEEN 500 AND 2000 FT.

TONIGHT...IFR VARIABLE LIFR BAND OF INTENSE SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED
THUNDER IS EXPECTED ALONG WITH LLWS OF 55 TO 65 KTS AS SFC PRES
FALLS AHEAD OF LOW PRES MOVING NNE INTO CENTRAL PA SWEEPS ITS COOL
FRONT EAST AND CONCENTRATES RAIN IN A 3-6 HR WIDE BAND AHD OF THE
FRONT. WE MAY NEED TO ADD CB TO THE FCST FOR FOR SOME OF THE TAF
SITES...ESPECIALLY KPHL S AND E IN THE 23Z-04Z TIME FRAME.
SURFACE GUSTS IN THE PHL/ILG SEWD SHOULD BRIEFLY REACH 35 KNOTS.

AFTER 05Z...HEAVY SHOWERS AND LLWS TRANSLATE SLOWLY NEWD OF OUR
TAF SITES AND ABATE BY 09Z LEAVING IFR OR LIFR IN FOG/STRATUS AND
VIRTUALLY NO WIND BY 10Z FRIDAY.

OUTLOOK...
FRIDAY...IFR CONDITIONS IMPROVE TO VFR CIGS BETWEEN 14Z AND 16Z.
SW WIND GUSTS 15 TO 20 KNOTS MIDDAY.

FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE (WITH
A BRIEF PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS POSSIBLE AT KRDG AND KABE) AHEAD
WHAT SHOULD BE A DRY COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE LATE SATURDAY NIGHT OR
SUNDAY MORNING. SW GUSTS DURING THE MIDDAY HOURS SATURDAY TO 25
KNOTS.

SUNDAY...BEHIND THE FRONT...VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD CONTINUE...WITH
WIND GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS FROM THE WEST AND NORTHWEST..

&&

.MARINE...
GALE CONTINUED.

SO FAR THIS MORNING SINCE 7 AM EDT CHES LIGHT AND SHIP JOHN SHOAL
HAD ISOLATED GUSTS 34-35KTS AND CAPE MAY 37 KT WHICH SEEMS TO BE
LINKED WELL TO THE BL WIND FCST OF THE RECENT NAM CYCLES.

NO CHANGE IN THE 10 AM FORECAST PHILOSOPHY EXCEPT TO INCREASE GUSTS
5 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON ALONG THE COAST PER OBSERVED DATA 12Z-15Z.

BEST CHANCE OF FREQUENT GALE FORCE GUSTS WOULD BE THE LATE AFTERNOON
THROUGH 0600 UTC FRIDAY (DURING THE TIME OF BEST MIXING UNDER THE
LOW INVERSION AND GRADIENT).

CONVECTIVE BURST IN DELAWARE AROUND 7 PM MAY CONTRIBUTE TO HIGHER
GUSTS THIS EVENING. SO FAR NOTHING ERUPTING IN S CENTRAL VA SINCE
THE EARLIER LIGHTING IN SW VA LATE THIS MORNING. 1251PM SWOMCD
SUGGESTS THE POTENTIAL TO OUR SW SO WE CONTINUE THE RISK OF THIS
DYING IN OUR SOUTHERN WATERS PER MORE STABLE BOUNDARY LAYER.

AFTER 0600 UTC...THE GRADIENT STARTS TO BACK OFF A BIT AHEAD OF
THE COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT).

PERSISTENT AND INCREASING FETCH MAY RESULT IN SEAS AS HIGH AS 12
FEET ACROSS THE SOUTHERN OCEAN WATERS THIS EVENING. SEAS SHOULD
INCREASE TO 5 FEET OR GREATER ACROSS THE LOWER DELAWARE BAY...AS
THE EAST SOUTHEAST GRADIENT BRINGS THE SWELL INTO THIS LOCATION AS
WELL.

WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT...WIND WILL BECOME SOUTHWEST AND DROP
OFF CONSIDERABLY FOR A TIME FRIDAY MORNING (PERHAPS EVEN BELOW SMALL
CRAFT LEVELS). THIS MAY TEND TO INCREASE AGAIN AS THE GRADIENT TRIES
TO TIGHTEN IN THE AFTERNOON. EVEN IF WINDS DO NOT GET BACK TO SMALL
CRAFT LEVELS FRIDAY...SEAS WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE 5 FEET ON THE
OCEAN WATERS THROUGHOUT THE DAY...AS THE SWELL SLOWLY SORTS ITSELF
OUT.

THE GRADIENT SHOULD INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE
NEXT COLD FRONT. GUSTS SHOULD GET INTO THE SMALL CRAFT RANGE DURING
FRIDAY NIGHT AND LAST INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. SEAS MAY HAVE A HARD TIME
GETTING BELOW 5 FEET ON THE OCEAN BEFORE INCREASING AGAIN IN THE
SOUTHWEST FETCH AHEAD OF THE FRONT.

