Areal Flood Warning 102, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1113 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
STUBBORN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SIT OVER
THE OHIO VALLEY THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. MORE ENERGY FROM THE
PACIFIC NORTHWEST WILL KICK THE UPPER LEVEL TO THE EAST AS IT DRAGS
A COLD FRONT THROUGH LATER ON THURSDAY AND OUT TO SEA BY FRIDAY. A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH DURING THE DAY FRIDAY
WITH CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE FILING IN BEHIND FOR THE WEEKEND.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
RADAR INDICATING WIDELY SCAT SHOWERS MOST AREAS AND A MORE
CONCENTRATED AREA MOVING NWRD ACROSS THE DELMARVA. POPS/QPF UPPED
ACROSS THE DELMARVA TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 AM THURSDAY/...
TONIGHT MIGHT BE THE BEST CHC FOR HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE WATCH AREA AS A WEAK SFC LOW AND DIFFLUENT THICKNESS MOVE TO
THE DEL VALLEY.

IT COULD CLEAR OUT ALOFT TOWARD DAWN THURSDAY BUT THAT WOULD INCREASE
PATCHY DENSE FOG POTENTIAL LATE THIS COMING NIGHT.

BLENDED MODEL GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS/DEWPOINTS/WINDS WITH ANOTHER HUMID
NIGHT IN STORE FOR US BUT PROBABLY THE LAST FOR QUITE A WHILE.

GUIDANCE HAS BEEN UNDERFCSTG THE DEWPOINTS THE PAST DAY OR SO.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
LONG WAVE TROUGH OVER THE OHIO VALLEY ASSOCIATED WITH LOLLY-GAGGING
MID-LEVEL LOW WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO OPEN UP ON THURSDAY AS ANOTHER
PIECE OF MID-LEVEL ENERGY EJECTS INTO ITS BASE. THIS THEN STARTS TO
PUSH THE OPEN WAVE TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST AT A FASTER CLIP THUS
ALLOWING THE CURRENT STATIONARY FRONT TO OUR WEST TO BEGIN TO MOVE
EAST AS A COLD FRONT. THERE IS A LOT OF VORTICITY ASSOCIATED WITH
THE PASSAGE OF THE MID-LEVEL LOW AND COLD FRONT SO AIR PARCEL
ASCENSION WILL NOT BE AN ISSUE FOR THURSDAY. DEEP VERTICAL SHEAR
WILL BE PRIME FOR AN ENHANCED UPDRAFT ROTATION AND UNDER THE MOIST
SOUTHERLY FLOW DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN IN THE MID 60S.

THE MAIN QUESTION IS CAN WE BREAK OUT ENOUGH FOR THE EARLY AFTERNOON
HOURS TO SEE AN INCREASE IN SURFACE BASED CAPE. AS OF NOW IT LOOKS
AS THOUGH THE FRONT WILL BE BARRELING THROUGH BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS
AND THERE COULD BE MODEST CLEARING. IT DOES NOT LOOK TO BE A
WIDESPREAD EVENT ON THURSDAY BUT ALL SEVERE CONVECTIVE INDICES
POINT TO A RATHER ACTIVE AFTERNOON/EVENING WITH GUSTY WINDS AND
HEAVY RAIN.

WITH THIS FRONT THROUGH THE REGION BY FRIDAY MORNING ANOTHER, WEAKER
AND DRIER, COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP THROUGH ON FRIDAY. THIS IS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MID-LEVEL CLOSED LOW THAT KICKED ITS PREDECESSOR
TO THE EAST. STILL HAVE A CHANCE TO SEE SOME SHOWERS, MAINLY ACROSS
OUR NORTHERN ZONES, WITH THE STRONGER MID-LEVEL ENERGY SHEARING
ACROSS THOSE PARTS OF THE CWA. WITH A COLD POOL ALOFT AND STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION TAKING PLACE ON SATURDAY WE COULD STILL SEE A
RESIDUAL SHOWER ACROSS THE NORTH WHILE EVERYWHERE SHOULD BE DRY.

