River Flood Warning 40, NWS Pittsburgh, PA

903 
WGUS81 KPBZ 040730
FLSPBZ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
330 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...
 
  MUSKINGUM RIVER AT COSHOCTON AFFECTING COSHOCTON COUNTY 
 
.RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL SHOULD CAUSE MINOR FLOODING ON THE MUSKINGUM
RIVER AT COSHOCTON LATER TODAY INTO THURSDAY.  

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER
DEVELOPMENTS. 

&&

OHC031-041530-
/O.EXT.KPBZ.FL.W.0040.110504T1600Z-110506T0000Z/
/CSHO1.1.ER.110504T1600Z.110505T0600Z.110505T1800Z.NO/
330 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR
  THE MUSKINGUM RIVER AT COSHOCTON.
* FROM THIS AFTERNOON TO THURSDAY EVENING...OR UNTIL THE WARNING IS 
  CANCELLED.
* AT  3:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.8 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST.
* FORECAST...RISE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE BY THIS AFTERNOON, AND CREST
  NEAR 15.3 FEET LATE TONIGHT. THE RIVER WILL FALL BELOW FLOOD 
  STAGE BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW AREAS ARE FLOODED, AND WATER REACHES A 
  FEW HOMES ALONG ROUTE 16 SOUTH OF COSHOCTON, AND ALONG COUNTY 
  ROUTE 1A NORTH OF COSHOCTON.

$$

084 
WGUS81 KPBZ 041502
FLSPBZ
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
1102 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

...THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR THE FOLLOWING RIVERS IN OHIO...
 
  MUSKINGUM RIVER AT COSHOCTON AFFECTING COSHOCTON COUNTY
 
.  THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED AS RIVER LEVELS HAVE REMAINED
JUST BELOW THE 15.0 FOOT FLOOD STAGE. THE MUSKINGUM RIVER AT COSHOCTON 
CRESTED EARLIER THIS MORNING AT 14.8 FEET.

THE MUSKINGUM RIVER AT COSHOCTON IS FORECAST TO REMAIN JUST BELOW FLOOD 
STAGE THROUGH THURSDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SAFETY MESSAGE...DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH FLOODED AREAS. THE WATER MAY BE
BE DEEPER THAN IT APPEARS. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR LATER
DEVELOPMENTS. 

&&

OHC031-041532-
/O.CAN.KPBZ.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-110506T0000Z/
/CSHO1.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1102 AM EDT WED MAY 4 2011

THE FLOOD WARNING IS CANCELLED FOR
  THE MUSKINGUM RIVER AT COSHOCTON.
* AT 10:00 AM WEDNESDAY THE STAGE WAS 14.6 FEET. 
* FLOOD STAGE IS 15.0 FEET.
* FORECAST...THE RIVER WILL REMAIN BELOW FLOOD STAGE THROUGH THURSDAY. 
* IMPACT...AT 15.0 FEET...LOW AREAS ARE FLOODED AND WATER REACHES A 
  FEW HOMES ALONG ROUTE 16 SOUTH OF COSHOCTON AND ALONG COUNTY ROUTE 
  1A NORTH OF COSHOCTON.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
726 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
SHOWERS WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT FOLLOWING PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT
ACROSS THE RIDGES. UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE CENTER WILL THEN
PRODUCE COLD TEMPERATURES AND SCATTERED SHOWERS WEDNESDAY. DRY
WEATHER MAY BE ANTICIPATED WITH THURSDAY HIGH PRESSURE.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
FRONT HAS CROSSED RIDGES AND AREA OF RAIN ON BACKSIDE OF PARENT LOW
WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH WEST TO EAST AS THE SYSTEM EXITS.
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL RETURN ON WEDNESDAY AS UPPER LOW MOVES OVER
THE REGION AND DROPS CONVECTIVE THRESHOLDS.

THIS SYSTEM WILL HOLD WEDNESDAY TEMPERATURES WELL BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
SURFACE RIDGE WILL MOVE INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT
WITH CLOUDS BREAKING. COULD BE FROST POTENTIAL WEDNESDAY NIGHT
BUT HOW MUCH CLOUDINESS REMAINS AND WHETHER WINDS CAN GO CALM WILL
BE LIMITING FACTOR. TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TOWARD NORMAL
THURSDAY WITH SUNSHINE AS RIDGE AXIS MOVES EAST. FOR FRIDAY NEXT
SYSTEMS APPROACHES FROM THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES WITH INCREASING
CLOUDS AND SHOWER CHANCES.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THERE ARE SLIGHT MODEL DIFFERENCES FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG
TERM PERIOD AS THE GFS IS MORE PROGRESSIVE WITH THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH MOVING OFF OF THE EAST COAST SATURDAY. THE 00Z ECMWF DIGS A
STRONGER SHORTWAVE THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WHILE THE GFS IS A LITTLE
WEAKER. AT THIS POINT HAVE GONE WITH CHANCE POPS WITH THE SHORTWAVE
THROUGH THE DAY ON SUNDAY. MODELS ARE BETTER IN AGREEMENT ON MONDAY
AS THE BOTH THE ECMWF AND GFS HAVE A FAIRLY FLAT RIDGE BUILD OVER
THE EASTERN US. ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL RIDE OVER THE RIDGE BRINGING
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

AS PER MOS GUIDANCE/NAEFS/ECMWF MODERATED TEMPERATURES TO ABOVE
NORMAL VALUES SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
COLD FRONT HAS SHIFTED EAST OF THE RIDGES BUT MVFR AND IFR
CONDITIONS VIA CEILINGS AND POST FRONTAL RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE EVENING. GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT TO VFR IS FORECAST FOR
ALL BUT THE NORTHERN TERMINALS DURING THE OVERNIGHT, BUT
CONDITIONS WILL REDETERIORATE TO JUST ABOVE MVFR LEVELS ON
WEDNESDAY AS STRATOCUMULUS AND SCATTERED SHOWERS FORM UNDER
CROSSING UPPER LOW PRESSURE.

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY BRINGING
A RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
RESTRICTIONS WILL BE WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM
ON FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

15/02

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
346 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029-031-073>076-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-042000-
GARRETT-TUSCARAWAS-CARROLL-COLUMBIANA-COSHOCTON-HARRISON-
JEFFERSON OH-MUSKINGUM-GUERNSEY-BELMONT-NOBLE-MONROE-MERCER-VENANGO-
FOREST-LAWRENCE-BUTLER-CLARION-JEFFERSON PA-BEAVER-ALLEGHENY-
ARMSTRONG-INDIANA-WASHINGTON-GREENE-WESTMORELAND-WESTMORELAND RIDGES-
FAYETTE-FAYETTE RIDGES-HANCOCK-BROOKE-OHIO-MARSHALL-WETZEL-MARION-
MONONGALIA-PRESTON-TUCKER-
346 PM EDT TUE MAY 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN MARYLAND...EAST
CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHWEST PENNSYLVANIA...SOUTHWEST
PENNSYLVANIA...WEST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA
AND NORTHERN PANHANDLE OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.