Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS Paducah, KY

859 
WGUS73 KPAH 251306
FFSPAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
806 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC047-059-101-107-149-177-219-221-233-
251515-
/O.CON.KPAH.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110425T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VANDERBURGH IN-PIKE IN-GIBSON IN-WARRICK IN-SPENCER IN-POSEY IN-
HENDERSON KY-DAVIESS KY-MCLEAN KY-WEBSTER KY-HOPKINS KY-MUHLENBERG KY-
CHRISTIAN KY-TODD KY-TRIGG KY-
806 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT FOR
POSEY...SPENCER...WARRICK...GIBSON...PIKE AND VANDERBURGH COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST INDIANA...AND HOPKINS...WEBSTER...MCLEAN...DAVIESS AND
HENDERSON COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...AND TODD...CHRISTIAN AND
MUHLENBERG COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...AND EASTERN TRIGG
COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

AT 800 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO 
INDICATE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING OVER THE WARNED 
AREA. LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED OVER 9 ROADS CLOSED FROM THE RAIN 
THIS MORNING IN HOPKINS COUNTY ALONE. FLOODING OF AREA ROADS WILL 
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS EVEN WHILE THE STORMS BEGIN TO EXIT THE 
AREA. RADAR ESTIMATES RAINFALL RATES WERE AVERAGING BETWEEN ONE AND 
TWO INCHES PER HOUR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. MOST FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR
IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS WATER COVERED BRIDGES...
DIPS...OR LOW WATER CROSSINGS. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...
EVEN A SMALL ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER
GROUND.

&&

LAT...LON 3793 8698 3768 8684 3751 8711 3734 8712
      3721 8690 3706 8706 3665 8707 3667 8770
      3715 8768 3744 8794 3779 8776 3792 8793
      3779 8795 3782 8808 3824 8795 3852 8747
      3853 8708 3822 8709 3819 8683 3802 8679

$$

395 
WGUS73 KPAH 251514
FFSPAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1014 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

INC051-125-129-147-163-173-KYC047-059-101-107-149-177-219-221-233-
251516-
/O.EXP.KPAH.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-110425T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
VANDERBURGH IN-PIKE IN-GIBSON IN-WARRICK IN-SPENCER IN-POSEY IN-
HENDERSON KY-DAVIESS KY-MCLEAN KY-WEBSTER KY-HOPKINS KY-MUHLENBERG KY-
CHRISTIAN KY-TODD KY-TRIGG KY-
1014 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 1015 AM CDT FOR POSEY...
SPENCER...WARRICK...GIBSON...PIKE AND VANDERBURGH COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST INDIANA...AND HOPKINS...WEBSTER...MCLEAN...DAVIESS AND
HENDERSON COUNTIES IN NORTHWEST KENTUCKY...AND TODD...CHRISTIAN AND
MUHLENBERG COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...AND EASTERN TRIGG
COUNTY IN WESTERN KENTUCKY...

DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES THE HEAVIEST RAIN HAS MOVED EAST OF THE 
WARNED AREA FOR THE TIME BEING. THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS 
TEMPORARILY SUBSIDED AND THE WARNING WILL EXPIRE.

HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD AREA FLOODING FROM EARLIER RAINS CONTINUES... 
IMPACTING MANY LOCAL ROADWAYS. THEREFORE...A FLOOD WARNING DOES 
REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL 915 PM CDT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.

LAT...LON 3793 8698 3768 8684 3751 8711 3734 8712
      3721 8690 3706 8706 3665 8707 3667 8770
      3715 8768 3744 8794 3779 8776 3792 8793
      3779 8795 3782 8808 3824 8795 3852 8747
      3853 8708 3822 8709 3819 8683 3802 8679

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
417 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

.DISCUSSION...
UNFORTUNATELY...MORE OF THE SAME...POSSIBLY EVEN WORSE AS FAR AS
THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL IS CONCERNED THIS AFTERNOON INTO
TONIGHT. SFC LOW...NEGATIVELY TILTED MID LVL TROF WILL EJECT NE
THROUGH THE MID/UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY TONIGHT...AND DRAG COLD
FRONT EAST WITH IT. BEST HEAVY RAIN/STORM CHANCES WILL LIKELY COME
ALONG THE COLD FRONT MOVING TO NR THE MS RIVER BY MIDNIGHT.