THE PASSAGE OF THE DRY COLD FRONT SHOULD OCCUR EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.
BEHIND THE FRONT...THE GRADIENT AND MIXING IN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
SHOULD SUPPORT SMALL CRAFT WIND GUSTS...ESPECIALLY ON THE OCEAN
WATERS...FOR MUCH OF SUNDAY. AFTER THE PASSAGE OF THE FRONT...STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS EASTERN CANADA AND RIDGE DOWN THE
COAST...BRINGING SUB ADVISORY CONDITIONS FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO QPF THIS MORNING. MAINLY GOING WITH 2.00 TO 3.00
INCHES ACROSS THE REGION, WITH LOCALLY UP TO 4 INCHES MAINLY FROM THE
I-95 CORRIDOR N AND W. WITH THESE FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS, WE'RE
LOOKING AT A SIGNIFICANT FLOOD EVENT, NOT ONLY FROM HIGH WATER BUT
ALSO FROM THE LARGE AREAL EXTENT OF THE EVENT.

IN PENNSYLVANIA....

LEHIGH BASIN - CAUTION STAGE TO MINOR FLOODING
SCHUYLKILL RIVER BASIN - MINOR FLOODING
SOUTHEAST PA BASINS - MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING
DELAWARE RIVER BASIN - MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING
CARBON/MONROE COUNTY BASINS - MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING

IN NEW JERSEY...

PASSAIC BASIN - MODERATE TO MAJOR FLOODING WITH SOME RECORDS POSSIBLE
RARITAN BASIN - MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING WITH SOME MAJOR FLOODING
ASSUNPINK BASIN - MINOR TO MODERATE FLOODING
RANCOCAS BASIN - MINOR FLOODING

CREEKS AND RIVERS ARE FORECAST TO CLIMB ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TONIGHT AND
SATURDAY. CRESTS WILL OCCUR SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. IN SOME CASES
ACROSS THE PASSAIC, FORECAST POINTS WILL REMAIN IN FLOOD THROUGH THE
NEXT RISE AND NOT FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE UNTIL NEXT WEEK.

IF YOU LIVE OR WORK IN A FLOODPLAIN WHERE FLOODING COULD OCCUR,
PLEASE USE THE EARLY PART OF TODAY TO FINISH ANY LAST MINUTE
PREPARATIONS.

VISIT OUR ADVANCED HYDROLOGIC PREDICTION SERVICE (AHPS) WEBSITE FOR
THE LATEST RIVER FORECASTS (IN LOWERCASE)...

HTTP:/WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=PHI

FOR INUNDATION MAPPING ALONG PORTIONS OF THE DELAWARE RIVER...

HTTP:/WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS/INUNDATION.PHP

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
PROBABLY WILL CONVERT THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH TO A WARNING AT 215
PM PENDING FURTHER DATA FROM REEDY POINT AND PHILLY. ODDS FOR
REACHING MODERATE THRESHOLD ARE IN MY OPINION ABOUT 75 PERCENT AT
PHL AND 60M PERCENT AT REEDY POINT. I JUST NEED A LITTLE MORE TIME
TO BE MORE CONFIDENT. ITS NOT A LOCK SHUT CASE FOR MODERATE.

PHILADELPHIA HAD A HIGHER DEPARTURE EARLY THIS MORNING COMPARED TO
REEDY POINT WITH THE STORM TIDE EXCEEDING THE THE MINOR FLOOD
THRESHOLD BY LESS THAN AN INCH 8.22 VS THE FS OF 8.20. REEDY POINT
WAS HALF A FOOT UNDER FS. THIS IS POSSIBLY DUE TO THE NARROWER
CHANNELING AND EASIER FILLING OF THE BASIN NEAR PHL AND ALSO THE
HIGHER THAN NORMAL FLOW OF THE DELAWARE RIVER.

THAT SAID...THIS PLACES PHL IN A PRETTY GOOD POSITION TO REACH
MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD THRESHOLD TOMORROW MORNING.

REEDY POINT IS ON TRACK TO SQUEAK JUST UNDER FS AT 230 PM AND MAY
NEED TO SHORT FUSE A STATEMENT THERE AT 145 PM PENDING FURTHER
DEPARTURE TRENDS.

THE OVERALL SCENARIO FOR COASTAL FLOODING HAS NOT CHANGED FOR THE
HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. THE GREATEST
THREAT REMAINS ON THE UPPER DELAWARE BAY AND THE DELAWARE
RIVER...WHERE FUNNELING OF GALE FORCE WIND GUSTS COULD PRODUCE
MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING DURING THE EARLY MORNING HIGH TIDE CYCLE.

LOCAL GUIDANCE AND THE MDL STORM SURGE GUIDANCE BOTH SUGGEST TIDE
HEIGHTS APPROACHING MODERATE TIDAL FLOODING AS HIGH TIDE APPROACHES.
HIGH TIDE OCCURS AT REEDY POINT AROUND 230 AM FRIDAY...AND THE HIGH
TIDE OCCURS AT PHILADELPHIA CLOSER TO 530 AM FRIDAY.

CHESAPEAKE BAY...GREATEST IMPACT OF THE PERSISTENT GUSTY ESE FLOW
IS ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE BAY AND TO OUR KNOWLEDGE NO FLOODING
OCCURRED THIS MORNING ON THE MD E SHORE. FORECASTS ARE RUNNING TO
HIGH SO FAR ON CBOFS AND SO FOR NOW...I THINK ODDS STRONGLY FAVOR
ONLY ADVY CRITERIA THIS EVENING AS IS ALREADY POSTED IN OUR PRODUCT.

