Alert archive / New Jersey / Areal Flood Warnings in 2011

Areal Flood Warning 25, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

May 18, 2011Morris County, New Jersey

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued this areal flood warning at May 18, 2011, 8:29 PM EDT for Morris County, New Jersey. It was in force for 4 days. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 18, 2011, 8:29 PM EDT (00:29 UTC)
Expired
May 23, 2011, 7:48 AM EDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Morris County, NJ

The radar

The Philadelphia radar (KDIX), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:30 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 122 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2011-05-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 470 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 2011-05-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 202 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
470 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-12 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
436 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
202 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
196 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.3
Supercell composite
3.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

958 
WGUS41 KPHI 190029
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
829 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

NJC027-190830-
/O.NEW.KPHI.FA.W.0025.110519T0029Z-110519T0830Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
829 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IN...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 430 AM EDT THURSDAY

* AT 826 PM EDT THE EAST DITCH AT BEAVER BROOK ROAD WAS ABOVE FLOOD 
STAGE AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE OVERNIGHT.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

ROBERTSON
17 follow-up statements
597 
WGUS41 KPHI 190659
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
259 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2011

NJC027-191430-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110519T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
259 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IN...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1030 AM EDT

* AT 255 AM EDT...THE EAST DITCH OF THE BEAVER BROOK ROAD WAS AT 
3.01 FEET. FLOOD STAGE IS 2.50 FEET. THE EAST DITCH OF THE BEAVER 
BROOK ROAD APPEARS TO BE CRESTING EARLY THIS MORNING...AND WILL 
BEGIN FALLING LATER THIS MORNING.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

HAYES
718 
WGUS41 KPHI 191420
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1020 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2011

NJC027-192030-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110519T2030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
1020 AM EDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IN...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 430 PM EDT THURSDAY

* AT 1016 AM EDT...THE BEAVER BROOK GAGE AT EAST DITCH REMAINED 
ABOVE FLOOD STAGE, ALTHOUGH IT HAD CRESTED. THE RYERSON GAGE AND THE 
MIDWOOD GAGE ON THE POMPTON RIVER ALSO REMAINED ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. 
WATER LEVELS AT THESE TWO GAGES AREN'T EXPECTED TO CREST UNTIL 
TONIGHT AT THE EARLIEST.

ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

KRUZDLO
963 
WGUS41 KPHI 191847
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
247 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2011

NJC027-200430-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110520T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
247 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IN...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1230 AM EDT

* AT 246 PM EDT...THE RYERSON AND THE MIDWOOD GAGES ON THE POMPTON 
RIVER REMAINED ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. WATER LEVELS AT THESE TWO GAGES 
AREN'T EXPECTED TO CREST UNTIL TONIGHT AT THE EARLIEST.

ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

KRUZDLO
724 
WGUS41 KPHI 192227
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
627 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2011

NJC027-201030-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110520T1030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
627 PM EDT THU MAY 19 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IN...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 630 AM EDT FRIDAY

* AT 626 PM EDT...THE RYERSON AND MIDWOOD GAGES ON THE POMPTON RIVER 
AND THE TWO BRIDGES GAGE ON THE PASSAIC RIVER ALL REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD 
STAGE. WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE TONIGHT.

ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

ROBERTSON
130 
WGUS41 KPHI 200925
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
525 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011

NJC027-202230-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110520T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
525 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IN...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT FRIDAY

* AT 522 AM EDT...THE RYERSON ROAD AND MIDWOOD GAGES ON THE POMPTON 
  RIVER WERE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. THE RIVER AT THESE TWO LOCATIONS ARE 
  CRESTING. THE TWO BRIDGES GAGE ON THE PASSAIC RIVER REMAINS ABOVE 
  FLOOD STAGE AS WELL...AND CONTINUES TO RISE.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

HAYES
594 
WGUS81 KPHI 201502
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1102 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011

NJC027-202230-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110520T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
1102 AM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 630 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR
SMALL STREAMS IN NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY...