UNFORTUNATELY...THIS FRONT WILL LIKELY STALL OUT ALONG THE OHIO
RIVER VALLEY AGAIN IN THE TUE/WED TIME FRAME AS ANOTHER IN A
SERIES OF MID LVL TROFS SWINGS INTO THE REGION. RICH/DEEP MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE DRAWN NORTH INTO
THESE SYSTEMS...WITH PW VALUES UP OVER 1.5 INCHES MUCH OF THE TIME.
ALL IN ALL...EVEN THOUGH THERE MAY BE SOME DRY BREAKS IN
PRECIP...WE HAVE DECIDED TO GO AHEAD AND EXTEND THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH RIGHT THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY...UNTIL WE FINALLY DRY OUT
THU/FRI AS HIGH PRESSURE AND WNW MID LVL FLOW DRIVE THE FRONT WELL
TO OUR EAST. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 8 INCHES
IN THE TODAY THROUGH WED TIME FRAME.

NEEDLESS TO SAY....EXTENSIVE FLASH FLOODING/MAJOR TO HISTORICAL
RIVER FLOODING AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WIND GUSTS AND EVEN A FEW TORNADOES COULD MAKE FOR A VERY DANGEROUS
SCENARIO THIS WEEK. RIGHT NOW...PEAK TIME FRAMES LOOK TO BE LATER
TODAY/TONIGHT AND THEN AGAIN TUE NIGHT INTO WED.

&&

.AVIATION...

EXPECT MVFR CIGS WITH ISOLATED TO SCT THUNDERSTORMS THIS
MORNING. COULD BE A BREAK TO VFR CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON IN
BETWEEN THE MORNING SYSTEM AND ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS THAT SHOULD
ARRIVE IN THE TONIGHT TIME FRAME. WILL LIKELY UPGRADE TO TEMPO OR
PROB30 FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL DURING THE
TONIGHT TIME FRAME IN THE UPCOMING 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR BALLARD-CALDWELL-
     CALLOWAY-CARLISLE-CHRISTIAN-CRITTENDEN-DAVIESS-FULTON-
     GRAVES-HENDERSON-HICKMAN-HOPKINS-LIVINGSTON-LYON-MARSHALL-
     MCCRACKEN-MCLEAN-MUHLENBERG-TODD-TRIGG-UNION KY-WEBSTER.

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR BOLLINGER-BUTLER-
     CAPE GIRARDEAU-CARTER-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-PERRY MO-
     RIPLEY-SCOTT-STODDARD-WAYNE MO.

IL...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR ALEXANDER-
     EDWARDS-FRANKLIN-GALLATIN-HAMILTON-HARDIN-JACKSON-JEFFERSON-
     JOHNSON-MASSAC-PERRY IL-POPE-PULASKI-SALINE-UNION IL-WABASH-
     WAYNE IL-WHITE-WILLIAMSON.

IN...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR GIBSON-PIKE-
     POSEY-SPENCER-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK.

&&

MEFFERT

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
606 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-261000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
606 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR TO CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING
TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE
QUAD STATE REGION. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY OR
TONIGHT COULD PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING IN A VERY SHORT PERIOD OF
TIME.

IN ADDITION...A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS COVERS MUCH
OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND A FEW
TORNADOES WILL ALL BE POSSIBLE IN ADDITION TO VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
DEADLY LIGHTNING. A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS COVERS THE
REMAINDER OF THE QUAD STATE REGION.

MOST AREA RIVERS ARE ALREADY EXPERIENCING FLOODING...AND RIVER
FLOODING WILL ONLY WORSEN WITH THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL. FOR
MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE REFER TO OUR RIVER FLOOD PRODUCTS AT

HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=PAH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

THE POTENTIAL FOR MAJOR TO CATASTROPHIC FLASH FLOODING AND RIVER
FLOODING WILL CONTINUE INTO MID WEEK. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
CONTINUES THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THOUGH IT APPEARS THERE MAY
BE A BREAK FOR MUCH OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY TUESDAY...
WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAINFALL AND POSSIBLY MORE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. AN ADDITIONAL
4 TO 7 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MID WEEK...BRINGING
5 DAY RAINFALL TOTALS SINCE LAST FRIDAY INTO THE 10 TO 15 INCH
RANGE. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY
DANGEROUS SITUATION.

MOST AREA RIVERS ARE ALREADY EXPERIENCING FLOODING...AND RIVER
FLOODING WILL ONLY WORSEN WITH THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL. SOME
RIVER CRESTS MAY CHALLENGE HISTORICAL VALUES. FOR MORE INFORMATION...
PLEASE REFER TO OUR RIVER FLOOD PRODUCTS AT

HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/AHPS2/INDEX.PHP?WFO=PAH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUESTED EACH DAY FROM TODAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY TIME FRAME. SPOTTERS SHOULD ALSO REPORT ANY
FLOODING PROBLEMS OR VERY HEAVY RAINFALL THEY ENCOUNTER DURING
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1226 AM CDT MON APR 25 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 AM     HAIL             BUNCOMBE                37.47N 88.97W
04/25/2011  M1.00 INCH       JOHNSON            IL   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KELLYH