THE HIGH TIDE CYCLE LATE THIS EVENING COULD PRODUCE A BETTER CHANCE
AT MINOR TIDAL FLOODING. BASED ON THE CHESAPEAKE BAY FORECASTING
SYSTEM OUTPUT...BOTH CAMBRIDGE AND TOLCHESTER WOULD EXCEED MINOR
TIDAL FLOODING BENCHMARK NUMBERS DURING THIS TIDE CYCLE. HIGH TIDE
THIS EVENING OCCURS BETWEEN 730 PM AND 1100 PM...FROM SOUTH TO
NORTH.

&&

.CLIMATE...
ANOTHER ROBUST SURGE OF MOISTURE FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL INUNDATE
OUR REGION ONCE AGAIN AND MAY PROVIDE SOME AREAS WITH RECORD OR
NEAR RECORD RAINFALL. IT APPEARS THAT WE WILL HAVE A GREAT CHANCE AT
BREAKING SOME ONE-DAY RAINFALL RECORDS ACROSS SOME OF OUR 8 CLIMATE
SITES. THESE RECORDS ARE FOR MARCH 10 & 11.

MARCH 10 RAINFALL RECORDS:            ALL-TIME 1-DAY MARCH RECORDS:

PHL ->  1.43 (1994)                   PHL -> 2.79 (3/15/1912)
ABE ->  1.25 (1994)                   ABE -> 2.99 (3/11/1952)
ILG ->  1.50 (1902)                   ILG -> 3.21 (3/21/2000)
RDG ->  1.70 (1994)                   RDG -> 3.03 (3/20/1958)
TTN ->  1.40 (1994)                   TTN -> 3.62 (3/25/1876)
ACY ->  1.25 (1994)                   ACY -> 2.69 (3/10/2010)

MARCH 11 RAINFALL RECORDS:

PHL -> 1.69 (1952)
ABE -> 2.99 (1952)
ILG -> 1.43 (1952)
RDG -> 1.30 (1952)
TTN -> 2.19 (1901)
ACY -> 1.10 (1924)

SO FAR TODAY...AS OF 1250 PM.

IT APPEARS OUR REAL TIME DATA IS A CLOSE TO FIT TO THE RADAR OHP
AND STP INFORMATION.

SINCE MIDNIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING PARAGRAPH
WALNUTPORT IN NORTHAMPTON COUNTY PA 1.69
COLUMBIA IN WARREN COUNTY NJ 1.50
MANY REPORTS 1.0 TO 1.42 SO FAR FROM NEWARK DEL NORTHWARD THRU E PA
INTO EXTREME NW NJ... THE HEAVIEST NEAR THE POCONOS AND KITTATINNY
RIDGES.

EVENT STORM TOTALS AS OF 1 PM FOR CLIMATE SITES
ABE 1.00
ILG 0.90
RDG 0.87
PHL 0.50
TTN 0.35

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-
     067>071.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR PAZ070-071.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR NJZ001-007>010-012>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR NJZ016>019.
DE...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR DEZ001>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING
     FOR DEZ001.
MD...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR MDZ008-012-015-019-020.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO MIDNIGHT EST
     TONIGHT FOR MDZ012-015-019-020.
MARINE...GALE WARNING UNTIL 3 AM EST FRIDAY FOR ANZ430-431-450>455.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RPW
NEAR TERM...NIERENBERG/RPW
SHORT TERM...RPW
LONG TERM...GORSE
AVIATION...DRAG 115P
MARINE...DRAG 115P
HYDROLOGY...
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...115P
CLIMATE...HEAVENER/DRAG 115P
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 6:43 AM EST, 8 hours 19 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
643 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

NJZ001-PAZ054-055-111145-
SUSSEX-CARBON-MONROE-
643 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ002>004-MDZ008-NJZ007>010-012>015-020>027-PAZ060>062-067>069-
111145-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-CECIL-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-
SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-OCEAN-
CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-LEHIGH-
NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
643 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW
JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-PAZ070-071-111145-
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
643 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-431-450>455-111145-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
643 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 3 AM EST
FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   GALE WARNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ012-015-019-020-111145-
KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
643 AM EST THU MAR 10 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 10, 7:28 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIKent, New Castle, Sussex6 hr
Mar 10, 10:33 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningPHINew Castle4 hr
Mar 10, 1:17 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHINew Castle5 hr
Mar 10, 4:36 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningPHINew Castle37 hr
Mar 10, 5:17 PM ESTWind AdvisoryPHIKent, New Castle, Sussex5 hr
Mar 10, 2:10 AM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryPHIDelaware, Philadelphia5 hr
Mar 10, 4:55 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningPHIChester17 hr
Mar 10, 3:20 AM ESTGale WarningPHI22 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2011Coastal Flood Warnings in Pennsylvania, 2011Coastal Flood Warnings in Delaware, 2011Every coastal flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.