Alert archive / Connecticut / Winter Storm Warnings in 2011
Winter Storm Warning 3, NWS New York, NY
NWS New York, NY issued this winter storm warning at Jan 17, 2011, 3:47 PM EST for Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Connecticut; Passaic County, New Jersey; Orange County, Putnam County, New York. It took effect at Jan 18, 2011, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 15 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 17, 2011, 3:47 PM EST (20:47 UTC)
- In effect from
- Jan 18, 2011, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Jan 18, 2011, 3:34 PM EST
- In force
- 15 hr
- Issued by
- NWS New York, NY
Counties Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, CT, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, CT, Passaic County, NJ, Orange County, NY, Putnam County, NY
The radar
The Brookhaven radar (KOKX), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 89 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1132 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 74 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 30 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 156 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
020 WWUS41 KOKX 172047 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 347 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM TO IMPACT THE AREA FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-180500- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0003.110118T0600Z-110119T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WS.W.0003.110118T0600Z-110118T2300Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE- PUTNAM- 347 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY... SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET INTO TUESDAY MORNING...THEN A QUARTER TO UP TO A HALF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET FROM TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S...THEN SLOWLY RISE TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK TUESDAY. ANY AREAS THAT GO ABOVE FREEZING TUESDAY...WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING TUESDAY NIGHT. * TIMING...SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY AFTERNOON. SOME LOCATIONS COULD CHANGE TO RAIN FOR A PERIOD OF TIME IN THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS BY THE RUSH HOUR TUESDAY MORNING...THEN BECOME TREACHEROUS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. IN ADDITION...THE WEIGHT OF THE SNOW AND ICE COMBINED COULD BRING DOWN TREE BRANCHES AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ NYZ069-070-180500- /O.UPG.KOKX.WS.A.0003.110118T0600Z-110119T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.110118T0600Z-110118T2100Z/ ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 347 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET INTO TUESDAY MORNING...THEN A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET FROM TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOWER 20S...THEN SLOWLY RISE TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY. * TIMING...SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS BY THE RUSH HOUR TUESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ CTZ007>010-NJZ004-104>108-NYZ071-180500- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.110118T0600Z-110118T1800Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX- EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- 347 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...THEN A UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S...THEN RISE TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK EARLY TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY. * TIMING...SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN QUICKLY CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS BY THE RUSH HOUR TUESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ CTZ011-012-NJZ006-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-180500- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.110118T0600Z-110118T1800Z/ SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 347 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY....NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...AROUND AN INCH OF SNOW AND SLEET INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...THEN A TRACE TO UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID 20S...THEN RISE TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK EARLY TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING AS THE MORNING PROGRESSES. * TIMING...SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN QUICKLY CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS BY THE RUSH HOUR TUESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ103-180500- /O.NEW.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.110118T0600Z-110118T2100Z/ WESTERN BERGEN- 347 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW AND FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET INTO TUESDAY MORNING...THEN A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET FROM TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOWER 20S...THEN SLOWLY RISE TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES RISE ABOVE FREEZING DURING THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY. * TIMING...SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS BY THE RUSH HOUR TUESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
6 follow-up statements
131 WWUS41 KOKX 180237 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 937 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO IMPACT THE AREA FROM LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY NIGHT... CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-181445- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0003.110118T0600Z-110118T2300Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE- PUTNAM- 937 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 6 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY... SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET INTO TUESDAY MORNING...THEN ONE QUARTER TO ONE HALF INCH OF ICE ACCRETION ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET FROM TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE TEENS TO LOWER 20S...THEN SLOWLY RISE TOWARD FREEZING ON TUESDAY. ANY AREAS THAT WARM UP ABOVE FREEZING ON TUESDAY WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING TUESDAY NIGHT. * TIMING...SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN BY AFTERNOON. SOME LOCATIONS COULD CHANGE TO RAIN FOR A PERIOD OF TIME IN THE AFTERNOON...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY EVENING. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF BY LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS BY THE RUSH HOUR TUESDAY MORNING...AND BECOME TREACHEROUS BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINED WEIGHT OF SNOW AND ICE COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ CTZ007>010-NJZ004-104>108-NYZ071-181445- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.110118T0600Z-110118T1800Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-EASTERN PASSAIC-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX- EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- 937 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...THEN A UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE TEENS AND 2020S...THEN RISE TOWARD FREEZING EARLY TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING...SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN QUICKLY CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS BY THE RUSH HOUR TUESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ CTZ011-012-NJZ006-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-181445- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.110118T0600Z-110118T1800Z/ SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 937 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY....NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...EXCEPT LESS THAN AN INCH OVER EASTERN LONG ISLAND...THEN A TRACE TO UP TO A TENTH OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE 20S...THEN RISE TOWARD FREEZING EARLY TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING LATER TUESDAY MORNING. * TIMING...SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN QUICKLY CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS BY THE RUSH HOUR TUESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ103-NYZ069-070-181445- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.110118T0600Z-110118T2100Z/ WESTERN BERGEN-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 937 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET INTO TUESDAY MORNING...THEN A TENTH TO A QUARTER OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET FROM TUESDAY MORNING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES AT THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE LOWER 20S...THEN SLOWLY RISE TOWARD FREEZING ON TUESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING DURING TUESDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING...SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT... THEN MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN TUESDAY MORNING. FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL COULD BECOME HAZARDOUS BY THE RUSH HOUR TUESDAY MORNING. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ GOODMAN
940 WWUS41 KOKX 181003 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 503 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY INTO THIS EVENING... CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-182300- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2300Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE- PUTNAM- 503 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY... SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET EXPECTED THIS MORNING...THEN 3 TO 6 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS...THEN SLOWLY RISE TOWARDS FREEZING THROUGH THE DAY. ANY AREAS THAT WARM UP ABOVE FREEZING LATE TUESDAY WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. * TIMING...SNOW THIS MORNING...WILL MIX WITH AND CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING. SOME LOCATIONS COULD BRIEFLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TURN TO PLAIN RAIN...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO FREEZING OR BELOW. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF TO SPOTTY DRIZZLE OR ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS DURING THE MORNING RUSH...AND CONTINUE TO BE TREACHEROUS THIS EVENING. THE COMBINED WEIGHT OF SNOW AND ICE COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ NJZ004-105-107-182100- /O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2100Z/ EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- 503 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET THIS MORNING...THEN 2 TO 4 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WILL BE IN THE LOWER 20S...THEN EXPECTED TO RISE TOWARD FREEZING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY MID TO LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET...WILL CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING. FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS DURING THE MORNING RUSH...AND BE TREACHEROUS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ CTZ007>010-NJZ104-106-108-NYZ071-181800- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T1800Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- 503 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN 1 TO 3 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S THIS MORNING...THEN RISE TOWARD FREEZING DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...SNOW WILL CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING. FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS DURING THE MORNING RUSH...AND BE TREACHEROUS INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ CTZ011-012-NJZ006-NYZ072>075-078>081-176>179-181800- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T1800Z/ SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS- NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS-SOUTHERN NASSAU- 503 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY....NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET EARLY THIS MORNING...EXCEPT LESS THAN AN INCH OVER EASTERN LONG ISLAND AND COASTAL SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT. THEN 1 TO 2 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ARE EXPECTED ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET...EXCEPT A GLAZING TO FEW HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH ACROSS COASTAL SOUTHEASTERN CONNECTICUT AND EASTERN LONG ISLAND. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S THIS MORNING...THEN RISE TOWARD FREEZING AFTER DAYBREAK. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING LATER THIS MORNING. EVEN THOUGH AIR TEMPERATURES MAY RISE ABOVE FREEZING AFTER DAYBREAK ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE ADVISORY AREA...SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY NOT RISE ABOVE FREEZING UNTIL MID TO LATE MORNING. * TIMING...ANY SNOW WILL QUICKLY CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN EARLY THIS MORNING...THEN CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN LATER THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS DURING THE MORNING RUSH. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ103-NYZ069-070-182100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2100Z/ WESTERN BERGEN-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 503 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET THIS MORNING...THEN 2 TO 4 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS AND LOWER 20S THIS MORNING...THEN EXPECTED TO RISE TOWARD FREEZING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY MID TO LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET...WILL CHANGE TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING. FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE EXTREMELY HAZARDOUS DURING THE MORNING RUSH...AND BE TREACHEROUS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