AT 1059 AM EDT...THE RYERSON ROAD AND MIDWOOD GAGES ON THE POMPTON   
RIVER REMAINED ABOVE FLOOD STAGE, ALTHOUGH THE WATER LEVELS AT THESE 
TWO LOCATIONS CRESTED AND WERE FALLING. THE TWO BRIDGES AND LINCOLN 
PARK GAGES ON THE PASSAIC RIVER WERE ALSO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AS WELL 
AND WERE RISING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

KRUZDLO
159 
WGUS41 KPHI 201900
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
300 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011

NJC027-210630-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110521T0630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
300 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR SMALL STREAMS IN...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 230 AM EDT SATURDAY

* AT 258 PM EDT...THE RYERSON ROAD AND MIDWOOD GAGES ON THE POMPTON 
RIVER REMAINED ABOVE FLOOD STAGE, ALTHOUGH THE WATER LEVELS AT THESE 
TWO LOCATIONS CRESTED EARLIER AND WERE FALLING. THE TWO BRIDGES AND 
LINCOLN PARK GAGES ON THE PASSAIC RIVER WERE ALSO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE 
AND WERE STILL RISING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

KRUZDLO
184 
WGUS41 KPHI 210148
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
948 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011

NJC027-211630-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110521T1630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
948 PM EDT FRI MAY 20 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1230 PM EDT SATURDAY

* AT 945 PM EDT FRIDAY...THE RYERSON ROAD AND MIDWOOD GAGES ON THE 
POMPTON RIVER REMAINED ABOVE FLOOD STAGE, ALTHOUGH THE WATER LEVELS 
AT THESE TWO LOCATIONS WERE FALLING. THE TWO BRIDGES AND LINCOLN 
PARK GAGES ON THE PASSAIC RIVER WERE ALSO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE, AND 
THEY WERE CRESTING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE 
DANGERS OF FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE 
WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW 
YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

MPD
769 
WGUS81 KPHI 210756
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
356 AM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011

NJC027-211630-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110521T1630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
356 AM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY...

* AT 354 AM EDT...THE RYERSON ROAD AND MIDWOOD GAGES ON THE POMPTON 
RIVER REMAINED ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...BUT WATER LEVELS WERE FALLING. 
THE LINCOLN PARK AND TWO BRIDGES GAGES ON THE PASSAIC RIVER ALSO 
REMAINED ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND BOTH WERE CRESTING.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. MOVE UP TO
HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO
FLOODING WHEN WATER BEGINS RISING.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

HAYES
236 
WGUS81 KPHI 211504
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1104 AM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011

NJC027-211630-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110521T1630Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
1104 AM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1230 PM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY...

AT 1055 AM EDT...THE GAUGE AT RYERSON ROAD ON THE POMPTON RIVER 
INDICATED THAT THE FLOODING HAS CEASED. THE WATER LEVEL FURTHER 
SOUTH AT MIDWOOD REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WITH A SLOW FALL. ON THE 
PASSAIC RIVER LINCOLN PARK AND TWO BRIDGES BOTH REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD 
STAGE ALTHOUGH BOTH GAUGES HAVE CRESTED. A SLOW FALL IN WATER LEVELS 
IS EXPECTED.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

HEAVENER
268 
WGUS41 KPHI 211517
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1117 AM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011

NJC027-220430-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110522T0430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
1117 AM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1230 AM EDT SUNDAY

* AT 1114 AM EDT...THE GAUGE AT RYERSON ROAD ON THE POMPTON RIVER 
INDICATED THAT THE WATER LEVELS DROPPED BELOW FLOOD STAGE AND 
THEREFORE THE FLOODING HAS CEASED. THE WATER LEVEL FURTHER SOUTH AT 
MIDWOOD REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE WITH A CONTINUED FALL. ON THE 
PASSAIC RIVER LINCOLN PARK AND TWO BRIDGES BOTH REMAIN ABOVE FLOOD 
STAGE ALTHOUGH BOTH GAUGES HAVE CRESTED. A SLOW FALL IN WATER LEVELS 
IS EXPECTED.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

HEAVENER
088 
WGUS41 KPHI 220045
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
845 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011

NJC027-221430-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110522T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
845 PM EDT SAT MAY 21 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1030 AM EDT SUNDAY

* AT 840 PM EDT FLOODING WAS STILL OCCURRING ON THE POMPTON RIVER    
  AT MIDWOOD AS WELL AS ON THE PASSAIC RIVER BETWEEN PINE BROOK      
  AND TWO BRIDGES. THE RIVERS HAVE BOTH CRESTED AND A SLOW FALL 
  IN WATER LEVELS WILL CONTINUE.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING. ALL INTERESTED 
PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. DO NOT DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES. 

