Red Flag Warning 36, NWS Norman, OK

260 
WWUS84 KOUN 081526
RFWOUN

URGENT - FIRE WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1026 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

OKZ005-006-009>011-014>016-021-022-090100-
/O.CON.KOUN.FW.W.0036.110608T1700Z-110609T0100Z/
WOODS-ALFALFA-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-
BECKHAM-WASHITA-
1026 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
FOR PARTS OF NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA... 

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...10 TO 20 PERCENT

* TEMPERATURE...100 TO 105

* WINDS...FROM THE SOUTH AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

* IMPACTS...ANY FIRES THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY SPREAD RAPIDLY. 
  OUTDOOR BURNING IS NOT RECOMMENDED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FIRES MAY START EASILY AND SPREAD RAPIDLY. REPORT SMOKE OR FIRE
TO YOUR LOCAL FIRE DEPARTMENT.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
419 AM CDT WED JUN 8 2011

.DISCUSSION...
HOT AND DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE FA TODAY WITH
MORE TRIPLE DIGIT HEAT. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL PUSH INTO FAR
NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE STALLING IN
RESPONSE TO UPPER LOW/TROUGH TO THE WEST. A LITTLE UNSURE HOW
FAR SOUTH THE FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA AND WIND SPEEDS
IN ADVANCE.  SOUTH WINDS SHOULD REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH FOR
RED FLAG CONDITIONS...SO WILL CONVERT WATCH TO RED FLAG
WARNING..EXCEPT HARPER COUNTY.

6Z NAM12 MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH CONVECTION ALONG THE FRONT BY LATE
AFTERNOON SO CAN'T RULE OUT A FEW STORMS ALONG THE FRONT THROUGH
THE EARLY EVENING HOURS.

SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL RETURN TO NORTHWEST OKLAHOMA TONIGHT
INTO THURSDAY AS TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE ROCKIES AND EVENTUALLY
THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS. FRONT WILL THEN PUSH BACK INTO NORTHERN
AND WESTERN OKLAHOMA ON FRIDAY WITH A CHANCE FOR LATE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING STORMS.

EC MORE AGGRESSIVE IN PUSHING THE FRONT WELL INTO SOUTHERN PARTS OF
THE FA BY 12Z SATURDAY. FOR NOW WILL STICK WITH A NORTHWARD PLACEMENT
OF THE FRONT AND SLIGHT CHANCES FOR STORMS ACROSS NORTHERN OKLAHOMA
ON SATURDAY.

UPPER RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER TEXAS/SOUTHERN PLAIN ON SUNDAY
BRINGING MORE DRY AND HOT WEATHER. ANOTHER FRONT/TROUGH MAY BRING
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND STORMS BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
OKLAHOMA CITY OK  96  73  95  71 /   0  10  10  10
HOBART OK        101  74 100  74 /   0  10  10  10
WICHITA FALLS TX 101  75 100  75 /   0  10  10  10
GAGE OK          103  70  97  65 /  10  10  20  20
PONCA CITY OK     98  73  95  72 /  10  10  10  30
DURANT OK         96  73  94  72 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
     OKZ005-006-009>011-014>016-021-022.

TX...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
1200 PM CDT TUE JUN 7 2011

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-081200-
HARPER-WOODS-ALFALFA-GRANT-KAY-ELLIS-WOODWARD-MAJOR-GARFIELD-NOBLE-
ROGER MILLS-DEWEY-CUSTER-BLAINE-KINGFISHER-LOGAN-PAYNE-BECKHAM-
WASHITA-CADDO-CANADIAN-OKLAHOMA-LINCOLN-GRADY-MCCLAIN-CLEVELAND-
POTTAWATOMIE-SEMINOLE-HUGHES-HARMON-GREER-KIOWA-JACKSON-TILLMAN-
COMANCHE-STEPHENS-GARVIN-MURRAY-PONTOTOC-COAL-COTTON-JEFFERSON-
CARTER-JOHNSTON-ATOKA-LOVE-MARSHALL-BRYAN-HARDEMAN-FOARD-WILBARGER-
WICHITA-KNOX-BAYLOR-ARCHER-CLAY-
1200 PM CDT TUE JUN 7 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK COVERS NORTHERN...WESTERN...
CENTRAL...AND SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA...AND WESTERN NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
NO ORGANIZED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED.

DISCUSSION...
AN ISOLATED AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORM CANNOT BE RULED
OUT ACROSS FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND ADJACENT PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS.
IF A STORM DOES FORM... IT WOULD BE CONFINED TO AN AREA WEST OF
CHEROKEE...CLINTON...AND ALTUS IN OKLAHOMA...AND WEST OF VERNON AND
SEYMOUR IN TEXAS.

A ZONE OF WEAK MID-LEVEL UPWARD MOTION RESULTED IN AN AREA OF CLOUD
COVER AND SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THIS MORNING FROM THE EASTERN
PANHANDLES INTO FAR WESTERN OKLAHOMA. ALTHOUGH THIS FORCING IS
EXPECTED TO WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY...IT HAS RESULTED IN A PRONOUNCED
MOIST LAYER IN THE MID-LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE. WITH VERY DEEP
MIXING NEAR A DRYLINE THIS AFTERNOON...WE CANNOT RULE OUT A STRAY
STORM OR TWO IN THIS MOISTENED LAYER. ALTHOUGH INSTABILITY AND SHEAR
WILL BE ON THE WEAK SIDE...DRY AIR BELOW CLOUD BASE WILL SUPPORT
STRONG TO SEVERE WIND GUSTS WITH ANY STORM THAT MANAGES TO MATURE.
THE PROBABILITY FOR THIS TO HAPPEN IS TOO LOW FOR A RISK AREA.

PROBABILITY TABLE...
VALID THROUGH 700 AM CDT WEDNESDAY JUNE 8.
PROBABILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS OCCURRING IN THE
              NWS NORMAN COUNTY WARNING AREA...15 PERCENT.
PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS IF STORMS OCCUR...20 PERCENT.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
EXTREME WILDFIRE POTENTIAL EXISTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTHWEST AND WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA. A RED FLAG WARNING IS IN
EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...
BY LATE IN THE WEEK A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH NORTHERN
OKLAHOMA. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE FRONT
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER...
WILDFIRE POTENTIAL WILL AGAIN BE EXTREME WEDNESDAY OVER NORTHWEST
AND WEST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA.

THE NEXT HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 5 AM WEDNESDAY.