Winter Storm Watch 2, NWS New York, NY

651 
WWUS41 KOKX 102130
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
430 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...COASTAL STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-110530-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
/O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-
EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
430 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
7 PM TUESDAY TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO
LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND AND NORTHEAST NEW
  JERSEY.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE. HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS LONG ISLAND.

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURS AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
  EARLY WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TUESDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY
  WEDNESDAY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ005>012-NYZ067>071-110530-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.A.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
430 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 14 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  POSSIBLE. HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS CONNECTICUT.

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURS AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
  EARLY WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TUESDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY 
  WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

993 
WWUS41 KOKX 110342
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1042 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...COASTAL STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-111200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-
EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-
NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
1042 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM TUESDAY TO
6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND AND NORTHEAST NEW 
  JERSEY. 

* HAZARDS...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...7 TO 14 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  POSSIBLE. HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS LONG ISLAND. 

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURS AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT 
  INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TUESDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY 
  WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ005>012-NYZ067>071-111200-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.A.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
1042 PM EST MON JAN 10 2011

...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

A WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* LOCATIONS...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 14 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS 
  POSSIBLE. HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS CONNECTICUT. 

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURS AFTER MIDNIGHT TUESDAY NIGHT 
  INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TUESDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY 
  WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
SNOW...SLEET...OR ICE ACCUMULATIONS THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL.
CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS.

&&

$$

404 
WWUS41 KOKX 110842
WSWOKX

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
342 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...COASTAL STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

NYZ067>071-111715-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.WS.W.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-
342 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* LOCATIONS...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 14 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO EARLY
  WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY
  WEDNESDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

CTZ005>012-111715-
/O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
/O.EXA.KOKX.WS.W.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-
342 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM
7 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH
IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 


* LOCATIONS...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE.

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH...STRONGEST WINDS EAST.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT INTO EARLY
  WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY
  WEDNESDAY.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ072>075-176-178-111715-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
WESTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-
EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-
EASTERN UNION-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-
KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
342 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...NEW YORK CITY...AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...8 TO 14 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE. 

* WINDS...GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT 
  INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY 
  WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

NYZ078>081-177-179-111715-
/O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0002.110112T0000Z-110112T2300Z/
NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN NASSAU-
342 AM EST TUE JAN 11 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING
TO 6 PM EST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATIONS...LONG ISLAND.

* HAZARDS...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES.

* ACCUMULATIONS...10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
  POSSIBLE. 

* WINDS...GUSTS 25 TO 35 MPH.

* VISIBILITIES...LESS THAN 1/4 MILE AT TIMES.

* TIMING...HEAVIEST SNOW OCCURS AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT 
  INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL TONIGHT AND THROUGH THE DAY 
  WEDNESDAY. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
340 AM EST MON JAN 10 2011

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS FROM THE WEST TODAY. LOW PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE
CAROLINA COAST LATE TONIGHT AND TRACKS NORTHEAST TUESDAY. THE LOW
DEEPENS AS IT PASSES JUST SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY. THE LOW REACHES THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON THURSDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD FROM THE WEST LATE THIS WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
SHORTWAVE ON BACK SIDE OF DEPARTING CLOSED LOW ROTATES ACROSS NEW
ENGLAND TODAY. A FEW CLOUDS MAY TRY TO SPILL DOWN FROM THE
NORTH...BUT PLENTY OF SUBSIDENCE SHOULD ENSURE A GOOD AMOUNT OF
SUNSHINE TODAY.

PLENTY OF MIXING UNDERNEATH SUBSIDENCE INVERSION WILL ALLOW FOR
GUSTY WINDS. WINDS FINALLY ABATE LATE IN THE DAY.