DRYING TREND CONTINUES FROM SUNDAY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
LONG TERM PERIOD AS HIGH PRESSURE NOSES IN FROM THE WEST.
TEMPERATURES WILL FEEL MUCH LIKE FALL OVER THE WEEKEND AS A STIFF
NORTHWEST WINDS KICKS IN COOLER AND DRIER CANADIAN AIR.

&&

.AVIATION /15Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

IFR/MVFR AT MOST SITES PRESENTLY...WITH CURRENT TAFS INDICATING
SLOW IMPROVEMENT LATER TODAY. LOW CONFID IN THIS SO AMDS WILL BE
FREQUENT TODAY.

TONIGHT...MVFR OR IFR CIGS. BRIEF LIFR IN SCT HEAVY SHOWERS WITH
ISO TSTMS.  LIGHT SE WIND.

OUTLOOK...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE AND SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE FIRST HALF OF THURSDAY BEFORE A STRONG COLD FRONT SWINGS
THROUGH LATER IN THE DAY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
ON THURSDAY AS THE FRONT LIFTS THROUGH. A SECONDARY FRONT WILL
SWEEP THROUGH ON FRIDAY GIVING WAY TO BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE WEEKEND. THERE COULD STILL BE MVFR CIGS AND VSBY WITH THE
STORMS ON THURSDAY AND POSSIBLY ON FRIDAY WILL ANY REMAINING LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AS
WINDS SHIFT TOWARDS THE NORTHWEST AND BRING IN DRIER AIR.

&&

.MARINE...
TODAY AND TONIGHT...NO HEADLINE.

WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA THROUGH
TONIGHT. SEAS WILL REMAIN AT 3 OR 4 FEET ON THE OCEAN, WHICH IS
WHAT WAVEWATCH CONTINUES TO FORECAST. THERE MAY BE SOME STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY OVER DELAWARE BAY AND OVER THE SOUTHERN OCEAN
WATERS THIS AFTN OR EVENING.

OUTLOOK...
UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE WILL FINALLY DEPART THE OHIO VALLEY AND
MOVE TOWARDS THE EAST ON THURSDAY. A TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP
THROUGH ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND WE WILL SEE HEAVY SHOWERS WITH
POSSIBLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. A
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL PUSH BY ON FRIDAY WITH AGAIN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS INTO SATURDAY. WINDS WILL THEN SWING AROUND TO THE NORTHWEST
AND UNDER A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASE AND BECOME GUSTY. SEAS
SHOULD BUILD TO AROUND 5 FEET BY LATE SATURDAY NIGHT. SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY ONCE HIGH
PRESSURE ESTABLISHES ITSELF OVER OUR REGION.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
A FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR ERN PA AND PARTS OF NRN NJ. IT
MAY BE EXPANDED ACROSS MORE OF NJ SHORTLY. A PNS STATEMENT WILL BE
ISSUED SHORTLY WITH UPDATED RAINFALL TOTALS. FLS/FFW WILL BE ISSUED
TODAY...SO STAY IN TOUCH WITH THE RECENT GAGE LEVELS VIA THE AHAPS
LINK ON OUR WEBPAGE. (WEATHER.GOV/PHI)

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
MINOR TIDAL FLOODING HAS OCCURRED ALONG THE OCEAN FRONT. THE TIDE
HAS PASSED AND THE ADVISORY HAS BEEN TAKEN DOWN. TIDES ARE
RUNNING HIGHER THAN NORMAL DUE TO THE FACT THAT THE MOON'S PERIGEE
AND THE DATE OF THE NEW MOON ARE SEPARATED BY LESS THAN A DAY
(PERIGEAN SPRING TIDES). A STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE TIDAL
DELAWARE RIVER...WHERE LEVELS WILL BE CLOSE TO MINOR TIDAL FLOODING
THIS AFTERNOON.