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$
 
TFG
891 
WGUS81 KPHI 220730
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
330 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

NJC027-221430-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110522T1430Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
330 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1030 AM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY...

AT 328 AM EDT...THE MIDWOOD GAGE ON THE POMPTON RIVER REMAINS ABOVE 
FLOOD STAGE...AND THE RIVER LEVEL CONTINUES TO FALL SLOWLY. THE TWO 
BRIDGES GAGE ON THE PASSAIC RIVER ALSO REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD 
STAGE...AND THE RIVER LEVEL CONTINUES TO FALL THERE AS WELL.

THE LINCOLN PARK GAGE ON THE PASSAIC RIVER HAS FALLEN BELOW FLOOD 
STAGE...AND THE RIVER LEVEL WILL CONTINUE TO FALL.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

HAYES
946 
WGUS41 KPHI 221412
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1012 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

NJC027-230230-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110523T0230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
1012 AM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 1030 PM EDT SUNDAY

* AT 1010 AM EDT THE GAUGE AT TWO BRIDGES ON THE PASSAIC RIVER STILL 
REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE AND CONTINUES TO SHOW A SLOW FALL. 
FLOODING IS STILL OCCURRING BETWEEN PINE BROOK AND TWO BRIDGES.

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

HEAVENER
356 
WGUS41 KPHI 222256
FLWPHI

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
656 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

NJC027-231230-
/O.EXT.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110523T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
656 PM EDT SUN MAY 22 2011

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY IN NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 830 AM EDT MONDAY

* AT 651 PM EDT THE GAGE AT TWO BRIDGES ON THE PASSAIC RIVER        
  REMAINS ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. WHILE MOST OF THE FLOODING HAS ENDED, 
  SOME STREET FLOODING WAS OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN LINCOLN
  PARK. TWO BRIDGES ROAD IS OPEN. THE PASSAIC RIVER AT TWO
  BRIDGES SHOULD FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE MONDAY MORNING.
 
 
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING. BE CAUTIOUS AT 
NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE DANGERS OF FLOODING. DO NOT 
DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. 
THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. 
DO NOT DRIVE AROUND BARRICADES.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$
 
TFG
206 
WGUS81 KPHI 230758
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
358 AM EDT MON MAY 23 2011

NJC027-231230-
/O.CON.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110523T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
358 AM EDT MON MAY 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 830 AM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN MORRIS COUNTY...

AT 357 AM EDT...THE GAGE AT TWO BRIDGES ON THE PASSAIC RIVER WAS 
STILL JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE...AND THE RIVER WAS SLOWLY FALLING. 
WHILE MOST OF THE FLOODING HAS ENDED...SOME STREET FLOODING WAS 
OCCURRING IN SOUTHERN LINCOLN  PARK. TWO BRIDGES ROAD IS OPEN.  

THE RIVER IS EXPECTED TO FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE LATER THIS MORNING. 

A FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR HAS BEEN REPORTED.
STREAM RISES WILL BE SLOW AND FLASH FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED.
HOWEVER...ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD TAKE NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS
IMMEDIATELY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

HAYES
834 
WGUS81 KPHI 231148
FLSPHI

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
748 AM EDT MON MAY 23 2011

NJC027-231153-
/O.CAN.KPHI.FA.W.0025.000000T0000Z-110523T1230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORRIS NJ-
748 AM EDT MON MAY 23 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR NORTHEASTERN MORRIS
COUNTY...

TWO BRIDGES ON THE PASSAIC RIVER HAS FINALLY DROPPED BELOW FLOOD 
STAGE.