AS FOR TEMPS...SLIGHTLY WARMER ALOFT TODAY AS COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY...HOWEVER MIXING DEPTH WILL BE LIMITED. AS SUCH...TEMPS
AROUND FREEZING FOR HIGHS GENERALLY EXPECTED.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
BRIEF RIDGING OCCURS AT ALL LEVELS AS TROUGH DEPARTS. HOWEVER...THIS
RIDGING WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVES OUT OF THE
UPPER MID WEST AND MAKES EASTWARD PROGRESS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS EXPECTED TONIGHT. WITH LIGHTER WINDS...TEMPS
SHOULD BOTTOM OUT AS GUIDANCE SUGGESTS.

THEN ATTENTION TURNS TOWARD COASTAL LOW DEVELOPMENT AND IMPACT ON
OUR CWA. GENERALLY FOLLOWED A ECMWF/SREF/GFS BLEND HERE...WITH
EMPHASIS ON OPERATIONAL ECMWF. THAT SOLUTION CLUSTERS WELL WITH
GLOBAL MODELS/ENSEMBLES OVERALL. NAM IS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF
ALL AVAILABLE GUIDANCE...WITH GFS ON THE EASTERN EDGE WITH REGARD TO
TRACK. NEITHER CAN BE DISCOUNTED AT THIS TIME...BUT IT LOOKS LIKE
EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT OCCURS TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE LOW MOVES FROM OFF
THE CAROLINA COAST NORTHEASTWARD. THIS OCCURS AHEAD OF DIGGING
TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED STRONG JET ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH.
NAM IS SLOWER AND SLIGHTLY MORE AMPLIFIED WITH THIS FEATURE...THUS
THE WESTERN TRACK. AGAIN...THIS COULD VERY WELL OCCUR...BUT WILL LEAN
TOWARD CLUSTERED GUIDANCE AT THIS TIME.

BY DOING THAT...LOOKING AT YET ANOTHER SIGNIFICANT SNOW STORM ACROSS
THE ENTIRE CWA. EVEN WESTERN TRACK OF THE NAM PRODUCES SNOW ACROSS
MOST OF THE CWA DUE TO THE EXPLOSIVE DEVELOPMENT...AND THUS
STRONGER WINDS BRINGING COLDER AIR DOWN FROM THE NORTH. A MIXTURE
ACROSS THE TWIN FORKS WOULD OCCUR IN A NAM SOLUTION WITH A SHARP
GRADIENT BETWEEN RAIN/SNOW MIX AND HEAVY SNOW JUST TO THE WEST
ACROSS CENTRAL LI.

DUE TO RAPID DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW...AND FRONTOGENESIS/CONVECTION
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS INTENSE STORM...BANDING AND HEAVIER PRECIP A
GOOD BET. ASSUMING A TRACK NEAR THE 40/70 BENCHMARK...EXPECT THE
HIGHEST QPF TOTAL FROM NYC EAST. IF NAM IS CORRECT...A SHIFT IN
THIS AXIS OF HEAVIER PRECIP TO THE WEST WOULD BE
WARRANTED...PLACING BULLSEYE FROM AROUND NYC NORTH AND WEST.

AT THIS TIME...WILL ISSUE A WINTER STORM WATCH...BEGINNING TUESDAY
EVENING AND CONTINUING THROUGH WEDNESDAY. DUE TO THE ANTICIPATED
FAST TRACK TO THE SYSTEM...WOULD EXPECT THE BULK OF THE
ACCUMULATING SNOW TO END FROM WEST TO EAST WEDNESDAY. LI AND SRN CT
WOULD HOLD ON TO THE SNOW A LITTLE LONGER...BUT WILL BUT NOT GET TOO
DETAILED WITH REGARD TO TIMING YET AS UPPER TROUGH STILL TRIGGERS
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS WESTERN ZONES...THUS HAMPERING ANY CLEANUP EFFORTS.

LOOKING FOR 6 TO 12 INCHES GENERALLY. OF COURSE HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE IN ANY HEAVIER BANDS WHICH IS TOUGH TO FORECAST THIS FAR
OUT. AMOUNTS COULD BE TEMPERED IF A MIX OCCURS OVER EASTERN LONG
ISLAND.

TEMPS BELOW NORMAL AS GUIDANCE SUGGESTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
LONG TERM FORECAST PERIOD FEATURES THE DEPARTING OCEANIC
STORM...FOLLOWED BY A VERY COLD AIR MASS.