&&

.RIP CURRENTS...
FAIRLY LONG PERIOD 9-10 SECONDS 3 FT SE SWELLS EXPECTED THROUGH
THE DAY TODAY WITH A SE WIND OF ABOUT 10 KT. THIS WITH THE CONTINUED
INFLUENCE OF THE NEW MOON...A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WAS
FORECAST FOR WEDNESDAY. ITS MARGINAL MDT-LOW IN DE BUT ISSUED MDT
FOR ALL.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR PAZ054-055-060>062-
     067>071.
NJ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR NJZ001-007.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...HEAVENER
NEAR TERM...PO
SHORT TERM...DRAG
LONG TERM...HEAVENER
AVIATION...PO/DRAG/HEAVENER
MARINE...DRAG/HEAVENER
HYDROLOGY...PO
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...PO
RIP CURRENTS...DRAG

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
351 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

MDZ008-012-015-019-020-NJZ008>010-015-290800-
CECIL-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-CAROLINE-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MERCER-
351 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

NJZ001-007-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-290800-
SUSSEX-WARREN-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
351 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...EAST
CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA AND SOUTHEAST
PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ002>004-NJZ012>014-020>027-290800-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-
EASTERN MONMOUTH-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-
ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-
SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-
351 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 11 AM EDT THIS
MORNING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...CENTRAL NEW JERSEY...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHERN
NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THURSDAY AND FRIDAYS HIGH TIDE
CYCLES.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

DEZ001-NJZ016>019-290800-
NEW CASTLE-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
351 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE AND
SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THURSDAY AND FRIDAYS HIGH
TIDE CYCLES.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PAZ070-071-290800-
DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
351 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

COASTAL FLOODING IS POSSIBLE DURING THURSDAY AND FRIDAYS HIGH
TIDE CYCLES.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

ANZ430-431-450>455-290800-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
351 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
914 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 AM     FLOOD            CLINTON                 40.64N  74.91W
09/28/2011                   HUNTERDON          NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING ALONG MANY SMALL STREAMS THROUGHOUT THE
            COUNTY.

0700 AM     FLOOD            GLEN GARDNER            40.70N  74.94W
09/28/2011                   HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC

            FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS.

0815 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BRANCHVILLE             41.15N  74.75W
09/28/2011                   SUSSEX             NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUICK RISES IN CREEKS AND STREAMS NEAR BRANCHVILLE.

0830 AM     FLOOD            LEBANON TWP             40.73N  74.90W
09/28/2011                   HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING ALONG HOFFMANS CROSSING ROAD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100747 PHI1100748 PHI1100750 PHI1100749

KEK/MWG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
917 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

NJZ001-281415-
SUSSEX NJ-
917 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

...HEAVY SHOWERS AND A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT SUSSEX
COUNTY NEW JERSEY THROUGH 10:15 AM...

AT 915 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER
OF HEAVY SHOWERS CONTINUING OVER EASTERN SUSSEX COUNTY NEW
JERSEY...AND A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHEAST OF NEWTON. THE
ACTIVITY WAS MOVING NORTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE
NEAR NEWTON AROUND 920 AM...OGDENSBURG AROUND 940 AM...FRANKLIN
AROUND 955 AM...BRANCHVILLE AROUND 1000 AM AND HAMBURG AROUND 1010
AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER
TO POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR FROM ANY OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS.

LAT...LON 4124 7444 4121 7440 4107 7451 4095 7465
      4096 7476 4133 7477

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1005 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

DEZ002-MDZ020-281445-
CAROLINE MD-KENT DE-
1005 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

...A CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CAROLINE AND KENT
COUNTIES THROUGH 10:45 AM...