LAT...LON 4090 7433 4088 7433 4089 7437 4097 7436
      4099 7429 4097 7427 4092 7428 4091 7427
      4089 7427

$$

HEAVENER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at May 18, 7:45 PM EDT, 44 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 18, 7:45 PM EDT, 44 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
745 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER WEST VIRGINIA WILL MEANDER OVER THE
OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT BEFORE TRACKING EASTWARD AND REACHING THE
DELMARVA AREA BY THURSDAY NIGHT. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE OFF THE
EAST COAST BY SATURDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING/...
AN UPPER AIR ANALYSIS PLACED A VORTICITY LOBE OVER THE DELMARVA
WHICH IS TRACKING NORTHWARD AROUND THE CLOSED LOW. THE ASSOCIATED
ENHANCED ASCENT WITH THIS IS AIDING IN RAPID SHOWER DEVELOPMENT
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN ZONES EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS
ACTIVITY IS MOVING THOUGH, THEREFORE ADJUSTED THE POPS TO REFLECT
THIS BEFORE LESS COVERAGE ARRIVES FROM THE SOUTH. THE HEAVIER
CELLS THAT DEVELOPED OVER BUCKS AND MONTGOMERY COUNTIES ARE ON
THE EASTERN EDGE OF THE INSTABILITY GRADIENT /SBCAPE/. THIS
ACTIVITY MAY NOT BECOME DEEP ENOUGH TO GENERATE LIGHTNING, HOWEVER
WE WILL CONTINUE WITH THE ISOLATED THUNDER MENTION GIVEN SOME
LINGERING INSTABILITY. THE HOURLY GRIDS WERE TWEAKED BASED OFF THE
23Z OBSERVATIONS AND LAMP/LAV GUIDANCE. THE OVERNIGHT LOWS WERE
MOSTLY A GFS/NAM MOS BLEND. THE SHOWER ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO
PRODUCE LOCAL DOWNPOURS FOR AWHILE TONIGHT. SOME CLEARING HAS
WORKED INTO THE DELMARVA ZONES THEREFORE THE SKY COVER WAS
ADJUSTED SOME. THE MAIN CONVECTIVE FOCUS APPEARS TO REMAIN
SOUTHWEST OF OUR AREA WHERE BETTER INSTABILITY IS NOW LOCATED.

OUR SURVEY TEAM HAS CONFIRMED THAT AN EF-0 TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN
EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON IN NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA. DETAILS CAN BE
FOUND IN THE PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT /PNS/ PRODUCT.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
THE PATTERN REMAIN MUCH THE SAME IN THE SHORT TERM. THE UPPER LOW
WILL APPROACH FROM THE WEST THU AND THEN MEANDER OVER OUR AREA FRI
INTO SAT. THE LOW WILL BRING OCCASIONAL SHOWERS AND AFTERNOON
AND/OR EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THU AND FRI. HEAVY
RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE DEEP MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA. THE
OVERALL RAINFALL TOTALS WILL PROBABLY BE LESS ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY THAN THAT WHICH OCCURRED TODAY. SLOW IMPROVEMENT BY SATURDAY
WITH CHCS OF PRECIPITATION BACK IN THE SLGT CHC RANGE.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
ON SATURDAY NIGHT, THE MID LEVEL LOW THAT HAS BEEN INFLUENCING OUR
WEATHER FOR THE PAST FEW DAYS SHOULD BE WELL OFF THE MIDDLE ATLANTIC
COAST. A MID AND UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS FORECAST TO EXTEND FROM THE
EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO UP TO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES AT THAT TIME.
THE LOW SHOULD MOVE FARTHER OUT TO SEA. MEANWHILE, THE RIDGE IS
FORECAST TO PROGRESS EASTWARD AND ITS AXIS IS EXPECTED TO PASS
OVERHEAD ON SUNDAY OR SUNDAY NIGHT. THE RIDGE SHOULD CONTINUE TO
INFLUENCE OUR REGION INTO THE NEW WEEK AS A LONG WAVE TROUGH MOVES
TO THE MIDDLE PART OF THE COUNTRY BY MID WEEK.

AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE IS ANTICIPATED TO BUILD DOWN AND INTO
OUR REGION FROM THE NORTHEAST ON SUNDAY. THE HIGH SHOULD DRIFT OUT
OVER THE WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC WHERE IT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
INFLUENCING OUR REGION. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY FROM THE NORTHWEST IS
FORECAST TO DROP INTO OUR REGION FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

WITH NO STRONG WEATHER SYSTEMS EXPECTED IN THE LONG TERM PERIOD OF
THE FORECAST, WE WILL CONFINE ANY POPS MAINLY TO THE SLIGHT CHANCE
CATEGORY. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE OUR NORTHERN COUNTIES WHERE WE
WILL CARRY CHANCE POPS FOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY SETTLES INTO OUR REGION.

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FROM SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

UNSETTLED WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD AS
LOW PRESSURE IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE MEANDERS OVER THE UPPER OHIO
RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT AND AS IT BEGINS TO DRIFT EASTWARD ON THURSDAY.
AN EAST TO SOUTH LOW LEVEL FLOW OFF THE OCEAN WILL CONTINUE TO DRAW
MOISTURE INTO OUR REGION. SURFACE WIND SPEEDS SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY
IN THE 10 KNOT OR LESS RANGE.

IT REMAINS A VERY LOW CONFIDENCE FORECAST.

IT APPEARS AS THOUGH SOME CLEARING WILL CONTINUE TO WORK ITS WAY UP
FROM THE SOUTH AND OVER KMIV, KILG, KPHL, KPNE AND KACY DURING THE
EVENING. THE CLEARING MAY NOT REACH KTTN, KABE AND KRDG. HOWEVER,
WITH PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AVAILABLE, CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO
REDEVELOP OVER OUR REGION LATE TONIGHT. FOR NOW, WE HAVE INDICATED
MAINLY MVFR CEILING AND VISIBILITY VALUES FOR KPNE, KPHL, KILG, KMIV
AND KACY WITH A TEMPO GROUP FOR IFR AROUND DAYBREAK. WE HAVE GONE
WITH LOWER CEILING AND VISIBILITY VALUES FOR KRDG, KABE AND KTTN
THAN AT THE OTHER FIVE TAF SITES.

THE SHOWER ACTIVITY MAY DIMINISH A BIT FOR TONIGHT BEFORE
REDEVELOPING ON THURSDAY. THE LATEST COMPUTER MODEL GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT KRDG, KABE AND KTTN HAVE A BETTER CHANCE OF RECEIVING
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS ON THURSDAY THAN OUR OTHER FIVE TAF SITES.

WE WILL INDICATE IMPROVING CEILING AND VISIBILITY VALUES DURING THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS ON THURSDAY AS THE STRONG MAY SUNLIGHT PENETRATES
THE CLOUD DECK AND CAUSES IT TO LIFT AND BREAK A BIT.

OUTLOOK...
WE ARE EXPECTING SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS FROM THURSDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY NIGHT. AS THE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM FINALLY BEGINS TO DRIFT OUT TO SEA OVER THE WEEKEND, WEATHER
CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY IMPROVE IN OUR REGION.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA CONTINUED AS POSTED AT 330AM...MAINLY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS.

PERSISTENT EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE OCEAN CONTINUES SEAS IN THE
4 TO 7 FOOT RANGE ON THE OCEAN AND 2 TO 5 FEET ON DELAWARE BAY.

12Z/18 GFS WW GUIDANCE SEEMS A BIT HIGH AND TRIMMED IT SLIGHTLY.

SOME WIND GUSTS AROUND 22 KNOTS ARE FORECAST AT TIMES ON THE OCEAN
INTO EARLY TONIGHT. AS THE LOW DRIFTS THROUGH THE MARINE AREA LATER
THIS WEEK...THE EASTERLY FLOW WILL DECREASE AND CONDITIONS WILL
GRADUALLY IMPROVE...BUT EVEN MORE SO OVER THIS COMING WEEKEND.

FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND...NO HEADLINES ANTICIPATED.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
THE PLUME OF DEEPER MOISTURE WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS /MAINLY THIS EVENING/ AND BANDS
OF HEAVIER SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA OVERNIGHT.
MORE SHOWERS WILL BE AROUND THURSDAY. TOTAL RAINFALL FROM THE
SYSTEM SHOULD REACH 1 TO 3 INCHES ON AVERAGE ACROSS THE AREA. THE
POTENTIAL FOR FLOODING REMAINS ACROSS THE CWA, THEREFORE THE FLOOD
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NOW.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
TIDAL FCST FROM 4AM PACKAGE WITH BASICALLY NO CHANGE.

REEDY PT MIDDAY TIDE CAME IN AROUND 6.94 AT 1236 PM .. 0.2 FT BELOW
FS.

OTRW ASTRONOMICAL TIDES ARE RUNNING HIGH DUE TO THE FULL MOON
CAUSING SPRING TIDES, AND THE PERSISTENT ONSHORE FLOW WAS PILING
MORE WATER ONTO THE SHORES AND UP THE BAYS. THE CONTINUING ONSHORE
FLOW WAS PRODUCING POSITIVE TIDAL ANOMALIES AROUND ONE FOOT...IN
SOME CASES A LITTLE OVER AND IN OTHERS A LITTLE UNDER A FOOT. THIS
TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT.

THE NEXT HIGH TIDE THIS EVENING/EARLY OVERNIGHT PROBABLY WILL REACH
MINOR LEVELS AGAIN...AS TIDES AND ANOMALIES WILL BE SIMILAR. SO...A
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED FOR THESE AREAS AT THIS TIME.

A CF STATEMENT WILL BE INCLUDED FOR PORTIONS OF UPPER CHES BAY MD
EASTERN SHORE WHERE CURRENT ANOMALY TRENDS INDICATE A MARGINAL
EXCEEDENCE OF THE MINOR CF THRESHOLD...TOLCHESTER LESS THAN
CAMBRIDGE. THIS MAY NEED AN EXPANSION AND/OR UPGRADE TO A CF
ADVISORY IN LATER FORECASTS BUT SEEMS TO BE SOME UNCERTAINTY WHETHER
WE WILL EXCEED AT CAMBRIDGE AND TOLCHESTER THURSDAY MORNING.

ASTRONOMICAL TIDES WILL REMAIN HIGH THEREAFTER BUT CONDITIONS SHOULD
GRADUALLY IMPROVE FOR LATER IN THE WEEK AS THE TIDAL CYCLES REDUCE
FROM THE LARGER ASTRO DEPARTURES OF THE 17TH AND 18TH.  WE MAY NEED
ONE MORE CFADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF AREA THU NIGHT BUT THAT OPTION
CAN BE REVIEWED OVERNIGHT.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-
     067>071.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EDT
     THURSDAY FOR PAZ070-071.
NJ...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NJZ001-007>010-012>015-
     017>019.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR NJZ012>014-
     020>027.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EDT
     THURSDAY FOR NJZ016>019.
DE...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR DEZ001.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 1 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR DEZ002>004.
     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM EDT
     THURSDAY FOR DEZ001.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY FOR ANZ450>455.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY FOR ANZ431.

&&

SYNOPSIS...O'HARA
NEAR TERM...GORSE
SHORT TERM...O'HARA
LONG TERM...IOVINO
AVIATION...IOVINO
MARINE...DRAG
HYDROLOGY...GORSE/O'HARA
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...DRAG
Hazardous weather outlook, May 18, 6:35 PM EDT, 1 hour 54 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
635 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

NJZ001-007>010-015-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-192245-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MERCER-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
635 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN
NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL
PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-NJZ020>027-192245-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-
CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
635 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ017>019-PAZ070-071-192245-
NEW CASTLE-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
635 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-192245-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-
635 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ016-192245-
SALEM-
635 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 AM
EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ012>014-192245-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-
635 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT THURSDAY...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NEW JERSEY AND
NORTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLOOD WATCH.
   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ450>455-192245-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
635 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EDT FRIDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-192245-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
635 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ431-192245-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
635 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT THURSDAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 18, 2:29 PM EDT, 6 hours before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
229 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

MDZ012-015-019-181930-
KENT MD-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-TALBOT MD-
229 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF
KENT...QUEEN ANNE'S AND TALBOT COUNTIES...