670 WWUS41 KOKX 181418 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 918 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO IMPACT THE AREA TODAY INTO THIS EVENING... NYZ078>081-181530- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T1800Z/ NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK- 918 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES ACROSS SUFFOLK COUNTY HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING. AS SUCH...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-182300- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2300Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE- PUTNAM- 918 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY... SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY * HAZARDS...SNOW...SLEET...AND FREEZING RAIN * ACCUMULATIONS...3 TO 5 INCHES OF SNOW AND SLEET EXPECTED THIS MORNING...THEN 3 TO 6 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION ON TOP OF THE SNOW AND SLEET THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING WILL BE IN THE UPPER TEENS...THEN SLOWLY RISE TOWARDS FREEZING THROUGH THE DAY. ANY AREAS THAT WARM UP ABOVE FREEZING LATE TUESDAY WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. * TIMING...SNOW AND SLEET WILL CHANGE TO FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING. SOME LOCATIONS COULD BRIEFLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TURN TO PLAIN RAIN...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO FREEZING OR BELOW. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF TO SPOTTY DRIZZLE OR ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE COMBINED WEIGHT OF SNOW AND ICE COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ CTZ007>010-NJZ104-106-108-NYZ071-181800- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T1800Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- 918 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE WILL ACCUMULATE ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TOWARD FREEZING DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO RISE ABOVE FREEZING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...FREEZING RAIN WILL THEN CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY EARLY AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS INTO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ CTZ011-012-NJZ006-NYZ072>075-176>179-181800- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T1800Z/ SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS- SOUTHERN NASSAU- 918 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY....NEW YORK CITY AND LONG ISLAND. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 2 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE WILL ACCUMULATE ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE FREEZING LATER THIS MORNING. EVEN THOUGH AIR TEMPERATURES MAY RISE ABOVE FREEZING...SURFACE TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY NOT RISE ABOVE FREEZING UNTIL AFTERNOON. * TIMING...FREEZING RAIN WILL CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN LATER THIS MORNING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ004-103-105-107-NYZ069-070-182100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2100Z/ EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 918 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE WILL ACCUMULATE ON TOP OF EARLIER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TOWARD FREEZING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES SHOULD RISE ABOVE FREEZING BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. * TIMING...SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN THIS MORNING WILL CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
130 WWUS41 KOKX 181607 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1107 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO IMPACT THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON... CTZ011-012-NJZ006-NYZ072>075-176>179-181715- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T1800Z/ SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-HUDSON- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)- KINGS (BROOKLYN)-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS- SOUTHERN NASSAU- 1107 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING. AS SUCH...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-182300- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2300Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE- PUTNAM- 1107 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY... SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN * ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO A HALF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION ON TOP OF THE EARLIER SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK. ANY AREAS THAT WARM UP ABOVE FREEZING LATE TODAY WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. * TIMING...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. SOME LOCATIONS COULD BRIEFLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TURN TO PLAIN RAIN...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO FREEZING OR BELOW. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF TO SPOTTY DRIZZLE OR ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE COMBINED WEIGHT OF SNOW AND ICE COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ CTZ007>010-NJZ104-106-108-NYZ071-181800- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T1800Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-EASTERN BERGEN-EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION- SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- 1107 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION ON TOP OF THE EARLIER SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL TURN TO PLAIN RAIN. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ004-103-105-107-NYZ069-070-182100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2100Z/ EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 1107 AM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION ON TOP OF THE EARLIER SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH FREEZING THIS AFTERNOON AND RISE ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL TURN TO PLAIN RAIN LATE. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
201 WWUS41 KOKX 181722 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 1222 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO IMPACT THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON... CTZ009-010-NJZ104-106-108-NYZ071-181830- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T1800Z/ SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-EASTERN BERGEN- EASTERN ESSEX-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- 1222 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING. AS SUCH...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-182300- /O.CON.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2300Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE- PUTNAM- 1222 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING... A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM EST THIS EVENING. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY... SOUTHWESTERN CONNECTICUT...AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN * ACCUMULATIONS...UP TO A HALF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION ON TOP OF THE EARLIER SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RISE TOWARDS THE FREEZING MARK. ANY AREAS THAT WARM UP ABOVE FREEZING LATE TODAY WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. * TIMING...