AT 1005 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A CLUSTER
OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 19 MILES EAST OF EASTON...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR GREENSBORO
AROUND 1010 AM...HARRINGTON AROUND 1015 AM...GOLDSBORO AROUND 1020
AM...FELTON...SANDTOWN...HENDERSON AROUND 1025 AM...VIOLA...MARYDEL
AROUND 1030 AM...WOODSIDE AND WOODSIDE EAST AROUND 1035 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS...AS IS SMALL
HAIL. EXPECT FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM
THESE STORMS.

LAT...LON 3888 7592 3914 7578 3914 7575 3917 7576
      3922 7573 3910 7540 3883 7563 3883 7573
      3877 7572

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1045 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

DEZ001-002-MDZ015-020-281545-
CAROLINE MD-KENT DE-NEW CASTLE DE-QUEEN ANNE'S MD-
1045 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

...A BAND OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CAROLINE...KENT...NEW
CASTLE AND QUEEN ANNE'S COUNTIES THROUGH 11:45 AM...

AT 1045 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A BAND OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 12 MILES WEST OF DOVER...MOVING
NORTH-NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR
HAZLETTVILLE...WYOMING...CAMDEN...RISING SUN AROUND 1050
AM...HARTLY...RODNEY VILLAGE...KENT ACRES...HIGHLAND ACRES AROUND
1055 AM...DOVER AROUND 1100 AM AND KENTON AROUND 1105 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORM...PERHAPS AT THE RATE OF
1 TO 2 INCHES AN HOUR...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO POND ON ROADS AND
QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
EXPECT FREQUENT...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING FROM THESE
STORMS.

LAT...LON 3909 7584 3925 7579 3925 7576 3932 7577
      3952 7573 3932 7543 3924 7538 3916 7540
      3907 7539 3903 7533 3898 7529 3894 7530
      3895 7539 3892 7541

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1115 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

PAZ060-067-068-281615-
BERKS PA-CHESTER PA-MONTGOMERY PA-
1115 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT BERKS...CHESTER AND MONTGOMERY
COUNTIES THROUGH 1215 PM...

AT 1115 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A STRONG
THUNDERSTORM 17 MILES NORTH OF WEST CHESTER...MOVING NORTH AT 10 TO
15  MPH. THE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR SOUTH POTTSTOWN...SANATOGA
AROUND 1120 AM...POTTSTOWN...STOWE AROUND 1125 AM...POTTSGROVE
AROUND 1130 AM...HALFWAY HOUSE...AMITY GARDENS AROUND 1135
AM...GILBERTSVILLE AROUND 1145 AM AND BOYERTOWN AROUND 1150 AM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THIS STORM...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.
NEVER DRIVE INTO WATER.

OCCASIONAL CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ALSO OCCUR WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 4052 7585 4050 7561 4048 7558 4020 7556
      4018 7576

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1119 AM EDT WED SEP 28 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0610 AM     FLOOD            CLINTON                 40.64N  74.91W
09/28/2011                   HUNTERDON          NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            FLOODING ALONG MANY SMALL STREAMS THROUGHOUT THE
            COUNTY.

0700 AM     FLOOD            GLEN GARDNER            40.70N  74.94W
09/28/2011                   HUNTERDON          NJ   PUBLIC

            FLOODING ALONG SMALL STREAMS.

0815 AM     FLASH FLOOD      BRANCHVILLE             41.15N  74.75W
09/28/2011                   SUSSEX             NJ   EMERGENCY MNGR

            QUICK RISES IN CREEKS AND STREAMS NEAR BRANCHVILLE.

0830 AM     FLOOD            LEBANON TWP             40.73N  74.90W
09/28/2011                   HUNTERDON          NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            FLOODING ALONG HOFFMANS CROSSING ROAD.

1045 AM     FLOOD            NEWTON                  41.05N  74.75W
09/28/2011                   SUSSEX             NJ   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SOME ROAD CLOSURES IN NEWTON DUE TO FLOODING.

&&

EVENT NUMBER PHI1100747 PHI1100748 PHI1100750 PHI1100749 PHI1100751

KEK/MWG