Flash Flood Warning 69, NWS Paducah, KY

978 
WGUS73 KPAH 030844
FFSPAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
344 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

ILC127-151-KYC055-143-145-157-030848-
/O.CAN.KPAH.FF.W.0069.000000T0000Z-110503T2015Z/
/00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MASSAC IL-POPE IL-CRITTENDEN KY-MCCRACKEN KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-
344 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR AN IMMINENT LEVEE FAILURE HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED FOR SOUTHEASTERN POPE AND SOUTHEASTERN MASSAC COUNTIES IN 
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...AND NORTH CENTRAL MARSHALL...NORTHWESTERN 
LYON...EAST CENTRAL MCCRACKEN AND SOUTHWESTERN CRITTENDEN COUNTIES 
IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE SMITHLAND RIVER FRONT LEVEE IN 
SOUTHERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY ISSUED AT 321 AM CDT INADVERTENTLY 
INCLUDED ADDITIONAL SURROUNDING COUNTIES IN SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND 
WESTERN KENTUCKY. THE ONLY COUNTY THAT SHOULD BE INCLUDED IN THIS 
WARNING IS SOUTHERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY.

LAT...LON 3707 8834 3706 8843 3703 8848 3703 8852
      3707 8856 3706 8850 3709 8845 3715 8842
      3719 8844 3719 8823 3716 8819 3713 8822
      3701 8824

$$

KYC139-032015-
/O.CON.KPAH.FF.W.0069.000000T0000Z-110503T2015Z/
/00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LIVINGSTON KY-
344 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR AN IMMINENT LEVEE FAILURE REMAINS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 315 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR SOUTHERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY IN 
WESTERN KENTUCKY...

AT 315 AM CDT...LIVINGSTON COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED   
THE SMITHLAND RIVERFRONT LEVEE...LOCATED AT THE INTERSECTION OF   
COURT STREET AND RIVERFRONT DRIVE...WAS STILL HOLDING. HOWEVER...  
WATER WAS STILL LEAKING FROM THE LEVEE AND A BREACH IS STILL   
POSSIBLE. EVACUATIONS IN THE TOWN OF SMITHLAND HAVE ALREADY TAKEN   
PLACE. 

PERSONS STILL IN SOUTHERN LIVINGSTON COUNTY THAT COULD BE IMPACTED 
BY A LEVEE FAILURE SHOULD SEEK HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS
SAFELY. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3707 8834 3706 8843 3703 8848 3703 8852
      3707 8856 3706 8850 3709 8845 3715 8842
      3719 8844 3719 8823 3716 8819 3713 8822
      3701 8824

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
136 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE LOW WILL BE SLOW TO MOVE EAST. AS A RESULT...LINGERING
RAINS WELL THRU AM HOURS...AND CHANCE OF RAIN WILL EVEN LINGER IN
THE EAST THRU THE PM HOURS. APPROX 12KT EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF BACK
EDGE OF CLOUDS MEANS THEY DO NOT DEPART FAR ERN CWA TIL MID
EVENING.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE THEN MOVES IN AND KEEPS A MUCH NEEDED DRY
ATMOSPHERIC FORECAST THROUGH THURSDAY. A CLIPPER LIKE WAVE/ENERGY
INDUCES OUR NEXT CHC PCPN BY THURSDAY NIGHT...BUT QPF SHOULD NOT
BE TOO SIGNIFICANT...AND THE SYSTEM/ENERGY PASSES BY FRIDAY. THUS
BEGINS THE EVOLUTION OF PIECES OF ENERGY ROTATING OUT OF NW FLOW AND
YIELDING SMALLISH TYPE POPS EVERY 24-36 HOURS AFTER THAT...NONE
WITH ANY SIGNIFICANT PCPN.

COOLER TEMPS WITH HIGHS IN THE 60S NOTED BEHIND DEPARTING SYSTEM
SHOULD PREVAIL NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...THEN BEGIN TO MODIFY BACK
INTO THE 70S BY WEEKS END. SIMILARLY LOWS MAINLY IN THE 40S (SOME
U30S POSSIBLE TONIGHT) WILL MODERATE BACK TO THE 50S BY AROUND THE
SAME TIME (WEEKS END).

&&

.AVIATION...
AS A MID LEVEL TROF AXIS FINALLY BEGINS TO PUSH EAST...WDSPRD RAIN
WILL CONTINUE. MUCH OF WRN KY SHOULD HAVE THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR
GREATER PCPN AMOUNTS. IFR CIGS APPEAR TO BE MOSTLY LIKELY IN WRN
KY/SWRN IND...POSSIBLY LINGERING WELL INTO THE DAY AT KOWB.
CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY IMPROVE IN THE AFTN...WITH SLACKENING
WINDS.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IL...NONE.
IN...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1053 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-031000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
1053 PM CDT MON MAY 2 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEASTERN
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO STREAM NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
QUAD STATE REGION THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. A FEW LIGHTNING
STRIKES COULD OCCUR OVER WESTERN KENTUCKY DURING THE FIRST HALF OF
THE NIGHT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS THROUGH NOON TUESDAY WILL RANGE FROM
AROUND THREE QUARTERS OF AN INCH IN SOUTHEASTERN MISSOURI AND
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...TO ONE AND A HALF INCHES IN WESTERN KENTUCKY AND
SOUTHWESTERN INDIANA.

THE FLOODING SITUATION THROUGHOUT THE REGION WILL NOT GET ANY BETTER
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS PERSIST
ACROSS MUCH OF THE QUAD STATE REGION. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE MOST CURRENT INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

SMALL CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST DAILY FROM THURSDAY
THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND. AT THIS TIME...SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT ANTICIPATED. BRIEF...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE
POSSIBLE...BUT EXTENDED PERIODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

MODERATE TO MAJOR AND EVEN RECORD FLOODING WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH
OF THE WEEK ALONG MOST RIVERS ACROSS THE AREA. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR THE MOST CURRENT
INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT ANY NEW FLOODING PROBLEMS AS WELL AS RAINFALL
AMOUNTS.