Severe Thunderstorm Warning 25, NWS Paducah, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
301 AM CDT SAT APR 9 2011

.DISCUSSION...
KPAH 88D ALREADY SHOWS SOME DEVELOPING SHOWERS ACROSS PAH FA.
HOWEVER RADAR MOSAIC SHOWS MORE EXTENSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS/STORMS UPSTREAM OVER PTNS MO...TO TOP RIDGE AND AFFECT
MAINLY OUR NRN PTNS FA/POTENTIALLY ERN PTNS FA LATER THIS AM.
MODELS SHOW H5 HEIGHTS RISING 20-30DM OVER COURSE OF THE DAY...SO
SHOULD SEE CAPPING OF ATMOSPHERE FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST
THROUGH THE PM HOURS...EFFECTIVELY ENDING POPS FROM LATE TODAY
THROUGH TONIGHT. UNTIL THEN...SLGT RISK SVR CONTINUES...SEE SWODY1
FOR DETAILS.

SUNDAY WILL BE VERY WINDY. MODEL SOUNDINGS/BUFKIT MIX DOWN WINDS
SUSTAINED 20-30 MPH WITH GUST POTENTIAL TO 40 MPH ON WARM SLYS-
SWLYS. MONDAY IS NOT TOO MUCH DIFFERENT AS POST FRONTAL WINDS
SHIFT TO W-NWLYS...WILL OUTLOOK BOTH PERIODS FOR WIND POTENTIAL IN
HWO.

WARM 80S EXPECTED BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW...SHOULD MUTE POST
FRONTALLY ABOUT 10-15F FOR MONDAY...LEVELLING OFF THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEEK. NO CHANGES BEYOND DAY 4.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED A MAJORITY OF THE OVERNIGHT.  ISOLATED
SHRA/TSTM ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH DAYBREAK...AND INCLUDED VCSH WITH VFR
CB UNTIL 16Z. ANY SHRA OR TSRA WOULD LIKELY PRODUCE BRIEF MVFR
CONDITIONS. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 15
KTS.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
345 AM CDT SAT APR 9 2011

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-101000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
345 AM CDT SAT APR 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...INCLUDING A SLIGHT RISK
OF SEVERE STORMS...MAINLY FOR SOUTHEAST ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST
INDIANA...AND NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...AND MAINLY FOR THE FIRST HALF
OF THE DAY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AND AGAIN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS INCLUDES A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE STORMS IN WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI.

SUNDAY WILL BE VERY WINDY...WITH SUSTAINED SOUTH OR SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 30 MPH GUSTING TO 40 MPH AT TIMES. MONDAY WILL ALSO BE
WINDY AS POST FRONTAL WINDS SHIFT TO WEST AND NORTHWEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR UPDATES IN CASE THEIR ACTIVATION
IS REQUESTED.