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON. SOME LOCATIONS COULD BRIEFLY RISE ABOVE FREEZING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TURN TO PLAIN RAIN...BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO FREEZING RAIN THIS EVENING AS TEMPERATURES FALL TO FREEZING OR BELOW. PRECIPITATION SHOULD TAPER OFF TO SPOTTY DRIZZLE OR ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE COMBINED WEIGHT OF SNOW AND ICE COULD BRING DOWN TREE LIMBS AND POWER LINES. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW...SLEET...AND ICE ARE EXPECTED. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY. && $$ CTZ007-008-182100- /O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2100Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON- 1222 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN * ACCUMULATIONS...1 TO 3 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION ON TOP OF THE EARLIER SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL RISE ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK LATER THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL TURN TO PLAIN RAIN. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS INTO THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ NJZ004-103-105-107-NYZ069-070-182100- /O.CON.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2100Z/ EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 1222 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN. * ACCUMULATIONS...2 TO 4 TENTHS OF AN INCH OF ICE ACCRETION ON TOP OF THE EARLIER SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES WILL APPROACH FREEZING THIS AFTERNOON AND RISE ABOVE THE FREEZING MARK LATE THIS AFTERNOON. * TIMING...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL TURN TO PLAIN RAIN LATE. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
538 WWUS41 KOKX 182034 WSWOKX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 334 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTRY WEATHER TO IMPACT THE AREA TONIGHT... CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067-068-190500- /O.CAN.KOKX.WS.W.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2300Z/ /O.EXB.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110119T0500Z/ NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE- PUTNAM- 334 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FREEZING RAIN...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE. * ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL LIGHT ICE ACCRETIONS ON TOP OF THE EARLIER SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. * TIMING...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO SPOTTY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE LATER THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS THROUGH THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$ CTZ008-NJZ105-107-182145- /O.CAN.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110118T2100Z/ NORTHERN NEW LONDON-WESTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION- 334 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS CANCELLED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN ABOVE FREEZING. BY THE TIME TEMPERATURES DROP BACK BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT...ANY LINGERING LIGHT RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO SPOTTY LIGHT RAIN OR DRIZZLE. AS SUCH...THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY HAS BEEN CANCELLED. $$ CTZ007-NJZ004-103-NYZ069-070-190500- /O.EXT.KOKX.WW.Y.0003.000000T0000Z-110119T0500Z/ NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-EASTERN PASSAIC-WESTERN BERGEN-ROCKLAND- NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 334 PM EST TUE JAN 18 2011 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT... THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT. * LOCATIONS...INTERIOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT AND THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY. * HAZARDS...FREEZING RAIN OR FREEZING DRIZZLE. * ACCUMULATIONS...ADDITIONAL LIGHT ICE ACCRETIONS ON TOP OF THE EARLIER SNOW AND SLEET ACCUMULATIONS. * TEMPERATURES...TEMPERATURES NEAR FREEZING WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING TONIGHT. * TIMING...PERIODS OF FREEZING RAIN WILL TAPER OFF TO SPOTTY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OR DRIZZLE LATER THIS EVENING. * IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL REMAIN TREACHEROUS THROUGH THE EVENING COMMUTE. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW...SLEET...OR FREEZING RAIN WILL CAUSE TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SLIPPERY ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE DRIVING. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New York, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Jan 17, 12:51 PM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 17, 12:51 PM EST, 2 hours 56 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
1251 PM EST MON JAN 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE SLOWLY RETREATS TO OUR NORTHEAST INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.
MEANWHILE...A LOW DEVELOPS NEAR THE SOUTHEASTERN SEABOARD
TONIGHT...THEN TRACKS NORTHEAST TO NEAR NOVA SCOTIA BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING...TRACKING TO THE SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND AS IT DOES SO.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A STORM
SYSTEM TRACKS INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS THURSDAY...THEN
DEVELOPS INTO A COASTAL LOW OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST THURSDAY
NIGHT...AND CONTINUES TO TRACK NORTHEAST TO NEAR NOVA SCOTIA
FRIDAY AS IT STRENGTHENS. CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...THEN RETREATS TO THE NORTHEAST
SUNDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
A SOLID BAND OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS JUST ENTERING SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF NYC AND ADJACENT NE NJ WILL BE SLOW TO BUILD NE THIS AFTERNOON
WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER. THUS...HAVE INCREASED
CLOUDS ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA WITH SKIES BECOMING PARTLY TO
MOSTLY CLOUDY ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF EASTERN CT AND EASTERN LI WHERE IT WILL BE MOSTLY
SUNNY.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA BOTH ALOFT AND AT THE SFC
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM 20 TO 25...WHICH IS
10-15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. A LIGHT NLY FLOW WILL BECOME EASTERLY
AS THE SFC HIGH PASSES OFF TO THE EAST LATE.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
MODELS ARE COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON THE STORM SYSTEM TO
IMPACT THE REGION FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. ALL NOW
AGREE THAT THE DAMMING HIGH WILL LINGER INTO TUESDAY EVENING OVER
FAR NW PORTIONS OF THE AREA. THIS DAMMING HIGH WILL SERVE TO HELP
KEEP COLD AIR TRAPPED IN PLACE AT THE SURFACE...ESPECIALLY FROM
INTERIOR SW CT...WEST TO ORANGE AND WESTERN PASSAIC
COUNTIES...WHERE TEMPERATURES MIGHT NOT GET ABOVE FREEZING THROUGH
THE EVENT.