AT THE START OF THE PERIOD...LINGERING SNOW SHOULD BE CONFINED TO
ABOUT THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. IT WILL BE BLUSTERY AND COLD
WITH LOWS FALLING INTO THE TEENS TO AROUND 20.

WINDS GRADUALLY DIMINISH THURSDAY...AND ASSUMING WIDESPREAD SNOW
COVER...THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT COULD BE QUITE COLD WITH
EXCELLENT RADIATIONAL COOLING. MOSGUIDE WAS USED AS A START...THEN
LOWERED TO ACCOUNT FOR SNOW COVER. HOWEVER IF WINDS DIE OFF A BIT
SOONER...TEMPS WILL BE COLDER THAN FORECAST. DAYTIME HIGHS THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY LOOK TO REMAIN BELOW FREEZING.

THE FLOW TURNS A BIT MORE SOUTHWESTERLY ON SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES. THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...AND AT THIS
POINT LOOKS TO BE ACCOMPANIED WITH A ROUND OF SNOW SHOWERS. A
RETURN TO BLUSTERY AND COLD WEATHER ON SUNDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
HIGH PRES WILL BUILD IN FROM THE W THROUGH TONIGHT. MAJOR WINTER
STORM BECOMING INCREASINGLY LIKELY TUE NIGHT INTO WED.

SKC THIS MORNING. A FEW FAIR WEATHER CU POSSIBLE THIS AFTN. HIGH
CLOUDS INCREASE TONIGHT. VFR THRU THE TAF PERIOD.

WINDS TODAY GENERALLY 300-320. PREVAILING WINDS AROUND 300 BEFORE
14Z ARE EXPECTED TO GAIN A 310 DEGREE COMPONENT IN GUSTS. STRONGEST
GUSTS AFTER 14Z LIKELY TO BE AROUND 10 DEGREES N OF PREVAILING.
WINDS VEER SLOWLY AFTER 18Z...BECOMING MAINLY N AFTER 00-04Z. WIND
SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH AFTER 18Z...WITH NO GUSTS EXPECTED AFTER
23-00Z.

...NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...

DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT:  HTTP://WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)

KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: OCNL GUSTS THRU 14Z.

KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: OCNL GUSTS THRU 14Z.

KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: OCNL GUSTS THRU 14Z.

KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: OCNL GUSTS THRU 14Z.

KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: OCNL GUSTS THRU 14Z.

KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.

OUTLOOK FOR 06Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...

LATE MONDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY...VFR MON NIGHT. CHANCE OF MVFR AFTER 18Z
TUE. WINDS BECOMING LIGHT NE.

TUESDAY NIGHT-WEDNESDAY...HEAVIEST SNOW EXPECTED AFTER 3Z WED THRU
15Z WED. NE WINDS INCREASE OVERNIGHT BACKING TO THE N BEHIND THE
STORM. GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30KT POSSIBLE. FOR SNOW REMOVAL
OPERATIONS...ACCUMULATIONS OF 6-12 INCHES WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS
POSSIBLE. DETAILS SUBJECT TO CHANGE AS THE TRACK AND INTENSITY
BECOME MORE REFINED.

WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CIGS IMPROVE TO VFR WITH GUSTY NW WINDS. OCNL
MVFR VSBY POSSIBLE IN BLSN.

THURSDAY-FRIDAY...VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
SCA FOR ALL WATERS THROUGH NOON TODAY...HOWEVER THE SCA ON THE OCEAN
WILL RUN UNTIL 6PM. LOW PRESSURE OVER THE ATLANTIC...COMBINED WITH
AN INLAND HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL RESULT IN A PRESSURE GRADIENT
THAT WILL BE SLOW TO RELAX.