AT 226 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES SOUTHWEST OF EASTON...MOVING NORTH AT 35
MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR ST. MICHAELS...TILGHMAN ISLAND
AROUND 240 PM...TALBOT...COPPERVILLE AROUND 245 PM...GRASONVILLE...
QUEENSTOWN AROUND 300 PM...STEVENSVILLE...CHESTER...STEVENSVILLE
SOUTH AROUND 305 PM AND OVERTON AROUND 310 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. DO NOT SEEK
SHELTER UNDER TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A
THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3873 7625 3868 7634 3887 7625 3882 7621
      3883 7620 3894 7624 3890 7625 3890 7626
      3892 7627 3893 7628 3891 7632 3884 7638
      3886 7639 3905 7631 3900 7618 3916 7628
      3924 7617 3861 7610

FORECASTER: GORSE
Local storm report, May 18, 2:40 PM EDT, 5 hours 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
240 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA  40.09N  75.02W
05/18/2011                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL BUILDINGS DAMAGED IN NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100133

MEOLA
Local storm report, May 18, 4:51 PM EDT, 3 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
451 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     TSTM WND DMG     NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA  40.09N  75.02W
05/18/2011                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SEVERAL BUILDINGS DAMAGED IN NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA

0230 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     2 SSE OXFORD            38.66N  76.16W
05/18/2011                   TALBOT             MD   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            A FUNNEL CLOUD WAS SPOTTED NEAR ISLAND CREEK FROM
            ACROSS THE CHOPTANK RIVER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100133 PHI1100134

MEOLA
Local storm report, May 18, 5:05 PM EDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
505 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     TORNADO          NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA  40.09N  75.02W
05/18/2011                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            CONFIRMED EF-0 IN NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA NEAR
            INTERSECTION OF NORTHEAST AVENUE AND RED LION RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100135

ROBERTSON
Local storm report, May 18, 5:08 PM EDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
508 PM EDT WED MAY 18 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     TORNADO          NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA  40.09N  75.02W
05/18/2011                   PHILADELPHIA       PA   NWS EMPLOYEE

            CONFIRMED EF-0 IN NORTHEAST PHILADELPHIA NEAR
            INTERSECTION OF NORTHEAST AVENUE AND RED LION RD.

&&

CORRECTED EVENT TIME

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100135

ROBERTSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 3:35 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningPHIEssex, Morris, Passaic4 days
May 19, 10:26 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningPHIEssex, Passaic65 hr
May 19, 10:28 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningPHIPassaic11 hr
May 19, 2:19 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICamden, Cumberland, Gloucester, Salem56 min
May 19, 2:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIWarren56 min
May 19, 3:01 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHICamden, Gloucester, Salem3 hr
May 19, 3:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIHunterdon67 min
May 19, 3:34 PM EDTSmall Craft Advisory for Hazardous SeasPHI12 hr
May 19, 3:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIWarren53 min
May 19, 3:40 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryPHIHunterdon, Warren5 hr
May 19, 3:52 PM EDTCoastal Flood StatementPHIAtlantic, Burlington, Camden, Cape May, Cumberland, Gloucester and 4 more8 hr
May 19, 4:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICamden, Gloucester58 min
May 19, 4:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIBurlington, Camden, Gloucester54 min
May 19, 4:20 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren55 min
May 19, 4:31 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIHunterdon59 min
May 19, 4:39 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningPHIHunterdon, Warren4 hr
May 19, 5:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIHunterdon, Morris, Somerset, Sussex, Warren50 min
May 19, 5:21 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIBurlington54 min
May 19, 5:43 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningPHI62 min
May 19, 5:58 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHISussex47 min
May 19, 6:08 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHICumberland, Salem52 min
May 19, 7:34 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPHIAtlantic, Camden, Cumberland, Gloucester56 min
May 19, 7:50 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementPHIBurlington, Camden55 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in New Jersey, 2011Every areal flood warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.