THE MODELS AGREE THAT THE LOW WILL BE NEAR CAPE HATTERAS AROUND
12Z TUESDAY AND NEAR CAPE COD BY 6Z WEDNESDAY...PASSING IN BETWEEN
LONG ISLAND AND THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK...AND DEEPENING AROUND 10
HPA AS IT DOES SO.
THE DAMMING HIGH WILL SERVE AS AN OVER RUNNING SURFACE FOR
MOISTURE RIDING N ON A S-SE 20-30 KT LOW LEVEL JET AHEAD OF THE
SYSTEM MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. THE RESULT IS SNOW WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE REGION FROM SW TO NE MONDAY NIGHT...MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
IN ADDITION TO THE UNCERTAINTY ON WHERE AND HOW FAST TEMPERATURES
RISE ABOVE FREEZING...THERE IS ALSO UNCERTAINTY ON HOW FAST...AND
DEEP THE LOW LEVELS WARM ABOVE FREEZING. THE NAM OFFERS THE LEAST
AMOUNT OFF...AND THE SHALLOWEST WARMING...THE GFS IS THE
WARMEST...AND HAS THE DEEPEST WARM LAYER...WHILE THE ECMWF IS
SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN. HOW THIS PLAYS OUT WILL
DETERMINE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE INTERIOR...HOW QUICKLY THE SNOW
MIXES/CHANGES TO SLEET AND FREEZING RAIN - AND TO ALL RAIN ACROSS
COASTAL AREAS INCLUDING NYC. FOR NOW OPTED FOR A BLEND OF NAM/GFS
LOW LEVEL THERMAL FEATURES.
WHAT DOES APPEAR FAIRLY CERTAIN...IS THAT THERE WILL BE AN
ACCUMULATING SNOW BEFORE THE MIXING BEGINS MONDAY NIGHT...WITH
AMOUNTS FROM A DUSTING TO AN INCH ACROSS LONG ISLAND. 1-2 INCHES
ACROSS THE NYC METRO AND COASTAL CT...AND 2-4 INCHES ACROSS
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...NE NJ...AND
CT...WHERE JUST SNOW WILL CONTINUE LONGER...INTO TUESDAY MORNING.
THE UNCERTAINTY LIES IN HOW MUCH FREEZING RAIN FALLS AFTER
THIS...BEFORE A CHANGE OVER TO RAIN FOR ALL BUT MOST LIKELY INTERIOR
SW CT...LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTY DURING THE
DAY ON TUESDAY. FOR NOW GOING WITH A GLAZE TO UP TO A TENTH OF AN
INCH OF ICE ACROSS THE NYC METRO AND COASTAL AND SE CT.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR UP TO A HALF AN INCH OF ICE...AND
MAYBE MORE DEPENDING ON HOW MUCH SNOW ACTUALLY FALLS...AND IF
TEMPERATURES GET ABOVE FREEZING...ACROSS INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE
LOWER HUDSON VALLEY...SW CT...AND WESTERN PASSAIC COUNTY. IN THESE
AREAS...SOME LOCATIONS MIGHT NOT GET ABOVE FREEZING...AND THOSE
THAT DO...LIKELY WILL FALL BELOW FREEZING TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE
PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF. AS A RESULT HAVE ISSUED A WINTER STORM
WATCH FOR THESE LOCATIONS FROM 1 AM TUESDAY THROUGH 6 AM WEDNESDAY.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR MOST IF NOT ALL OF
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA LATER TODAY...DEPENDING ON CONFIDENCE IN
AT LEAST A GLAZE OF ICE IN A GIVEN ZONE.
AS FOR TEMPERATURES...BLENDED MAV/MET GUIDANCE AND ADDED A DEGREE
(TO FAVOR WARMER GUIDANCE) FOR LOWS TONIGHT. THESE SHOULD BE IN
THE EVENING...WITH SLOWLY RISING TEMPERATURES INTO THE OVERNIGHT.