AS THE HIGH BUILDS CLOSER TO THE WATERS...QUIET CONDITIONS WILL
FOLLOW FOR TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

NORTHEAST FLOW IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY INCREASE TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY AS A COASTAL LOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND RAPIDLY DEEPEN
AS IS PASSES SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND. GALES WILL BE LIKELY LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH POSSIBLE STORM FORCE GUSTS OVER THE EASTERN
WATERS ON WEDNESDAY. GALES SHOULD CONTINUE INTO AT LEAST WEDNESDAY
NIGHT AS THE STORM PULLS AWAY AND WINDS BACK TO THE NORTHWEST.

SCA CONDITIONS DUE TO WINDS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH OF THU. GUSTS
TO 25 KT MAY CONTINUE INTO FRI. WAVEWATCH III THROUGH THIS PERIOD
WAS VERY LIKELY TOO LOW...WITH ONLY 2-3 FT SWELLS SHOWING UP ON
OCEAN WATERS. THUS...SEAS IN THE FORECAST ARE NOTICEABLY HIGHER.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT AND
WEDNESDAY...WITH AN INCH PLUS OF QPF EXPECTED. IT WILL BE IN THE
FORM OF SNOW.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
COASTAL FLOODING DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE A PROBLEM WITH THIS STORM
SYSTEM. WE NEED 2.5-3.0 FT TO REACH MINOR COASTAL FLOODING AND WITH
THE FAST MOVING STORM SYSTEM IT LOOKS LIKE IT WILL BE HARD TO REACH
THE 2-3 FT NEEDED.

WE WILL CONTINUE TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL
FLOODING POTENTIAL...ESPECIALLY OUT EAST IN PLACES SUCH AS
MONTAUK...NAPEAGUE BAY AND PECONIC BAY WHICH WERE HARD HIT IN THE
DECEMBER BLIZZARD AND WHERE ONSHORE FLOW WILL BE STRONGEST.

&&

.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR CTZ005>012.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NYZ067>075-078>081-176>179.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
     AFTERNOON FOR NJZ002-004-006-103>108.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EST TODAY FOR ANZ330-335-338-
     340-345.
     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR ANZ350-
     353-355.

&&

SYNOPSIS...PW
NEAR TERM...PW
SHORT TERM...PW
LONG TERM...BS
AVIATION...JMC
MARINE...BC
HYDROLOGY...PW
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...BC

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
634 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

CTZ005>012-NJZ002-004-006-103>108-NYZ067>075-078-080-176>179-102345-
NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-
NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-
SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN PASSAIC-
EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-
EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-
NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-
RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-
SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-
SOUTHERN NASSAU-
634 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN
CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IS LIKELY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 8 INCHES ARE LIKELY. STRONG
NORTHEAST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH MAY ALSO DEVELOP... WITH NEAR
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ALONG THE COAST...IF THE
STORM DEEPENS TO THE EXTENT THAT SOME OF THE PROJECTIONS INDICATE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

NYZ079-081-102345-
NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-
634 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST NEW YORK.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

A SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM IS LIKELY LATE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.
HEAVY SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS IN EXCESS OF 6 INCHES ARE
LIKELY. IT IS STILL POSSIBLE THAT PRECIPITATION COULD MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO RAIN AND HOLD AMOUNTS DOWN SOMEWHAT.

STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS IN EXCESS OF 35 MPH MAY ALSO DEVELOP...
WITH NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY ALONG THE
COAST...IF THE STORM DEEPENS TO THE EXTENT THAT SOME OF THE
PROJECTIONS INDICATE. COASTAL FLOODING IS ALSO POSSIBLE AT THE
TIME OF HIGH TIDE WEDNESDAY MORNING...ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT
WERE HARD HIT DURING THE BLIZZARD OF LATE DECEMBER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ330-340-350-102345-
LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS-
MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM-
634 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GALES ARE LIKELY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
STORM FORCE GUSTS MAY BE POSSIBLE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

ANZ335-338-345-353-355-102345-
LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY-
NEW YORK HARBOR-
SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY-
FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM-
634 PM EST SUN JAN 9 2011

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

HAZARDOUS WEATHER NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

GALES ARE LIKELY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED FROM TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY.

&&

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL
WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING
CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN
EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED.

PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS
WARNING CRITERIA.

GOODMAN/MALOIT