Special Weather Statement, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
123 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND FEWER THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MOST
DAYS THIS WEEK. WHILE OKALHOMA REMAINS UNDER THE HOT UPPER RIDGE
WINDS WILL NOT BE VERY GREAT, WHICH WILL KEEP WILDFIRE POTENTIAL
IN WESTERN OKLAHOMA BELOW THE EXTREME CATEGORY. THE PROXIMITY OF A
FRONT FROM THUNDERSTORMS YESTERDAY IN KANSAS MAY GIVE NORTHERN
OKALHOMA A BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN THROUGH MIDNIGHT. THE PASSAGE OF
A WEAK UPPER WAVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS WILL BRIEFLY PUT
NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL OKLAHOMA FLOW FROM THE NORTHWEST EARLY
MONDAY. ANY SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS WOULD PRODUCE MORE
RAINFALL, BUT CHANCES REMAIN LOW. THE NEXT, BUT LOW CHANCE FOR
ANYTHING MORE THAN ISOLATED SHOWERS IS THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER WAVE
MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THE EXTREME HEAT IS EXPECTED TO
PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK. THE MOISTURE IN THE AFTERNOON MAY
CONTINUE TO DECREASE SUFFICIENTLY TO AVOID ANY HEAT ADVISORY ISSUANCE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  75 100  75 102 /  10  10  10  10
HOBART OK         75 103  75 104 /  10  10  10   0
WICHITA FALLS TX  75 105  76 105 /  10  10  10  10
GAGE OK           71 100  74 102 /  20  10  10   0
PONCA CITY OK     75 100  75 100 /  20  20  10  10
DURANT OK         75  99  74 100 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

25/09

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
325 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-041000-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
325 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SEEN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. MODEST AMOUNTS OF
INSTABILITY AND WEAK VERTICAL WIND SHEAR WILL ONCE AGAIN LIMIT THE
ABILITY OF STORMS TO ORGANIZE...BUT A FEW STORMS MAY BRIEFLY BECOME
SEVERE AND PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 60 TO 70 MPH. CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE A CONCERN...ESPECIALLY FOR THOSE DOING
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES.

MOST OF THE STORMS AND THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER ARE EXPECTED
TO DISSIPATE THIS EVENING TOWARD AND JUST AFTER SUNSET. HOWEVER...
THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN INTO CENTRAL
OKLAHOMA OVERNIGHT AS A FRONT TRIES TO PUSH IN FROM KANSAS.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT MONDAY JUL 4.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...100 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY A STORM WILL REACH SEVERE LEVELS...30 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TODAY...WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES RANGING
FROM THE UPPER 90S TO ABOUT 105. IN ADDITION...THE RISK OF WILDFIRES
WILL REMAIN FAIRLY HIGH ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF OKLAHOMA AND
ADJACENT PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY OVER EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...ON MONDAY. ANOTHER SLIGHT CHANCE WILL EXTEND FROM
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...MAINLY OVER NORTHERN AND EASTERN
OKLAHOMA. HOWEVER... ISOLATED STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON
AND EVENING ACROSS ALL OF OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
THE HOT WEATHER WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEKEND...AS WILL THE RISK
OF WILDFIRES.

THE NEXT SCHEDULED HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED BY 5 AM
MONDAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
337 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

TXZ083-084-032100-
HARDEMAN TX-FOARD TX-
337 PM CDT SUN JUL 3 2011

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS FOR FOARD AND HARDEMAN COUNTIES.

AT 338 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES EAST OF
SWEARINGEN. THE STORM WAS NEARLY STATIONARY.

HAZARDS INCLUDE...
SMALL HAIL...
WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH...
FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...

MONITOR THE WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY AND BE ALERT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS.

LAT...LON 3411 10006 3423 10006 3424 10004 3424 10001
      3428 10000 3429 9975 3396 9984 3408 10007
      3411 10007

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