FOR TUESDAY...USED NAM 2-METER TEMPERATURES...AS THEY HAVE
HISTORICALLY FARED VERY WELL IN THESE IN-SITU DAMMING SITUATIONS.
FOR LOWS TUESDAY NIGHT BLENDED MAV/MET GUIDANCE WITH NAM 2-METER
TEMPERATURES.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
00Z GFS AND THE 00Z ECMWF HAVE COME INTO DECENT AGREEMENT REGARDING
THE LONG TERM FORECAST...SO WILL FOLLOW A BLEND OF THESE MODELS.
LOW PRES MOVES INTO THE GULF OF MAINE WED MORNING...AND WRAP-AROUND
PRECIP CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION WED MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY
TAPERING OFF LATE IN THE DAY. WITH SURFACE TEMPS BELOW FREEZING WED
MORNING...COULD EXPERIENCE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN ACROSS THE
INTERIOR BEFORE PRECIP EVENTUALLY CHANGES TO RAIN BEFORE ENDING.
LOW PRES THEN MOVES INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES WED NIGHT...AND COLD
FRONT SWINGS THROUGH THE REGION. UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR THEN
OVERSPREADS THE REGION FOR THE END OF THE WEEK...WITH TEMPS ABOUT 10
TO 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.
NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP ACROSS THE AREA WILL OCCUR ON FRI AS H5
TROUGH DIGS INTO THE EASTERN SEABOARD. SFC LOW PRES WILL DEVELOP
SOMEWHERE OVER THE DELMARVA PENINSULA BEFORE TRACKING NORTHEAST
TOWARDS THE GULF OF MAINE AND THE CANADIAN MARITIMES. THERE IS A BIT
OF SPREAD AMONG THE OPERATIONAL GFS...THE GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS AND
THE ECMWF IN TERMS OF TIMING AND PLACEMENT OF THE SFC LOW...BUT ALL
ARE IN THE GENERAL VICINITY. THIS COULD RESULT IN ABOUT 1/4" LIQUID
QPF WHICH...DEPENDING ON TEMPS LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING...
COULD RESULT IN WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWFALL OVER THE
AREA. BUT IT IS STILL A BIT TOO FAR OUT TO SAY EITHER WAY...AND WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR.
ONCE THIS LOW DEPARTS ON FRI...A REINFORCING COLD FRONT WILL SWING
THROUGH THE REGION...ALLOWING FOR A BRUTALLY COLD AIRMASS INTO THE
REGION WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE 20S ON SAT...AND THEN A FEW DEGREES
WARMER ON SUN. LOWS SAT NIGHT WILL DROP INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS
ACROSS THE INTERIOR AND IN THE TEENS ELSEWHERE...THOUGH IF SKIES
CLEAR OUT AND WINDS DIMINISH ENOUGH...THESE TEMPS MIGHT NOT BE COLD
ENOUGH DUE TO RADIATIONAL COOLING AND ANY REMAINING SNOW ON THE
GROUND.
BOTH THE GFS AND THE ECMWF INDICATING LOW PRES OFF THE SOUTHEAST
COAST FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT NIGHT...BUT THE ECMWF IS NOW WELL SOUTH
OF THE REGION. THIS WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED AS WELL FOR NEXT
WEEKEND FOR ANY CHANGES.
UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR REMAINS OVER THE REGION INTO THE START OF THE
NEW WEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES FROM THE SOUTH TONIGHT...PASSING JUST
SOUTHEAST OF LONG ISLAND TUESDAY. LOW CONFIDENCE ON EXACT TIMING
OF A CHANGEOVER FROM SNOW...TO A WINTRY MIX...TO PLAIN RAIN TUESDAY.
VFR THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING AS CLOUDS INCREASE. A FEW
STRATUS CLOUDS AFTER SUNSET POSSIBLE IN AND AROUND NYC.
FOR TONIGHT...LIGHT SNOW WITH SUB-VFR CONDITIONS SPREADS NE.
TIMING AROUND 4-5Z NYC METRO AND KSWF...8-9Z KISP AND AFTER 9Z KGON.
MVFR QUICKLY REDUCES TO IFR/LIFR AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW FOR A FEW HOURS...THEN A TRANSITION OCCURS TOWARD SUNRISE TO
A WINTRY MIX...EXCEPT KSWF. CONFIDENCE ON EXACT TIMING IS LOW AS
THIS REMAINS AN EXTREMELY COMPLEX FORECAST. HIGH CONFIDENCE IN A
WINTRY MIX OCCURRING THOUGH. IT IS GOING TO BE A MESS DURING THE
MORNING HOURS ACROSS ALL TERMINALS. KJFK SHOULD BE THE FIRST
LOCATION TO CHANGE TO PLAIN RAIN. PLEASE SEE TERMINAL FORECASTS
FOR MY BEST GUESS AT THIS TIME.
AS FOR WINDS...LIGHT NORTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. E/NE
AROUND 10 KT LATE TONIGHT...THEN 10 TO 15 KTS TUE MORNING.
INCLUDED LLWS FOR COASTAL TERMINALS DURING THE MORNING DUE TO
PRESENCE OF LOW LEVEL JET AND A STRONG VEERING WIND PROFILE
BETWEEN 1-2 KFT AGL.
NY METRO ENHANCED AVIATION WEATHER SUPPORT...
DETAILED INFORMATION...INCLUDING HOURLY TAF WIND COMPONENT FCSTS CAN
BE FOUND AT: HTTP:/WWW.ERH.NOAA.GOV/ZNY/N90 (LOWER CASE)
KEWR FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
KJFK FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
KLGA FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
KTEB FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
KHPN FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
KISP FCSTER COMMENTS: NO UNSCHEDULED AMENDMENTS EXPECTED.
OUTLOOK FOR 18Z TUE THROUGH SAT...
TUE AFTERNOON-TUE NIGHT...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED IN LOW
CLOUDS AND FZDZ OR DZ.
TUE NIGHT...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. RAIN AT MOST
TERMINALS...POSSIBLY FREEZING RAIN AT KSWF.
WED...SUB-VFR CONDITIONS IMPROVING TO VFR IN THE AFTERNOON.
THU-FRI...VFR....THEN SUB VFR POSSIBLE LATE IN SNOW.
FRI...SUB VFR POSSIBLE IN SNOW EARLY...THEN VFR.
SAT...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
RELATIVELY TRANQUIL CONDITIONS DEVELOP BY THIS AFTERNOON AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE WATERS...WINDS THEN INCREASE OUT THE EAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT...WITH GUSTS AND SEAS REACHING LOW END SMALL CRAFT
CONDITIONS OVER THE COASTAL OCEAN ZONES DURING THE PRE-DAWN HOURS.
GUSTS TO AT LEAST 25 KT DEVELOP OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE WATERS
TUESDAY MORNING...AND CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY NIGHT.
AS A RESULT HAVE ISSUED A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR THE COASTAL
OCEAN ZONES FROM 8Z TONIGHT THROUGH 11Z WEDNESDAY AND ON THE
REMAINDER OF THE WATERS FROM 11Z TUESDAY THROUGH 11Z WEDNESDAY.
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF GALE FORCE GUSTS ON THE COASTAL OCEAN
WATERS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING...BUT NOT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO
REFLECT IN THE HWO AT THIS TIME.
A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT OVER THE WATERS WITH STRONG COLD AIR
ADVECTION WILL RESULT IN CONTINUED STRONG SCA CONDITIONS THROUGH
THU...THEN SUB-SCA CONDITIONS EXPECTED THU NIGHT THROUGH FRI
MORNING. ANOTHER COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE WATERS ON FRI...AND
A TIGHT PRES GRADIENT RETURNS ON THE WATERS...RESULTING IN SCA
CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING.
SIGNIFICANT LIQUID EQUIVALENT IS EXPECTED FROM MAINLY AFTER
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...WITH AROUND AN INCH TO
AN INCH AND A QUARTER OF QPF EXPECTED.
WITH A GOOD SNOW PACK IN PLACE...MUCH OF THIS PRECIPITATION...EVEN IN
LIQUID FORM SHOULD BE ABLE TO BE RETAINED. IT WILL LIKELY TAKE AN
ADDITIONAL SIGNIFICANT QPF EVENT FOR THE RIPENING OF THE SNOW PACK
AND POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD FLOODING.
THE WILD CARD IN ALL THIS IS THE EXPECTATION OF FREEZING RAIN ON
TOP OF THE SNOW...BEFORE THE PRECIPITATION CHANGES TO RAIN. THIS
COULD SERVE TO LIMIT THE AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WHICH PENETRATES THE
SNOWPACK...AND COULD PROMOTE MORE RUNOFF. IT APPEARS THOUGH THAT
ENOUGH OF THE LIQUID EQUIVALENT WILL TAKE THE FORM OF FREEZING OR
FROZEN PRECIPITATION THAT THE THREAT IS MORE OF A MINOR
URBAN/POOR DRAINAGE TYPE...FOR AREAS RECEIVING MORE RAIN...MAINLY
NYC AND LONG ISLAND.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
AROUND 2 1/2 FOOT DEPARTURES ARE REQUIRED TO REACH MINOR FLOOD
BENCHMARKS TUESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING...WITH DEPARTURES OF ONLY
1-1.5 FT ON THE HARBOR AND BACK BAYS...AND 1.5-2 FT ON THE SOUND
FORECAST. AT THIS TIME...IT DOES NOT APPEAR THERE IS A COASTAL
FLOOD THREAT FROM THIS STORM...HOWEVER IF IT INTENSIFIES MORE
RAPIDLY THAN CURRENTLY EXPECTED...THEN MINOR BENCHMARKS COULD BE
APPROACHED. FUTURE SHIFTS WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR FOR ANY CHANGES
TO CURRENT EXPECTATIONS.
&&
.OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT FOR CTZ005-006.
NY...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT FOR NYZ067>070.
NJ...WINTER STORM WATCH FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY
NIGHT FOR NJZ002.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY
FOR ANZ330-335-338-340-345.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY
FOR ANZ350-353-355.
&&
SYNOPSIS...MALOIT
NEAR TERM...MALOIT
SHORT TERM...MALOIT
LONG TERM...MPS
AVIATION...PW
MARINE...MALOIT/MPS
HYDROLOGY...MALOIT
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 17, 5:07 AM EST, 10 hours 40 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY 507 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011 CTZ007>012-NJZ004-006-103>108-NYZ071>075-078>081-176>179-181100- NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD- SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON- EASTERN PASSAIC-HUDSON-WESTERN BERGEN-EASTERN BERGEN-WESTERN ESSEX- EASTERN ESSEX-WESTERN UNION-EASTERN UNION-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER- NEW YORK (MANHATTAN)-BRONX-RICHMOND (STATEN ISLAND)-KINGS (BROOKLYN)- NORTHWESTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-SOUTHWESTERN SUFFOLK- SOUTHEASTERN SUFFOLK-NORTHERN QUEENS-NORTHERN NASSAU-SOUTHERN QUEENS- SOUTHERN NASSAU- 507 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. CTZ005-006-NJZ002-NYZ067>070-181100- NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-WESTERN PASSAIC-ORANGE-PUTNAM- ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER- 507 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...NORTHEAST NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST NEW YORK. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS. WINTER STORM WATCH. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA. ANZ330-335-338-340-345-350-353-355-181100- LONG ISLAND SOUND EAST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- LONG ISLAND SOUND WEST OF NEW HAVEN CT/PORT JEFFERSON NY- NEW YORK HARBOR-PECONIC AND GARDINERS BAYS- SOUTH SHORE BAYS FROM JONES INLET THROUGH SHINNECOCK BAY- MORICHES INLET NY TO MONTAUK POINT NY OUT 20 NM- FIRE ISLAND INLET NY TO MORICHES INLET NY OUT 20 NM- SANDY HOOK NJ TO FIRE ISLAND INLET NY OUT 20 NM- 507 AM EST MON JAN 17 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME THAT WOULD MEET NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WARNING CRITERIA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. && THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK PROVIDES A SUMMARY OF POTENTIAL WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER EVENTS THAT MAY REACH NWS WARNING CRITERIA. MOST LONG FUSED NWS WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES IN EFFECT ARE HIGHLIGHTED. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST NWS FORECASTS FOR WEATHER NOT MEETING NWS WARNING CRITERIA.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New York, NY issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 3:43 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region | 12 hr |
| Jan 17, 3:47 PM EST | Winter Weather Advisory | OKX | Greater Bridgeport Planning Region, Lower Connecticut River Valley Planning Region, Naugatuck Valley Planning Region, Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region | 41 hr |
| Jan 17, 4:20 AM EST | Small Craft Advisory | OKX | 71 hr |
Nearby
Winter Storm Warnings in Connecticut, 2011Winter Storm Warnings in New York, 2011Winter Storm Warnings in New Jersey, 2011Every winter storm warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.